Friday's Miscellany 02-16-2018

38 North

·        The Myth of North Korea, the USS Pueblo, and Nuclear War

AccessNow

·        Encryption in the U.S.: Crypto Colloquium Outcomes Report

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·        Contesting the Russia Collusion and the 25thAmendment: The Psychodynamics of a ‘Powerful’ Man at the White House

American Enterprise Institute

·        Mitigating Nonmilitary Vulnerabilities of Latvia

·        Possible Scenarios of Russian Intervention in Latvia

Arctic Institute

·        Russia’s Arctic Strategy: Aimed at Conflict or Cooperation? (Part I)

·        Russia’s Arctic Strategy: Military and Security (Part II)

ASUA Institute of Land Warfare

·        Modernization for Industrial Age U.S. Army Installations

·        The Sergeants Major of the Army: On Leadership and the Profession of Arms (2018)

·        Walks in the Midst of Trouble: Allied Patrols in War Zone C, October 1966

Atlantic Council

·        Unlocking US-India Trade

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·        BEARing Back: Russia’s Military Power in the Indo-Asia-Pacific Under Vladimir Putin

·        Understanding the China’s One Belt, One Road Initiative in Africa and the Middle East

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·        Bank Lending and Interest on Excess Reserves

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·        Bahrain’s Economy: Oil Prices, Economic Diversification, Saudi Support, and Political Uncertainties

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·        Germany’s Insufficient Battle Against Anti-Semitism

·        How Israel Should Handle Gaza’s “Humanitarian Disaster”

·        Jerusalem, Israel’s Capital, Is a Peaceful City

·        Jewish Organizations and Populist Right-Wing Parties in Europe: Engage or Ostracize?

·        Mahmoud Abbas’s Speech: Who Was the Real Audience?

·        Narendra Modi’s Visit to Ramallah

·        The Return of (Great Power) History

·        Russia and the Israeli-Syrian-Iranian Confrontation

·        Turkey and Iran’s Skin-Deep Friendship

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·        Defending Digital Democracy Releases New Playbooks for States to Counter Election Cyberattacks and Information Operations

·        Election Cyber Incident Communications Coordination Guide

·        Election Cyber Incident Communications Plan Template

·        State and Local Election Cybersecurity Playbook

Beyond the Parallel

·        North Korean Special Operations Forces:Hovercraft Bases (Part III)

Bipartisan Policy Center

·        Budgeting for Medical Countermeasures

Bonn International Center for Conversion (BICC)

·        Regional Migration Governance: Contributions to a Sustainable International Migration Architecture

Brookings

·        A New Kingdom of Saud?

Bruegel

·        Tales from a Crisis: Diverging Narratives of the Euro Area

Canadian Global Affairs Institute

·        Avoiding Rudeness in Vienna: The Options for Canada Engaging Austria’s New Coalition Government

·        A Basic Primer on Naval Shipbuilding

·        Canada–United States Trade Relations: Not Just NAFTA

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·        India’s Universal Basic Income: Bedeviled by the Details

CATO Institute

·        A New Estimate of the Cost of Reversing DACA

Center for American Progress

·        Election Security in All 50 States

Center for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies

·        Chasing the Ghosts: Investigating the Attribution of Transnational Cyber Attacks

·        Operation Olive Branch: A Political-Military Assessment

Center for Global Development

·        Can Development Assistance Deter Emigration?

·        Can Regular Migration Channels Reduce Irregular Migration? Lessons for Europe from the United States

·        Deterring Emigration with Foreign Aid: An Overview of Evidence from Low-Income Countries

Center for Security Studies, Georgetown University

·        2018 National Security Critical Issues Task Force (NSCITF) Report on Digital Influencing for CVE

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·        Countering Adversary Threats to Democratic Institutions

·        Issues & Insights, v. 18, CR3 - Myanmar Shows Progress on Nonproliferation Despite Challenges

·        Issues & Insights, v. 18, CR2 -Addressing Weaknesses in the Trilateral Relationship

·        Oversight and Accountability in U.S. Security Sector Assistance

·        PacNet #13 - Is the “Indo-Pacific” Construct Trump’s Pivot to Asia Policy?

·        The Revolution in Civil-Military Affairs

Center for Strategic Studies (CSS)

·        Russian Analytical Digest, No. 213: 2017 in Review, Perspectives for2018

Centers for Disease Control (CDC)

·        Cumulative Number of Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza Hospitalizations, FluSurv-NET, 2010-2017 Seasons

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·        Advancing Environmental Justice in a Post-Brexit United Kingdom

·        How Does It Feel to Be a Third Country? The Consequences of Brexit for Financial Market Law

·        A National Data Strategy for Canada: Key Elements and Policy Considerations

Chatham House

·        Anglo-Japanese Cooperation in an Era of Growing Nationalism and Weakening Globalization

China Institute of International Studies

·        Japan, the Indo-Pacific, and the “Quad”

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·        Iraq’s Shi’a: A House Divided

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

·        CTC Sentinel, February  2018, v. 11, no. 2

o   How al-Qa`ida Lost Control of its Syrian Affiliate: The Inside Story

o   A View from the CT Foxhole: Neil Basu, Senior National Coordinator for Counterterrorism Policing in the United Kingdom

o   Can the UAE and its Security Forces Avoid a Wrong Turn in Yemen?

o   Letters from Home: Hezbollah Mothers and the Culture of Martyrdom

o   Beyond the Conflict Zone: U.S. HSI Cooperation with Europol

Congress. House. Armed Services Committee

·        Air Force Readiness Posture

·        Evolution, Transformation, and Sustainment: A Review and Assessment of the Fiscal Year 2019 Budget Request for U.S. Special Operations Forces and Command

·        The Military Posture and Security Challenges in the Indo-Asia-Pacific Region

·        Strategic Competition with China

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·        Examining the Impact of Health Care Consolidation

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·        Advancing U.S. Interests Through the Organization of American States

·        Israel, the Palestinians, and the Administration’s Peace Plan

·        Modernizing Food Aid: Improving Effectiveness and Saving Lives

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·        Congressional Task Force on Election Security 

·        Industry Views of the Chemical FacilityAnti-Terrorism Standards Program

Congress. House. Judiciary Committee

·        The Effect of Sanctuary City Policies on the Ability to Combat the Opioid Epidemic

Congress. House. Oversight & Government Reform Committee

·        Game Changers: Artificial Intelligence Part I

Congress. House. Science, Space, & Technology Committee

·        Beyond Bitcoin: Emerging Applications for Blockchain Technology

·        Mentoring, Training, and Apprenticeships for STEM Education and Careers

Congress. House. Transportation & Infrastructure Committee

·        Oversight of Positive Train Control Implementation in the United States

Congress. Senate. Armed Services Committee

·        Current Readiness of U.S. Forces

·        Department of Defense’s Role in Protecting Democratic Elections

·        Military and Civilian Personnel Programs and Military Family Readiness

·        United States Northern Command and United States Southern Command

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

·        Fueling an Epidemic: Exposing the Financial Ties Between Opioid Manufacturers and Third Party Advocacy Groups

Congress. Senate. Select Committee on Intelligence

·        Worldwide Threats Hearing

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·        Estimating and Projecting Potential Output Using CBO’s Forecasting Growth Model

Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

·        Adapting International Trade Institutions to New Realities

·        A Venezuelan Refugee Crisis

Department of Defense (DOD)

·        DoD Releases Fiscal Year 2019 Budget Proposal

·        DoD Retention Policy for Non-Deployable Service Members

Department of Defense Office of Inspector General

·        DODIG 2018-067 DoD’s Response to the Quality of Care Elements in the 2014 Military Health System Review

·        DODIG-2018-072 Defense Commissary Agency’s Purchases of Fresh Produce for Japan and South Korea

·        DODIG-2018-073 Completeness and Accuracy of U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Improper Payment Estimates

·        DODIG-2018-074 U.S. Navy’s Oversight and Administration of the Base Support Contracts in Bahrain

Department of Homeland Security Office of Inspector General

·        OIG-18-50 TSA SSI Program Office’s Identification and Redaction of Sensitive Security Information

Department of Justice (DOJ)

·        Attorney General Sessions Delivers Remarks on the Department of Justice’s Efforts to Combat Drug Trafficking and End theOpioid Crisis

Department of the Army

·        GTA 17‐02‐019 Visual Signals for Armor Fighting Vehicles  (Combined Arms)

Director of National Intelligence (DNI)

·        2018 Worldwide Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community

·        Annual Threat Assessment Opening Statement

East West Center

·        India's Relations with ASEAN: Posture Versus Reality

Egmont Institute

·        Quest for a Regional Order in the Middle East

Elliot School of International Affairs - Central Asia Program

·        Culture and Islam in Late Soviet Central Asia

European Institute of the Mediterranean

·        The Geopolitics of Violent Extremism: The Case of Sinai

European Leadership Network (ELN)

·        Envisioning a Russia-NATO Conflict:Implications for Deterrence Stability

European Policy Centre

·        How to Govern Europe Better: Reflections on Reform of the European Parliament, Commission and Council

·        Tailor-Made Cooperation? Armenia’s New Partnership Agreement with the EU

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

·        Donbas is Becoming a No-man’s Land: Pressures to Freeze the Status Quo are Rising

·        Taiwan’s Role in East Asian Security:Overlooked Actor in a Pivotal Position

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·        Can Americans Count to Three?: The Anglo-Protestant Basis of U.S. Foreign Policy

·        The Trouble with Optimism: Syria in the Rear-View Mirror

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·        The Economics of Non-Tariff Measures: A Primer

·        How Much Market Access? A Case study of Jordan’s Exports to the EU

·        Shared-use Mining Infrastructure: Why It Matters and How to Achieve It

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·        Cybersecurity in the Energy Sector: a Comparative Analysis between Europe and the United States

·        Democracy in Asia: Models, Trends and Geopolitical Implications

·        Saving Transatlantic Cooperation and the Iran Nuclear Deal. A View from Europe and the United States

German Council on Foreign Relations (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e. V.)

·        Mind the Gap: How France and Germany Can Spearhead Joint Foreign Policy Initiatives Now

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·        Large-Scale Farms and Smallholders: Evidence from Zambia

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·        Turkey–EU Relations: Dysfunctional Framework,Status Anxiety

Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime

·        The Anti-Human Smuggling Business and Libya’s Political End Game

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·        Critical Infrastructure Protection: Additional Actions Are Essential for Assessing Cybersecurity Framework Adoption GAO-18-211  

·        Defense Acquisition Workforce: Opportunities Exist to Improve Practices for Developing Program Managers   GAO-18-217  

·        Federal Prisons: Information on Inmates with Serious Mental Illness and Strategies to Reduce Recidivism  GAO-18-182

·        Inter-American Organizations: U.S. Share of Assessed Contributions and U.S. Agencies' Efforts to Monitor Assistance Agreements [testimony]  GAO-18-357T

·        Understanding the Financial Report of the United States Government   GAO-18-239SP

Henry Jackson Society

·        Russia’s Economic Prospects – Modernisation or Stagnation?

·        Terror Overseas: Understanding The GCC Counter Extremism and Counter Terrorism Trends

Heritage Foundation

·        The Looming National Security Crisis: Young Americans Unable to Serve in the Military

Human Rights Watch

·        Ethnicity, Discrimination, and Other Red Lines

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·        Africa Watch: February 15, 2016

o   Burundi:  Referendum on Autocracy?

o   Liberia’s Former President Sirleaf Awarded Ibrahim Prize

Institute for Science and International Security

·        On-Going Monitoring of Activities at theYongbyon Nuclear Site

Institute for Security & Development Policy

·        Breaking Deadlock on the Korean Peninsula?  Four Perspectives

Institute for Security Studies (ISS)

·        Republic of Congo: From Stalled Transition to Intractable Crises

Institute for the Study of War

·        The al Qaeda Blind Spot for the U.S. Approach to Turkey

·        America's Global Competitions: The Gray Zone in Context

·        Electoral Shifts Likely Following Deadline Extension for Candidates

·        Russian Air Power Shapes Strategic Balance in Northern Syria

·        U.S. Strategy in Syria is Failing

Institute of Development Studies (IDS)

·        Youth Engagement in the Realm of Local Governance: Opportunities for Peace?

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·        Report on Dual-use Technologies

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·        Tripura Assembly Election: Stiff Challenge for the Left from the Bharatiya Janata Party

Intelligence and National Security Alliance

·        Improving Information Sharing on Suspected Financial Fraud

International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR)

·        ISIS And Terrorism In Europe: What Next?

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·        Central Bank Reserve Management and International Financial Stability—Some Post-Crisis Reflections

·        Monetary Policy and Models of Currency Demand

·        Portfolio Inflows Eclipsing Banking Inflows:Alternative Facts?

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·        India: The Modi Factor

·        Russia 2018: Predictable Elections, Uncertain Future

Jamestown Foundation

·        China Brief, v. 18, no. 2, February 13, 2018

o   Greying China Strains Social Safety Net, Healthcare System

o   The Xi Jinping Faction Dominates Regional Appointments After the 19th Party Congress

o   The United Front Work Department in Action Abroad: A Profile of The Council for the Promotion of the Peaceful Reunification of China

o   Shipping Finance: China’s New Tool in Becoming a Global Maritime Power

o   Beyond Bitcoin: Could China Embrace Blockchain for Defense and Security Applications?

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·        Joint Pub  3-33, Joint Task Force Headquarters, 31 January 2018

National Academies Press

·        Improving the Resilience of Transit Systems Threatened by Natural Disasters

o   Volume 1: A Guide

o   Volume 2:Research Overview

o   Volume 3: Literature Review and Case Studies

National Cyber Security Centre (UK)

·        Active Cyber Defence - One Year On  

National Security Archive

·        CIA Declassifies More of "Zendebad, Shah!" – Internal Study of 1953 Iran Coup

NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence

·        Robotrolling 2018, Issue 1

Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI)

·        Building a Safe, Secure, and  Credible NATO Nuclear Posture

Observer Research Foundation

·        Understanding Sino-Indian Border Issues: An Analysis of Incidents Reported in the Indian Media     

Pew Research Center

·        Commercial Voter Files and the Study of U.S.Politics

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·        Majorities Express Favorable Opinions of Several Federal Agencies, Including the FBI

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·        Denmark Increases Its Contribution to the Deterrence of Russia

·        Lithuania: Ukraine’s Advocate in the International Arena

·        Results of the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review

·        Ukraine: Naftohaz Restructuring in Question

·        WTO Negotiations: The Crisis and a Path Forward

PONARS Eurasia

·        Why Trump’s Bid to Improve U.S.-Russian Relations Backfired in Congress

Rand

·        Focus on Cybersecurity

·        Improving the Understanding of Special Operations

·        PLA Military Modernization: Drivers, Force Restructuring, and Implications  

·        PLA Rocket Force Modernization and China’s Military Reforms

·        Supporting Military and Veteran Caregivers from All Eras

·        U.S. Presence and the Incidence of Conflict

·        United States Policy Toward the Gaza Strip

Republic of Iraq General Secretariat for the Council of Ministers

·        Iraq Reconstruction & Investment: Part 1- Reconstruction and Development Framework  

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·        Science, Technology and Security Research:The Potential Role of Think Tanks like RSIS

UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA)

·        2017 Afghanistan Protection of Civilians inArmed Conflict Annual Report  

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·        Redefining Masculinity in Afghanistan

University of Pennsylvania

·        2017 Global Go To Think Tank Index Report

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·        Corruption Remains the Second Insurgency of Iraq

·        Crossing Redlines: Escalation Dynamics in Syria

·        How Muslims Now View a Pilgrimage to Jerusalem

·        How will Syria’s Kurds Maintain Their Authority?

·        Israel, the Palestinians, and the Administration's Peace Plan

·        Israel Signaling a Heavy Price for Iranian 'Entrenchment' in Syria

·        The Netanyahu Probe and the Court of Public Opinion

·        Perfect Tense: Comparing Israel’s Ties with Jordan and Turkey

·        Rebuilding Iraq: The U.S.-Gulf Role

·        Turkey: A Partner in Crisis

·        The United Arab Emirates: Turkey’s New Rival

White House

·        Legislative Outline for Rebuilding Infrastructure in America

Wilson Center

·        Report: Foreign Fighters in Libya

·        UN Report on ISIS and Al Qaeda

World Economic Forum

·        Electric Vehicles for Smarter Cities: The Future of Energy and Mobility