Friday's Miscellany 08-05-2016

38 North

·         Geolocating the June 22 Hwasong-10 Test: The Kalma Firing Position

Action on Armed Violence

·         Patterns of Harm: Five years of Explosive Violence, 2011-2015

Airport Cooperative Research Program (ACRP)

·         Emergency Communications Planning for Airports

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Strategic Importance of Chinese-Pakistani Relations

·         Turkish Foreign Policy after Davutoglu: Continuity vs. Rupture

Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)

·         Barriers to Innovation in Indian Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises

·         Credit Surety Fund: A Credit Innovation for Micro, Small, and Medium-Sized Enterprises in the Philippines

·         Volatility Contagion across the Equity Markets of Developed and Emerging Market Economies

Atlantic Council

·         Hydrocarbon Developments in the Eastern Mediterranean

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Securing Mexico's Southern Border

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         The Destruction of Islamic State is a Strategic Mistake

·         Regional Implications of the Failed Coup d’État and Purges in Turkey: Initial Indicators

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs 

·         After Brexit: Charting a Course for the United Kingdom’s Trade Policy

·         American Nuclear Diplomacy: Forging a New Consensus to Fight Climate Change and Weapons Proliferation

Brookings Institution

·         The 2016 Brookings Financial and Digital Inclusion Project Report: Advancing Equitable Financial Ecosystems

·         America’s Advanced Industries: New Trends

·         The United States Security Partnership with Taiwan

Canadian Global Affairs Institute

·         Powerful Changes in the Structure of Our World Are Unrolling: Three Recent Reports

CATO Institute

·         25 Years of Reforms in Ex-Communist Countries: Fast and Extensive Reforms Led to Higher Growth and More Political Freedom

·         Our Foreign Policy Choices: Rethinking America’s Global Role

Center for Global Development

·         Gasoline, Guns, and Giveaways: Is There New Capacity for Redistribution to End Three Quarters of Global Poverty?

·         Searching for the Devil in the Details: Learning about Development Program Design  

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM)

·         Coup Attempt Of July, 15: Turkey’s Fight For Democracy and To Re-Configure Civil-Military Relationship

·         The United Nations Approach to the Libyan Crisis

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         Executive Session: The Future of Police Reform Efforts in the U.S.

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Russian Analytical Digest (RAD), no. 186, Duma Elections Preview

·         Russian Analytical Digest (RAD), no.187,  Economic Strategy and Inequality

Center on International Cooperation

·         Taliban Views on a Future State

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Changing Gulf Balance and the Iranian Threat

·         Chinese Military Organization and Reform

·         Conventional Military Balance in the Koreas and Northeast Asia

·         “Defeating” ISIS: The Real Threats and Challenge

·         East Africa and the Indian Ocean Region

·         Making Choices: The Future of the U.S.-Egyptian Relationship

·         Taiwan’s Vibrant Democracy and Beleaguered Economy

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Britain Will Struggle to Make EU Migrants ‘Go Home’

·         Can the EU-Turkey Migration Deal Survive Erdoğan’s Purges?

Centre For Military, Security And Strategic Studies

·         The Journal of Military and Strategic Studies (JMSS):  2016, v. 17, no. 1

o    Western Things Fall Apart?

o    Beyond the Central Eurasian Pivot?

o    At the Edges of the Map: The Chronotope of Informatics and Maps of Human Terrain

o    History, Science, and the Study of Rivalry in International Relations

o    Are returning foreign fighters dangerous? Re-investigating Hegghammer’s assessment of the impact of veteran foreign fighters on the operational effectiveness of domestic terrorism in the West

o    Mission Command-able? Assessing the Compatibility of Organizational Change and Military Culture in the U.S. Army

o    Russia’s Military Reform: Putin’s Last Card

o    From “E” to “K”: The Development of the Mandate System and Britain’s Influence over Iraq

o    The Fight Against Terrorism—the need for local police units in the United States’ intelligence community

Centre for Security Governance

·         Foreign Ownership Bans and Private Security: Protectionism or Security Sector Governance?

·         Measuring Security: Homicide as an Indicator of State Capacity In Oil-Producing States

Chatham House

·         Refugees and Energy Resilience in Jordan

·         Transatlantic Rifts: Averting a Turkey/Russia Conflict

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Mistakes, Means and Opportunities: How Donors Understand and Influence Legitimate and Inclusive Politics in Afghanistan

Committee For a Responsible Federal Budget

·         Promises and Price Tags: A Fiscal Guide to the 2016 Election

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         August Terror Threat Snapshot

·         Streamlining the Department of Homeland Security's Overhead Will Make the Homeland Safer

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         The Distribution of Asset Holdings and Capital Gains

·         Interest Costs in The Long-Term Budget Outlook

Council on Foreign Relations

·         Impact of Removing Tax Preferences for U.S.Oil and Gas Production

Department of Defense Office of the Actuary

·         2015 DoD Statistical Report on the Military Retirement System [select Military Retirement and then Statistical reports]

Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

·         Final Report of the Cybersecurity Subcommittee Part II

Department of State

·         Drug Demand Reduction

·         Religious Extremism in Africa

East-West Center

·         Climate in Context: Science and Society Partnering for Adaptation

Electronic Frontier Foundation

·         Operation Manul: Unveiling a Campaign of Intimidation, Kidnapping, and Malware in Kazakhstan

Enough Project

·         Bangui Carousel: How the Recycling of Political Elites Reinforces Instability and Violence in the Central African Republic

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         The American Professional Military Ethic: Ephemeral and Unenforceable?

·         The Real Terrorist Threats to the Rio Olympics

·         The Suffocating Symbiosis: Russia Seeks Trojan Horses Inside Fractious Bulgaria’s Political Corral

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         The Far Right in the Conflict between Russia and Ukraine

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·         Fleeing the Peace? Determinants of Outward Migration after Civil War

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Mexico’s Strategic Comparative Advantage in International Trade: At the Crossroads of NAFTA, the Pacific Alliance, TPP, and TTIP

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Arleigh Burke Destroyers: Delaying Procurement of DDG 51 Flight III Ships Would Allow Time to Increase Design Knowledge. GAO-16-613  

·         DATA Act: Initial Observations on Technical Implementation. GAO-16-824R

·         FACE Recognition Technology: FBI Should Better Ensure Privacy and Accuracy [Reissued on August 3, 2016]. GAO-16-267

·         Federal Telework: Better Guidance Could Help Agencies Calculate Benefits and Costs. GAO-16-551

·         Female Genital Mutilation/Cutting: Existing Federal Efforts to Increase Awareness Should Be Improved. GAO-16-645

·         Firearms Data: ATF Did Not Always Comply with the Appropriations Act Restriction and Should Better Adhere to Its Policies. GAO-16-552

·         Nuclear Waste: Waste Isolation Pilot Plant Recovery Demonstrates Cost and Schedule Requirements Needed for DOE Cleanup Operations. GAO-16-608

Heritage Foundation

·         Mistaken Belief That All Strict Liability Crimes Are Morally Objectionable

·         Operational Assessment of the F-35A Argues for Full Program Procurement and Concurrent Development Process

·         The Threat of Islamist Terrorism in Europe and How the U.S. Should Respond

·         United Nations Peacekeeping Flaws and Abuses:The U.S. Must Demand Reform

Homeland Security Advisory Council

·         Final Report of the Cybersecurity Subcommittee: Part II - State, Local, Tribal & Territorial

Households in Conflict Network

·         Causes and Consequence of Violent Extremism in Northeast Nigeria

·         Export Crops and Civil Conflict

·         The Long-lasting Shadow of the Allied Occupation of Austria on its Spatial Equilibrium

·         Missing Men: World War II Casualties and Structural Change

Human Rights Voices

·         Report on Palestinian Child Terrorists:Children Who Kill and Their Adult Enablers

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         Beyond Cartographic Assertion: A Roadmap on Pakistan Occupied Kashmir

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, August 4, 2016

o    Municipal Elections Shake Up South African Politics

o    Strangers in a Familiar Land—A Referendum on Ivoirité?

Institute for International Political Studies [Italian]

·         New Transatlantic Relationship: Between Continuity, Change, and Disillusionment

Institute for Science and International Security

·         Iran's Long-Term Enrichment Program: Providing Needed Transparency

Institute for Social Policy and Understanding (ISPU)

·         American Muslim Poll 2016

·         American Muslims in the 2016 Election and Beyond: Principles and Strategies for Greater Political Engagement

Institute for Strategic Dialogue

·         The Impact of Counter-Narratives

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         US War Hawks’ Eurasia Goal: Prevent Russo-German Coalition, China’s OBOR Project

Institute for the Study of War

·         Iraq Situation Report: July 26-August 2, 2016

·         Opposition Forces Launch Offensive to Break the Siege of Aleppo

·         Partial Assessment of Turkey's Post-Coup Attempt Military Purge

·         Syria Situation Report: July 30 - August 5, 2016

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Re-Ordering the Middle East?

·         Role of Gulf States in Peace and Security and Development in Sub-Saharan Africa

·         Syrian Refugees in Turkey: Insecure Lives in an Environment of Pseudo-Integration

·         Turkey's African Experience: From Venture to Normalization

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         GST in India: Success Comes with New Challenges

International Crisis Group

·         Katanga: Tensions in DRC's Mineral Heartland

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         The Case for an Independent Fiscal Institution in Japan

·         Inflation and the Black Market Exchange Rate in a Repressed Market : A Model of Venezuela

·         Measuring Concentration Risk - A Partial Portfolio Approach

·         Reflating Japan : Time to Get Unconventional?

Jamestown Foundation

·         China Brief, August 1, 2016, v. 16, no. 12

o    Snapshot: China’s Southern Theater Command

o    Intellectuals Lobby for More Freedom as President Xi Faces Pushback From Party Rivals

o    Growing PLA Transparency Part 2: PLA External  Signaling since the 18th Party Congress

o    ASEAN-China Dialogue  Relations at 25

·         Terrorism Monitor, August 6, 2016, v. 14, no. 16

o    A New Threat to Libya’s Stability Emerges

o    Why Islamic State Is Clinging on to the Syrian City of Manbij

o    Al-Shabaab Leader’s First Audio Message Suggests Morale Is Low Among Somali Militants

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         North Korea´s Carefully Coordinated Plan and THAAD

Long War Journal

·         Charting the Data for US Air Strikes in Yemen, 2002 - 2016 [updated August 2, 2016]

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·         Making the Most of the G20

National Academies Press

·         Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change

·         Exploring Encryption and Potential Mechanisms for Authorized Government Access to Plaintext:  Proceedings of a Workshop 

National Law Enforcement Officers Memorial Fund (NLEOMF)

·         Deadly Calls and Fatal Encounters: Analysis of U.S. Law Enforcement Line of Duty Deaths when Officers Responded toDispatched Calls for Service and Conducted Enforcement (2010-2014)

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors

·         EU Economic Policy Coordination

Oxford Research Group

·         Remote Control Project: Remote-Control Warfare Monthly Briefing | #17

Peacekeeping and Stability Operations Institute (PKSOI)

·         Stability Operations in Somalia 1992-1993: A Case Study

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Converging on the Medal Stand: Rio 2016 Olympic Forecasts

·         The Divergent Postcommunist Paths to Democracy and Economic Freedom

·         Reducing Government Debt Ratios in an Era of Low Growth

Physicians for Human Rights

·         Madaya: Portrait of a  Syrian Town Under Siege

Rand

·         Internet-facilitated Drugs Trade: An Analysis of the Size, Scope and the Role of the Netherlands

·         Officer Accession Planning: A Manual for Estimating Air Force Officer Degree Requirements

·         Retention, Incentives, and DoD Experience Under the 40-Year Military Pay Table

·         The Role of the 'Dark Web' in the Trade of Illicit Drugs

·         Understanding the Costs and Benefits of State-Level Immigration Policies

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·         China’s Belt and Road: A View From Delhi

·         If War Comes Tomorrow: How Russia Prepares for Possible Armed Aggression

·         Making Information Flow: Instruments and Innovations for Enhancing Financial Intelligence

·         Tbilisi Silk Road Forum: Next Steps for Georgia and the Silk Road

·         Understanding Iran's Role in the Syrian Conflict

Small Wars Journal

·         Attritional War: The Neglected Phase of Modern Warfare

·         Coke Zero: FARC’s End and the Future of Colombian Cocaine

·         Countering the Boko Haram Group in Nigeria:The Relevance of Hybrid Doctrine

·         Designing Autonomous Systems for Warfighters:Keeping Humans in the Loop

·         Enabling the Message to Garcia

·         The Future Operating Environment 2050: Chaos,Complexity and Competition

·         The Human Domain and the Future of Army Warfare: Present as Prelude to 2050

·         Induced Negative Subliminal Reactions to Radical Media and Propaganda: Countering Recruiting Efforts in a Congested Media Environment

·         Mike Flynn and the “Howling Waste”

·         A Primer on Counterinsurgent Warfare

·         The Secret War: Intelligence and Covert Operations in the Dhofar Rebellion

·         The Soviet-Afghanistan War: Direct and Indirect Intervention

·         Start Army Aviator Training the Old-Fashioned Way

·         Understanding the Gülen Movement

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         SIGAR 16-49 Afghan National Army: DOD Has Taken Steps to Remedy Poor Management of Vehicle Maintenance Program

Strategic Studies Institute

·         2016-17 Key Strategic Issues List

Transparency International

·         Transparency and Corruption: A Role in Mega Trade Deals

United Kingdom Ministry of Defense

·         2015 to 2020 Government Policy: Military Aid to the Civil Authorities for Activities in the UK

US-China Economic and Security Review Commission

·         Planning for Innovation: Understanding China’s Plans for Technological, Energy, Industrial, and Defense Development

·         Policy Considerations for Negotiating a U.S.-China Bilateral Investment Treaty

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Damascus Control Emboldens Assad Nationally

·         Energy and U.S. Middle East Policy in an Era of Plentiful Oil

·         Palestinian Local Elections: An Opportunity for Political Revival or a Game of Chicken

·         Prosecuting Assad: War Crimes, Mass Atrocities, and U.S. Policy

·         The Transformation of Hezbollah by Its Involvement in Syria

·         U.S. Strikes Islamic State in Libya

White House

·         FACT SHEET: A Record of Serving Our Veterans

World Bank

·         Left Behind: Chronic Poverty in Latin America and the Caribbean

·         Pirates of Somalia: Crime and Deterrence onthe High Seas