Friday's Miscellany 07-20-2018

38 North

·         Back to the Basics: Above and Beyond CVID with North Korea

·         How the North Korean Economy Should—and Shouldn’t—be Used in Negotiations

American Enterprise Institute (AEI)

·         Polls on Kavanaugh’s Nomination, the Supreme Court, Roe v. Wade,and Abortion

Amnesty International

·         Chad: Crackdown on Fundamental Freedoms

Arab American Institute (AAI)

·         Underreported Under Threat: Hate crime in the United States and the Targeting of Arab Americans 1991-2016

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         Quantifying the Effectiveness of Nuclear Inspection in North Korea

               

Atlantic Council

·         Beyond Security: Stabilization, Governance, and Socioeconomic Challenges in Iraq

·         Decarbonization and Peak Oil Demand: The Role of Policy in the Transportation Sector

·         Russia's Interference in the US Judiciary

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Anti-Money Laundering. A Case Study

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Bahrain's Start-ups and Entrepreneurs

·         Fresh Perspectives from the GCC [Gulf Cooperation Council]

·         GCC: Economics of Climate Change

·         Saudi Arabia's New Economic Agenda

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         China’s Maritime Silk Road Initiative

·         Greece and the Eastern Mediterranean Alliance

·         Have Putin and Netanyahu Struck a Grand Bargain?

·         The Impact on India of the Collapse of the Iran Nuclear Deal

·         The Kim-Trump and Kim-Moon Summits

·         Saudi Arabia and Israel: Know Thine Enemy

·         Why Russia Needs Israel

Beyond the Parallel

·         North Korean Railways and Reconnections? Wonsan Railway Rolling Stock Complex

Brennan Center for Justice

·         Purges: A Growing Threat to the Right to Vote

Brookings

·         Regulatory Lobbying has Increased under the Trump Administration, but the Groups doing the Lobbying May Surprise You

·         Since Singapore: Letting North Korea Off the Hook

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         The Context of Canadian Defence Policy

·         Hedging Our Bet: A Diversification Strategy for Canadian Trade

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         A New Taxonomy for Corruption in Nigeria

CATO Institute

·         Contact High: The External Effects of Retail Marijuana Establishments on House Prices

Center for Global Development

·         Competing or Complementary Strategies? Protecting Indigenous Rights and Paying to Conserve Forests

·         What Mining Can Learn from Oil: A Study of Special Transfer Pricing Practices in the Oil Sector, and their Potential Application to Hard Rock Minerals

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM)

·         Civil Society in Action - Promoting Sub-Regional Cooperation Between CSOs as a Way Forward?

Center for Security Policy

·         America Needs an In-Kind Deterrent to Russia’s Political Warfare

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Back from the Brink: A Threatened Nuclear Energy Industry Compromises National Security

·         Issues & Insights v. 18, CR6 - The Road Ahead for Nuclear Governance in the Indo-Asia-Pacific

·         PacNet #48 - Seeds of New Thinking in Seoul

·         PacNet #47 - Is Indonesia’s ‘Indo-Pacific Cooperation’ Strategy a Weak Play?

·         What Works: Countering Gray Zone Coercion

Center for the Study of Intelligence (CSI)

·         Studies in Intelligence, v. 62, no. 2, June 2018

o    Intelligence and Policy: The Case for Thin Walls as Seen by a Veteran of INR

o    The OSS Role in Ho Chi Minh’s Rise to Political Power

o    CIA Analysis of the 1967 Arab-Israeli War

Center on Global Energy Policy

·         Electric Vehicles and Their Impact on Oil Demand: Why Forecasts Differ

Center on Islam, Democracy and the Future of the Muslim World

·         Current Trends in Islamist Ideology, June 2018, v. 23

o    Erbakan, Kısakürek, and the Mainstreaming of Extremism in Turkey

o    The Milli Muslim League: The Domestic Politics of Pakistan’s Lashkar-e-Taiba

o    The Sunni Religious Leadership in Iraq

o    How Al-Qaeda Works:The Jihadist Group’s Evolving Organizational Design

o    Conflicts in Indonesian Islam

Centre for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies

·         Digital Open Source Intelligence and International Security: A Primer  

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Time to Let the Rule of Law in Poland Have Its Day in Court

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Protecting Refugee Social Capital in Protracted Displacement

Congress. House. Energy  Commerce Committee

·         Examining State Efforts to Improve Transparency of Health Care Costs for Consumers

·         Powering America: The Role of Energy Storage in the Nation’s Electricity System

·         Realizing the Benefits of Rural Broadband: Challenges and Solutions

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Current Developments in Central Asia

Congress. House. Judiciary Committee

·         Facebook, Google and Twitter: Examining the Content Filtering Practices of Social Media Giants

Congress. House. Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence

·         China’s Threat to American Government and Private Sector Research and Innovation Leadership

Congress. House. Science, Space, and Transportation Committee

·         The Future of Fossil: Energy Technologies Leading the Way

Congress. Senate. Commerce, Science, & Technology Committee

·         SHARKS!

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

·         Reviewing the Administration’s Government Reorganization Proposal

Congress. Senate. Judiciary Committee

·         Promoting Justice for Victims of Crime: Examining the Federal Investment in DNA Analysis

Defense Science Board (DSB)

·         Countering Anti-access Systems with Longer Range and Standoff Capabilities (2017 Summer Study)–Executive Summary

Department of Justice Office of the Deputy Attorney General

·         Report of the Attorney General’s Cyber Digital Task  Force

Department of State

·         New START Treaty Aggregate Numbers of Strategic Offensive Arms

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

·         South Korea Country Analysis Brief - July 2018

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         Order from Chaos: Stabilising Libya the Local Way

European Leadership Network (ELN)

·         Kill the NPT Collapse Thesis

European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center (ESISC)

·         Yemen: The Battle for Al-Hudaydah as a Turning Point in the Civil War

Feinstein International Center

·         Constraints and Complexities of Information and Analysis: Data Planning in Famine-Risk Countries

·         Hispanics in the Neighborhood A Case Study of Refugees in Towns East Boston, Massachusetts, USA

·         Integration in a New England Town A Case Study of Refugees in Towns Augusta, Maine, USA

·         Planting the Seeds of an Inclusive Culture A Case Study of Refugees in Towns Concord, New Hampshire, USA

·         Your US Neighbor: Syrian Refugees in the American South: A Case Study of Refugees in Towns Austin, Texas, USA

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Concealment of Beneficial Ownership

·         FATF President's Paper: Anti-money Laundering and Counter Terrorist Financing for Judges and Prosecutors

·         FATF Report to G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors

·         Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing Risks

·         Objectives for the FATF during the US Presidency (2018-2019)

German Development Institute

·         Incentivising and Regulating Multi-actor Partnerships and Private-sector Engagement in Development Cooperation

·         Shaping the Patterns of Aid Allocation: A Comparative Analysis of Seven Bilateral Donors and the European Union  

Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime

·         Catch Me If You Can: Legal Challenges to Illicit Wildlife Trafficking over the Internet

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         GAO-18-137 Department of Veterans Affairs: Actions Needed to Address Employee Misconduct Process and Ensure Accountability

·         GAO-18-190 Force Structure: F-22 Organization and Utilization Changes Could Improve Aircraft Availability and Pilot Training

·         GAO-18-400 Office of Special Counsel: Actions Needed to Improve Processing of Prohibited Personnel Practice and Whistleblower Disclosure Cases

·         GAO-18-467 Defense Contracts: DOD Should Develop a Strategy for Assessing Contract Award Time Frames

·         GAO-18-492 Export-Import Bank: The Bank Needs to Continue to Improve Fraud Risk Management

·         GAO-18-519 Civil Penalties: Certain Federal Agencies Need to Improve Inflation Adjustment Reporting

·         GAO-18-651T DNA Evidence: Preliminary Observations on DOJ's DNA Capacity Enhancement and Backlog Reduction Grant Program

Hoover Institution

·         Immigration and Economic Performance Across Fifty U.S. States from1980-2015

Hudson Institute

·         Conversations on National Security and U.S. Naval Power: Rep. Joe Courtney and Seth Cropsey

Human Rights Watch

·         “Nothing for Our Land”: Impact of Land Confiscation on Farmers in Myanmar

·         “These Killings Can Be Stopped”: Abuses by Government and Separatist Groups in Cameroon’s Anglophone Regions

·         “Without Education They Lose Their Future”: Denial of Education to Child Asylum Seekers on the Greek Islands

·         “You Don’t Want to Breathe Poison Anymore”: The Failing Response to Pesticide Drift in Brazil’s Rural Communities

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         Whither Bilad al-Sham

Institute for the Study of War

·         Don't Get Out of Syria

·         U.S. Risks Legitimizing Russian Subversion in Ukraine

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Assessing EU Democracy and Human Rights Policies from the Perspective of Tunisian Bottom-Up Actors

·         European External Actions in a Multilateral Arena: An Analysis of EU Relations with Brazil

·         Happy Birthday to the EUGS? The EU and the Western Balkans Two Years On

·         Implementing the Integrated Approach: Investing in Other International Organisations

·         A Joined-up Union in Counterterrorism and Public Diplomacy

·         Reversing the Perspective: How European Stakeholders React to Migration Policy Frames of Southern Mediterranean Counterparts

·         Security and Defence: A Glass Half Full            

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Indian Agriculture: Technological Innovations and New Investment Opportunities

·         Pakistan and the Financial Action Task Force

International Crisis Group

·         Building on Afghanistan’s Fleeting Ceasefire

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Bank Competition, Risk Taking, and their Consequences: Evidence from the U.S. Mortgage and Labor Markets

·         Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy Surprises in Chile

·         Commodity Price Movements and Banking Crises

·         Cyber Risk for the Financial Sector: A Framework for Quantitative Assessment

·         The Effects of Weather Shocks on Economic Activity: What are the Channels of Impact?

·         The Globalization of Farmland: Theory and Empirical Evidence

·         How Do Migration and Remittances Affect Inequality? A Case Study of Mexico

·         Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U.S.Economy

·         Inflation News and Euro Area Inflation Expectations

·         Investment Slowdown in Denmark: Diagnosis and Policy Options

·         Is the Cycle the Trend? Evidence From the Views of International Forecasters

·         Losing to Blackouts: Evidence from Firm Level Data

·         Self-insurance Against Natural Disasters: The Use of Pension Funds in Pacific Island Countries

·         Trend Inflation and Inflation Compensation

·         Who Pays for Financial Crises? Price and Quantity Rationing of Different Borrowers by Domestic and Foreign Banks

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·         De-Radicalization in the Mediterranean: Comparing Challenges and Approaches

Jamestown Foundation

·         Terrorism Monitor, July 13, 2018, v. 16, no. 14

o    ‘Terrorist Intent’: How Finland’s Justice System Struggles to Tackle Terrorism Offenders

o    Pakistani Taliban: Mullah Fazlullah’s Death Revives Mehsud Clan Fortunes

o    Ominous Silence: Why Has al-Shabaab Refrained From Condemning This Year’s World Cup?

Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

·         U.S. Immigration Policy under Trump: Deep Changes and Lasting Impacts

MITRE

·         Machine Learning for Anomaly Detection on VM and Host Performance Metrics

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

·         Potential for Radicalization amongst Syrian Refugees in Jordan and Lebanon: Risks, Factors, and Implications

·         The Use of Social Media by United States Extremists

Oxford Internet Institute Computational Propaganda Research Project

·         Challenging Truth and Trust: A Global Inventory of Organized Social Media Manipulation

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         Taking Sides on Facebook: How Congressional Outreach Changed Under President Trump

               

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         The Challenges of the EU-Turkey Migration Deal

·         Competition and Cooperation: Dualism in Turkey’s Policy Towards Iran

·         The Importance of Russia’s Second-Generation Elite

·         Potential Changes in the European Parliament after the 2019 Elections

·         Prospects for CEE-China Relations after the Sofia Summit

Rand

·         F-35 Block Buy: An Assessment of Potential Savings

·         F-35 Block Buy — An Assessment of Potential Savings: Appendix B,Historical Case Studies of Multiyear Procurement and Block Buy Contracts

·         Understanding Demographic Differences in Undergraduate Pilot Training Attrition

·         Using Social Media and Social Network Analysis in Law Enforcement:Creating a Research Agenda, Including Business Cases, Protections, and Technology Needs

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         The Case for a Dedicated Regional Mechanism for Climate Change:A Comparative Assessment

·         Combatting Human Trafficking in East Asia: Mind the Gaps

Sasakawa Peace Foundation USA

·         Policy Recommendations by the Quadripartite Commission on the Indian Ocean Regional Security

Small Wars Journal

·         Are We Building Battleships?

·         A Brewing Proto-Insurgency: Is Bahrain the Next Target of Iran’s Regional Ambitions?

·         Chaos Theory: Confusing Diplomatic Means and Ends in Helsinki

·         Decentralization - Not Privatization - is the Heart of Success in Afghanistan

·         Demons in the Tall Grass

·         How the US Could Lose the Next War - And How the Migrant Crisis Demonstrates This

·         Iraq’s 2018 Elections Aftermath: A Critical Situation for Christian Minorities

·         Let’s Make a Deal? – Examining Russia’s National Character

·         The “Mattel Gun” – History of the Venerable M-16 Rifle

·         Moral Authority in Somalia

·         Strengths of the Current National Security Strategy

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

·         Carrying Forward the Momentum of the 2017 African Union Year of Youth

·         Prospects for the Kenyan Blue Economy

UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA)

·         Protection of Civilians in Armed Conflict 2018 Mid-year Update (July 2018)

Washington Institute for Near East Policy 

·         A Fifth Presidential Term for Bouteflika?

·         Iran's Posturing on the Strait of Hormuz

·         Iran After the JCPOA Withdrawal (Part 1): Lessons from Past Pressure Campaigns

·         Iran After the JCPOA Withdrawal (Part 2): Shaping Tehran’s Response

·         Iraq Faces its Next Crisis: Water

·         Iraq, Iran, and U.S. Strategy: A Trip Report

·         Opinion Survey Insights into the 2018 Iraqi Election

·         Putin’s Golan Comments: Implications for Israeli Security

·         Putting Iraq-KRG Oil Relations on Solid Legal Ground

·         Reimplementing Iran Sanctions: Where, How, and How Much?

World Bank

·         Moving for Prosperity: Global Migration and Labor Markets