Friday's Miscellany 01-26-2018

38 North

·         Remembering the Pueblo: How Internal Imperatives Shape North Korean Decisions

·         Timeline of North Korean Military Parade Preparations

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         The Growing Arms Deals in the Gulf: Existential Need or Fear Politics?

Amnesty International

·         Executions of Juveniles Since 1990

·         Overlooked, Under-Protected: Mexico’s Deadly Refoulement of Central Americans Seeking Asylum

Asia Foundation

·         Impact of Domestic Violence on the Workplace in China

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Anti-Qatar Embargo Grinds Toward Strategic Failure

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         In Jenin, Terrorists Get What They Deserve. In Gaza, They Don’t

·         Iran and Saudi Arabia Revisit Their Strategies

·         The Limits of Erdoğan’s “Nation”

·         Religion in the IDF: The Struggle over Israeli Public Space

·         US Allies Should Back President Trump

·         Will the Mullahs’ Missiles Backfire?

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         India’s Nuclear Safeguards: Not Fit for Purpose

Berkeley Law

·         Chemical Weapons Strikes on Al-Lataminah

·         No Safe Space: Health Consequences of Tear Gas Exposure Among Palestine Refugees

Beyond the Parallel

·         North Korean Special Operations Forces: Hovercraft Bases (Part I)

Brookings

·         Broadening the Benefits of Growth: No One Left Behind

·         Foresight Africa: Top Priorities for the Continent in 2018

·         How to read the 2018 National Defense Strategy

·         The Millennial Generation: A Demographic Bridge to America’s Diverse Future

·         Sustainable Financing for Economic Development: Mobilizing Africa's Resources

·         Un-Burying the Lead: Public Health Tools are the Key to Beating the Opioid Epidemic

·         Unleashing Africa’s Inner Strengths: Institutions, Policies, and Champions

Bruegel

·         People on the Move: Migration and Mobility in the European Union

·         Will Macroprudential Policy Counteract Monetary Policy’s Effects on Financial Stability?

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         A Small Step Forward in Brexit Talks

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Avoiding U.S.-Russia Military Escalation During the Hybrid War

·         The Potential Jihadi Windfall From the Militarization of Tunisia’s Border Region With Libya

·         Rethinking the Danger of Escalation: The Russia-NATO Military Balance

·         Russia Hit Multiple Targets with Zapad-2017

CATO Institute

·         Making a Narco: Childhood Exposure to Illegal Labor Markets and Criminal Life Paths

·         Privatizing Federal Electricity Infrastructure

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         The Financing of Nuclear and other Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation

Center for Global Development

·         Structuring and Funding Development Impact Bonds for Health: Nine Lessons from Cameroon and Beyond

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Analysis of the FY 2018 Defense Budget

·         Caribbean Economies and the Year Ahead 2018

·         China’s Belt and Road Initiative: Five Years Later

·         Connecting Current Operations to Policy Ambition in Syria

·         Distributed Defense: New Operational Concepts for Integrated Air and Missile Defense

·         Issues & Insights, v.. 18, WP 1—The Lancang-Mekong Cooperation Mechanism (LMCM) and its Implications for the Mekong Sub-region

·         Measuring the Impact of Sequestration and the Drawdown on the Defense Industrial Base

·         PacNet #9 - Strengthening the Nuclear Test Ban in Southeast Asia

Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction

·         Negotiating a Nuclear "Code of Conduct"

Center on Global Energy Policy

·         Trump's Solar Tariffs Create Far More Losers Than Winners

·         Uncertainties in Forecasting US Tight Oil Production

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Brexit: Can the United Kingdom Change its Mind?

Chicago Council on Global Affairs

·         American and Russian Opinion at a Standoff on Crimea Sanctions

·         East Asia’s Rising Geoeconomics and the Strategy for Japan

·         Ready to Work: Understanding Immigrant Skills in the United States to Build a Competitive Labor Force

Clingendael  - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Conflict Environments and Coverage

·         International Arms Flows: Monitoring, Sources and Obstacles

·         Why Securitizing the Sahel Will Not Stop Migration

Combating Terrorism Center

·         CTC Sentinel, January  2018, v. 11, no. 1

o    The Inside Story of the August 2017 Attacks in Barcelona and Cambrils

o    The Evolution of Shi`a Insurgency in Bahrain

o    Red on Red: Analyzing Afghanistan’s Intra-Insurgency Violence

o    The Potential Jihadi Windfall from the Militarization of Tunisia’s Border Region with Libya

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

·         Drugs for Dollars: How Medicaid Helps Fuel the Opioid Epidemic

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Cash and Accrual Measures in Federal Budgeting

Department of Homeland Security 

·         U.S. Department of Homeland Security: Procedures Relating to a Lapse in Appropriations

Department of State

·         International Partnership Against Impunity for the Use of Chemical Weapons

Department of Transportation’s Office of the Inspector General

·         FHWA Lacks Detailed Guidance on Infrastructure Resilience for Emergency Relief Projects and a Process To Track Related Improvement

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Digital health: How Can the EU Help Make the Most Out of It?

·         The External Processing of Asylum Seekers - Member States’ Migration Talking Shop

·         Supporting Press Publishers in a Digital Era

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         Preliminary Semiannual Uniform Crime Report, January - June 2017

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

·         The Price of the Russian Elections: Easy to Achieve, Putin’s Victory Will Have Huge Costs

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Americans, the NSA is Still Listening: Section 702 is Alive and Well

·         Terrorists, America is Still Listening: Section 702 is Alive and Well

German Council on Foreign Relations (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e. V.)

·         Advancing Energy Transition While on the Road to Democracy

German Development Institute

·         African Economic Development: What Role Can the G20 Compact Play?

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         One Year of President Trump: Views from Around the World

·         Turkey–U.S. Alliance: Between Past and Future

·         U.S. Trade Policy in the Asia-Pacific Region under President Trump: Implications for the European Union

Hedayah International Center of Excellence for Countering Violent Extremism

·         Undermining Violent Extremist Narratives in the Middle East and North Africa: A How-To Guide

·         Violent Radicalisation & Far-Right Extremism in Europe

Heritage Foundation

·         Federal Cyber Breaches in 2017

Hoover Institution

·         China Leadership Monitor, Winter 2018, no. 55  

o    The 19th Party Congress: Ringing in Xi Jinping’s New Age

o    Chinese Views of Foreign Policy in the 19th Party Congress

o    The Cult of Xi and the Rise of the CMC Chairman Responsibility System

o    Economic Policy in the Aftermath of the 19th Party Congress

o    Party All the Time: Governance and Society in the New Era

o    The 19th Central Committee Politburo

Hoover Institution

·         Rules Versus Discretion: Assessing the Debate Over the Conduct of Monetary Policy

·         Some Thoughts On International Monetary Policy Coordination

Households in Conflict Network

·         Legislating During War: Conflict and Politics in Colombia

·         On the Legacies of Wartime Governance

·         Social Structure and Conflict: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

·         Violence, Psychological Stress and Educational Performance during the “War on Drugs” in Mexico

Human Rights Watch

·         Hidden Chains: Rights Abuses and Forced Labor in Thailand’s Fishing Industry

·         Locked Up Without Evidence: Abuses under Sri Lanka’s Prevention of Terrorism Act

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, January 25, 2018  

o    Zimbabwe: New President Faces Challenges of Power

o    An Emerging Extremist Threat in Mozambique?

·         An Evaluation of the National Security Science and Engineering Faculty Fellows Program

Institute for Security & Development Policy (ISDP)

·         Russian Hybrid Tactics in Georgia

·         Uzbekistan’s New Foreign Policy: Change and Continuity under New Leadership

Institute for Security Studies

·         Reducing Violence in South Africa: Resourcing Violence Prevention

Institute for the Study of War (ISW)

·         Iraqi Kurdish Political Fractures Weigh on Looming Elections

·         Syria Situation Report: January 10 - 24, 2018

·         Syria’s “War after ISIS” Begins as Turkey Attacks America’s Anti-ISIS Partner

·         Turkey’s Next Phase in Afrin, Syria  

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         The Donald J. Trump Administration as Seen from Tokyo

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Emerging Contours in India-Israel Relations: Progress, Pitfalls and Prospects

·         Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in India: New Delhi seeks Balance in the Middle East

International Crisis Group

·         Korean Peninsula Crisis (I): In the Line of Fire and Fury

·         Korean Peninsula Crisis (II): From Fire and Fury to Freeze-for-Freeze

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Can Countries Manage Their Financial Conditions Amid Globalization?

·         A Comprehensive Multi-Sector Tool for Analysis of Systemic Risk and Interconnectedness (SyRIN)

·         Disagreement about Future Inflation: Understanding the Benefits of Inflation Targeting and Transparency

·         Economic Convergence in the Euro Area: Coming Together or Drifting Apart?

·         Foreign Direct Investment and Women Empowerment: New Evidence on Developing Countries

·         Friend or Foe? Cross-Border Linkages, Contagious Banking Crises,and “Coordinated” Macroprudential Policies

·         Household Credit, Global Financial Cycle, and Macroprudential Policies : Credit Register Evidence from an Emerging Country

·         New Estimates for Direction of Trade Statistics

·         On International Integration of Emerging Sovereign Bond Markets

·         A New Smartphone for Every Fifth Person on Earth: Quantifying the New Tech Cycle

·         A New Wave of ECB’s Unconventional Monetary Policies: Domestic Impact and Spillovers

·         Reserve Currency Blocs: A Changing International Monetary System?

·         Shadow Economies Around the World: What Did We Learn Over the Last20 Years?

Jamestown Foundation

·         Terrorism Monitor, January 26, 2017, v. 16, no. 2

o    Islamic State Gains Ground in Afghanistan as Its Caliphate Crumbles Elsewhere

o    Can Airstrikes Alone Tackle  Islamic State in Libya?

o    Guns for Hire: How al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula Is Securing Its Future in Yemen

Joint Special Operations University (JSOU)

·         Resistance Views: Tartu Resistance Seminar Essays on Unconventional Warfare and Small State Resistance

Kroll

·         2017/18 Kroll Annual Global Fraud & Risk Report : Forging New Paths in Times of Uncertainty

Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department (LVMPD)

·         LVMPD Preliminary Investigative Report 1 October / Mass Casualty Shooting

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·         Heading North, Staying North? The Increasing Importance of International Migrants to Northern and Remote Australia

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

·         Pre-Radicalization Criminal Activity of United States Extremists

National Security Archive

·         Rumsfeld Snowflakes Come in from the Cold

NATO Defense College

·         Central Asia and NATO against a Backdrop of Changing Geopolitical Realities

NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence

·         Russia's Footprint in the Nordic-Baltic Information Environment

New America Foundation

·         Digital Deceit: The Technologies Behind Precision Propaganda on the Internet

·         Sustainable Supply Chains: Better Global Outcomes with Blockchain

Observer Research Foundation

·         ASEAN and India: Five for the Next Five

Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation

·         2017 Annual Report

Peacekeeping Stability Operations Institute (PKSOI)

·         SOLLIMS Sampler,  2018, v. 9, no. 1

o    Monitoring & Evaluation for Peace and Stability

o    Information Management Systems for Monitoring Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration

o    Civil Information Management for the U.S. Government’s Syria Transition Assistance Response Team

o    Remote Field Monitoring, Evaluation, and Research in Countering Violent Extremism Environments – Syria 2017

o    Safety of Field Monitors in Insecure Environments

o    “Success Reporting” by Female Engagement Teams in Afghanistan

o    Lessons from the Use of the MPICE Metrics Framework in the Haiti Stabilization Initiative

o    Evaluating the Impact of Economic Development on Stability

o    Internal Reviews:  Creating Space for Organizational Reflection

o    Collaboration via the Design, Monitoring & Evaluation for Peace Platform

·         Stability Operations in Kosovo 1999-2000: A Case Study

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         ECB Interventions in Distressed Sovereign Debt Markets: The Case of Greek Bonds

·         Initial Coin Offerings Require New Regulations

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         Economic Issues Decline Among Public’s Policy Priorities

·         Public Has Mixed Expectations for New Tax Law

Policy Exchange

·         Small Modular Reactors: The Next Big Thing in Energy?

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         Challenges for Belarusian Security Policy

·         Changes in the Main Assumptions of the U.S. National Defense Strategy

·         China’s Involvement in Ukraine’s Economy Vis-à-vis Russia

·         Germany’s Energiewende: No Abandonment, Just Revision

·         Ukraine’s Law on the Occupied Territories in Donbas

PONARS Eurasia

·         Grassroots Capacity Building: Why Municipal Politics in Moscow are Important Signposts of Russia’s Democratic Development

PricewaterhouseCoopers

·         2018 Artificial Intelligence Predictions

Rand

·         Application of Logic Models to Facilitate DoD Laboratory Technology Transfer

·         Building a Healthy MQ-1/9 RPA Pilot Community: Designing a Career Field Planning Tool

·         Improving Disaster Resilience Among Older Adults: Insights from Public Health Departments and Aging-in-Place Efforts

·         Issues with Access to Acquisition Data and Information in the Department of Defense

SITE Intelligence Group

·         ISIS Media Reboot: A Special SITE Report on the State of ISIS Propaganda

Small Arms Survey

·         At the Crossroads of Sahelian Conflicts: Insecurity, Terrorism,and Arms Trafficking in Niger

Small Wars Journal

·         Assessing the Operational Environment: What We Learned Over the Past Year

·         The Baltics and Buyer’s Remorse

·         China’s Conscription Cycle: Challenges, Vulnerabilities and Opportunities

·         Contested Terrain: The New Geography of Drug Trafficking in North Africa and the Sahel Since the Arab Spring

·         Criminal Insurgency in Brazil

·         Don Quixote Syndrome: Mass Media and Epistemic Identity in Extremism

·         The Long Game: Countering Iranian Malign Influence in the Mashriq

·         The Mouse Clicks of August: Hybrid Warfare, Nation-State Actors,and the Future of Cybersecurity

·         The Study of Human Behaviour in Post-9/11 War: Why Psychologists Co-operate with the U.S. Military and Anthropologists Fight Back

·         Third Generation Gangs Strategic Note No. 9

·         Tyranny of the Majority: U.S.-fueled Instability in Mexico and the Case for a North American Economic and Security Community

·         Understanding Culture Requires a New Approach to Its Analysis

·         Yemen: An Escapable Disaster - Why the United States Should Avoid Military Intervention

·         Yemen’s Water Sustainability Crisis

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         SIGAR-17-47-IP Child Sexual Assault in Afghanistan: Implementation of the Leahy Laws and Reports of Assault by Afghan Security Forces [redacted]

Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse  (TRAC)

·         Hot Spots With Highest Growth in Immigration Court Backlog

Trend Micro

·         Digital Vandals: Exploring the Methods and Motivations behind Web Defacement and Hacktivism

Triangle Center on Terrorism and Homeland Security

·         Muslim-American Involvement with Extremism, 2017

United Kingdom Independent Reviewer of Terrorism Legislation

·         The Terrorism Acts in 2016

UN Peacekeeping

·         Improving Security of United Nations Peacekeepers: We Need to Change the Way We are Doing Business

·         Summary of the Action Plan to Implement the Report on Improving Security of Peacekeepers

Union of Concerned Scientists

·         Abandoning Science Advice: One Year in, the Trump Administration Is Sidelining Science Advisory Committees

US  Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Reframing the Crisis in Myanmar’s Rakhine State

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         How Can Saudi Arabia and Egypt Help Confront Toxic Ideologies?

·         How Terrorist Groups Use Jerusalem

·         Rojava Should Wait for the New Syria

·         Sisi’s Election Challenges in 2018

World Bank

·         Riding the Wave: An East Asian Miracle for the 21st Century

·         Wage Inequality in Latin America: Understanding the Past to Prepare for the Future

World Economic Forum

·         Harnessing the Fourth Industrial Revolution for Life on Land