Friday's Miscellany 08-12-2016

38 North

·         Continued Unidentified Activity at Site of North Korea’s Last Nuclear Test

Afghanistan Analysts Network

·         “We Knew They Had No Future in Kabul”: Why and How Afghan Families Decide to Leave

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·         Islamist Extremism in East Africa

Air University Press

·         The Human Side of Cyber Conflict

·         Sharing Success–Owning Failure

Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

·         Medical Surveillance Monthly Report, July 2016, v.23, no. 7

o    Increasing severity of traumatic brain injury is associated with an increased risk of subsequent headache or migraine: a retrospective cohort study of U.S. active duty service members, 2006-2015

o    Use of complementary health approaches at military treatment facilities, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2010-2015

o    Incident diagnoses of cancers in the active component and cancer-related deaths in the active and reserve components, U.S. Armed Forces, 2005-2014

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         Disaggregated ISIS and the New Normal of Terrorism

Asia Foundation

·         Afghanistan in 2015: A Survey of the Afghan People

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Improving on Zero: Australia and India Attempt Strategic Convergence

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         The 2015 Argentine Elections

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         A Covenant of Shadows

·         The Iran Deal One Year Later: The Fuse Is Still Burning

·         Islamic State Should be Wiped Out

·         The New Threat of Very Accurate Missiles

·         Raqqa Delenda Est: Why Baghdadi’s “Caliphate”Should Be Destroyed

·         Turkey, the Refugee Crisis and Brexit:Concerns and Opportunities for Greece

Berghof Conflict Research

·         Armed Social Violence and Peacebuilding: Towards an Operational Approach

·         Reconciliation, Reward, and Revenge: Analyzing Syrian De-Escalation Dynamics through Local Ceasefire Negotiations  

Brookings Institution

·         The Challenges of State Reliance on Revenue from Fossil Fuel Production

·         Implications of a Turkish-Russian Rapprochement

·         New York Times Allegations and Our Response

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         Japanese Use of Force: Refinement & Normalization Amid Growing Regional Instability

CATO Institute

·         The Genesis and Evolution of China’s Economic Liberalization

Center for Global Development

·         After Brexit: New Opportunities for Global Good in the National Interest

·         Evolving the US Model of Global Health Engagement

Center for Security Policy (CSP)

·         EB-5 Trojan Horse: How an American Pay-for-Citizenship Immigration Program Poses a National Security Threat -Communist China: A Case Study

·         What’s in the 28 Pages?

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Russian Analytical Digest (RAD), No. 188:Russia-Kazakhstan Relations

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)

·         Analysis of the FY 2017 Defense Budget and Trends in Defense Spending

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Evolving Strategies in the U.S.-China Military Balance

·         Japan’s Role in Addressing Global Antimicrobial Resistance

·         Korean Special, Asymmetric, and Paramilitary Forces

·         Revisiting the Minsk II Agreement: The Art and Statecraft of Russian-brokered Cease-fires

·         Senior Executive Women in Aerospace, Defense and Electronics Industries

·         Urgent and Important: Measuring Investments in Youth Economic Opportunity

Chatham House

·         Paris Mismatches: The Impact of the COP21 Climate Change Negotiations on the Oil and Gas Industries

Congress. House. Joint Task Force on U.S. Central Command Intelligence Analysis

·         HPSCI Democrats Release Findings of Investigation into CENTCOM Intelligence Analysis

·         Initial Findings of the U.S. House of Representatives Joint Task Force on U.S. Central Command Intelligence Analysis

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Sequestration Update Report: August 2016

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         DoD Manual 5240.01, “Procedures Governing the Conduct of DoD Intelligence Activities

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2016-120 Joint Improvised‑Threat Defeat Agency Needs to Improve Assessment and Documentation of Counter‑Improvised Explosive Device Initiatives [redacted]

·         DODIG-2016-121 Headquarters, Special Operations Command, Africa Stuttgart, Germany 

Department of Justice

·         Investigation of the Baltimore City Police Department

Department of State

·         2015 International Religious Freedom Report2015

Electronic Frontier Foundation

·         Operation Manul Report

Elliot School of International Affairs - Central Asia Program

·         Economic Smart Power: Utilizing The Untapped Asset Of Turkmen Youth

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, August 2016

o    Asset Seizure and Forfeiture: A Basic Guide

o    Policing a Man-Made Wonder of the World

o    Camp Cadet of Cambria County

o    President Jefferson and Criticism

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         The Russian-Turkish Reset

German Council on Foreign Relations

·         A Bridge Too Far?  How to Prevent the Unraveling of Western Policies toward Wider Europe (book chapter)

·         ISIS and Wilayat Sinai: Complex Networks of Insurgency on Egypt's Sinai Peninsula

Global ECCO

·         Combating Terrorism Exchange (CTX), August 2016, v. 6, no. 3

o    Da’esh, Legitimacy, and the Rise of Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi

o    Radicalization and De-radicalization: Norwegian Foreign Fighters in Syria

o    The 1990 Siege of Batticaloa: A Tribute to the Warriors of the Gemunu Watch

o    The Lumads of the Philippines: Struggling from Conflict Toward Peace

o    Assessing Canada’s Integrated National Security Enforcement Teams: Can the Concept of INSETs be Exported?

o    CTAP Interview - Brian Fishman

o    State of the Art: The Art of Terminal Lance

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         DOE Project Management: NNSA Needs to Clarify Requirements for Its Plutonium Analysis Project at Los Alamos. GAO-16-585

·         National Guard and Reserves: Air Force Needs to Consistently Assess Personnel Requirements to Appropriately Size Its Headquarters Reserve Components. GAO-16-538

·         Nuclear Supply Chain: DOE Should Assess Circumstances for Using Enhanced Procurement Authority to Manage Risk. GAO-16-710

Heritage Foundation

·         Chinese Foot-dragging on North Korea Thwarts U.S. Security Interests

·         The Modern Feminist Rejection of Constitutional Government

·         Post-Brexit: U.K. Can Lead Europe to Greater Economic Freedom

Human Rights Watch

·         'These Political Games Ruin Our Lives’:Indonesia’s LGBT Community Under Threat

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, August 2016, v. 12  

o    Democratic Republic of Congo: Delayed Elections Spark Political Unrest

o    Efforts at Pan-African Integration: New Variations on an Old Theme

·         An Integrated Approach for Physical and Cyber Security Risk Assessment: The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Common Risk Model for Dams

·         Bayesian Analysis in R/STAN  

·         Data to Decisions: Terminate, Tolerate,Transfer, or Treat

·         Introduction to Survey Design

·         Tutorial on Sensitivity Testing in Live Fire Test and Evaluation

Institute for Strategic Dialogue

·         “Shooting in the Right Direction”: Anti-ISIS Foreign Fighters in Syria and Iraq

Institute for the Study of War

·         Iraq Situation Report: August 3-8, 2016

·         Opposition Forces Break the Siege of Aleppo City

·         Russian Airstrikes in Syria: July 14 - August 9, 2016

·         Russian Build-Up In and Around Ukraine: August 12, 2016

·         Syria Situation Report: August 3-11, 2016

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         India & RCEP: Will Flexibility on Tariffs Get Access in Services?

·         Need for Credible Anti-Terror Counter-Narratives: The Bangladesh Context

·         A New Leader in Pakistan’s Sindh Province

·         South Asian Diaspora Convention 2016: Linking People and Ideas

·         Tumultuous Telecom Times in India

Inter-American Dialogue

·         Venezuela Cannot Fix Itself Alone

International Crisis Group

·         Fight or Flight: The Desperate Plight of Iraq’s “Generation 2000”

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Can Reform Waves Turn the Tide? Some Case Studies Using the Synthetic Control Method

·         China’s Growing Influence on Asian Financial Markets

·         Evolution of Exchange Rate Behavior in theASEAN-5 Countries

·         The Impact of Oil Prices on the Banking System in the GCC

·         Investing to Mitigate and Adapt to Climate Change : A Framework Model

·         Monetary Transmission in Developing Countries: Evidence from India

·         Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) :Implications for Monetary Transmission and Bank Profitability in the Euro Area

·         A Probabilistic Approach to Fiscal Space and Prudent Debt Level : Application to Low-Income Developing Countries

·         Spillovers from China’s Growth Slowdown and Rebalancing to the ASEAN-5 Economies

·         What is Responsible for India’s Sharp Disinflation?

Japan’s Ministry of Defense (MoD)

·         2016 Defense of Japan (white paper)

National Academies Press

·         Optimizing the Air Force Acquisition Strategy of Secure and Reliable Electronic Components:  Proceedings of a Workshop

National Bureau of Economic Research

·         What Explains the Flow of Foreign Fighters to ISIS? [readers on the NPS network should have access]

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

·         Patterns of Islamic State-Related Terrorism,2002-2015

National Security Archive

·         ‘Declassified Diplomacy’: Argentina

Pakistan Institute of Legislative Development and Transparency

·         PILDAT Monitor on Political Parties’ Internal Democracy May - June 2016

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Do DSGE Models Have a Future?

·         The US-EU Privacy Shield Pact: A Work in Progress

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         Views on National Economies Mixed as Many Countries Continue to Struggle: Mood positive in China, India, Australia; big differences across EU

Pew Research Center Religion & Public Life

·         Many Americans Hear Politics From the Pulpit:More say their clergy have spoken out about issues than about specific presidential candidates

Potomac Institute for Policy Studies

·         Intelligence Complexity

Rand

·         An Independent Assessment of Air Force Compliance with Headquarters Reduction Goals

Small Wars Journal

·         Assessing Russian Hybrid Warfare: A Successful Tool for Limited War

·         Capstone Commanders: Adaptability in the Complex Security Environment

·         An Embassy Bombing: Dar Es Salaam, August 7,1998

·         The Long Telegram of 2050

·         Mental Illness and Terrorism

·         Notes on Tactical Use of Qualitative Interviewing

·         Partnership Instead of Alliance: The Shanghai Cooperation Organization as a Mechanism for China’s Growing Influence in Central Asia

·         People, Infrastructure, and Conflict:Analyzing the Dynamics of Infrastructure Disruption and Community Response

·         The Role of Network Science in Analyzing Slums in Rapidly Growing Urban Areas

·         Russia’s Soft Power Development in the 21st Century

·         Towards a Fourth Offset Strategy

·         White Paper: Risk Management in Multinational Operations

Strategic Studies Institute

·         Cyberspace: Malevolent Actors, Criminal Opportunities, and Strategic Competition

·         The Pivot to Asia: Can it Serve as the Foundation for American Grand Strategy in the 21st Century

U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom (USCIRF)

·         Barriers to Protection; The Treatment of Asylum Seekers in Expedited Removal

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         What is the Peace Day Challenge?

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Aleppo: Is the Turnaround Sustainable for the Rebels?

·         Inside the Caliphate's Classroom:  Textbooks, Guidance Literature, and Indoctrination Methods of the Islamic State

·         Iran and Hezbollah Remain Hyperactive in Latin America

·         A National Unity Government for Tunisia

·         The Potential for Radiological Terrorism by al-Qaeda and the Islamic State

·         A Transformative Experience: Understanding Hezbollah's Involvement in Syria

·         Turkish-Russian Ties after the Erdogan-Putin Breakthrough

·         Yemen's Relapse into Tribalism

Western New Mexico University

·         Mass Shootings and the Media Contagion Effect 

White House

·         FACT SHEET: Promoting and Protecting Religious Freedom Around the Globe

·         IMPACT REPORT: Transforming Government Services through Technology and Innovation