Friday's Miscellany 05-09-2025

 38 North

• Coal Exports from Rason at Highest Levels in Years 
• Quick Take: Buildings Take Shape at New Chinese Crossing 
• Quick Take: Progress on New Rail Spur at Sohae Satellite Launching Station 

 American Enterprise Institute

• Developing a Model of National Security Innovation:  Systems, Enablers, and Types 

 Amnesty International

• Uncounted: Invisible Deaths of Older People and Children During Climate Disasters in Pakistan 

 Army University Press

• Opération Serval: A Memoir of War 

 Asan Institute for Policy Studies

• Outlook for North Korea Policy under the Second Trump Administration and South Korea’s Response 
• A Sixties Comeback: Restoring U.S. Nuclear Presence in Northeast Asia 

 ASUA Institute of Land Warfare

• Beyond the Blue: The Human Dimension in the Indo-Pacific 

 Atlantic Council

• Counting the Costs: A Cybersecurity Metrics Framework for Policy 

 Baker Institute for Public Policy

• Small Modular Reactors for Nuclear Desalination and Cogeneration in the Permian Basin 

 Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

• The European Economic Strategy after the EU and US Elections 
• War and Peace in the 21st Century. The Future of the Middle East: Understanding Conflict, Building Peace 

 Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

• In the Vortex of Great Power Competition:  Climate, Trade, and Geostrategic Rivalry in U.S.–China–EU Relations 

 Blair Institute for Global Change

• Governing in the Age of AI: Reimagining Local Government 

 Brookings Institution

• Building Regional Capacity for AI Safety and Security in Africa 
• What Happens to DOGE When Elon Musk is Gone? 

 Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

• The Sovereign Imperative of Making Canadians Care About National Security 

 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

• What the White House and Congress Can Do to Prevent Global Mass Atrocities 

 Cato Institute

• The Politics of Tariff Exemptions 

 Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

• Lessons in Learning:  Ensuring Interoperability for Autonomous Systems in the Department of Defense 

 Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA)

• Adaptation Under Fire:  Mass, Speed, and Accuracy Transform Russia’s Kill Chain in Ukraine 
• Defend in the Cloud: Boost NATO Data Resilience 
• Russia’s Strategy and Military Thinking:  Evolving Discourse by 2025 
• War and Sino-Russian Partnership:  An Indispensable but Uneasy Relationship 

 Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

• Best Practices for Countering Malign Influence  

 Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET)

• Guiding Opinions of the General Office of the State Council on Promoting the High-Quality Development of Government Investment Funds [translation] 
• Testimony before the U.S. House Committee on the Judiciary, Subcommittee on Courts, Intellectual Property, Artificial Intelligence, and the Internet 

 Center for Security Studies (CSS)

• Russian Analytical Digest
• No. 326: Business Elites and State-Business Relations 

 Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

• At the Doorstep:  A Snapshot of New Activity at Cuban Spy Sites 
• Game On for the United States and Canada After Oval Office Opener 
• Insights for Future Conflicts from the Russia-Ukraine War 
• Operational Fires in the Age of Punishment 
• Rebuilding U.S. Zinc Capacity in an Era of Global Competition 
• Underexplored and Undervalued: Addressing Africa’s Mineral Exploration Gap 

 Centre for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS)

• Turkey’s Role in Consolidating European Security: Challenges and Opportunities 

 Centre for European Reform (CER)

• Ditchley Conference Report: A European Path to Higher Economic Growth 
• Does EU Enlargement Require Voting Reform? 

 Chicago Council on Global Affairs

• Just Half of Americans Support Airstrikes Against Houthis 
• Most Americans Think the United States Should Pursue Global Free Trade 
• US-Russia Relations in a Changing World 

 China Aerospace Studies Institute (CASI)

• The Real Space Race:  China Will Send a Crew to Orbit Mars by 2050 

 Clingendael Institute - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• Dealing with Authoritarian Security Providers: Risks and Possibilities 

 Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

• Business Tax Credits for Wind and Solar Power 
• CBO’s Interactive Force Structure Tool [Explore the Interaction Between the Size and Cost of Military Forces] 
• Effects of Lower Launch Costs on Previous Estimates for Space-Based, Boost-Phase Missile Defense 
• The Federal Environment for Surface Transportation Infrastructure 
• The U.S. Military’s Force Structure: Fiscal Year 2025 Update to Personnel Numbers and Costs 

 Counter Extremism

• Countering Extremism in West Africa: What Options Are Left? 

 Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

• The Political Economy of Mini-Grids in Ghana 

 Department of Defense (DOD)

• Certification of Merit-Based Military Service Academy Admissions 
• Development of the 2025 National Defense Strategy 
• Implementing Policy on Prioritizing Military Excellence and Readiness 
• Memorandum Directing General and Flag Officer Reductions  
• Reviewing the Department's Military Educational Institution Library Collections
• Memo 
• Statement 

 Department of Defense, Inspector General (DODIG)

• DODIG-2025-091 Evaluation of the DoD’s Capabilities to Effectively Carry out Joint Logistics Over-the-Shore Operations and Exercises 

 ENSURED Project 

• Climate Negotiations Under Scrutiny: Is UNFCCC Decision-Making Up to the Challenge? 
• The Intellectual Property and Public Health Regime Complex: Considerations on Vaccine Access and Equity 
• Regulating Cyberspace: UN Consensus-Building in a Fragmented Digital World 
• The UN Human Rights Council: Challenges and Opportunities for Reform 

 EU Joint Research Centre (JRC)

• JRC and the EU’s Arctic Policy 

 European Council on Foreign Relations

• MAGA Goes Global: Trump’s Plan for Europe 
• Pieces in Motion: Rebalancing Power in a New Levantine Order 

 Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

• Coalitions of the Willing within the EU: Opportunities and Risks of Differentiated Integration 

 Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

• Navigating Political Crisis and Conflict in Mozambique: Quad’s Interest and Strategy 
• Navigating Turbulent Waters: Does Zimbabwe Have a Future? 
• The Return to Strategic Ambiguity: Assessing Trump’s Taiwan Stance 

 Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD)

• The Houthi Challenge:  Forging a Strategy to Defeat the Iran-Backed Terror Group in Yemen 

 French Institute of International Relations (IFRI)

• A Fragile Consensus?  The Pressure on the Norm Against Nuclear Testing 

 German Institute for International and Security Affairs (Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik) (Germany)

• Israel’s Radical Government:  Dismantling the Separation of Powers, Takeover of the State Apparatus, and Accelerated Annexation 

 German Marshall Fund of the United States

• Democracy Building in Moldova:  Diaspora’s Vision for Moldova’s Resilient Future 

 Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime

• Who is Making Russia's Drones? 

 Global Network on Extremism & Technology (GNET)

• "Everyone Will Remember Jamie”: A Post-Adolescence Reflection on Online Misogyny 
• IS Wilayah Somalia: Digital Propaganda and Strategy Against the Puntland and its Foreign Allies 
• Platforming the Caliphate: Hizb ut-Tahrir’s Digital Strategy and Radicalisation Risks /

 Global Taiwan Institute

• Global Taiwan Brief, 2025, v. 10, no. 9 
• Polls Indicate that the US Public Supports Taiwan Defense, Regardless of Views on China
• The Malicious Exploitation of Deepfake Technology: Political Manipulation, Disinformation, and Privacy Violations in Taiwan
• Growing Canada-Taiwan Relations—Will the Momentum Continue?
• Rethinking Taiwan’s Investment Security Strategy
• Taiwan’s “Little Pink” Resentment: Expulsions, Douyin, and the Edge of Democratic Tolerance
• Taiwan’s Role in the Global Democracy Movement: Civil Society Innovation, Resilience, and Engagement 

 Government Accountability Office (GAO)

• Commuter Rail: Most Systems Struggling to Recover Ridership Following the COVID-19 Pandemic GAO-25-107511 
• Federal Workforce: Observations on the Implementation of the Trusted Workforce 2.0 Personnel Vetting Reform Initiative GAO-25-107325 
• Intellectual Property: Patent Office Should Strengthen Its Efforts to Address Persistent Examination and Quality Challenges GAO-25-107218 
• Priority Open Recommendations: Department of Justice GAO-25-108009 
• Priority Open Recommendations: Office of the Director of National Intelligence GAO-25-108078 
• Quadrennial Homeland Security Review: Improvements Needed to Meet Statutory Requirements and Engage Stakeholders GAO-25-107269 
• Telework: Private Sector Stakeholder and Expert Views GAO-25-107078 

 Griffith University

• China Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) Investment Report 2024 

 Hague Centre for Strategic Studies  (HCSS)

• Hybrid Threat Modeling 
• The Socio-Political Instability Observer: January 2025 

 Henry L. Stimson Center

• Nuclear Ambiguity in the Indian Ocean 
• Why Russia Isn’t Doomed 

 Hudson Institute

• Stop Giving Beijing an Advantage Through TikTok 

 Human Rights Watch

• Facing the Bulldozers: Iban Indigenous Resistance to the Timber Industry in Sarawak, Malaysia 
• From Bad to Worse: The Deterioration of Media Freedom in Greece 

 Institute for Science and International Security

• Alabuga Special Economic Zone Post-Attack Analysis and Air Defense Site Identification 
• Iranian Breakout Timelines Under JCPOA-Type Limits 

 Institute for Security & Development Policy (ISDP) 

• Military-Civil Fusion is a Key Chinese Strategy with Long-term Implications:  An Interview with Jingdong Yuan and Yifei Zhu 
• Tibet’s Climate Crisis: The Japanese Perspective 

 Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD) 

• Data Briefing – January to August 2024: Online Domestic Extremism in Canada 

 Institute for Strategic Research at the Military School (Institut de Recherche Stratégique de l'Ecole Militaire)

• The Belt and Road Initiative in Central Asia: Trade, Influence and Rivalries 
• Chinese Cloud Seeding Practices on the Tibetan Plateau 

 Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

• Can Reconciliation Happen without (Positive) Peace? 
• European and Italian Just Transition Policies amid Industrial Decarbonisation and External Policies 
• Will Trump’s Visit to the Gulf Be More than Just Fanfare? 

 Institute for the Study of War

• Africa File
• May 8, 2025: RSF Drone Strikes on Port Sudan; Iran Exports Regime Security to Africa; Burkina Faso Looks for Additional Partners 
• China-Taiwan Weekly Update
• May 9, 2025 
• Far-Right Gains in Romania Could Advance Kremlin Objectives 
• Hiding Russia’s Weakness 
• Iran Update
• May 5 
• May 6 
• May 7 
• May 8 
• May 9 
• Russian Force Generation and Technological Adaptations Update
• May 7  
• Russian Occupation Update
• May 5 
• May 8 
• Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
• May 5 
• May 6 
• May 7 
• May 8 
• May 9 
• May 10 
• May 11 

 International Centre for Defence and Security (ICDS)

• Distance is Not a Shield. Russia’s Transnational Repression in Wartime 
• Russia’s War in Ukraine: Ukraine’s Strategy and Western Military Assistance 

 International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR)

• The Impact of Trauma Survey: Breaking Cycles of Trauma and Violence 

 International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)

• Ballistics after Bashar 
• Countering China’s Navy:  The U.S. Air Fleet’s Growing Anti-Ship Role  
• Evolving Dynamics of China’s Middle East and North Africa Strategy:  Future Scenarios 
• Made in Yemen? Assessing the Houthis’ Arms-Production Capacity 

 Irregular Warfare Center (IWC)

• Future Challenges to Cognitive Superiority 

 Jamestown Foundation

• China Brief, May 9, 2025, v. 25, no. 9 
• Beijing Touts Malaria Victory in African ‘Discourse Power’ Push
• PRC Logistics Firms in the United States and Mexico Support Military-Civil Fusion
• Hong Kong’s IPO Market Gets Boost from PRC Firms
• Weaponizing the Electromagnetic Spectrum: The PRC’s High-powered Microwave Warfare Ambitions
• Taiwan Exposes More PRC Military Infiltration Cases
• Strategic Snapshot -- CCP Aggression Against Taiwan 

 Jewish Institute for National Security of America’s (JINSA)

• Flight Risk:  Turkey and the F-35 

 Lowy Institute for International Relations

• Trapped in Debt:  China’s Role in Laos’ Economic Crisis 

 Martens Centre for European Studies

• Evaluating China’s Space Capabilities and Ambitions  
• How Mainstream Parties Can Defend Democracy by Adopting Parts of the Populist Agenda 

 MITRE

• The AI Assurance Landscape (v1.0) 
• Barriers in Defense Acquisition 

 National Academies Press 

• Developing a Research Agenda on Contrails and Their Climate Impacts 
• Forecasting the Ocean: The 2025–2035 Decade of Ocean Science 

 National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS)

• NIDS ASEAN Workshop 2025: New Strategies in Southeast Asia? 

 National Security Space Association (NSSA)

• Reconciliation and National Security Space 

 NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence

• Impact of the Digital Services Act: A Facebook Case Study 

 Naval War College China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI)

• Sea Dragons: Special Operations and Chinese Military Strategy 

 Naval War College Stockton Center for International Law

• International Law Studies 2025, v. 106, issue 1 
• Intervention, Force & Coercion: A Historical Inquiry on the Evolution of the Prohibition on Intervention 
• Normative Contestation in the International Order: Is China Remaking Global Governance? 

 Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI)

• Foreign Terror Pipelines in the Academy: The Case Study of SFSU and Dr. Rabab Abdulhadi 
• Sourcing Deception and Influence by Design: How the CCP Uses TikTok to Fight the Trade War 

 New America

• Terrorism in America After 9/11:  A Detailed Look at Jihadist Terrorist Activity in the United States and by Americans overseas Since 9/11

 Observer Research Foundation

• Global AI’s ‘DeepSeek Moment’: Impact and Implications 
• The Road to 5G Innovation: Exploring O-RAN Through Experimentation 
• The State of the Global Energy Transition 

 Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

• Alignment or Misalignment?  U.S. and EU High-Tech Trade and Sanctions Policies Toward China 
• Destined for Division?  U.S. and EU Responses to the Challenge of Chinese Overcapacity 

 Pew Research Center

• Americans’ Trust in One Another 
• Views of Race, Policing and Black Lives Matter in the 5 Years Since George Floyd’s Killing 

 Project on Middle East Political Science (POMEPS)

• State and Regime Violence 

 RAND Corporation

• Furthering Intelligence Research:  How the National Intelligence University Can Fill Critical Gaps for Intelligence Research 
• Inclusion of Operating and Support Costs in Competitive Air Force Source Selections:  Challenges and Tools for Implementation 
• On the Extinction Risk from Artificial Intelligence 
• Political Discourse, Debate, and Decisionmaking in the Chinese Communist Party 
• U.S. Space Force Operational Test and Training Infrastructure (OTTI):  Recommendations for Organizational Roles, Responsibilities, and Authorities 
• Veteran Families in America [infographic] 

 Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

• South Korea’s Global Vision:  Opportunities for UK–South Korea Partnership 

 South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

• The Art of the Deal: How Africa Should Play its Cards in a New Era of Minerals Diplomacy 
• Momentum for Middle Powers: Emerging Middle Powers Report 2025 

 Stimson Center

• IUU Fishing Risk Analysis in Southeast Asia Digital Dashboard 

 Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS)

• China-Russia Dashboard 
• China-Russia Alignment – a Shared Vision, Without Fully Seeing Eye to Eye 
• China-Russia Trade: Asymmetrical, Yet Indispensable  
• Joint Military Exercises Signal Deepening Russia-China Strategic Alignment 
• The Land of Victorious Militarism – Militaristic Indoctrination in Russia 

 Swedish National China Centre

• The Chinese Communist Party’s Influence Over Businesses 

 Taylor & Francis

• Intelligence and National Security, 2025
• How Do We Know if an Intelligence Analytic Product is Good? [open access article] 
• A Risk Science Perspective on How to Evaluate the Quality of Intelligence Assessments [open access article]
• Visualizing versus Verbalizing Uncertainty in Intelligence Analysis [open access article] 
• Journal of Policing, Intelligence and Counter Terrorism, 2024
• Ideological Idiosyncrasies and Individual-Level Radicalisation Pathways: Unpacking the Mutating Dynamics of Contemporary Extremism [open access article] 

 Toda Peace Institute

• Countering Human Rights Regression to Safeguard Peace 

 UK Ministry of Defense

• UK Support to Ukraine:  Fact Sheet 

 UK Parliament. House of Commons. Defense Committee

• The Armed Forces Covenant 

 UN Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR)

• Embedding Fairness: Boosting Efficacy Innovation Nuclear Weapons Space 

 UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

• UNODC Drug Use Disorder Treatment and Care - Menu of Services 

 US Army.  Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC)

• How China Fights in Large-Scale Combat Operations 

 U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission

• China Bulletin:  May 1, 2025 
• Chinese Companies Listed on Major U.S. Stock Exchanges 

 US Marine Corps (USMC)

• Artificial Intelligence Implementation Plan 

 United States Studies Centre (USSC)

• Rising to the challenge: Delivering Australia’s Nuclear-Powered Submarine Program