Friday's Miscellany 01/12/2018

38 North

·        Is the US Preparing for Preventive War? Views from North Korea

·        North Korea and Cyber Catastrophe—Don’t Hold Your Breath

·        Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site: Significant Tunneling Underway at the West Portal

American Enterprise Institute

·        Private Data, Not Private Firms: The Real Issues in Chinese Investment

Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

·        Medical Surveillance Monthly Report, December 2017, v. 4, no. 12

o   Insomnia and Motor Vehicle Accident–related Injuries, Active Component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2007–2016

o   Seizures Among Active Component Service Members, U.S. Armed Forces, 2007–2016

o   Brief Report: Prevalence of Hepatitis B and C Virus Infections in U.S. Air Force Basic Military Trainees Who Donated Blood, 2013–2016

o   Fatigue and Related Comorbidities, Active Component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2007–2016

ASUA Institute of Land Warfare

·        Importance of Land Warfare: This Kind of War Redux

Atlantic Council

·        Asian Energy Transition: Moving the Oil Market One Step Closer to Peak Demand

·        Energy: Driving Force Behind Increasing Female Participation in the Gulf

·        Renewable Energy in the Middle East

·        Shaping Iraq’s Oil and Gas Future

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·        A Primer on Gross Receipts Taxes

·        Putting the U.S.Shale Revolution in Perspective for an Audience from China

·        Saudi Arabia Gloats Over Iran Unrest, Prepares For Anti-Government Protests

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·        Hybridization of Domestic Order-Making in the Contemporary MENA Region

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·        Breaking the Syrian Stalemate

·        Egypt’s Nuclear Deal with Russia

·        Securing a Jewish Future in the West Bank Following Trump’s Jerusalem Declaration

·        Trump’s Security Strategy: Its Messages for Turkey

·        US-Saudi Nuclear Talks: A Middle East Barometer?

·        The US Should Arm Iranian Protesters

Bipartisan Policy Center

·        A Roadmap for a DACA Deal

Brookings

·        The Brexit Options, Explained

·        How Can Summer Jobs Reduce Crime Among Youth?

·        A Policy at Peace with Itself: Antitrust Remedies for Our Concentrated, Uncompetitive Economy

·        Trump’s Tweet about Pakistan, Explained

·        Why Sessions is Wrong to Reverse Federal Marijuana Policy

Bruegel

·        Bank Liquidation in the European Union: Clarification Needed  

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·        The Hawaiian Missile Crisis: A Failure of Emergency Preparedness

·        Implementing Strong, Secure, Engaged: The Challenges Ahead

·        Reassessing Canadian Trade in Asia

CATO Institute

·        Unwelcome Guests?The Effects of Refugees on the Educational Outcomes of Incumbent Students

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM)

·        Turkey´s Fight Against Youth Radicalisation: Small Steps On a Long Path

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·        The Crisis in Iran: What Now?

·        Disruptors, Innovators, and Thieves: Assessing Innovation in China’s Digital Economy

·        Iraq After ISIS:The Other Half of Victory

·        PacNet #4 - An Olympic Window for Korean Nuclear De-Escalation

·        PacNet #3 - Kim Jong Un's New Year's Resolution: What It Means

·        PacNet #2 - US NSS 2017 – Through the Nuclear Prism

·        Rethinking Cybersecurity: Strategy, Mass Effect, and States

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·        The Biggest Brexit Boon for Germany? Migration

·        Nord Stream 2:More Hot Air Than Gas?

·        Trump and the Iran Deal: Not Yet the Nuclear Option?

Chatham House

·        Changing the Global Perception on Drugs

·        Cybersecurity of Nuclear Weapons Systems: Threats, Vulnerabilities and Consequences

Chicago Council on Global Affairs

·        China’s Maritime Challenge in the South China Sea: Options for Us Responses

College of Europe

·        US Climate Politics in the Trump Era: Options for EU Engagement

Congress. House. Armed Services Committee

·        China’s Pursuit of Emerging and Exponential Technologies

·        Department of Defense Update on the Financial Improvement and Audit Remediation (FIAR) Plan

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·        DOE Modernization:Advancing DOE’s Mission for National, Economic, and Energy Security of the United States

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·        Sanctions and Financial Pressure: Major National Security Tools

·        Upcoming Elections in the Western Hemisphere: Implications for U.S. Policy

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·        On the Line:Border Security from an Agent and Officer Perspective

Congress. House. Problem Solvers Caucus Infrastructure Working Group

·        Rebuilding America's Infrastructure  

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·        Attacks on U.S.Diplomats in Cuba: Response and Oversight

·        Putin’s Asymmetrical Assault on Democracy in Russia and Europe: Implications for U.S. National Security

o   Press release

o   Committee Print - S. Prt. 115-21

·        U.S. Policy in Syria Post-ISIS

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·        The 2018 Outlook for Navy Shipbuilding

·        Estimating the Costs of Proposals Affecting Health Insurance Coverage

·        Expired and Expiring Authorizations of Appropriations

·        An Overview of CBO’s Estimates of Federal Subsidies for Health Insurance for People Under Age65: 2017 to 2027

Council on Foreign Relations

·        Developing U.S.-ROK-ASEAN Cooperation

·        The Islamic Republic’s Power Centers

Department of Homeland Security Inspector General

·        OIG-18-32 Concerns About ICE Detainee Treatment and Care at Detention Facilities

·        OIG-18-34 DHS’ Implementation of the DATA Act

·        OIG 18-36 ICE Faces Challenges to Screen Aliens Who May Be Known or Suspected Terrorists (Redacted)

Department of Homeland Security Office of Immigration Statistics

·        2016 Yearbook of Immigration Statistics

East West Center

·        Japan and the UK as Strategic Partners After Brexit

·        UK-Japan Cooperation in Preserving the Liberal Order

·        Women20 for theG20: 2017 Inaugural Asia-Pacific Dialogue

Egmont Institute

·        Cyber-Diplomacy:The Making of an International Society in the Digital Age

European Parliament

·        Ten issues to Watch in 2018

·        What Next After the U.S. Withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership?

European Policy Centre

·        En Marchel' Europe? - A Strategy to Implement Democratic Conventions

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·        Financing of Recruitment for Terrorist Purposes

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

·        Cancelling Brexit:Possible Theoretically, but Difficult Politically

·        China-Russia Security Cooperation: Geopolitical Signalling with Limits

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·        Systemic Crisis in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq

Foundation for Strategic Research (Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique)

·        Iran’s Rising Strategic Foothold in Syria

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·        US Energy and Environmental Policies. From Obama to Trump. Continuities and Divergences

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·        International Climate Policy Leadership after COP23: The EU Must Resume Its Leading Role, But Cannot Do So Alone  

·        Israel: The Rise of “Bad Civil Society”: Nationalist Civil Society Organizations and the Politics of Delegitimization

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·        Beyond European Versus Transatlantic Defense

·        The Necessity and Impossibility of “Strategic Autonomy”

·        Online Information Laundering: The Role of Social Media

Government Accountability Office (GAO) 

·        Bureau of Prisons: Better Planning and Evaluation Could Help Ensure Effective Use of Retention Incentives GAO-18-147

·        Defense Budget: Obligations of Overseas Contingency Operations Funding for Operation and Maintenance Base Requirements GAO-18-202R  

·        Information Technology: Agencies Need to Involve Chief Information Officers in Reviewing Billions of Dollars in Acquisitions GAO-18-42

·        National Security: Ongoing Review of the Military Selective Service Process Could Benefit from Additional Information GAO-18-226   

·        Nuclear Security: CBP Needs to Take Action to Ensure Imported Radiological Material Is Properly Licensed GAO-18-214

·        Telecommunications: FCC Should Improve Monitoring of Industry Efforts to Strengthen Wireless Network Resiliency GAO-18-198

·        VA Facility Security: Policy Review and Improved Oversight Strategy Needed. GAO-18-201

Hudson Institute

·        Maritime Strategy in a New Era of Great Power Competition

Human Rights Watch

·        Dark Side: Secret Origins of Evidence in US Criminal Cases

·        “The Next One to Die”: State Security Force and Renamo Abuses in Mozambique

·        “No Choice but to Deny Who I Am”: Violence and Discrimination against LGBT People in Ghana

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·        Africa Watch, January 11, 2018

o   Angola: Real Change or More of the Same?

o   New Round of Deadly Protests in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Institute for International Policy Studies (IIPS)

·        The Trump Administration and Japan: Challenges and Visions for Japan's Foreign andSecurity Policy in the New Era

Institute for Security Studies

·        South African Crime Quarterly no. 62

Institute for Social Policy and Understanding (ISPU)

·        Muslim American Experience Bibliography

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·        Game Changer – Cyber Security in the Naval Domain

·        Towards IntegratedC4I – NATO Experience in Building C4I Systems

Institute for the Study of War

·        Turkey Attempts to Block Russian-led Push in Western Syria

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·        Economic Nationalism and the Post-Global Future

·        Four Years After:The "Long March" of Justice-Sector Reforms in Ukraine

·        Infrastructure-led Growth: Maharashtra – India’s Engine of Development

·        Israel, Diaspora Jews and the Anti-Semites

·        Jordan-Israel Tensions Threaten to Derail Water-Sharing Project

·        Surviving the End of US Hegemony

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·        The Leftist Alliance Victory in Nepal: Implications for Domestic and Foreign Policies

·        Rajnikanth’s Entry into Party Politics: Implications for Tamil Nadu

·        The Year Gone By:The Old Order, Globalisation and the New Era

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism

·        Bringing (Foreign) Terrorist Fighters to Justice in a Post-ISIS Landscape Part II: Prosecution by Foreign National Courts

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·        Investment in Brazil: From Crisis to Recovery

·        Regulatory Cycles: Revisiting the Political Economy of Financial Crises

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·        “Mind Hacking”:Information Warfare in the Cyber Age

Jamestown Foundation

·        China Brief, v. 18, no. 1, January 2, 2018

o   What is “Xiconomics”

o   China’s Evolving Nuclear Strategy: Will China Drop “No First Use?

o   CPEC: “Iron Brothers,” Unequal Partners

o   The PLA Accelerates Modernization Plans

·        Terrorism Monitor, January 15, 2017, v. 16, no. 1

o   Burkina Faso: Mali Militants Claim Attack

o   Party for Free Life in Kurdistan: The PKK’s Iranian Wing Bides Its Time

o   A One-Armed IS Warlord and the Problem of Militant Returnees in Georgia

o   Egypt Looks for  Security Answers as Its War on Terrorism Moves to the Desert Oases

Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Policy and Research

·        Estimating the Effects of Law Enforcement and Public Health Intervention Intended to Reduce Gun Violence in Baltimore

MITRE

·        Planning & Management Methods for Migration to a Cloud Environment

National Academies of Science

·        Airport Passenger Screening Using Millimeter Wave Machines: Compliance with Guidelines

·        Guidance for Planning, Design, and Operations of Airport Communications Centers

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

·        Jihadist Terrorist Plots in the United States

National Endowment for Democracy

·        “Sharp Power:Rising Authoritarian Influence”: New Forum Report

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

·        2017 was 3rdwarmest year on record for U.S.

Naval Research Advisory Committee (NRAC)

·        Autonomous and Unmanned Systems in the Department of the Navy

Observer Research Foundation

·        China in Latin America: A Rising Power’s Forays Into US Backyard

Office of the Director on National Intelligence (ODNI)

·        ICPG 107.1 - Requests for Identities of U.S. Persons in Disseminated Intelligence Reports

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·        Publics Globally Want Unbiased News Coverage, but Are Divided on Whether Their News Media Deliver

Pew Research Center Social & Demographic Trends

·        Women and Men in STEM Often at Odds Over Workplace Equity

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·        Cross-Border Cooperation: An Opportunity to Strengthen the Eastern Partnership

Rand

·        Army Installation Rail Operations: Implications of Increased Outsourcing

·        Defensive Space Analysis Tool (DSPAT)

·        Does the U.S.No-Concessions Policy Deter Kidnappings of Americans?

·        Gaming Space: A Game-Theoretic Methodology for Assessing the Deterrent Value of Space Control Options

·        Testing the Value of the Postwar International Order

Royal Australian Air Force Air Power Development Centre

·        5th Generation AirC2 and ISR

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·        Money Service Businesses in the UK: Improving the Conditions for Effective Financial Crime Supervision and Investigations

·        National Security Relations with France after Brexit

Secretaries of Commerce and Homeland Security

·        A Report to the President on Enhancing the Resilience of the Internet and Communications Ecosystem Against Botnets and Other Automated, Distributed Threats [draft for public comment]

Security Scorecard

·        SecurityScorecard Big 500 Index: A Cybersecurity Analysis of 500 Major Publicly-Traded U.S.Companies

Small Wars Journal

·        Clausewitz Takes Down the Caliphate: The Center of Gravity in the Destruction of the State of the Islamic State

·        Expeditionary Forces and Sir Julian Corbett

·        Foreign Fighter Returnees in Southeast Asia: Multiple Challenges, Limited Options

·        Ignore Phase 1 at Your Peril: A Call for Better Exercises

·        Lessons to Be Learned: The Employment of Suicide Vehicle Borne Improvised Explosive Devises in the Islamic State’s Defense of Mosul

·        Limits and Potential of a Multilateral Approach to Counterinsurgency: Afghanistan and NATO

·        Losing the Information War and How to Win

·        Meet the Neighbours: ISIS on Israel’s Doorstep

·        “Modern Guerrillas” and the Defense of the Baltic States 

·        Plutocratic Insurgency Note No. 7: Artificial Intelligence (AI) Pricing Software - Profit Optimization Beyond ‘The Invisible Hand’

·        Plutocratic Insurgency Note No. 9: Tax Cuts and Jobs Act—Class Warfare ‘Red Line’ Crossed

·        A Primer on Understanding the Threat - Russian, Iranian, and Chinese Political Warfare

·        Third Generation Gangs Strategic Note No. 7: Suspect in Brutal Montgomery County, MD Beheading and Dismemberment Arrested—Suspected MS-13 Nexus

·        The Victimization Narrative: A Thematic Analysis of Iranian History and Strategy

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·        SIGAR-18-21-SP State Department's Good Performers Initiative: Status of Six Completed Projects in Faryab Province

·        SIGAR18-19-AR  DOD Task Force for Business Stability Operations: $675 Million in Spending Led to Mixed Results, Waste, and Unsustained Projects

Stanley Foundation

·        Taking Stock of the Evidence: What Works to Reduce Violence and Prevent Atrocities?

Stimson Center

·        Investigating Crises: South Asia’s Lessons, Evolving Dynamics, and Trajectories

·        With Great Power:Modifying U.S. Arms Sales to Reduce Civilian Harm

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·        Export Controls, Human Security and Cyber-surveillance Technology: Examining the Proposed Changes to the EU Dual-use Regulation

Swisspeace

·        On Democracy: The Role of Norms in International Peace Mediation

Texas National Security Review

·        Policy Roundtable:What to Make of Trump’s National Security Strategy

Third Way

·        Congress Should Lay Out the Welcome Mat for Whistleblowers

Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse (TRAC)

·        Serious Criminal Immigration Convictions Still Infrequent Under Trump

US Customs and Border Protection

·        CBP Directive No.3340-049A: Border Search of Electronic Devices

·        Southwest Border Migration FY2018

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·        Assessing the Protests in Tunisia

·        Disputed Zones: A Reservoir of Eternal Conflict

·        For Syrian Kurds,Western Sympathy Isn’t Enough

·        How Can Saudi Arabia and Egypt Help Confront Toxic Ideologies?

·        How to Understand Iran

·        Is Saudi Arabia's Counterterrorism Approach Shifting?

·        Protests in Iran:Why? What Impact? How Should the U.S. Respond?

·        Regional Pushback, Nuclear Rollback: A Comprehensive Strategy for an Iran in Turmoil

·        Rouhani's Protest Paradox

·        Setting the Stage for Provincial Elections in Kirkuk

·        Sorting Out U.S.and European Differences Over Iran

·        The Unraveling Islamic Republic

·        Will the Trump Administration Force Oman to Choose Sides?

·        Will Turkey Call Early Elections?

Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.

·        Journal of Public Health Management & Practice, 2018

o   Which US States Pose the Greatest Threats to Military Readiness and Public Health? Public Health Policy Implications for a Cross-sectional Investigation of Cardiorespiratory Fitness, Body Mass Index, and Injuries Among US Army Recruits

World Bank

·        Beyond Scarcity:Water Security in the Middle East and North Africa