Friday's Miscellany 01-05-2018

38 North

·         Kim Jong Un’s 2018 New Year’s Speech: Self-Confidence After a Tough Year

·         Nine Reasons Why Kim Jong Un’s South Korea Initiative is More Than Just a Tactic

·         North Korea Likely Preparing for New Rocket Engine Test at Sohae

Air Force Research Institute (AFRI)

·         Is Cyber Deterrence Possible?

Air Power Development Centre, Royal Australian Air Force

·         Air Force Approach to Personnel Capability Support

·         Shoot Don’t Shoot: Minimizing the Risk of Catastrophic Error Through High Consequence Decision-Making

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Understanding the Foreign Policy of Ethiopia Towards the Gulf Countries

Army University Press

·         Military Review, January-February 2018,v. 98, no. 1

o    Geoeconomics

o    Human Terrain System is Dead, Long Live … What? Building and Sustaining Military Cul­tural Competence in the Aftermath of the Human Terrain System

o    The Neglected Role of Brideprice in Catalyzing Instability and Violent Conflict

o    The Pagonis Effect: A Doctrinal Future for the Support Area Command Post

o    Prospective Strategy for Baltic Defense: The Russian Public and War Termination in the Baltic States

o    Fixing Army Doctrine: A Network Approach

o    An Alliance Divided? Five Factors That Could Fracture NATO

o    Readiness and Interoperability in Operation Atlantic Resolve

o    The Army’s Role in the Future Pacific Theater

o    Why Alaska and the Arctic are Critical to the National Security of the United States

o    Cyber is the New Air: Domain Superiority in the Megacity

o    Specialist Five James C. McCloughan - Medal of Honor Recipient

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         President Trump’s State Visit and Perceptions of Neighboring Countries: The Effects of the ROK-U.S. Summit and Its Implications

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Putting the U.S. Shale Revolution in Perspective for an Audience from China

·         Trump's Disdain for Science

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         The 2018 Winter Olympics and North Korea

·         Betting on the Wrong Horse? US, and Iranian Hardliners, Spin Anti-Government Protests

·         Demonstrations in Iran Reflect the Strength of US Alliances

·         How Iran Became the Dominant Power in the Middle East

·         Iranian Protests Raise Tricky Questions for US and Saudi Policymakers

·         Jerusalem Is Israel’s Capital – and That’s a Fact

·         Protests in Iran: Social Challenges vs. Foreign Policy Ambitions

Booz Allen Hamilton

·         Top 9 Cybersecurity Trends for 2018

Brennan Center for Justice

·         Strengthening Presidential Ethics Law

Brookings

·         How Trump and Disruption Politics May Impact Latin American Elections in 2018

·         The New Geopolitics of Central Asia: China Vies for Influence in Russia’s Backyard: What Will It Mean for Kazakhstan?

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Iran’s Cyber Threat: Espionage, Sabotage, and Revenge

CATO Institute

·         Political Connections and the Informativeness of Insider Trades

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM)

·         Beyond Signposting. New Approach to Working with Families of Radicalised Youth and Cooperating with National Authorities

·         The Role of Schools in Tackling the Problem of Radicalisation in Germany

Center for Security Policy

·         HAMAS, CAIR & the Muslim Brotherhood

Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS)

·         The Crisis in Iran: A Broader Perspective

·         Global Development Monitor 2017

·         Issues & Insights, v. 18, no. 1 - A Realistic Way Forward for the U.S.-China Strategic Nuclear Relationship

·         PacNet #1 - President Trump’s National Security Strategy: Implications for the U.S.-Philippines Alliance

Center for the Study of the Drones

·         Drone Year in Review: 2017

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Brexit and International Environmental Law

·         Why the Nagoya Protocol to the CBD Matters to Science and Industry in Canada and the United States

Clingendael Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Five Reasons Why the Iran Nuclear Deal Has to Go

Congress. House. Armed Services Committee

·         Amphibious Warfare Readiness & Training (Interoperability, Shortfalls, and the Way Ahead)

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Terror Threat Snapshot, January 2018

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Estimated Deficits and Debt Under the Conference Agreement of H.R. 1

Council on Foreign Relations

·         Domestic Constraints on South Korean Foreign Policy

·         Global Monetary Policy Tracker

Danish Institute for International Studies (Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier)

·         Armed Groups Are Here to Stay

·         Policing Practices in a Global Perspective

·         Urban Insecurity, Migrants and Political Authority

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2018-058 Progress of U.S. and Coalition Efforts to Train, Advise, and Assist the Afghan Air Force

Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

·         OIG-18- 34 DHS' Implementation of the DATA Act

Department of State

·         World Military Expenditures and Arms Transfers 2017

East West Center

·         US-Japan Cooperation in Disaster Recovery and Regional Development

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Consolidated Assessment Ratings

·         Mexico's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and the Financing of Terrorism and Proliferation

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         The FISA Section 702 Saga: With Section 702 on the Brink of Expiring,Where Do Things Go From Here?

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         The Energy Transition and the Challenge of Critical Raw Materials

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         International Climate Policy Leadership after COP23

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Atlanticist and “Post-Atlanticist” Wishful Thinking

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Offshore Seismic Surveys: Additional Guidance Needed to Help Ensure Timely Reviews GAO-18-60

Heritage Foundation

·         Federal Cyber Breaches in 2017

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         Post Doklam, India Needs to Watch China’s Bullish Economics Led Cultural Embrace of South Asia 

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Assessing Measures to Mitigate the Effects of an Emerging Infectious Disease: 27 April 2016 Biological Medical Defense Conference, Munich, GERMANY

·         Impact of Emerging Infectious Diseases on Military Operations: 27April 2016 Biological Medical Defense Conference, Munich, GERMANY

·         Live-Site UXO Classification Demonstrations: A Retrospective Summary (Poster)

·         UXO Burial Prediction Fidelity: A Summary

·         U.S.–African Partnerships: Advancing Common Interests

Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS)

·         Case for Considering Information and Communications Technology as a Critical Component of Future Postconflict Operations

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         North East and the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC)

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Blocking of American Aid to Pakistan: A Great Asian Divide in the Offing?

·         China’s ‘New Era’ Vision: Potential for Big-power Conflicts in Asia

·         Development of Migrant Businesses in Saudi Arabia: Towards an Economic Sociology of Gulf Migration

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Credit Booms—Is China Different?

·         Foreign Banks and Credit Dynamics in CESEE [Central, Eastern and Southeastern European]

·         Optimism, Pessimism, and Short-Term Fluctuations

·         Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         Joint Pub 4-02, Joint Health Services, 11 December 2017

Marine Corps University Press

·         Marine Corps University Journal, Fall 2017, v. 8, no. 2

o    Congress and the Marine Corps: An Enduring Partnership

o    Winning the War and Winning the Peace: Reconciling Occupation Law and the Small Wars Manual

o    Applying Rapid Acquisition Policy Lessons for Defense Innovation

o    White Warships and Little Blue Men: The Looming “Short, Sharp War” in the East China Sea over the Senkakus

o    Insurgency and Counterinsurgency in the Twenty-first Century: No Longer Just an Academic Endeavor

Migration Policy Institute

·         New Opportunities?  ESSA and Its Implications for Dual Language Learners and ECEC Workforce Development

MITRE

·         DevOps for Federal Acquisition

National Academies Press

·         Airport Passenger Screening Using Millimeter Wave Machines: Compliance with Guidelines

·         Federal Statistics, Multiple Data Sources, and Privacy Protection:Next Steps

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors

·         Towards a more democratic European Union

NSI

·         Space and U.S. Deterrence

Observer Research Foundation

·         Fall of ISIS and its Implications for South Asia

·         India’s  Joint Doctrine: A Lost Opportunity

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Do Governments Drive Global Trade Imbalances?

Pew Research Center Internet & Technology

·         Crossing the Line: What Counts as Online Harassment?

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         Between Bonn and Katowice: The Challenges in Global Climate Negotiations

·         China-South Korea Relations: An Attempt to Break the Deadlock

·         Poland on the UN Security Council

Rand

·         Assessing Bid Protests of U.S. Department of Defense Procurements: Identifying Issues, Trends, and Drivers

·         Gaming Space: A Game-Theoretic Methodology for Assessing the Deterrent Value of Space Control Options

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         Counter Terrorist Trends and Analysis, January 2018, v. 10, no. 1   

o    Annual Threat Assessment

o    Global Threat Forecast

o    Southeast Asia

o    South Asia

o    China

o    ‘Islamic State’ after the Fall of Mosul and Raqqa

Small Wars Journal

·         Afghanistan, Continued

·         Cross-Domain Network Engagement: Geopolitical Competitors, Cross-domain Considerations and Multi-Domain Battle

·         Expanding the Menu: The Case for CYBERSOC

·         Plutocratic Insurgency Note No. 8: Rotten at the Core - Apple Incorporated’s Stateless Tax Avoidance Strategies & Subsequent Cash Hoard

·         Protests in Iran: Characteristics, Causes, and Policy Ramifications

·         The Role of Offset Strategies in Restoring Conventional Deterrence

·         Shifts in the Demographic Profile of Hezbollah’s Combat Fatalities:What Do They Mean?

Spearhead Research

·         Turkish Tragedy – Rise and Fall of Turkish Armed Forces

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

·         SIPRI Top 100 Arms Producing and Military Services Companies, 2016

Swisspeace

·         Contesting the UN Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights from Below

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         South Sudan’s Renewable Energy Potential: A Building Block for Peace

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Iran's Coercive Apparatus: Capacity and Desire

·         Iran Protests: Mild Arab Official Reactions, Strong Public Ire at Iran

·         Is There a Coherent EU Policy Towards the Iranian Crisis?

·         Oil and the Constitution: Kurdistan vs. Baghdad

·         Protests in Iran: Why? What Impact? How Should the U.S. Respond?

·         Provinces Lead the Center in Iran's Protests

·         Terrorists, Not Kharijites

·         What Caused the KRG Miscalculation on the Independence Referendum?

World Bank

·         Bankers without Borders