Friday's Miscellany 07-06-2018

38 North

·         Building Trust on the Korean Peninsula: The Role of CBMs in Nuclear Negotiations

·         North Korea: Liaison Offices—The First Time

·         North Korea’s Yongbyon Nuclear Research Center: Testing of Reactor Cooling Systems; Construction of Two New Non-Industrial Buildings

·         Recent Changes in Kim Jong Un’s High Command

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·         Militant Islamist Groups in Africa Show Resiliency over Past Decade

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Palestine: What ‘Deal’, What Leadership, What Resistance?

American Enterprise Institute

·         A Survey of AEI’s Work on the Middle East

Amnesty International

·         A Force for Good? Restrictions on Peaceful Assembly and Impunity for Excessive Use of Force by the Sierra Leone Police

·         "Don't Bother, Just Let Him Die": Killing with Impunity in Papua

Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

·         Medical Surveillance Monthly Report, June 2018, v. 5, no. 6

o    Polypharmacy involving opioid, psychotropic, and central nervous system depressant medications, period prevalence and association with suicidal ideation, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2016

o    Variations in the incidence and burden of illnesses and injuries among non-retiree service members in the earliest, middle, and last 6 months of their careers, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2000–2015

o    Diagnoses of eating disorders, active component service members, U.S. Armed Forces, 2013–2017

o    Brief report: Department of Defense midseason vaccine effectiveness estimates for the 2017–2018 influenza season

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Defining Offensive Cyber Capabilities

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         “Wise Cities” in the Mediterranean? Challenges of Urban Sustainability

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         Assad Addresses the Chemical Weapons Issue

·         The China-US Confrontation: A Russian View

·         The Decreasing Effectiveness of Hamas Terrorism

·         How Sun Tzu Might Approach US Nuclear Strategy

·         Israel Must Stop Syria’s Advance Southward

·         Jewish West Bank Communities: The Kernel of a Tolerant Palestinian State

·         The Limits of Technological Superiority

Bonn International Center for Conversion (BICC)

·         Beyond aid: The Continuous Struggle to Cope with Displacement in Myanmar and Thailand

Brookings

·         Where and Why Has Agency Rulemaking Declined Under Trump?

·         Why the Supreme Court’s Decision in Ohio v. AmEx Will Fatten the Wealthy’s Wallet (at the Expense of the Middle Class)

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         Energy, Trade and Geopolitics In Asia: The Implications for Canada

CATO Institute

·         Ride-Sharing, Fatal Crashes, and Crime

Center for Global Development

·         The Rise of the Robot Reserve Army: Automation and the Future of Economic Development, Work, and Wages in Developing Countries

·         Why Does Pakistan Have Repeated Macroeconomic Crises?

Center for Security Policy

·         Doomsday: The Threat Posed by Russia’s New Nuclear Superweapon

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Counting Dollars or Measuring Value: Assessing NATO and Partner Burden Sharing

·         Hezbollah’s Missiles and Rockets

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Trump's Two Summits: Can NATO Navigate the Dangers?

Chatham House

·         Cybercrime Legislation in the GCC Countries: Fit for Purpose?

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         The Future of the European Migration System: Unlikely Partners?

Congress. Senate. Select Committee on Intelligence

·         Senate Select Committee on Intelligence [unclassified findings on Russian interference with elections]

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Expired and Expiring Authorizations of Appropriations: Fiscal Year 2018, Revised

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         Joining hands in the Sahel

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         Department of Defense Digital Engineering Strategy

·         Enhancing Security and Stability in Afghanistan - June 2018  

Department of Defense, Office of Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2018-132 Management of Army Equipment in Kuwait and Qatar

·         DODIG-2018-131 Report of Investigation: Rick A. Uribe Brigadier General U.S. Marine Corps

Department of State

·         Business and Human Rights Fact Sheet

Economic Research Forum (ERF)

·         Do Myopia and Asymmetric Information Matter in the Demand for Social Insurance?

·         Migration Shocks and Housing: Evidence from the Syrian Refugee Crisis in Jordan

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         No Middle Ground: Moving on from the Crypto Wars 

European Policy Centre

·         10 Years after Bucharest: Why NATO should Double-down on Georgian Membership

·         Audiovisual Media in the Digital Era

·         Brexit: Last Call

·         Time to Move Up a Gear: The Results of an Insufficient Summit |Post-Summit Analysis

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Where did the Founders Get their Ideas? America’s Machiavellian Moment and the Origins of the Atlantic Republican Tradition

Foundation for Strategic Research (Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique)

·         Eastern Mediterranean Energy Geostrategy on Proposed Gas Export Routes

·         Nuclear Diplomacy: A Niche Diplomacy for Middle Powers

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         Tailored Assurance: Balancing Deterrence and Disarmament in Responding to NATO-Russia Tensions

Future Directions International

·         Global Freshwater Availability Trends

German Development Institute

·         The Interface Between Research and Policy-making in South Africa:Exploring the Institutional Framework and Practice of an Uneasy Relationship

·         Mobilising Capital for Sustainable Infrastructure: The Cases of AIIB and NDB

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         NATO’s Force Generation and Deployment

·         Transatlantic Policy Challenges of the Digital Energy Nexus

Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime

·         The Heroin Coast: A Political Economy Along the Eastern African Seaboard

·         Tackling Heroin Trafficking on the East African Coast

Global Public Policy Institute

·         Evaluation of WFP Policies on Humanitarian Principles and Access in Humanitarian Contexts

Heritage Foundation

·         Brussels NATO Summit 2018: Bolstering the Defense of the Baltic States

·         Brussels NATO Summit 2018: Don’t Lose Focus on Ukraine

·         Brussels NATO Summit 2018: Keep Georgia on the Path Toward Membership

·         Nuclear and Missile Defense Agenda for the U.S.–Russia Summit: Forget the Reset

Human Rights Watch

·         "Immigrant Crime Fighters": How the U Visa Program Makes U.S. Communities Safer

·         "Like a Lottery": Arbitrary Treatment of Unaccompanied Migrant Children in Paris

·         "Scared  in Public and Now No Privacy": Human Rights and Public Health Impacts of Indonesia’s Anti-LGBT Moral Panic

·         "We are like the Dead": Torture and other Human Rights Abuses in Jail Ogaden, Somali Regional State, Ethiopia

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         India and the UAE: Progress towards ‘Comprehensive Strategic Partnership'

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         After the Pyongyang Talks

·         The Trump-Kim Summit: What’s Next?

Institute for the Study of War

·         Putin Poised for Easy Victory Ahead of Summit with President Trump

·         Russia Abandons Southwest Syria Deal in Support of Assad &Iran

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Beyond the European Council: Domestic Politics Drives the Migration "Crisis" in Italy and Germany

·         The European Union and Brazil in the Quest for Global Climate Governance

·         Looking Through the Fog of Brexit: Scenarios and Implications for the European Defense Industry

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Bangladesh: The Next Level of Development

·         India and the Seychelles: Controversy over an Island

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         An Inconvenient Truth: Countering Terrorist Narratives – Fighting a Threat We Do Not Understand

·         Investigating and Prosecuting Cases of the Nexus between Organised Crime and Terrorism: Best Practices and Lessons Learned for Practitioners

International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR)

·         Cubs in the Lions’ Den: Indoctrination and Recruitment of Children Within Islamic State Territory

International Crisis Group

·         Patriotic Mobilization in Russia

International Monetary Fund

·         Bank Competition, Risk Taking, and their Consequences: Evidence from the U.S. Mortgage and Labor Markets

·         Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy Surprises in Chile

·         Commodity Price Movements and Banking Crises

·         Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U.S.Economy

·         Self-insurance Against Natural Disasters: The Use of Pension Funds in Pacific Island Countries

·         Trend Inflation and Inflation Compensation

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·         Contested Mediterranean? NATO's Maritime Role Amid Shifting Balances

·         NATO's Gulf Partnerships: Betting on Military Education

·         A Robust Fighting Force: Turkey Remains a NATO's Pillar

·         What Jordan Means for NATO (and vice versa)

Konrad Adenauer Foundation (Konrad Adenauer Stiftung)

·         Humanity Will Not So Swiftly Replace Itself

·         There Are Good Reasons for Talking of a New Insecurity

Lowy Institute

·         Americanism, Not Globalism: President Trump and the American Mission

Migration Policy Institute

·         Growth of the Radical Right in Nordic Countries: Observations from the Past 20 Years

·         Mind the Gap: Bringing Migration into Development Partnerships and Vice Versa

Muslims for American Progress (MAP)

·         Impact Reports

o    An Impact Report of Muslim Contributions to Michigan

o    An Impact Report of Muslim Contributions to New York City

National Defence and the Canadian Armed Forces

·         Canadian Military Journal, 2018, v. 18, no. 3

o    ‘Wolves of the Russian Spring’: An Examination of the Night Wolves as a Proxy for the Russian Government

o    Missed Steps on a Road Well-Travelled: Strong, Secure, Engaged and Deterrence

o    Left Out of Battle: Professional Discourse in the Canadian Armed Forces

o    In Defence of Victory: A Reply to Brigadier-General Carignan’s “Victory as a Strategic Objective”

o    The Implications of Additive Manufacturing on Canadian Armed Forces Operational Functions

o    Prepare for the Flood before the Rain: The Rise and Implications of Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS)

o    Historical Insights to Strategic Challenges

o    Child Soldiers

o    The Fighter Replacement Conundrum

New Zealand Ministry of Defence

·         Strategic Defence Policy Statement 2018

Norwegian Institute for International Affairs (NUPI)

·         Ethiopia: A Political Economy Analysis

·         Towards a Comprehensive Results-based Reporting and Performance Assessment Framework for UN Peacekeeping Operations

Observer Research Foundation

·         Too Little, Too Late: The Mainstreaming of Pakistan’s Tribal Regions

Office of Justice Programs National Criminal Justice Reference Service

·         Reducing Gang Violence: A Randomized Trial of Functional Family Therapy

Peace Research Institute of Frankfurt (PRIF/HSFK)

·         Dealing With China in the South China Sea: Duterte Changing Course

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         China’s Social Credit System: A Mark of Progress or a Threat to Privacy?

·         EU Financial Services Policy since 2007: Crisis, Responses, and Prospects

·         The European Union’s Proposed Digital Services Tax: A De Facto Tariff

·         Productivity and Pay: Is the Link Broken?

·         Slower Productivity and Higher Inequality: Are They Related?

Pew Research Center Internet & Technology

·         Stories From Experts About the Impact of Digital Life

Polish Institute of International Affairs (Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych)

·         40 Years Since Deng Xiaoping’s Reforms: The Chinese Economy’s Challenges and Prospects

·         How Russian Violations of the 1997 Founding Act Influence NATO-Russia Relations

·         Nord Stream 2: Inconvenient Questions

Rand

·         Prospective Outcome Assessment for Alternative Recruit Selection Policies

·         Using the Person-Event Data Environment for Military Personnel Research in the Department of Defense: An Evaluation of Capability and Potential Uses

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         Complex Humanitarian Emergencies and Disaster Management in Bangladesh: The 2017 Rohingya Exodus

·         Counter Terrorist Trends and Analysis (CTTA), July 2018, v. 10, no. 7

o    Countering Terrorism and Preventing Violent Extremism

o    The Bangsamoro Identity Struggle and the Bangsamoro Basic Law as the Path to Peace

o    Deconstructing Thoughts and Worldviews of Militant Ideologue Mufti Nizamuddin Shamzai

o    Intelligence Failures are Analytical Failures

Small Wars Journal

·         Army Professional Reading and Creative Thinking

·         Bridging Abysses: Arizona State University’s Road Map for Developing a Dense Urban Area Studies/Megacities Center of Excellence

·         A Dynamic Field Of Defence Against Terrorist Weapons Options

·         The Holy Month of Jihad? Measuring Terrorist Activity During Ramadan in the Post-9/11 Era

·         A Policy of Defeat

·         Rational Choice and How Erdogan Keeps Winning

·         Robust Leadership Development: Lessons Learned from the British Army’s Platoon Commanders’ Battle Course at the Infantry Battle School

·         Threat Multipliers and the Need for a Comprehensive Climate Change Strategy

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

·         The Case for Supporting Small-Scale Fisheries Governance Through ICT

·         Damned If You Dam: Tanzania’s Energy Dilemmas

·         Looking Back to The Future: Mining for Development in Africa

·         The SADC EPA – Opportunities in The Agro-Processing Sectors of South Africa and Lesotho

·         South Africa’s Indian Ocean Rim Association Legacy: A More Inclusive and Open IORA

Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse (TRAC)

·         Three-fold Difference in Immigration Bond Amounts by Court Location

Transparency International

·         Governance at the International Maritime Organization—The Case for Reform

US Institute of Peace

·         Hezb-e Islami, Peace, and Integration into the Afghan Security Forces

·         The Political Deal with Hezb-e Islami: What It Means for Talks with the Taliban and Peace in Afghanistan

U.S. International Trade Commission

·         U.S.-Korea FTA: Advice on Modifications to Duty Rates for Certain Motor Vehicles  

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Accepting Regime Forces in South Syria Will Only Further Iran’s Goals

·         The Algerian Press: On the Brink

·         Haftar's Play for Libyan Oil

·         The Problem of Landmine Proliferation in Yemen

·         Turkey's Historic Election: What to Expect Next?

·         U.S.-Kurdish Relations in Syria after the Manbij Roadmap

World Bank           

·         Global Economic Prospects, June 2018