Friday's Miscellany 12-22-2023 & 12-29-2023

 38 North

• A New Effort to Conceal Activity at Nampho Port 
• Third Successful Launch of North Korea’s Hwasong-18 Solid ICBM Probably Marks Operational Deployment 

 American Enterprise Institute (AEI)

• Pluralism and the American Constitution 

 Army Cyber Institute (ACI)

• Cyber Defense Review, Fall 2023, v. 8, no. 3 
• Coalition Strategic Cyber Campaigns: Functional Engagement as Cyber Doctrine for Middle Power Statecraft
• Weaponizing Words: Using Technology to Proliferate Information Warfare
• The Ukrainian Information and Cyber War
• U.S. Allies Offensive Cyber: Entrapment Risk or Entanglement Nuisance
• Risks to Zero Trust in a Federated Mission Partner Environment
• Competitive Advantage in the Russo-Ukraine War: Technological Potential against a Kremlin Goliath
• Beyond “Bigger, Faster, Better:” Assessing Thinking about Artificial Intelligence and Cyber Conflict

 Asan Institute for Policy Studies

• Understanding the Recent Southeast Asian Arms Build-Up: A Commitment to a Minimum Military Response Capability 

 Atlantic Council

• Evolving Cooperative Security Approaches for Tomorrow’s Realities 
• How to Hold the Islamic Republic of Iran Accountable in European Courts 
• Navigating Sweden’s NATO Membership: Insights for Political and Operational Adaptation 
• Up for Grabs? The Western Balkans’ Aging Energy Systems Place It between East and West 

 Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

• The Influence of Sea Power in Iran’s Proxy War Part 2: US Navy Operations and Options 
• Turkey Will Not Alter Its Anti-Israel, Anti-Western Position Until It Pays a Price for It 

 Brookings Institution

• South Korea as a Global Pivotal State 

 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

• Human Freedom Index, 2023 

 Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET)

• Scaling AI:  Cost and Performance of AI at the Leading Edge 

 Center for Homeland Defense and Security (CHDS)

• Homeland Security Affairs Journal, 2023, v. 19 
• Are U.S.A. School Shootings Black Swans? 

 Center for Security Studies (CSS)

• Caucasus Analytical Digest
• No. 135: Impact of the Russian War against Ukraine on Georgia 
• Russian Analytical Digest
• No. 305: Perceptions of Russia’s War in the Global South 
• No. 306: Russian Occupation in Ukraine              
• No. 307: Taking Russia to Court  
• Ukrainian Analytical Digest (UAD)
• No. 3: Russian Occupation in Ukraine 

 Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

• 2023 DAPA-CSIS Executive Summary:  ROK-U.S. Defense Industrial Cooperation for a Resilient Global Supply Chain 
• Deep Blue Scars:  Environmental Threats to the South China Sea 
• Getting on Track:  Space and Airborne Sensors for Hypersonic Missile Defense 
• Investing in Quality Education for Economic Development, Peace, and Stability 
• NATO’s Role in Protecting Critical Undersea Infrastructure 
• Transatlantic Trade and Climate: Evaluating Differences and Commonalities in Mutual Approaches 
• Why the Washington Summit Should Focus on Europe 

 Center for the Study of Intelligence

• Studies in Intelligence, December 2023, v. 67, no. 4 
• Intelligence and Diplomacy in China’s Civil War George C. Marshall as Special Envoy to China, December 1945 to January 1947
• Intelligence and Technology: Artificial Intelligence for Analysis: The Road Ahead
• An Inevitable Future? The End of Human Intelligence Analysis—Better Start Preparing
• “This Piece Was Written by a Machine”: Intelligence Analysis, Synthesis, and Automation
• The Enduring Importance of the Humanities in the Work of Intelligence
• Instituting Devil’s Advocacy in IC Analysis after the Arab-Israeli War of October 1973

 Centre for European Reform (CER)

• How to Minimise the 'Greenlash' 

 Centre for Information Resilience (CIR)

• Fire at Sufyan Oil Field, East Darfur: RSF Claims Responsibility for Damage to ‘Sudan’s Largest Oil Field’ 
• Hawaiian Wildfires: Natural Disasters and Conspiracy Theories 
• Investigators Document More than 400 Reports of Burnt Bodies in Myanmar, Two Years on from Moso Christmas Eve Killings 
• Properties on Fire in the Village of Al Takma, South Kordofan 

 Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

• Responsible Innovation in Disruptive Digital and Data Technologies 

 Centre for Military, Security and Strategic Studies

• Journal of Military and Strategic Studies, 2023, v. 22, no. 4 
• Military Service and Serving The Community: How the Second World War Propelled Activism Forward for Indigenous and Native American Servicewomen
• Servicewomen as Whistleblowers: Canadian Servicewomen and the Revelations of Military Sexual Violence
• The LGBT Purge, Its Demise, and the Aftermath: Retired Servicewomen Paving The Way
• A Nurse In Somalia And The Current Call To Increase Female Membership in the Canadian Armed Forces: A Retrospective Re-Interpretation
• Between Military Intent and Experience: Understanding Disconnect through Institutional Ethnography
• What Kind of Mission is that?: The Brazilian Armed Forces’ Performance in Nontraditional Operations
• Militarising Rape: A Strategic Analysis of Bosnian Rape Camps and the Japanese "Comfort Women" System
• Instructional Design Linking Military Training and Academic Education for Officer Cadets
• Application of the Targeting Process in Simulations of the Anti-Surface Operation Conducted by Mil Mi-24 Helicopter

 Chicago Council on Global Affairs

• Half of Americans Say Diversity Benefits the United States 

 Clingendael Institute - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• The European Union in a Crowded Horn of Africa 

 Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

• CTC Sentinel, December 2023, v. 16, no. 11 
• Iraq’s New Regime Change: How Tehran-Backed Terrorist Organizations and Militias Captured the Iraqi State
• The Path to October 7: How Iran Built Up and Managed a Palestinian ‘Axis of Resistance’
• The Future of Terrorist Use of Improvised Explosive Devices: Getting in Front of an Evolving Threat

 Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

• Mislabeled as a Threat: How the Terrorist Watchlist and Government Screening Practices Impact Americans 

 Congress. House. Select Committee on the Strategic Competition between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party

• Reset, Prevent, Build: A Strategy to Win America's Economic Competition with the Chinese Communist Party 

 Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

• Fentanyl and the U.S. Opioid Epidemic 
• Why Fentanyl Is a Foreign Policy Problem 
• Why Pakistan Is Deporting Afghan Migrants 

 Counter Extremism Project (CEP)

• The Houthis’ Use of Technology for Repression 

 Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

• Counter-Piracyin the Gulf of Guinea Must Not Overlook Local Struggle and Suffering 

 Department of Defense (DOD)

• Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response  [website] 
• DoDI 3000.17 Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response 
• DoDI 5000.97 Digital Engineering 
• Strengthening Food Security in the Force: Building on Our Progress 
• Fact Sheet: Department of Defense Concludes 'Decisive Year' in the Indo-Pacific Region  
• Ukraine Fact Sheet
• December 27 https://media.defense.gov/2023/Dec/27/2003366049/-1/-1/1/UKRAINE-FACT-SHEET-27-DEC.PDF

 Department of Homeland Security Office of the Inspector General

• OIG-24-08 Coast Guard National Maritime Center's Oversight of Merchant Mariner Training and Examinations

 Egmont: The Royal Institute for International Relations

• The Ticking Clock for Russia’s Endless War:  Unveiling Silent Turmoil on Putin’s Second Front 

 European Asylum Support Office (EASO)              

• EUAA Strategy on Vulnerability 

 European Institute of the Mediterranean

• IEMed Mediterranean Yearbook 2023 

 European Network for Economic and Fiscal Policy Research (EconPol)

• Rethinking Geoeconomics: Trade Policy Scenarios for Europe's Economy 

 European Union (EU)

• AI in Science: Harnessing the Power of AI to Accelerate Discovery and Foster Innovation 

 European Union CT MORSE

• Reaching behind Frontlines: Promoting Exit from al-Shabaab through Communications Campaigns 

 Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

• Brazil's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing 
• Lebanon's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing 

 Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

• A Shared EU-US Economic Agenda for the World: Engagement as an Imperative 

 Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

• ASEAN’s Centrality in Southeast Asian Affairs: Miles to Go 
• Controlling the Narrative:  A Roadmap to Russia’s 2024 Presidential Election 
• Overcoming A Clausewitz-Centric Mindset in Nontraditional Wars 
• Trends in Terrorism: What’s on the Horizon in 2024? 
• US and North Korea: Testing the Water on Arms Control and Reduction 

 German Council on Foreign Relations (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e. V.)

• Intergovernmental Partnerships in Climate Change Mitigation: Toward a Strategic Orientation 
• Transatlantic Cooperation on Ukraine: How Europe Could Respond to Uncertainty over US Assistance 

 German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

• Background and Consequences of the Military Coup in Niger 
• Interlinking Humanitarian Aid, Development Cooperation and Peacebuilding in Displacement Contexts 

 Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime

• Convergence:  The Evolution of Targeted Sanctions Usage against Organized Crime 
• Hard Targets:  Identifying a Framework of Objectives for Targeted Sanctions on Illicit Economies 
• Rethinking Human Rights and Responses to Organized Crime 

 Global Network on Extremism & Technology (GNET)

• Artificial Intelligence as a Terrorism Enabler? Understanding the Potential Impact of Chatbots and Image Generators 
• Pro-Taliban Media Campaign Highlights Regional Threats to Afghanistan’s Neighbours 
• The Vitalisation of Hindu Nationalism in Nepal and Social Media as a Tool of Pro-Hindutva Propaganda Overseas 

 Globsec 

• Building a True Russian Federation: How to Democratise, Decentralise and Therefore Federalise the Russia of the Future 
• The European Union Is Better Off With Ukraine as a Member 
• Five Security Scenarios on Russian War in Ukraine for 2024-2025: Implications and Policy Recommendations to Western Partners 
• United Nations Code of Conduct for Information Integrity on Digital Platforms 

 Government Accountability Office (GAO)

• Defense Health Care: DOD Assessment Needed to Ensure TRICARE Behavioral Health Coverage Goals Are Being Met GAO-24-106597 
• Medical Device Cybersecurity: Agencies Need to Update Agreement to Ensure Effective Coordination GAO-24-106683 
• Pandemic Risk: Federal Insurance Approaches Would Entail Costs to Taxpayers and Businesses Might Not Participate GAO-24-106075 
• VA Health Care: The Medically Underserved Facilities Initiative GAO-24-106306 

 Hoover Institution

• Strategika, no. 89: Urban Warfare, Collateral Civilian Deaths, and the Laws of War  
• A Not-So-Distant Mirror: What the Battle of Manila During World War II Suggests About Urban Combat, War Crimes, and the Battle for Gaza
• Urban Warfare: Old and New
• The Laws of War and Their Application in Israel’s Fight against Hamas

 Hudson Institute

• Make Russia Pay: The Case for Seizing Russia’s Sovereign Assets 

 Human Rights Watch

• Meta’s Broken Promises: Systemic Censorship of Palestine Content on Instagram and Facebook 

 Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)  

• IDF’s Subterranean Challenge: Profiling Gaza Metro, Hamas’s Centre of Gravity 
• The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict: Implications for Regional Security 

 Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

• Prohibited Extremist Activities in the U.S. Department of Defense 

 Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD)  

• Caution, Manipulated! A Guide for Communication Managers from MPs’ Offices, Ministries and Authorities 
• In the Blind Spot – Right-wing Extremists on Alternative and Established Platforms 

 Institute for the Study of War

• China-Taiwan Weekly Update
• December 21, 2023 
• December 28, 2023 
• The High Price of Losing Ukraine: Part 2 — The Military Threat and Beyond  
• Iran Update
• December 18 
• December 19 
• December 20 
• December 21 
• December 22 
• December 23 
• December 24 
• December 26 
• December 27 
• December 28 
• December 29 
• December 30 
• Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
• December 18 
• December 19 
• December 20 
• December 21 
• December 22 
• December 23 
• December 24 
• December 26 
• December 27 
• December 28 
• December 29 
• December 30  
• The Order of Battle of Hamas’ Izz al Din al Qassem Brigades 

 Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

• Above and Beyond: State of the Art of Uncrewed Combat Aerial Systems and Future Perspectives 
• Challenges Ahead for the EU in Syria – Aid, Sanctions and Normalisation 
• Food Systems Take the Stage at COP28: But Will Actions Match Rhetoric? 
• Timing Is Everything: Italy Withdraws from the Belt and Road Initiative 

 International Crisis Group

• Tunisia’s Challenge: Avoiding Default and Preserving Peace 

 International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

• Victims of Terrorism and Reparation: Applying the 2005 UN Basic Principles and Guidelines on the Right to a Remedy and Reparation 

 International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)

• Competing Armed Groups Pose New Threat to Rohingya in Bangladesh 

 Lieber Institute (West Point)

• Israel-Hamas Symposium 2023:  Flooding Hamas Tunnels: A Legal Assessment 

 LSE Press

• Russia’s War and the Future of the Global Order 

 Marine Corps University Middle East Studies

• MES Insights, December 2023, v. 14, no. 6 
• Excommunicating Hamas: Why Differences between Globalist and Nationalist Armed Islamist Groups Matter

 Martens Centre for European Studies

• Brexit: Navigating the Politics of Discord 

 Middle East Institute (MEI)

• A Brief Look Back at 2023:  From Normalization to Escalation in the Middle East 

 National Bureau of Asian Research

• Central and Eastern Europe in Relation to China’s Strategic Space:  The Fizzling Out of a Ten-Year Campaign 
• End of China’s Period of Strategic Opportunity https://strategicspace.nbr.org/the-end-of-chinas-period-of-strategic-opportunity-limited-opportunities-more-dangers/

 National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS)

• International Symposium on Security Affairs 2022 
• The New Normal of Great Power Competition: The U.S.-China-Russia Relationship and the Indo-Pacific Region

 National Institute of Justice (NIJ)

• NIJ Standard 0101.07 Ballistic Resistance of Body Armor 

 National Intelligence Council (NIC)

• (U) Foreign Threats to the 2022  US Elections 

 National Security Agency (NSA)

• 2023 NSA Cybersecurity in Review 

 Norwegian Defence Research Establishment

• Two Layers of Fog – Anonymous Norwegian Websites Linking to Russian-Affiliated Domains 
• A Warming Arctic in a Cold War – Consequences of Climate Change for Norwegian Security in the Arctic 

 Observer Research Foundation

• AI Governance in India: Aspirations and Apprehensions 
• China’s Belt and Road Initiative in the Energy Sector: Progress, Direction, and Trends 
• Confronting the Climate Crisis: Pathways to Urban Resilience 
• Critical Technologies Supply Chains 
• Cyber Mercenaries: The Failures of Current Responses and the Imperative of International Collaboration 
• The Economic Rationale for India to Maintain Ties with Sanctions-Afflicted Russia 
• The Energy Quest: Elevating the Quad’s Role in the Indo-Pacific 
• Gender in the Waterscape: Creating Economic Ripples in India’s Labour Markets 
• The ORF Gender Compendium: India’s G20 Presidency and Women-Led Development 
• The Quad’s Contribution to Revolutionising Biotechnology Strategies 
• The Rise of Global South: New Consensus Wanted 
• The Taiwan Factor in the US’s Regional Posture 

 Overseas Development Institute (ODI)

• Debt, Exploitation and Trafficking of Labour Migrants 

 Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft

• The Lobbying Battle for Nagorno-Karabakh 

 RAND Corporation

• Evaluating Performance of Socio-Technical Systems for Improved Reliability: Evidence from Sensor and Human Networks 
• The Forces We Need:  Building Multi-Capable Airmen to Enable Agile Combat Employment 
• Today's Army Spouse Panel Survey Results: Financial Vulnerability among Army Families, Spring to Fall 2022 

 Sagamore Institute

• Measuring and Modeling Naval Presence 

 Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS)

• Strengthening Resilience in Moldova Following Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine 

 Taylor & Francis

• Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism and Political Aggression, 2023
• Was the 2019 Christchurch Attack a Black Swan Event? Understanding Far-Right Violence in New Zealand [open access article] 
• Critical Studies on Terrorism, 2023
• Countering Reactionary Co-Radicalization (RC-R): Using Multi-Representational Ads [open access article] 
• Defence Studies, 2023
• The Nexus between Asylum Seekers and Defence Spending in European NATO Member States: A Quantitative Study of Securitisation Dynamics [open access article] 
• Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict, 2023
• ‘When Militias Go ‘Rogue’: Explaining Anti-Government Extremism in So-Called ‘Pro-Nation-State’ Militias in the United States of America and Ukraine [open access article] 
• Journal of Policing, Intelligence and Counter Terrorism, 2023
• Mass-Casualty Terrorism and Strategic Surprise in Mumbai and Paris: Understanding the Islamist Perspective [open access article] 

 Terrorism Research Initiative (TRI)

• Perspectives on Terrorism, 2023, v.17, no. 4 
• Terrorism and Strategic Effect: A Conceptual Framework
• Imagined Extremist Communities: The Paradox of the Community-Driven Lone-Actor Terrorist
• Right-wing extremist group survival in Finland – a qualitative case analysis of Soldiers of Odin and the Nordic Resistance Movement
• Doubling Down on Accountability in Europe: Prosecuting ‘Terrorists’ for Core International Crimes and Terrorist Offences Committed in the Context of the Conflict in Syria and Iraq
• National Security Dynamics: From Administrative to Preventive Detention in Israel's Counter-terrorism Landscape
• The Punishment of the Grave: A Neglected Motivation for Jihad and Martyrdom
• Assessing the Nature and Role of Terrorism Risk Models in the Insurance Sector
• A Look at the State of Research on [Counter-] Terrorism and Violent Extremism
• Examining Ideology, Asymmetry, and Ethnonationalism in the 2023 Israel-Gaza Crisis
• Bibliography: Individual and Contextual Factors of Radicalisation
• Counter-Terrorism Bookshelf: Eleven Books on Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism-Relate Subjects

 Transnational Records Access Clearinghouse (TRAC)

• Immigration Court Backlog Tops 3 Million; Each Judge Assigned 4,500 Cases 

 UK Parliament

• A Rock and a Hard Place:  Building Critical Mineral Resilience 

 UN Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP)

• Asia-Pacific Population and Development Report 2023 
• Promoting Sustainable Development through Digital Trade and Digital Trade Policies 

 US Customs and Border Protection (USCBP)

• Nationwide Encounters 

 Washington Institute for Near East Policy

• Family Rule in Iraq and the Challenge to State and Democracy 

 White House

• U.S. Novel Space Activities Authorization and Supervision Framework