Friday's Miscellany 01-11-2019

38 North

·         Kim Jong Un’s New Year’s Speech: On the Domestic Front

·         North Korea’s Yongbyon Nuclear Facilities: Well Maintained but Showing Limited Operations

AidData

·         Grassroots Image Management: Confucius Institutes and Media Perceptions of China

Air University

·         Air Force Journal of Indo-Pacific Affairs, Spring 2019, v. 2, no. 1

o    The Chinese Aircraft Carrier Program and Its Influence in the Chinese Naval Strategy

o    Southeast Asian Hedging and Indo-Japanese Strategies for Regional Balance

o    Artificial Intelligence in Weapons: The Moral Imperative for Minimally-Just Autonomy

o    Air Intelligence at the Edge: Lessons of Fourteenth Air Force in World War II 

o    In China’s Shadow: The Strategic Situation in the Western Pacific

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Global Compact for Migration: Security Constraints versus Humanitarian Morality in the Case of Morocco

American Enterprise Institute

·         Modern Monetary Theory and Policy

Atlantic Council

·         From Paris to Beijing: Implementing the Paris Agreement in the People’s Republic of China

·         Future of Shale

·         Jair Bolsonaro's First One Hundred Days

·         MADURO: Fraud and Six Years of Failures

·         Meeting Asian Liquefied Natural Gas Demand

·         Ready for Take Off? Aviation Biofuels Past, Present, and Future

·         Sovereign Investors:  A Means for Economic Diversification?

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         The E.U.'s Digital Tax Proposal

·         Post-crisis Decline in Bank Lending

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         Exploring Refugee Movements in the Middle East Regional Context:Responses to the Syrian Crisis in Lebanon and Turkey

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

·         Crackdown in Xinjiang: The Islamic World’s Achilles Heel

·         Extreme Anti-Semitism at Berlin Schools

·         Germany’s Role in the Israeli Navy’s Developing Submarine Fleet

·         Is the IDF Ready for All-Out War?

·         Is US Withdrawal Viable in Afghanistan?

·         Israel and Abbas: Security Cooperation + Terrorism

·         Russia After the Ukraine Crisis: European, Asian, or Eurasian?

Beyond the Parallel

·         Making Solid Tracks: North Korea’s Railway Connections with China and Russia  

Brookings

·         Global Economic and Environmental Outcomes of the Paris Agreement

·         New Geopolitics of the Middle East:  America’s Role in a Changing Region

Bruegel

·         The Belt and Road Turns Five

Canada. Department of National Defence

·         Canadian Military Journal, Winter 2018/2019, v. 19, no. 1

o    The Charm Offensive: Peacekeeping and Policy in China

o    The Effects of Rotation and Frequent Transfers of Canadian Armed Forces Middle Managers on Organizational Performance

o    Coming Home: The Journey Back to Canada

o    “Inclusive Leadership” If we build it will they come?

o    Have Autonomous and Unmanned Systems Changed War Fundamentally?

o    The Rise of Private Military Corporations: Consequences, Considerations and Implications for the Canadian Armed Forces

o    Improving Family Support in the Canadian Armed Forces: A Qualitative Study

o    Why Study History?

o    The Nascent Renaissance of Search and Rescue

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         The Arctic is Warming and Turning Red: Implications for Canada and Russia in an Evolving Polar Region

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Philippine Politics Under Duterte: A Midterm Assessment

CATO Institute

·         The Case for an Immigration Tariff: How to Create a Price-Based Visa Category

·         More Legislation, More Violence? The Impact of Dodd-Frank in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Center for Global Development

·         Examining World Bank Lending to China: Graduation or Modulation?

·         The EU’s Financial Architecture for External Investment: Progress,Challenges, and Options

·         Who Are the World’s Poor? A New Profile of Global Multidimensional Poverty

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Comments to the Department of Commerce, Bureau of Industry and Security

·         How Is China Securing Its LNG Needs?

·         Illuminating the South China Sea’s Dark Fishing Fleets

Center for the Governance of AI

·         Artificial Intelligence: American Attitudes and Trends

o    PDF

Center for the Study of Intelligence

·         Studies in Intelligence, December 2018, v. 62, no. 4  

o    Remembering President George H. W. Bush (1924-2018)

o    An Interview with Former Chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, Mike Rogers

o    Ricochet: When a Covert Operation Goes Bad

o    Union Naval Intelligence in the American Civil War: Moving Toward a Global Intelligence System

Center on Global Energy Policy

·         U.S. Sanctions Relief: Good for Russian Companies but Bad for Policy?

Chatham House

·         Food Politics and Policies in Post-Brexit Britain

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         EU-India Cooperation and China's Belt and Road Initiative

·         The Role of the Syrian Social Nationalist Party in the Civil War

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         The 2019 Outlook for Navy Shipbuilding

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         Denmark as a New Security Actor in the Gulf of Guinea

·         Ghana's Peacekeeping Efforts Abroad have an Impact at Home

·         UN Funding Cuts for Peacekeeping have Consequences for Ghana

Defense Science Board (DSB)

·         Task Force on Survivable Logistics Executive Summary

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         Assessment on U.S. Defense Implications of China's Expanding Global Access

·         Other Transactions Guide

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2019-044 Summary of Reports Issued Regarding Department of Defense Cybersecurity From July 1, 2017, Through June 30, 2018

Department of the Army

·         ATP 3-34.84 Military Diving Operations: Multi-Service Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures   

·         ATP 6-02.40 Techniques for Visual Information Operations

·         TRADOC Pamphlet 525-3-1 The U.S. Army in Multi-Domain Operations 2028  

Department of the Navy

·         SECNAV 5520.6 Department of the Navy Combating Trafficking in Persons Policy

·         SECNAV 5710.26A Implementation and Compliance of the Treaty on Open Skies

East Asia Institute

·         Prospect and Trend of Military Spending and Strategy in Rising China

·         US-China Competition in Cyberspace:  A Perspective of Emerging Power Politics and Platform Competition

Egmont Institute

·         1919-2019: How to Make Peace Last? European Strategy and the Future of the World Order

·         Its Own Worst Enemy? The Ugandan Government Is Taking Desperate Measures to Control Rising Dissent

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         Pushing the Boundaries: How to Create More effective Migration Cooperation across the Mediterranean

European Parliament

·         Promoting Renewable Energy Sources in the EU after 2020

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Brexit: How the Political Declaration Can Rescue the Withdrawal Agreement

·         The MFF: Europe’s Other Ticking Clock

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

·         China’s New Policy on the European Union: A Toughening Line on Political Issues

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Low-Tech, High-Reward: The Houthi Drone Attack

·         The Story of Amos Oz and the Story of Israel

Foundation for Strategic Research (Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique)

·         French Nuclear Deterrence Policy, Forces, and Future

German Development Institute

·         How Brexit Affects Least Developed Countries

·         Towards a Borderless Africa? Regional Organisations and Free Movement of Persons in West and North-East Africa

German Marshall Fund of the United States 

·         The Domestic-Regional Nexus in Turkey’s Counterterrorism Policy

·         An Effective American Regime to Counter Illicit Finance

·         Illicit Influence – Part One – A Case Study of the First Czech Russian Bank

·         Midterm Elections’ Results: A Divided Country, A Deeper Gridlock

·         Trump’s Asia Policy and the Concept of the “Indo-Pacific”

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Federal Protective Service: DHS Should Take Additional Steps to Evaluate Organizational Placement GAO-19-122

·         Food Insecurity: Better Information Could Help Eligible College Students Access Federal Food Assistance Benefits GAO-19-95

·         Improper Payments: Selected Agencies Need Improvements in Their Assessments to Better Determine and Document Risk Susceptibility GAO-19-112

Heritage Foundation

·         Don’t Repeat Iraq:  U.S.Should Continue Training Mission in Afghanistan

Hoover Institution

·         U.S. Digital Cash: Principles & Practical Steps

Human Rights Watch

·         Unmet Needs: Improper Social Care Assessments for Older People in England

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

·         National Counterintelligence and Security Center: Know the Risk,Raise Your Shield

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, v. 22, January 20, 2019

o    Ebola Epidemic in Eastern DRC Now Second Largest in History

o    The Evolving Conflict in the Central African Republic

·         A Study of Financial and Non-financial Incentives for Civilian and Military Program Managers for Major Defense Acquisition Programs

Institute for National Security Studies (INSS - Israel)

·         “The Culminating Point of Success”: Risk Overload in the Campaign between Wars in Syria

·         The JCPOA, Three Years On

·         Operation Northern Shield: Interim Assessment

·         The Preliminary Examination of the ICC Prosecutor: Update for 2018

·         Saudi Arabia and the Oil Prices Challenge

·         Suicide Attacks in 2018: Fewer Attacks and Victims in Fewer Countries

Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict (IPAC)

·         Protecting The Sulu-Sulawesi Seas from Abu Sayyaf Attacks

Institute for Science and International Security

·         A Key Missing Piece of the Amad Puzzle: The Shahid Boroujerdi Project for Production of Uranium Metal & Nuclear Weapons Components

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         Can China Help Syria and the Mideast Exit War Economies?

·         China’s Maritime Ambitions: One Belt, One Road and the New Arctic Policy – Implications for the Gulf of Bengal/Myanmar and Europe

·         The Forthcoming Struggles and Wars According to Xi Jinping

·         Maritime Hybrid Risks and Threats: Consequences for Harbours,Navies and Maritime Services – A European View

Institute for the Study of War

·         Russia and Iran Prepare For New Syria Battlefield

·         Syria Situation Report: December 13, 2018 - January 9, 2019

Institute of Development Studies (IDS)

·         Contribution Analysis and Estimating the Size of Effects: Can We Reconcile the Possible with the Impossible?

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali) 

·         Assessing EU–Mediterranean Policies in the Fields of Energy from a Bottom-up Perspective: The Case of Tunisia

·         Assessing European Energy and Industrial Policies and Investments in the Southern Mediterranean Region from a Bottom-up Perspective

·         A Cordon Populiste from the Baltic to the Adriatic Sea: Is a New Populist Alliance Emerging in the EU?

·         Development through Acquisition: The Domestic Background of China's Europe Policy

·         Not So Global, Not So Compact

·         Restoration, Transformation and Adaptation: Authoritarianism after2011 in Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Iran

·         Rethinking Euro-Mediterranean Policies in the Fields of Energy and Industry

·         Saudi Arabia as a Peace Peddler?

International Crisis Group

·         Fire and Ice:  Conflict and Drugs in Myanmar’s Shan State

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·         The Quest for Global Monetary Policy Coordination

Jamestown Foundation

·         Terrorism Monitor, January 11, 2019, v. 17, no. 1

o    Looking Up: The Security Implications of UAV Proliferation

o    The Sangorian: Weakening the Taliban from Within

o    Conditions in Mosul Ripen for Return of Islamic State

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         Joint Pub 4-04, Contingency Basing, 04 January 2019

Library of Congress Law Library

·         Birthright Citizenship Around the World

Marine Corps History Division

·         Marine Corps History Magazine, Winter  2018, v. 4, no. 2

o    “How Will the Americans Behave in a Pitched Battle?”:  6 The 1st Battalion, 5th Regiment, and the Capture of Hill 142, 6 June 1918

o    Planning for War: The Marine Corps in Contingency Planning  27 for Indochina and South Vietnam, 1951–65

o    The Creation of the Marine Corps’ Combined Action Platoons:  42 A Study in Marine Corps Ingenuity

o    Enduring Value: Advancing the Understanding  66 of the Tet Offensive with the Frederick Vogel Collection

o    Core of the Corps:  71 Cayuga County Marines in the First World War

Modern War Institute

·         Light, Mobile and Many: Rethinking the Future of Armor

National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS)

·         "Belt and Road" vs. "Free and Open Indo-Pacific": Competition Over Regional Order and ASEAN

·         Maritime Security: Policies and Measures Seen in the Third Basic Plan on Ocean Policy and Their Characteristics, etc.

National Security Archive

·         Cybersecurity: When Hackers Went to the Hill — Revisiting theL0pht Hearings of 1998

·         Taiwan’s Bomb: Warning in 1971 of “Adequate Fissionable Material”

NATO Defense College

·         NATO-EU Maritime Cooperation: For What Strategic Effect?

·         Waiting for the Storm: South Caucasus

NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence

·         The Black Market for Social Media Manipulation 

·         Defence Strategic Communications, v. 5, Winter 2018 

o    The Acoustic World of Influence: How Musicology Illuminates Strategic Communications

o    Hostile Gatekeeping: the Strategy of Engaging With Journalists in Extremism Reporting

o    The ‘Fake News’ Label and Politicisation of Malaysia’s Elections

o    Brand Putin: an Analysis of Vladimir Putin’s Projected Images

o    What Does it Mean for a Communication to be Trusted?

o    Strategic Communications at the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics: a Groundwork Study

Observer Research Foundation

·         Raisina Files2019: Debating Future Frameworks in a Disrupted World 

Oxford Internet Institute Computational Propaganda Research Project

·         Measuring Traffic Manipulation on Twitter

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         International Publics Brace for Cyberattacks on Elections,Infrastructure, National Security

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         Israel in Chinese Policy: Innovation and Strategic Importance

·         National Rally’s Prospects for Success in the May European Parliament Elections

Rand

·         Four Problems on the Korean Peninsula: North Korea's Expanding Nuclear Capabilities Drive a Complex Set of Problems

·         A Wage Differential Approach to Managing Special and Incentive Pay

Sasakawa Peace Foundation USA

·         China and 5G: Tumult in 2018

Small Wars Journal

·         Civil Affairs and Civil Society: Harnessing the Latent Power of Social Bonds

·         General Zinni's Considerations Revisited (Again)

·         Information Overmatch: How Information Dominance Will Win Our Nation’s Wars

·         The Multidisciplinary Design Movement: A Frame for Realizing Industry, Security, and Academia Interplay

·         Nadia Murad's Story Continues: VP Pence, the Yazidis, Human Rights& Humanitarian Assistance

·         On the Recommendation to Shut Down the Army's Peacekeeping and Stability Operations Institute

·         Phil Walter's Five Rules for Counterinsurgency from a U.S.Perspective

·         South Africa’s Military at a Crossroads

·         Tailoring Expectations: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly Scenarios in Afghanistan

·         Why Finding a Diplomatic Solution to the Conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh Should be a US Foreign Policy Priority

Stanley Foundation

·         The Business Case for Building Resilience and Pursuing Peace

Syrian Network for Human Rights

·         At Least 3,601 Barrel Bombs Dropped by the Syrian Regime in 2018

·         Human Rights Implications of the Withdrawal of US Forces from Syria

UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNDOC)

·         2018 Global Report on Trafficking in Persons

US Customs and Border Protection (USCBP)

·         Southwest Border Migration FY2018

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         The Potential Outcomes of the Sudanese Uprising

·         Protecting Yemen’s Peace Process from Houthi Ceasefire Violations

·         Saudi Security Forces Kill Shia Militants Near Major Oil Facilities

·         Trump Departs Syria: An Israeli Perspective

·         U.S. Withdrawal in Syria: Tracking Israeli and Iranian Media Responses

Wilson Center

·         Infographic: What's Happening at the U.S.-Mexico Border?

World Bank

·         Piecing Together the Poverty Puzzle

World Economic Forum

·         Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Markets:  India