Friday's Miscellany 02/02/2018

38 North

·         Increased Personnel and Vehicles Present at the Mirim Parade Training Facility

·         North Korea’s Solid-propellant Rocket Engine Production Infrastructure: The No. 17 Factory in Hamhung

·         Unpacking a US Decision to Use Force Against North Korea: Issues, Options, and Consequences

Amnesty International

·         Russia: Supreme Court Cancels Deportation Order for Ali Feruz

·         Turkish Medical Association Facing Threats

Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

·         Medical Surveillance Monthly Report, January 2018, v. 5, no. 1

o    Outbreak of Influenza and Rhinovirus Co-circulation among Unvaccinated Recruits, U.S. Coast Guard Training Center Cape May, NJ, 24 July-21 August 2016

o    Brief Report: Department of Defense Global Laboratory-Based, Influenza Surveillance Program's Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Estimates and Surveillance Trends for 2016-2017 Influenza Season

o    Assessment of 12 Influenza-Like Illness Case Definitions using Department of Defense Global, Laboratory-Based, Influenza Surveillance Program data, 2011-2014

Army Center of Military History

·         Army History Magazine, Winter 2018, no.106  

o    Semper Vigilis: The U.S. Army Security Agency in Early Cold War Germany

o    Protecting the Doughboys

o    Chapter 3: The Road to Berlin

·         Combat Operations: Staying the Course, October 1967-September 1968

Afghanistan Analysts Network

·         More Violent, More Widespread: Trends in Afghan Security in 2017

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Trump Policy in the Middle East: ISIS

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         39 Years Since the Establishment of the Islamic Republic of Iran

·         India and Israel: Strategic Partners on the Move

·         Surviving Donald Trump: Israel’s Strategic Options

·         Trump’s Jerusalem Statement Shakes Up the System

·         US Allies Should Back President Trump

·         Why Won’t Russia Support the Investigation of Chemical Weapons Attacks in Syria?

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         African Regional Economic Integration

Brookings

·         Normal is Over: Europeans Hope That the Trump Era is An Anomaly—But the Transatlantic Divide Has Never Been So Stark

·         Trump’s 1st State of the Union

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         Following the Funding in Strong, Secure, Engaged

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Is the New U.S. National Security Strategy a Step Backward on Democracy and Human Rights?

CATO

·         Local and Aggregate Fiscal Policy Multipliers

·         The New National ID Systems

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Heartland Security: Global Engagement Once Fueled the American Middle Class – and Can Again

·         Navigating Dangerous Pathways: A Pragmatic Approach to U.S.-Russian Relations and Strategic Stability

Center for Immigration Studies (CIS)

·         White House Immigration Framework: Big Amnesty Now, Chain Migration Cuts Much Later

Center for Climate and Security (CCS)

·         Climate-Related Risk to DoD Infrastructure Initial Vulnerability Assessment Survey (SLVAS) Report

·         Links for various prior DOD climate reports 

Center for Homeland Defense and Security (CHDS)

·         Homeland Security Affairs (HSA), January 2018, v. 14

o    Defected from ISIS or Simply Returned, and for How Long? — Challenges for the West in Dealing with Returning Foreign Fighters

o    Improving Maritime Transportation Security in Response to Industry Consolidation

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Caucasus Analytical Digest (CAD), No. 101: Urbanization and Urban Public Policy In Baku /0/nr_101_urbanization_and_urban_public_pol

·         Policy Perspectives, v 6/1, February 2018

o    Rethinking Mediation: Resolving Religious Conflicts

Center for Strategic & Security Studies (CSIS)

·         Examining the New National Defense Strategy

·         How the Blockchain Can Help Venezuela’s Future Recovery

·         Losing in Every Direction: The Arab Game of Thrones

·         Meeting the China Challenge: Responding to China’s Managed Economy

·         PacNet #8R - Response to PacNet #8 "Taiwan Travel Act: Bad Idea?"

·         PacNet #10 - Olympic Pause: Testing, Not Trusting North Korea

·         PacNet #10A - Olympic Diplomacy Based on a False Idea of National Unity

·         PacNet #11 - Countering Terrorism in ASEAN After Marawi: a Regional Role for the Military?

·         The Return of Political Warfare

·         What Is the U.S. Trade and Development Agency?

Center on Global Energy Policy

·         Belt and Road Initiative Green Development Conference

·         East Africa Shared Gas Initiative

Centre for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies

·         Operation Olive Branch: A Political Military Assessment

Chatham House

·         Prices, Products and Priorities: Meeting Refugees’ Energy Needs in Burkina Faso and Kenya

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Spillover in the Multi-Order

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         Islamic State’s Drone Documents: Management, Acquisitions, and DIY Tradecraft

Commandant of the Marine Corps

·         The Commandant’s Posture of the United States Marine Corps President’s Budget 2018

·         Message to the Force 2018 "Execute"

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·         Closing the Digital Divide: Broadband Infrastructure Solutions

·         Combating the Opioid Crisis

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Securing Our Surface Transportation Systems: Examining the Department of Homeland Security’s Role in Surface Transportation Technologies

Congress. House. Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence.

·         Nunes HPSCI Memo on abuses of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act

o    Memo   

o    Memo Key Points

o    Charge and Response

o    Summary of FISA Title I

o    HPSCI Minority Response

o    FBI Statement on HPSCIMemo

Congress. House. Science, Space, and Technology Committee

·         Department of Energy: Management and Priorities

Congress. House. Transportation & Infrastructure Committee

·         Examination of Reports on the EL FARO Marine Casualty and Coast Guard’s Electronic Health Records

Congress. Senate. Armed Services Committee

·         Global Challenges and U.S. National Security Strategy

·         Officer Personnel Management and the Defense Officer Personnel Management Act of 1980

·         Situation on the Korean Peninsula and U.S. Strategy in the Indo-Pacific Region

Congress. Senate. Commerce, Science, & Transportation Committee

·         Driving Automotive Innovation and Federal Policies

·         One Year Later: The American Innovation and Competitiveness Act

·         Surface Transportation Security: Addressing Current and Emerging Threats

·         This is Not a Drill: An Examination of Emergency Alert Systems

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         The Economic Relationship Between the United States, Canada, and Mexico

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Federal Debt and the Statutory Limit, January 2018

Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

·         Reforming the U.S. Approach to Data Protection and Privacy

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         Failure to Define Killer Robots Means Failure to Regulate Them

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         2018 Nuclear Posture Review

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         Lead Inspector General for Operation Inherent Resolve and Operation Pacific Eagle-Philippines | Quarterly Report to the United States Congress |Oct. 1, 2017 – Dec. 31, 2017

Department of Homeland Security Inspector General

·         OIG-18- 41 - DHS Needs to Strengthen Its Suspension and Debarment Program

·         OIG-18- 42 - Management Alert - ICE's Training Model Needs Further Evaluation

·         OIG-18- 43 - Review of U.S. Coast Guard's Fiscal Year 2017 Drug Control Performance Summary Report

·         OIG-18- 44 - Review of U.S. Coast Guard's Fiscal Year 2017 Detailed Accounting Submission for Drug Control Funds

·         OIG-18- 45 - Review of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement's Fiscal Year 2017 Drug Control Performance Summary Report

Department of the Army

·         TRADOC Regulation 350-6  Enlisted Initial Entry Training Policies and Administration

Department of the Treasury

·         Treasury Releases CAATSA Reports, Including on Senior Foreign Political Figures and Oligarchs in the Russian Federation

·         Report to Congress Pursuant to Section 241 of the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act of 2017 [CAATSA] Regarding Senior Foreign Political Figures and Oligarchs in the Russian Federation and Russian Parastatal Entities

Egmont Institute

·         Brexit, Strategy, and the EU: Britain takes Leave

Elliot School of International Affairs - Central Asia Program

·         “Bourgeois” Islam, Prosperity Theology and Ethics in Muslim Eurasia

·         Countering Extremism vs. Freedom of Online Expression: The Case of Kazakhstan

·         Overcoming a Taboo: Normalizing Sexuality Education in Kazakhstan

European Leadership Network (ELN)

·         Prospects for e-democracy in Europe

o    Study

o    Annex I

o    Annex II

o    Annex III

o    Annex IV

·         Proud and Prejudiced: The Risk of Stereotypes in Russia-West Relations

·         Zero Tolerance for Female Genital Mutilation

European Parliament

·         Geo-blocking and Discrimination Among Customers in the EU

European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)

·         Revisiting the EU’s Security Partnerships

Federal Communications Commission (FCC)

·         Preliminary Report: Hawaii Emergency Management Agency’s January 13, 2018 False Ballistic Missile Alert

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Panama's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and the Financing of Terrorism and Proliferation

·         Ukraine's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and the Financing of Terrorism and Proliferation

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

·         Between Change and Continuity: Making Sense of America’s Evolving Global Engagement

·         Trump’s First Year at the Helm: Towards a Zero-Sum World?

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         The 2018 Nuclear Posture Review: Signaling Restraint with Stipulations

·         Japan’s Enduring Value to Southeast Asia

·         A Response to “Americans, the NSA is Still Listening: Section 702 is Alive and Well”

·         The TPP is Back with a Vengeance

Foundation for Strategic Research (Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique)

·         The Causes of Peace: The Role of Deterrence

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         Beyond ‘Pro’ and ‘Anti’ Putin: Debating Russia Policies in France and Germany

·         Mixing Business with Europe: What Role for Companies on the Future of the EU

German Council on Foreign Relations (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e. V.)

·         In the Triple Threat to Tunisia’s Democracy, Corruption is King

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         India’s Response to the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative

·         Ukraine: Growing Political and Societal Instability

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·         Constrained Potential: A Characterisation of Mexican Microenterprises

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Turkey–U.S. Alliance: Between Past and Future

·         The U.S.–France Special Relationship after a Year of Trump

·         U.S. Trade Policy in the Asia-Pacific Region under President Trump: Implications for the European Union

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Aviation Security: TSA Uses Current Assumptions and Airport-Specific Data for Its Staffing Process and Monitors Passenger Wait Times Using Daily Operations Data GAO-18-236

·         Coast Guard Health Records: Timely Acquisition of New System Is Critical to Overcoming Challenges with Paper Process, GAO-18-59

·         Coast Guard Health Records: Timely Acquisition of New System Is Critical to Overcoming Challenges with Paper Process GAO-18-363T  [Testimony]

·         Federal Buildings: GSA Should Establish Goals and Performance Measures to Manage the Smart Buildings Program. GAO-18-200

·         Federal Criminal Restitution: Most Debt Is Outstanding and Oversight of Collections Could Be Improved GAO-18-203

·         Financial Services Regulations: Procedures for Reviews under Regulatory Flexibility Act Need to Be Enhanced GAO-18-256

·         Foreign Military Sales: DOD Should Take Additional Steps to Streamline Process for Assessing Potential Recovery of Certain Acquisition Costs GAO-18-242

·         Inter-American Organizations: U.S. Agencies Support Oversight Mechanisms but Could Enhance Their Monitoring of U.S. Assistance Agreements. GAO-18-219

·         Nuclear Weapons: NNSA Should Adopt Additional Best Practices to Better Manage Risk for Life Extension Programs GAO-18-129

Government of China

·         China's Arctic Policy [white paper]

Harvard Law School

·         National Security Journal, 2018, v.9, no. 1

o    What Judges Say and Do in Deciding National Security Cases: The Example of the State Secrets Privilege

o    Invisible Injuries: Concussive Effects and International Humanitarian Law

o    When Terrorists Govern: Protecting Civilians in Conflicts with State-Building Armed Groups

o    Doxfare: Politically Motivated Leaks and the Future of the Norm on Non-Intervention in the Era of Weaponized Information

o    A State of Complicity: How Russia’s Persistent and Public Denial of Syrian Battlefield Atrocities Violates International Law

Heritage Foundation

·         7 Reasons Earmarks Are a Very Bad Idea

·         2018 Index of Economic Freedom

·         Can’t Ignore Pressing National Security Issues

·         Economic Impact of U.S. Tax Reform

·         The Only Way Trump Can Improve U.S. Infrastructure

·         These 3 Changes Would Drastically Improve Our Immigration System

Hoover Institution

·         Some Thoughts On International Monetary Policy Coordination

Human Rights Watch

·         Locked Up Without Evidence: Abuses under Sri Lanka’s Prevention of Terrorism Act

Institute for Science and International Security

·         Evidence that the Yongbyon 5 Megawatt-Electric Reactor Remains Operational

·         Peddling Peril Index (PPI) for 2017

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         New Geopolitical Developments in the South Pacific: The Cases of Australia and New Zealand

Institute for the Study of War

·         Afghanistan Political Showdown between Ashraf Ghani and Mohammad Atta Noor

·         Erdogan Escalates against Iran to Protect Afrin Operation

·         Facing Reality in Syria

·         Iraqi Prime Minister’s Electoral Coalition Fractures, Signaling Change of Premier

·         Russia Maintains Airstrikes Despite Claims of Partial Withdrawal of Forces

·         Russia's Plan for Syria Collapses in Sochi

·         Turkey Escalates against Pro-Assad Forces to Protect Afrin Operation

·         Warning Update: Pro-Assad Coalition Set to Escalate in Southern Syria

Institute of Development Studies (IDS)

·         Gender and Intersecting Inequalities in Local Government in South Asia

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Conspiracy to Spy Novel: The Reza Zarrab Case and US-Turkey Relations

·         Services: A Key Element in Upgrading the EU-Turkey Customs Union?  

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Growing ASEAN-India Ties: Economic Opportunities for Singapore in India

·         Interpreting India’s ‘Act East’ Policy

·         Joint ESI-ISAS Conference Towards a Low Carbon Asia: The Challenges of Ensuring Efficient and Sustainable Energy

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         Jihadists Respond to Trump: “In al-Quds We Meet”

·         Prosecuting (Potential) Foreign Fighters: Legislative and Practical Challenges

International Crisis Group

·         Crisis Watch: Tracking Conflict Worldwide

·         Turkey’s Syrian Refugees: Defusing Metropolitan Tensions

·         Watch List 2018

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         The Humanitarian Crisis in Yemen: Beyond the Man-Made Disaster

·         Toward a New Gambia: Linking Peace and Development

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         Joint Pub 3-35, Deployment and Redeployment Operations, 10 January 2018

·         Joint Pub 3-59, Meteorological and Oceanographic Operations, 10 January 2018

Joint Special Operations University (JSOU)

·         Structural Violence and Relative Deprivation: Precursors to Collective Political Violence in Sierra Leone

Malwarebytes

·         Malwarebytes Cybercrime Tactics and Techniques: 2017 State of Malware Report

Migration Policy Institute

·         Designing Civic Education for Diverse Societies: Models, Tradeoffs,and Outcomes

·         Welcome to Work?  Legal Migration Pathways for Low-Skilled Workers

Mitchell Institute

·         Keeping A2/AD at Bay: The Imperative for Base Defense in the Western Pacific

National Academies Press

·         Annotated 2018 State of the Union

·         Guidance for Development and Management of Sustainable Enterprise Information Portals

·         Public Health Consequences of E-Cigarettes

National Security Archive

·         Preoccupations with West Germany’s Nuclear Weapons Potential Shaped Kennedy-Era Diplomacy

·         Scavenging for Intelligence: The U.S. Government’s Secret Search for Foreign Objects during the Cold War

Naval War College Press

·         Inspiring Innovation: Examining the Operational, Policy, and Technical Contributions Made by Vice Admiral Samuel L. Gravely Jr. and his Successors

Observer Research Foundation (ORF)

·         Space Crises in a Multipolar World: Lessons from a Simulation Exercise

Oxford Research Group

·         Defining Remote Warfare: Cyber

·         Falling Short of Security in Somalia

·         Nuclear Posture Review: Sliding Towards Nuclear War?

Pak Institute for Peace Studies (PIPS)

·         After Study Hours: Exploring the Madrassah Mindset

Peacekeeping Stability Operations Institute (PKSOI) 

·         Protection of Civilians Military Reference Guide, 2nd ed.

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         China Needs Better Credit Data to Help Consumers

·         Earmarked Revenues: How the European Union Can Learn from US Budgeting Experience

·         Fixing the KORUS FTA—Without Fireworks

Pew Research Center Journalism & Media

·         Sources Shared on Twitter: A Case Study on Immigration

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         Majorities Say Government Does Too Little for Older People, the Poor and the Middle Class

Policy Exchange

·         Immigration After Brexit

Policy Studies Organization

·         Global Security and Intelligence Studies, Fall/Winter 2017, v. 2, no. 2

o    Teaching the Millennial Intelligence Analyst

o    Teaching the Intelligence Collection Disciplines: The Effectiveness of Experiential Learning as a Pedagogical Technique

o    Peer Review Skill Development in Intelligence Education

o    Teaching Intelligence Analysis: An Academic and Practitioner Discussion

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         The Change of Power in Zimbabwe: Internal and International Implications

·         The EU’s External Border and the Brexit Negotiations

·         The European Union: Towards Trends in Global Trade

·         Exceptions Become the Rule: Internal Border Control Checks in the Schengen Area

PONARS Eurasia

·         History and Memory in Russia During the 100-Year Anniversary of the Great Revolution

·         The Technocratic Traps of Post-Soviet Reforms: Politics versus Policy

Rand

·         Defense Planning in a Time of Conflict: A Comparative Analysis of the2001–2014 Quadrennial Defense Reviews, and Implications for the Army

·         Defense Planning in a Time of Conflict: A Comparative Analysis of the2001–2014 Quadrennial Defense Reviews, and Implications for the Army —Executive Summary

·         Systems Confrontation and System Destruction Warfare: How the Chinese People's Liberation Army Seeks to Wage Modern Warfare

·         U.S. Military Capabilities and Forces for a Dangerous World:Rethinking the U.S. Approach to Force Planning

Refugees International

·         "I Am Only Looking for My Rights": Legal Employment Still Inaccessible for Refugees in Turkey  

Spearhead Research

·         The Population Bomb

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         January 30, 2018 38th Quarterly Report to Congress

Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse (TRAC)

·         Federal Criminal Environmental Prosecutions Continue to Fall

UK Ministry of Defence

·         Ministry of Defence: The Equipment Plan 2017 to 2027

UN Office of Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

·         Handbook on Children Recruited and Exploited  by Terrorist and Violent Extremist Groups:The Role of the Justice System 

Union of Concerned Scientists

·         China’s Nuclear Force: Modernizing from Behind

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Charting Sectarianism in the Syria War

·         Civil Society on Trial in Egypt: Revisiting the NGO Workers Case

·         Containing the Afrin Crisis: Turkey's Goals and Military Challenges

·         Deciphering the Palestinian Position Within the UN

·         The First U.S.-Qatar Strategic Dialogue

·         Foreign Fighters in Libya: Consequences for Africa and Europe

·         Hamas Failures in Gaza Are Changing Israel's Stance

·         Iran's Foreign Legion: The Impact of Shia Militias on U.S. Foreign Policy

·         New Palestinian and Egyptian Designations Highlight Iran and the Muslim Brotherhood

·         Nuclear Iran: A Glossary

·         Rolling Back Iran's Foreign Legion

·         Saudi-Chinese Rapprochement and Its Effect on Saudi-American Relations

·         Saudi Nuclear Talks: Risks and Limitations

·         The Source of Fake News in the Middle East

·         Turkey: A Partner in Crisis

·         The Upcoming Iraqi Elections: Military Coup Through Democracy

·         With or Without Putin, Israel Is Willing to Enforce Lebanon Redline  

Wilson Center

·         Africa: Year in Review 2017

·         Behind Mexico’s Spiraling Violence  

·         A Comparative Study of Mexico City and Washington, D.C.

·         Kennan Cable No. 30: Democracy in Ukraine: Are We There Yet?

·         Innovation Happens in Mexico. It Should and Could Happen More

·         Mexican Security Diagnosis and a Proposal to Eradicate Violence

·         More than Neighbors: New Developments in the Institutional Strengthening of Mexico’s Armed Forces in the Context of U.S.-Mexican Military Cooperation

·         New Crime, Old Solutions: The Reason Why Mexico is Violent Again

·         Why Did Homicides Increase So Much in 2017? What Should the Mexican Government Do About It?

World Bank

·         Global Economic Prospects, January 2018: Broad-Based Upturn, but for How Long?

·         Strengthening Post-Ebola Health Systems: From Response to Resilience in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone