Friday's Miscellany 09=20-2024

 38 North

• A Closer Look at North Korea’s Enrichment Capabilities and What It Means 

 AidData

• Investing in Narratives: How Beijing promotes its development projects in the Philippines 

 Air University Press

• Æther: A Journal of Strategic Airpower and Spacepower, Fall 2024, v. 3, no. 3 
• Airpower at Any Scale
• Contesting the Air Littoral
• Arming for the Air Littoral: The Defense Industrial Base and Future Air Warfare
• Beyond Air Superiority: The Growing Air Littoral and Twenty-First-Century Airpower
• The Air-Ground Littoral and Great Power Conflict
• Liminality: Opportunities in the Transition Space of the Air Littoral

 American Enterprise Institute (AEI)

• What Wasn’t Sanctioned?  Why Russia and the West Continued Trading amid the Russia-Ukraine War 

 American Security Project (ASP)

• Costs and Consequences:  Obesity’s Compounding Impact on the Military Health System 

 Amnesty International

• Tajikistan:  Reprisals Against Pamiri Minority Suppression of Local Identity, Clampdown on All Dissent 

 Arms Control Association (ACA)

• Nuclear Disarmament Summits:  A Proposal for Rejuvenating Progress Toward a World Free of Nuclear Weapons 

 Army University Press

• Military Review, September-October 2024, v. 104, no. 5 
• Continuous Transformation
• How I Corps Fights: Movement and Maneuver
• The Agile U.S. Army Division in a Multidomain Environment
• On Attrition: An Ontology for Warfare
• Reinvesting in Techniques
• The True Test of Mission Command 
• First World War Doctrine and the Modern War of Positions
• Arctic Munition Operations: Munitions Safety and Suitability for Service
• Artificial Intelligence in Modern Warfare: Strategic Innovation and Emerging Risks
• Information Sharing and the Effectiveness of Peacekeeping Operations in Mali
• The One-Hundred-Year War for Talent
• The Musculoskeletal Imperative: Enhancing Combat Capability through Effective Injury Management
• A Different Kind of War: The Unknown Story of the U.S. Navy’s Guerrilla Forces in World War II China
• Medals of Honor: Master Sgt. Gary Gordon and Sgt. 1st Class Randall Shughart

 Army War College Press

• The Role of America’s European Allies in the Russia-Ukraine War, 2022–24 

 Asia Foundation

• Vibrant Information Barometer: National Report Nepal  

 Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

• On the Road of Excess:  How Startups Are Driving China’s Electric Vehicle Boom 

 ASUA Institute of Land Warfare

• Find, Fix, Commit: How Commanders Will Win the Next Conflict with Software 
• Slick Sleeves 

 Atlantic Council

• Adapting U.S. Strategy to Account for China’s Transformation into a Peer Nuclear Power 
• Challenges and Opportunities of a Triangular Transatlantic Relationship 
• Defense Technology and Innovation in Germany 
• From Rhetoric to Reality:  Nearshoring in the Americas 
• NATO-Russia Dynamics:  Prospects for Reconstitution of Russian Military Power 
• A Next-Generation Agenda:  Bridging Indo-Pacific and European Perspectives on Security 
• Russian and Chinese Strategic Missile Defense:  Doctrine, Capabilities, and Development 

 Austrian Institute for European and Security Policy (AIES)

• Security & Defence Cooperation in the Post-Brexit Era 

 Baker Institute for Public Policy

• Immigration Growth: Examining the Financial Gains and Strains 

 Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

• Adapt or Decline: Evolving Military Personnel Strategy by Enhancing Flexibility and Permeability 
• Saudi Arabia and Iran in the Shadows of a Regional War 

 Brookings Institution

• How the United States Could Have Prevented the Yemen War 

 Business Roundtable

• Artificial Intelligence Policy Recommendations 

 Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

• 2024 Canada-U.S. Relations 
• Canada-U.S. Defense Relations:  Preparing for the Next Administration 

 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

• If-Then Commitments for AI Risk Reduction  
• Reimagining Global Economic Governance:  African and Global Perspectives 

 Cato Institute

• Aid for Incumbents: The Electoral Consequences of COVID-19 Relief 
• Broken Trust: The Pervasive Role of Deceit in American Policing 
• The Golden Revolving Door (re:  U.S.-China trade war) 

 Center for Climate Security (CCS)

• The Feeding Resilience Plan: Safeguarding US National Security at the Crossroads of Food and Climate Change 

 Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA)

• US Special Representative for Ukraine’s Economic Recovery 

 Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CEST)

• Beijing Municipal Action Plan to Promote “AI+” (2024-2025) [translation] 

 Center for Security Studies (CSS)

• Policy Perspectives, 2024 v 12, no.  3   
• Cyber Defense in Space: Quo Vadis?
• Russian Analytical Digest
• No. 317: Russian Opposition in Exile, Part 2: Networks 
• No. 316: Russian Opposition in Exile, Part 1: Internal Heterogeneity 

 Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

• Driving Change: How EVs Are Reshaping China’s Economic Relationship with Latin America 
• The Gender-Based Violence Crisis in Haiti 
• The Middle East’s View of the “China Model” 
• A Strategic Framework for America in the Twenty-First Century 

 Centre for European Reform (CER)

• Draghi's Plan to Rescue the European Economy: Will EU Leaders Do Whatever It Takes? 
• Flash Report: RSF Advance on the Southern Hospital in El Fasher, North Darfur, on 12 September 2024 
• Reducing or Removing CO2 Emissions: Can Offsets Make the Difference? 

 Centre for Information Resilience (CIR)

• Surge in Islamic State Khorasan Content Online Coincides with Increased Reports of Linked Activities and Arrests in Europe and Elsewhere 
• Tracing the Russian Units Responsible for Drone Attacks in Kherson 

 Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

• Outer Space and the Arctic: Connections, Opportunities, Challenges 

 Chatham House

• How the Circular Economy Can Revive the Sustainable Development Goals 

 Chief of Naval Operations (CNO)

• Navigation Plan for America's Warfighting Navy 2024 

 Clingendael Institute - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• The Northern Naval Capability Cooperation 

 Commission on the National Defense Strategy

• Website 
• Executive Summary: Report of the Commission on the National Defense Strategy 
• Report of the Commission on the National Defense Strategy 

 Congress. Senator Hawley

• Whistleblower Report: Failures of the United States Secret Service in Connection with the Attempted Assassination of Former President Donald J. Trump  

 Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

• A Visual Guide to Inflation From 2020 Through 2023 

 Council on Geostrategy

• Empowering Britain’s Warship Production 

 Council on Strategic Risks (CSR)

• A Biomanufacturing Plan to Confront Future Biological Threats 
• The Feeding Resilience Plan 

 Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA)

• Federal Civilian Executive Branch (FCEB) Operational Cybersecurity Alignment (FOCAL) Plan 

 Cyberspace Solarium Commission

• 2024 Annual Report on Implementation 

 Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

• Social Cohesion and Forced Mobility in a Changing Climate: Data from Ghana and Niger 

 Defense AI Observatory  (DAIO)

• His Hands Can’t Hit What His Eyes Can’t See: Emergent AI Tactics for Successful Operations in the Air Littoral 

 Defense Personnel and Security Center (PERSEREC)

• PERSEREC-TR-24-05 (DPAC-2024-137) Evaluation of Demographic Data in DoD’s Personnel Security Program  

 Department of Defense, Inspector General (DODIG)

• DODIG-2024-131 Summary of Oversight Reports on Security Assistance to Ukraine Issued From January 2020 Through February 2024, to Inform DoD Efforts to Support Israel and Other Future Security Assistance Efforts 
• DODIG-2024-134 Transmittal of the Independent Auditor's Report on the Army's System Supporting the Delivery of Munitions Inventory Management Services for the Period October 1, 2023, Through June 30, 2024 
• DODIG-2024-135 Audit of the Department of Defense’s Management of Dwell Time for Service Members in the Reserve Components 

 Department of Homeland Security Inspector General

• OIG-24-52 DHS Improved Election Infrastructure Security, but Its Role in Countering Disinformation Has Been Reduced 
• OIG-24-53 ICE Did Not Fully Implement Effective Security Controls on Selected High Value Asset Systems 
• OIG-24-55 I&A Needs to Improve Its Security Inspection Program to Reduce the Risk of Unauthorized Access to Classified Information 
• OIG-24-56 Coast Guard Needs to Implement Effective Planning for Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act Projects 
• OIG-24-57 Audit of Office of Intelligence and Analysis Contract and Funding Management Processes 

 Department of State

• 2024 Fiscal Transparency Report 

 Department of State Office of Inspector General

• ESP-24-01 Special Review of the Department of State’s Handling of the Security Clearance Suspension of the Special Envoy for Iran 

 Egmont: The Royal Institute for International Relations

• Modi III and the EU, after the Elections 

 European Asylum Support Office (EASO)            

• External evaluation of the EUAA’s Roadmap for cooperation with Kosovo 2022-2024 

 European Council on Foreign Relations

• Hard, Fast, and Where It Hurts: Lessons from Ukraine-Related Sanctions for a Taiwan Conflict Scenario 
• Value for Money: Why and How Europeans Should Support the Failing Economies of Egypt and Tunisia 

 Europol Innovation Lab

• AI and Policing: The Benefits and Challenges of Artificial Intelligence for Law Enforcement 

 European Network for Economic and Fiscal Policy Research (EconPol)

• Monitoring the Impact of Sanctions on the Russian Economy 

 European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)       

• The US Elections: What Choices for Europe? 

 Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

• India's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing 

 Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

• The UN Summit of the Future: Neither breakthrough nor breakdown 

 Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)              

• The Baltic Electricity Grid: Synchronizing Symphony 
• Re-Balancing the Strategy of Tech Containment 

 German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

• Much Ado about Islam: The Political Integration of Muslim Minorities in Guyana and Suriname 

 Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime

• Human Smuggling and Trafficking in North Africa and the Sahel
• Security and Development Dialogue On Environmental Crime: Priorities for Multilateral Action against Environmental Crime 

 Global Network on Extremism & Technology (GNET)

• TTP’s Alliance with the Afghan Taliban: In ISKP’s Crosshairs 
• The UK Riots, Misinformation and Foreign Interference: A Smoking Gun or Something Else? 

 Global Public Policy Institute (GPPI)

• How to Improve International Support for People with Disabilities in Ukraine 
• Making Foresight Count: Success Factors for Futures Analysis in Foreign and Security Policy 
• A Matter of Trust: Community-Police Relations in Ukraine’s De-Occupied and Frontline Areas 

 Globsec

• Ethical Use of AI: Navigating Copyright Challenges 
• The Future of EU’s Digital Decade: A Look at Open Strategic Autonomy in the Cloud and Beyond 

 Government Accountability Office (GAO)

• Coast Guard: Actions Needed to Address Persistent Challenges Hindering Efforts to Counter Illicit Maritime Drug Smuggling GAO-24-107785 
• COVID-19: HHS Needs to Identify Duplicative Pandemic IT Systems and Implement Key Privacy Requirements GAO-24-106638 
• Domestic and Child Abuse: DOD Needs to Clarify Guidance on Incident Determination Committee Notifications GAO-24-106985 
• Elections: Preliminary Observations on State Laws and Perspectives on Holding Special Elections to Fill House Vacancies GAO-24-107789 
• Federal Contracting: Timely Actions Needed to Address Risks Posed by Consultants Working for China GAO-24-106932 
• Federal Domestic Violence Assistance: HHS Should Assess Accessibility-Related Technical Assistance for Local Centers GAO-24-106366 
• Military Construction: Better Information Sharing Would Improve DOD's Oversight GAO-24-106499 
• Next Generation 911: Some Federal Agencies Have Begun Planning, but Few Have Upgraded Their Call Centers GAO-24-106783 
• Rural Development: Actions Needed to Improve Assistance to Southwest Border Communities Known as Colonias GAO-24-106732 
• Vietnam Veterans Memorial: Process and Considerations for Adding Names to the Wall GAO-24-107080 

 Hague Centre for Strategic Studies  (HCSS)

• A Latin American Perspective on the Key Drivers of Future International Security Trends 
• What Divides Us? And the Impact on Democracy and Stability 

 Hedayah International Center of Excellence for Countering Violent Extremism

• Rehabilitation and Reintegration of Minors Toolkit 

 Hoover Institution

• Strategika, no. 94 
• Israel and Its Enemies

 Hudson Institute

• The Brilliance of “Operation Grim Beeper” 
• How to Help Ukraine Succeed in Its Kursk Offensive 
• Integrated by Mission—Federated for Execution 
• Relearning Escalation Dynamics to Win the New Cold War 
• Salafism and Pragmatic Politics in India 

 Human Rights Watch

• “If It’s Not Racism, What Is It?”: Discrimination and Other Abuses Against Papuans in Indonesia 

 Information Technology & Innovation Foundation (ITIF)

• The Path to Digital Identity in the United States 

 Institute for Security and Development Policy (ISDP)

• Report of the Webinar on China’s Himalayan Hustle – Part IV:  EU, India, and U.S. – Framing a Troika to Scuttle China’s Himalayan Strategy? 
• Role of the People’s Armed Forces Maritime Militia:  Implications for Maritime Security and European Interests 

 Institute for the Study of War

• Africa File
• September 19, 2024: JNIM Strikes Bamako; Hungary Enters the Sahel; Ethiopia-Somalia Proxy Risks China-Taiwan Weekly Update 
• China-Taiwan Weekly Update
• September 20, 2024 
• Iran Update
• September 16 
• September 17 
• September 18 
• September 19  
• September 20  
• September 21 
• September 22 
• Israel is Defeating Hamas, But Destroying Hamas Will Require a Post-War Vision 
• Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
• September 16 
• September 17 
• September 18 
• September 19 
• September 20 
• September 21 
• September 22 

 International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

• The Rise and Fall of the Male State Movement 
• Russian State Terrorism and State Sponsorship of Terrorism 
• Transitional Justice and Terrorism: The Case of Sri Lanka 

 International Centre for Defence and Security (ICDS)

• Shared Goals, Different Paths, and a Complex Outcome: A Deep Dive into Ukraine’s 2024 Bilateral Security Agreements 

 International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)

• Tempest: Build, Buy, or Good-Bye? 

 Irregular Warfare Center (IWC)

• 21st Century Threats Require 21st Century Deterrence 
• The Future Faces of Irregular Warfare: Great Power Competition in the 21st Century 

 Lowy Institute for International Relations

• Asia Power Index 2024 

 Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

• Public Opinion of Climate Migrants:  Understanding What Factors Trigger Anxiety or Support 
• The Role of Immigrant Workers in the Green Transition 

 MITRE

• 21 Guidelines for the Long-Term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities 
• BUY THE WAY WE FIGHT: Policies, Practices, and Partnerships for International Acquisitions  
• Potential Impact of an International Longshoreman’s Strike 

 National Bureau of Asian Research (NBR)

• China’s View of Its Economic Sphere of Influence, Economic Security, and Trading Networks 

 Norwegian Institute for International Affairs (NUPI)

• The Arctic Barometer: Measuring Expert Predictions on the Arctic Region 

 Observer Research Foundation

• Energy as Weapon: Lessons from the Arab Oil Embargo and the War in Ukraine 
• India’s Defence Diplomacy: A Strategic Response to China in the Modi Years 
• The Middle Corridor:  Reviving Connectivity for EU-Central Asia Trade and India’s Strategic Imperative 
• The Yerevan Primer: A World in Transition 

 Office of Community Oriented Policing Services (COPS)

• American Policing 2054: Advancing Community Policing over the Next 30 Years 

 Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR)

• Four-Year Review of Actions Taken in the Section 301 Investigation:  China’s Acts, Policies, and Practices Related to Technology Transfer, Intellectual Property, and Innovation 
• USTR Finalizes Action on China Tariffs Following Statutory Four-Year Review 

 Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE)

• Mapping of Programmes for Perpetrators of Domestic Violence in Central Asia 

 Our World in Data

• Which Countries Have the Critical Minerals Needed for the Energy Transition? 

 Peace Research Institute of Frankfurt (PRIF/HSFK)

• Nuclear Threats, Nuclear Deterrence, and the Future of Nuclear Restraint Regimes After Russia’s War of Aggression 

 Pew Research Center

• 1 in 10 Eligible Voters in the U.S. are Naturalized Citizens 
• Americans in Both Parties are Concerned over the Impact of AI on the 2024 Presidential Campaign 

 Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft

• A Reformed U.N. Security Council for a Post-Unipolar Era 

 RAND Corporation

• Assessing the Impact of U.S. Air Force National Security Space Launch Acquisition Decisions 
• Evaluating Artificial Intelligence for National Security and Public Safety:  Insights from Frontier Model Evaluation Science Day 
• Fighting Abroad from an Ally's Land: Challenges and Opportunities for U.S. Forces in the Indo-Pacific 
• From Mines to Markets in the Middle East and Central Asia:  Critical Mineral Suppliers and Dependencies in the U.S. Central Command Area of Responsibility 
• Getting To Outcomes™ for Veterans Service Organizations Pilot Test of an Interactive Online Implementation Support Tool 
• Insights on U.S. Ally and Partner Views of Strategic Competition:  Implications for the Department of the Air Force 
• Modern Biosurveillance Methods:  A Lay Introduction to Effective Use of Nucleic Acid Methods 
• A Response to NIST AI 800-1:  Comments Concerning Bounty Programs, Threat Profiles, and Risk Thresholds 
• Technology Innovation, Economic Growth, and Geopolitics Policy Options for South Korea:  A Policy Game 
• The Veterans Left Behind:  Eligibility for Department of Veterans Affairs Benefits and Other Than Honorable Discharges 

 Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

• The UK and the Indo-Pacific:  The Need to Lean into the Tilt 

 Small Arms Survey

• Locked but Loaded: Firearms Possession Dynamics in Ukraine 

 Small Wars Journal

• Theater Army Strategy – U.S. Army Pacific 
• Twin Insurgency, Irregular War, and Oil Theft in Nigeria and Brazil: An Overview 
• US Soft Intervention in One of The World’s Hardest Conflicts 

 South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

• Africa’s Critical Minerals: Boosting Development Amid Geopolitical Challenges 

 Special Inspector General Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

• SIGAR 24-38-FA USAID’s Afghanistan Value Chains-Crops Activity: Audit of Costs Incurred by DAI Global LLC 

 Stanford Internet Observatory

• Journal of Online Trust and Safety, 2024, v. 2, no. 4 
• A Survey of Scam Exposure, Victimization, Types, Vectors, and Reporting in 12 Countries
• Characteristics and Prevalence of Fake Social Media Profiles with AI-generated Faces
• Algorithmic Impact Assessments at Scale: Practitioners’ Challenges and Needs
• Factors Associated with Help-Seeking Among Online Child Sexual Abuse Material Offenders: Results of an Anonymous Survey on the Dark Web
• Nuances and Challenges of Moderating a Code Collaboration Platform
• A Multi-Stakeholder Approach for Leveraging Data Portability to Support Research on the Digital Information Environment

 Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS)

• Is Civil Society Still Alive in Russia? 

 Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

• Climate Change Adaptation in Areas Beyond Government Control: Opportunities and Limitations 
• Nuclear Weapons and Artificial Intelligence: Technological Promises and Practical Realities 

 Strauss Center

• DoD Efforts to Secure the Battery Defense Industrial Base: Conversation on Critical Minerals 
• DOE’s Critical Minerals and Materials Portfolio 

 Sudd Institute

• The Quest for Economic Diversification in South Sudan: Overcoming Reliance on Oil and Curbing Inflation 
• South Sudan: The Looming Legitimacy Crisis 

 Takshashila Institution

• China-Russia Relationship:  Assessing the Power Asymmetry 

 Taylor & Francis

• Civil Wars, 2024
• Child Responsive Conflict Early Warning: Prioritizing Children in Peace and Security [open access article] 
• Definitions of Child Recruitment and Use in Armed Conflict: Challenges for Early Warning [open access article] 
• Conflict, Security & Development, 2024
• The Sustainable Security Index: A New Measure for Research and Policy Analysis [open access article] 
• Defence and Peace Economics, 2024
• Developments in Arms Production and the Effects of the War in Ukraine [open access article] 
• Disinformation Strategies [open access article] 
• Should We Sell Arms to Human Rights Violators? What the Public Thinks [open access article] 
• Ethnic and Racial Studies, 2024
• Socialization, Citizenship and the Electoral Integration of Refugees: Evidence from Sweden [open access article] 
• Global Security: Health, Science and Policy, 2024
• 2023 Cyberbiosecurity Summit Underscores Challenges Associated with Cybersecurity and the Rapidly Growing Bioeconomy [open access article] 
• Policing and Society, 2024
• Police Sergeants and Disaster Management during Australia’s Black Summer Bushfire Crisis [open access article] 
• Security Studies, 2024
• Competing Visions for US Grand Strategy in Cyberspace [open access article] 
• Small Wars & Insurgencies, 2024
• Fighting Together: Emotionality, Fusion, and Psychological Kinship in the Syrian Civil War [open access article] 
• The Impact of Precision Strike Technology on the Warfare of Non-State Armed Groups: Case Studies on Daesh and the Houthis [open access article] 
• Unheard Voices: Foreign Journalists’ Coverage of Vietnamese Prisoners during the American War in Vietnam [open access article] 
• Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 2024
• Beyond Healthy Skepticism: Exploring German News Media Framing of Terrorism-Affiliated Women Returnees [open access article] 
• Everyday Prevention of Radicalization: The Impacts of Family, Peer, and Police Intervention [open access article] 
• Post-Fordism and the Transformation of Transatlantic Counter-Terrorism [open access article] 

 Toda Peace Institute

• Massively Parallel Problem Solving and Democracy Building: An Ongoing Response to the Threats to Democracy in the U.S. 

 UN Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR)

• Boko Haram: Mapping an Evolving Armed Constellation 

 UN Interregional Crime and Justice Research Institute (UNICRI)

• UNICRI’s Strategic Response Framework for Tackling Crimes Linked to Critical Minerals 

 UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

• UNODC Drugs Monitoring Platform Brief: Update on Patterns and Trends in Heroin, Methamphetamine and Opium Trafficking Before and After the April 2022 Afghanistan Drug Ban 

 U.S. Commission on Civil Rights

• The Civil Rights Implications of the Federal Use of Facial Recognition Technology 

 Wilson Center 

• Advancing US-Japan Economic Security Partnership and Countering Chinese Economic Coercion 
• Countering Economic Coercion and Safeguarding the Indo-Pacific's Economic Security 
• Kennan Cable No. 94: Russia’s “Holy War” against the West 
• Kennan Cable No. 95: The Ahiska Turks: Prisoners of the Soviet and Russian Empires 
• Taiwan's Role in the US-China Competition for Critical Minerals 
• Taking the US-Japan Alliance to New Heights 

 World Bank

• Cybersecurity Economics for Emerging Markets 
• Electronic Signatures: Enabling Trusted Digital Transformation  
• Fiscal Challenges in Small States: Weathering Storms, Rebuilding Resilience 
• Harbinger of Premature De-Professionalization? 
• How Well Did Real-Time Indicators Track Household Welfare Changes in Developing Countries during the COVID-19 Crisis? 
• Mongolia Gender Assessment 
• Shrinking Economic Distance: Understanding How Markets and Places Can Lower Transport Costs in Developing Countries. Sustainable Infrastructure Series