Friday's Miscellany 01-04-2019

38 North

·         Hints for 2019: Kim Jong Un’s New Year’s Address

·         Kim Jong Un’s 2019 New Year’s Address: Dropping a Strategic Bombshell

·         Kim Jong Un’s New Year’s Address: The Art of Propaganda

·         What Will Kim Jong Un Say on New Year’s Day?

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         US’s Iran Sanctions: Mixed Prospects and a Beyond-SWIFT Question

American Enterprise Institute

·         How to Evaluate China’s Economy

American Foreign Policy Council (AFPC)

·         Defense Dossier, December 2018, issue 23

o    Climate Change and the U.S. Military

o    Renewables: Bridging the U.S. Energy Security Gap

o    How Israel Can Help Alleviate the Global Water Crisis

o    Food as a Terrorist Weapon

o    Significant Security Threats from Climate Change on the Horizon

Amnesty International

·         In the Line of Fire: Human Rights and the US Gun Violence Crisis  

Army University Press

·         Military Review, January-February 2019, v. 99, no. 1

o    Field Manual 3-0: Doctrine Addressing Today’s Fight

o    No “Ordinary Crimes” An Alternative Approach to Securing Global Hotspots and Dense Urban Areas

o    Emerging U.S. Army Doctrine: Dislocated with Nuclear-Armed Adversaries and Limited War

o    Identity: Enabling Soldiers, Supporting the Mission

o    Priorities of the Construction of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Uzbekistan in the Conditions of Development of Forms and Methods of Contemporary Armed Struggle

o    Five Operational Lessons from the Battle for Mosul

o    Waging Wars Where War Feeds Itself

o    Negotiation Education: An Institutional Approach

o    Venezuela, a “Black Swan” Hot Spot: Is a Potential Operation in Venezuela Comparable to Operation Just Cause in Panama?

o    Visualizing the Synchronization of Space Systems in Operational Planning

o    Corruption and Corrosion in Latin America

o    Russian General Staff Chief Valery Gerasimov’s 2018 Presentation to the General Staff Academy: Thoughts on Future Military Conflict—March 2018

o    Facts and Fears: Hard Truths from a Life in Intelligence

o    “No Mail, Low Morale” The 6888th Central Postal Directory Battalion

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         Korea’s Choice in 2019

Atlantic Council

·         Navigating the Energy Transition

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

·         Angela Merkel’s Legacy and the Jews

·         Canary Mission Is Effective Against BDS

·         Israel and North Korea: A New Opportunity?

·         Terrorism as Power over Death

·         US Troop Withdrawal from Syria Could Fuel Gulf Assertiveness

·         The US Withdrawal from Syria: A Blessing in Disguise?

Brookings

·         Quality Over Quantity: U.S. Military Strategy and Spending in the Trump Years

CATO Institute

·         The Spread of Deposit Insurance and the Global Rise in Bank Asset Risk since the 1970s

Center for Security Studies, Georgetown University

·         Georgetown Security Studies Review, January 2019, v. 7, no. 1

o    The Ideal Tool of Nations: War Control in Chinese Military Thought

o    When the Lights Go Out: Vulnerabilities to US Critical Infrastructure, the Russian Cyber Threat, and a New Way Forward

o    Challenges and Opportunities for NATO in the Western Balkans

o    Soviet Counterinsurgency in Western Ukraine (1945–1955):  Lessons Learned and Considerations for U.S. COIN Strategy

o    What “Winning” Looks Like: Perceptions of Success  in Modern Counterinsurgency

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         The Mattis Resignation and the U.S. FY2020 Defense Budget and Strategy Crisis

·         U.S. Policy Roadmap: A Drive to Transform Global Food and Nutrition Security

·         Understanding Transportation in Emerging Economies

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Stopping Terrorist Travel through Illicit Pathways to the Homeland

Congress. Senate. Judiciary Committee

·         Senate Judiciary Committee Investigation of Numerous Allegations of Wrongdoing by the U.S. Marshals Service

Department of Defense

·         Women in Service Studies

Department of Defense, Office of Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2019-040 U.S. Air Forces in Europe Plans for the Procurement and Pre-Positioning of Deployable Air Base Kits

Department of the Treasury

·         2018 National Terrorist Financing Risk Assessment

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Tajikistan's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing

Florida Department of Law Enforcement (FDLE)

·         Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School Public Safety Commission Report

·         MSD Commission Website

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         The Brawl of Civilizations? A Tale of a Mixed Martial Arts Fighter from Dagestan

·         Leaving Syria

·         Russian and Iranian “Victory” in Syria: Does It Matter?

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         EU and Africa: Investment, Trade, Development

·         A European Security Council

Human Security Centre

·         Fire and Ice: A New Maritime Strategy for NATO's Northern Flank

Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses (IDSA)

·         China’s Big Push for Solar Energy

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Assessment of Cloud Occurrence and Impact on Remote Sensing using Global, Open-source, Scientific Datasets (REDACTED)

·         Managing Information System Technology Changes Across an Enterprise

·         Persistent Engagement and Tacit Bargaining:  A Strategic Framework for Norms Development in Cyberspace’s Agreed Competition

·         Rules to Navigate the Digital Highway:  Information and Records Management for Data-Storage-as-a-Service and Migration to the Cloud

Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS)

·         Between Russia and Iran: Room to Pursue American Interests in Syria

Institute for National Security Studies (INSS - Israel)

·         “The Culminating Point of Success”: Risk Overload in the Campaign between Wars in Syria

·         The Preliminary Examination of the ICC Prosecutor: Update for 2018

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Development through Acquisition: The Domestic Background of China's Europe Policy

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         The Debate on the Economic Capital Framework of the Reserve Bank of India

Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy and International Affairs

·         Middle East Nuclear Energy Monitor: Country Perspectives 2018

·         Prospects of Energy Storage Systems in the Gulf

Jamestown Foundation

·         China Brief, January  4, 2019, v. 19, no. 1

o    “Chinese Assistance Centers” Grow United Front Work Department Global Presence

o    Who Are Xi Jinping’s Enemies?

o    Beyond “Debt-Trap Diplomacy”: The Dissemination of PRC State Capitalism

o    The PRC Bets on Climate Diplomacy in the Caribbean

o    The Belt and Road Initiative Still Afloat in South Asia

Konrad Adenauer Foundation (Konrad Adenauer Stiftung)

·         A Comparative Study of Refugee Laws in Arab Countries

Marine Corps History Division

·         The Bravest Deeds of Men: A Field Guide to for the Battle of Belleau Wood

Marine Corps University Middle East Studies

·         MES Insights, December 2018, v. 9, no. 6

o    Iran: Building Bridges and Widening Gulfs

Marine Corps University Press

·         Raging Waters: China, India, Bangladesh, and Brahmaputra River Politics

Naval War College

·         Naval War College Review, Winter 2019, v. 72, no. 1

o    Asia Rising: China’s Global Naval Strategy and Expanding Force Structure

o    Asia Rising: Ships of State?

o    Naval History: Operation RHINE EXERCISE, May 18–27, 1941

o    Reflections on Reading

Observer Research Foundation

·         Nuclear Order in the Twenty-First Century

·         US President’s “Library” of Lies can’t Wash Away India’s Afghan Contribution

Peacekeeping Stability Operations Institute (PKSOI)

·         A Drone's Strike Away: Peace and Security in the Age of Automated Warfare - A Case Study

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Investment from China into the United States Has Fallen to Nearly Zero [chart]

·         US Trade Deficit with China Keeps Growing, Even with Tariffs [chart]

Pew Research Center Religion & Public Life

·         Faith on the Hill: The Religious Composition of the 116th Congress

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         Innovative Financial Instruments in International Development Cooperation: Opportunities for Poland

·         Investment Screening Reforms in the U.S. and EU: A Response to Chinese Activity

Project 2049 Institute

·         China’s Top Five War Plans

Rand

·         Advancing Autonomous Systems: An Analysis of Current and Future Technology for Unmanned Maritime Vehicles

·         Design of Air Force Human Resource Management Governance Board Membership and Processes for Optimal Force Management: Preliminary Discussion and Recommendations

·         Organizational Dynamics Between the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force, Manpower and Reserve Affairs (SAF/MR) and the Air Force Deputy Chief ofStaff for Manpower, Personnel, and Services (AF/A1)

Regulatory Transparency Project

·         Will Overzealous Regulators Make Your Smartphone Stupid?

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·         Deradicalisationand Disengagement in Somalia: Evidence from a Rehabilitation Programme for Former Members of Al-Shabaab 

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         China’s Belt and Road Initiative and Its Energy-Security Dimensions 

·         Terrorist Threat Assessment for 2019

Small Wars Journal

·         Are Mexico, El Salvador, and Honduras Under Insurgent Attack?

·         Iraq’s Power Vacuum: A Counterfactual Analysis of Saddam Hussein’s Authoritarian Rule

·         Placing Putin’s Pragmatism in Perspective

·         Pulling the Plug

·         Private Parts: The Private Sector and U.S. Peace Enforcement

·         Templarios: Echoes of the Templars and Parallels Elsewhere

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         SIGAR 19-09-IP Camp Commando Phase III

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Designing Win-Win Economic Policies in Washington and Baghdad

·         Egyptian-Israeli Citizenship Issues Are Impeding Normalization

·         How the United States Can Still Keep Faith With Its Best Allies in Syria

·         Iran’s Continued Push for a Nuclear-Ready Missile Capability

Wilson Center

·         The British Royal Air Force: Operations over Laos against the Ho Chi Minh Trail, 1962

·         The Chinese Communist Party’s Relationship with the Khmer Rouge in the 1970s: An Ideological Victory and a Strategic Failure