Friday's Miscellany 04-10-2020

38 North

• North Korea’s China Trade Suffers Coronavirus Shock
• North Korea’s Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site: Personnel Movement Continues Throughout the Site
• North Korea’s Sinpo South Shipyard: Probable Ejection Testing 
• The Pyongyang General Hospital Starts to Take Shape

 Africa Center for Strategic Studies

• Innovations Needed to Prevent COVID-19 from Catching Fire in Africa’s Cities

 Air University Press

• The Harmon Memorial Lecture in Military History, 1988-2017: A Collection of the Second Thirty (31–60) Harmon Lectures Given at the United States Air Force Academy

 Al Jazeera Center for Studies

• Africa Versus Coronavirus: Four Much-Needed Capabilities
• Moscow's Maneuvres for Mediterranean Bases and ME Markets 

 American Enterprise Institute

• Estimating the True Number of China’s COVID-19 Cases
• A National COVID-19 Surveillance system: Achieving Containment

 American College of Surgeons

• The Blue Book: Military-Civilian Partnerships for Trauma Training, Sustainment, and Readiness

 Amnesty International

• Caught In A Political Game: Asylum-Seekers and Migrants On the Greece/Turkey Border Pay the Price for Europe’s Failures
• Fearing The Unknown - How Rising Control Is Undermining Judicial Independence in Hungary

 Arms Control Association

• Surging U.S. Nuclear Weapons Budget a Growing Danger 

 Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

• Climate Diplomacy under a New U.S. Administration  

 ASUA Institute of Land Warfare

• Massed Fires, Not Organic Formations: The Case for Returning Field Artillery Battalions to the DivArty

 Baker Institute for Public Policy

• Did You Report Your Bitcoin Income to the IRS?
• Hidden Figures: The Economic Impact of Covid-19 on Low-Income Women and Their Children
• Policy Considerations For Energy Infrastructure Resilience
• Price War and Pandemic: The Oil Market Reaction

 Becker Friedman Institute

• An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine

 Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

• Asian Soft Power Grows in the Coronavirus Era
• Coronavirus and Macron’s Vision for Europe
• The Coronavirus Crisis Shows Local Farming to Be an Existential Interest
• Economic Preparations for the Post-Coronavirus Era
• It’s Time to Close the Arab League
• Opportunity Out of Crisis: The Case of Iran
• Responses to Coronavirus Expose Governments’ Fault Lines
• Why Iran Is Struggling with Coronavirus

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

• Emerging Issues in Economic Diplomacy
• Human-Centered Policymaking: What Government Policymaking Can Learn from Human-centered Design and Agile Software Development
• Policy and Action on Plastic in the Arctic Ocean: October 2019 Workshop Summary & Recommendations
• Transatlantic Dialogue: The Missing Link in Europe’s Post-Covid-19 Green Deal?

 Blair Institute for Global Change

• Contact Tracing and the Fight Against Covid-19: How Digital Tools Can Help
• Snapshot: How Extremist Groups are Responding to Covid-19 

 Brookings

• April 2020 Update to TIGER: The Coronavirus Collapse is Upon Us
• Beyond Binary Choices? Navigating Great Power Competition in Southeast Asia
• Budgeting to Promote Social Objectives—a Primer on Braiding and Blending
• COVID-19’s Essential Workers Deserve Hazard Pay. Here’s Why—and How It Should Work
• What Coronavirus Means for Online Fraud, Forced Sex, Drug Smuggling, and Wildlife Trafficking
• What’s the Fed Doing in Response to the COVID-19 Crisis? What More Could It Do?
• When Face-to-Face Interactions Become an Occupational Hazard: Jobs in the Time of COVID-19
• Who Stands to Lose If the Final SNAP Work Requirement Rule Takes Effect? 

 Brown University Watson Institute Costs of War

• Numbers and Per Capita Distribution of Troops Serving in the U.S. Post-9/11 Wars in 2019, By State

 Bruegel

• Promoting Product Longevity 

 Canadian Global Affairs Institute

• The G20 Today: Pandemic Disease, Climate Change, and the Need for a Rules-Based Order

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

• Cyber Mapping the Financial System

 CATO Institute

• Innovative Economic Growth: Seven Stages of Understanding
• The Legacy of Colonial Medicine in Central Africa 

 Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

• Emerging Threats in Combating Proliferation Finance

 Center for Homeland Defense and Security (CHDS)

• Homeland Security Affairs Journal, April 2020, v. 16  
• Border Management in Europe: Is the Paradigm Evolving?
• Enhancing the Organization of the United States Department of Homeland Security to Account for National Risk

 Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

• Russian Strategy for Escalation Management: Evolution of Key Concepts
• Views of China's Presence in the Indian Ocean Region: A Workshop Report

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

• Integrating AI into Civil Protection
• Nuclear Non-Proliferation in a Deadlock
• Study on the Use of Reserve Forces in Military Cybersecurity

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)

• COVID-19 Analysis and Policy Implications

 Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

• The Coronavirus and Changes in the FY2021 Budget: Keeping Cuts in American Defense Spending in Perspective
• Covid-19 and the U.S. Military
• The Development Finance Corporation’s New Equity Authority
• Section 301 Investigation
• Strategic Dialogue: Shaping a U.S. Strategy for the "Ghosts" of Iraq
• Will China’s Push to Internationalize the Renminbi Succeed?

Center on Law, Ethics and National Security

• Inaugurating the LENS Essay Series: “The Crisis of Cryptocurrency: Executive Branch Authority to Address the World’s Most Potent Financial Threat” 
• Shortburst: COVID-19, the Role of the Military, NATO, Opportunistic Threats, Military Budgets, and Much More!
• Some Encouraging News: Efforts to Counter COVID-19 May Also Help Protect the Public from Dangers Beyond the Virus Itself

Centre for Eastern Studies (OSW)

• Czech Republic: The Gradual Easing of Restrictions

 Centre for European Reform (CER)

• COVID-19: Can the EU Avoid an Epidemic of Authoritarianism?
• The EU's New Libya Operation is Flawed
• A Proposal for a Coronabond: The Pandemic Solidarity Instrument

 Chicago Council on Global Affairs

• Majority of Iranians Oppose Development of Nuclear Weapons

 Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• Burkina Faso’s Rocky Road to Democratic Consolidation
• The EU’s Legacy and Ambition in Security and Defence
• Macron’s Overtures towards Russia Deserve Support, not Scorn
• Outpost of Empire: Base Politics with Chinese Characteristics
• Tripoli's Electricity Crisis and Its Politicisation

 College of Europe

• Improving Food Choices Through Nutrition Labelling: Towards a Common ‘Nutri-Score’ Scheme Across the EU

 Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

• Accelerating the Defense Department’s AI Adoption
• Advancing Gender Equality in Foreign Policy 

 Defense Personnel and Security Center (PERSEREC)

• PERSEREC-PA-20-01 (OPA Report No. 2020-060) April 2020 Dangerous Disclosure (Graphic Novel)

Department of Defense (DOD)

• DOD Allows Payments to Contractors Who Cannot Work Due to COVID-19 Facility Closures or Other Restrictions
• Force Health Protection Guidance
• Supplement 5
• Supplement 6
• Supplement 7
• Secretary of Defense Esper Accepts Resignation of Acting Secretary of the Navy Thomas Modly

 Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

• DODIG-2020-078 Audit of Physical Security Controls at Department of Defense Medical Treatment Facilities              

Department of Health and Human Services Inspector General

• OEI-06-20-00300 Hospital Experiences Responding to the COVID-19 Pandemic:  Results of a National Pulse Survey March 23–27, 2020

East-West Center

• The Impact of AI on Nuclear Deterrence: China, Russia, and the United States
• The Strategic Imperatives of Modi’s Indo-Pacific Ocean Initiative

Egmont Institute

• Burundi’s Institutional Landscape after the 2020 Elections 
• Take Me to Your Leader! Or How the EU Could Emerge Stronger from the Corona Crisis 

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)

• Download Today’s Data on the Geographic Distribution of COVID-19 Cases Worldwide 
• Contact Tracing: Public Health Management of Persons, Including Healthcare Workers, Having Had Contact with COVID-19 Cases in the European Union - Second Update
• Strategies for the Surveillance of COVID-19 
• Using Face Masks in the Community - Reducing COVID-19 Transmission from Potentially Asymptomatic or Pre-Symptomatic People Through the Use of Face Masks

European Leadership Network (ELN)

• European Supply Chains are Global Lifelines: Why Europe Must Maintain Medical Exports during the COVID-19 Pandemic
• Younger Generation Leaders Network (YGLN) Annual Trend Survey 2019 

European Parliament

• Crypto-assets: Key Developments, Regulatory Concerns and Responses
• Novel Coronavirus Outbreak: State of Play, and the EU’s Public Health Response
• Towards a Joint European Approach on Vaccination

European Union

• A Comparative Analysis of Non-Discrimination Law in Europe 2019
• Striving for a Union of Equality: The Gender Equality Strategy 2020-2025

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

• FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, April 2020
• Metal Detectors in Evidence Search and Recovery
• Police Compassion Fatigue
• Focus on Written Communications: Effective Professional Writing
• Leadership Spotlight: Mistakes and Forgiveness

 Federal Reserve Bank of New York

• The Coronavirus Shock Looks More like a Natural Disaster than a Cyclical Downturn

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

• The Impact of COVID-19 in Latin America and the Caribbean
• Putin’s Coronavirus Economic Strategy
• Rusal’s Bauxite Mine and Potential Russian Meddling in Guyana’s Election
• Russia’s Confusing COVID-19 Response

Foundation for Strategic Research (Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique)

• European Energy Transition after Covid-19: From Green Deal to 'Gas Deal'? 
• Year of the Rat. The Strategic Consequences of the Coronavirus Crisis

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

• Coronavirus: Franco-German Solidarity Put to the Test
• Energy, Climate and 
the Covid-19 Shocks: Double or Quits
• Korean Democracy in Times of Coronavirus
• Turkish Airlines : An International Strategic Instrument for Turkey 

Future Directions International

• The Wuhan Coronavirus and Its Impact on China’s Foreign Relations
• Part One
• Part Two

German Council on Foreign Relations (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e. V.)

• Coronavirus in the EU’s Eastern Neighborhood: Why Brussels Needs to Scale Up Its Support
• Deterrence and Defense in Times of COVID-19: Europe’s Political Choices
• Time for a Corona Fund: How a Coalition of Willing Member States Can Shore Up the EU Economy

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

• Strategic Rivalry between United States and China: Causes, Trajectories, and Implications for Europe

German Marshall Fund of the United States

• The Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic on Polarization in Turkey 
• Turkey’s Mission Impossible in Sustaining Idlib’s Unstable Equilibrium

Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime

• Cybercrime: Threats During the Covid-19 Pandemic

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

• Border Security: U.S. Customs and Border Protection's Management of a Temporary Facility in Texas Raised Concerns about Resources Used GAO-20-321R
• Movement of Household Goods: DOD Should Take Additional Steps to Assess Progress toward Achieving Program Goals GAO-20-295
• Telecommunications: Agencies Should Fully Implement Established Transition Planning Practices to Help Reduce Risk of Costly Delays GAO-20-155
• Vessel Safety: The Coast Guard Conducts Recurrent Inspections and Has Issued Guidance to Address Emergency Preparedness GAO-20-459

Henry Jackson Society

• Coronavirus Compensation? Assessing China’s Potential Culpability and Avenues of Legal Response
• The Indo-Pacific: An Enlarged Perspective  

Heritage Foundation

• Congress Should Focus on Pandemic Control and Fix the CARES Act for an Economic Rebound 
• How the Chinese Government Undermined the Chinese People’s Attempts to Prevent and Respond to COVID-19
• The Middle East Strategic Alliance: An Uphill Struggle
• The Pele Program: An Exemplar of Government Nuclear Research and Development 
• The Potential Risks of the EU’s Investment Screening for the United States

Hoover Institute

• COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty
• Strategika, no. 63 - Learning From Failure: Formulating A New U.S. Middle East Foreign Policy

Hudson Institute

• Coronavirus and the Chinese Economy: Watching for Signs of a Further Slowdown

Human Rights Watch

• “Shoot the Traitors”: Discrimination Against Muslims under India’s New Citizenship Policy 

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

• Moving Target Defense: “Staying Ahead of the Enemy”

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

• Between Olympics and Pandemic: Abe’s Run-up to 2021
• Pakistan’s Fight Against COVID-19: Analysing Delivery Deficiencies
• Pandemics and Power Narratives: The Rashomon Effect
• Refining Draft DPP 2020: Some Suggestions
• Should the Legacy of Capital Budget Revenue Procedure (CBRP) Be Perpetuated in Draft DPP 2020?

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

• Way Ahead for Enhanced Geothermal Systems

Institute for National Security Studies (INSS - Israel)

• The Corona Pandemic and the Palestinian Arena: Significance for Israel
• The Coronavirus Crisis Heightens the Distress of Lebanon and Hezbollah
• The Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic on the Iranian Economy
• The National Struggle against the Coronavirus: An Integrated, Multi-Phase Systemic Campaign | The INSS Strategic Framework
• The Struggle against the Coronavirus: Mass Vaccination before the Next Flu Season 
• Turkey and the Fight against the Coronavirus: Significant Challenge, Partial Response  

Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS)

• Ready or Not: Regaining Military Readiness during COVID19 

Institute for Science and International Security 

• Shahid Mahallati: “Temporary” Plant for Manufacturing Nuclear Weapon Cores

Institute for Security & Development Policy (ISDP)

• China’s Evolving North Korea Policy 
• Moving Beyond Rhetoric? The EU-Japan Strategic Partnership Agreement (SPA)

Institute for Security Studies [Africa]

• Peace and Security Council Report, no. 122

Institute for Strategic Dialogue 

• Covid-19 Disinformation Briefing No.2

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

• Biosecurity in Question at US Germ Labs

Institute for the Study of War

• Iraq Situation Report: April 1 - 7, 2020

Institute of Development Studies (IDS)

• Assessing Key Considerations for Burial Practices, Death and Mourning in Epidemics
• How Do Donor-led Empowerment and Accountability Activities Take Scale into Account? Evidence from DFID Programmes in Contexts of Fragility, Conflict and Violence 
• K4D COVID-19 Resources - COVID-19 Health Evidence Summaries

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

• COVID-19: A Stress Test for International Development Cooperation
• The New European Commission's Green Deal and Geopolitical Language: A Critique from a Decentring Perspective

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

• The Long Walk Home: COVID-19 Lockdown and Migrant Labour in India
• The Maldives’ Response to COVID-19
• Pakistan’s FATF Woes: A Tough Gauntlet to Run?

International Crisis Group

• A First Step Toward Reform: Ending Burundi’s Forced Contribution System

Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy and International Affairs

• Unlocking Peace and Prosperity: How to Resolve Maritime Border Disputes in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea

Jamestown Foundation

• Terrorism Monitor, April 6, 2020, v. 18, no. 7
• Coronavirus and Continued Conflict Push Syria Into Greater Chaos
• The Leadership and Future of Kata’ib Hezbollah
• Geopolitics and the Greater Maghreb Security Complex in a Time of Financial Distress

Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory

• Nuclear War as a Global Catastrophic Risk

 Joint Special Operations University (JSOU)

• Re-Evaluating Special Operations Forces-Led Counterterrorism Efforts

Lowy Institute for International Relations

• The World after COVID-19

Macdonald-Laurier Institute (MLI)

• Canada’s Strategy Energy Resources: Why Prioritizing the Indo-Pacific will Benefit Canada and Our Allies
• The Cold Reality Behind Russia’s Charm Offensive: Why Canada Needs a Realistic Arctic Policy
• Huawei Risk is a China Risk: Why Canada Needs to Ban Huawei’s Involvement in 5G

Martens Centre for European Studies

• EU Human Rights Promotion in Central Asia - Between the Dragon and the Bear

Middle East Institute (MEI)

• Can Saudi Arabia Win the Oil Price War?
• COVID-19, the Oil Price War, and the Remaking of the Middle East
• Iran’s Unconventional Alliance Network in the Middle East and Beyond 
• US Engagement in the Black Sea and Middle East. What More Can be Done?

Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

• Immigration and U.S. National Security: The State of Play Since 9/11

National Academies Press

• Educating Health Professionals to Address the Social Determinants of Mental Health: Proceedings of a Workshop
• A Quadrennial Review of the National Nanotechnology Initiative: Nanoscience, Applications, and Commercialization
• A Strategic Vision for Biological Threat Reduction: The U.S. Department of Defense and Beyond

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

• Counterterrorism Net Assessment Data Structure

National Security Archive

• CIA Covert Operations: The 1964 Overthrow of Cheddi Jagan in British Guiana
• Tracking the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty

Naval War College

• China Maritime Report No. 6: Djibouti: China's First Overseas Strategic Strongpoint

New America

• Congress Appropriated $300 Billion in Relief Payments to Individuals and Families — but Poor Delivery May Prevent Tens of Millions of Americans from Ever Accessing Them
• A Spotlight on Transparency: An Overview of How the Practice of Transparency Reporting Has Emerged Across Different Industries
• The Tweet of Damocles: Lessons for U.S. Proxy Warfare

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors

• Overcoming Covid-19 Crises by Building a Clean and Resilient Europe

NSI, Inc.

• A Strategic Analysis of Violent Extremist Organizations in the United States Central Command Area of Responsibility

Observer Research Foundation

• Towards an India–US Consensus on Counterterrorism Cooperation

Office of Naval Research

• Future Force: Naval Science and Technology, v. 6, no. 2, March 2020 
• Speaking of S&T: Operating in the Information Environment
• How We Got Here: Dezinformatsiya and the Cold War
• Developing a New Approach to Cyber Diplomacy
• Investing in Social Cybersecurity
• BEND: A Framework for Social Cybersecurity
• Anticipating Russian Shenanigans: Moving toward Predictive Analysis
• Technology for Communicators: The BITE Dashboard
• NATO Integrates New Media,  and So Do Adversaries
• Combating Misinformation: An Ecological Approach
• Identifying Misinformation Campaigns
• Exploring the Power of Cute
• Compile to Combat Focuses on Delivery to the Fleet
• Navy and University of California Collaborate on Data Science

Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI)

• IC Guiding Principles for the IC Acquisitions & Procurement Community on Implementation of the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act

Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE)

• Youth Mainstreaming in Action

Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) Investigation and Identification Team (IIT)

• First Report by the OPCW Investigation and Identification Team Pursuant to Paragraph 10 of Decision C-SS-4/DEC.3 “Addressing  the  Threat  from  Chemical  Weapons Use” Ltamenah (Syrian Arab Republic)  24, 25, and 30 March 2017

Oxfam

• Dignity Not Destitution: An ‘Economic Rescue Plan For All’ to Tackle the Coronavirus Crisis and Rebuild a More Equal World

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

• Chinese SOEs Should Help Fund China’s Response to Pandemic
• Debt Standstills Can Help Vulnerable Governments Manage the COVID-19 Crisis 
• Digital Technology and Economic Science Can Help During Crises Like COVID-19
• Ensuring Global Food Security in the Time of COVID-19 
• It Is Decision Time for EU Leaders—What Should Fiscal Response to Pandemic Be? 
• Reviving the Potency of Monetary Policy with Recession Insurance Bonds 
• The G20 Should Expand Trade to Help Developing Countries Overcome COVID-19
• What Might Have Been: Globalization on the Medal Stand at the Tokyo Olympics 

Peace Research Institute of Frankfurt (PRIF/HSFK)

• Norm Conflicts in Global Health: The Case of Indonesia and Pandemic Influenza Preparedness

Pew Research Center Journalism & Media

• As Newsrooms Face Coronavirus-Related Cuts, 54% of Americans Rate Media’s Response to the Outbreak Positively

Pew Research Center Science & Society

• Polling Shows Signs of Public Trust in Institutions amid the Pandemic 

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

• Public Holds Broadly Favorable Views of Many Federal Agencies, Including CDC and HHS

RAND Corporation

• Building Better Games for National Security Policy Analysis: Towards a Social Scientific Approach
• Chasing Multinational Interoperability: Benefits, Objectives, and Strategies
• Chinese Investment in Israeli Technology and Infrastructure
• Securing Communications in the Quantum Computing Age: Managing the Risks to Encryption

Recorded Future

• Intent to Infekt: ‘Operation Pinball’ Tactics Reminiscent of ‘Operation Secondary Infektion’

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

• Exploring Connections: Corruption, Terrorism and Terrorist Financing

Small Wars Journal

• The Coronavirus is a Call To Build Resilience in Fragile States
• A New Role for Joint Civil-Military Interaction
• North Korea: Coronavirus, Missiles and Diplomacy
• A New Role for Joint Civil-Military Interaction
• Six Challenges Facing a Fragile Middle East Amid Coronavirus 
• Third Generation Gangs Strategic Note No. 22: Rio’s Gangs Impose Curfews in Response to Coronavirus
• Three Reasons Air Advising is Essential to America’s National Defense Strategy
• Venezuela: Could the Coronavirus Threat Be an Opportunity?

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

• SIGAR 20-33-AR  The American University of Afghanistan: State and USAID Have Taken Action to Address Concerns with the Management, Processes, and Systems at the University

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

• By Mobilizing to Fight Coronavirus, the IRGC Is Marginalizing the Government
• The Coronavirus Pandemic in Lebanon: Leveraging and Counter-Leveraging
• Coronavirus Will Change Both Algeria’s Political System and Its Opposition
• Houthis Release Their Wish List for Ending the Yemen War
• Iran's Coronavirus Crisis: Implications for U.S. Policy
• Iraq Goes from Zurfi to Kadhimi: U.S. Policy Implications
• Iraq’s Volatile Politics: Al-Zurfi’s Slim Chances at Becoming PM
• Qaani’s Surprise Visit to Baghdad and the Future of the PMF
• While Iran Releases some Prisoners, Ahwazi and Other Prisoners Face Imminent Death 

World Bank

• Africa's Pulse, No. 21, Spring 2020 : An Analysis of Issues Shaping Africa’s Economic Future
• The Economy in the Time of Covid-19
• Europe and Central Asia Economic Update, Spring 2020 : Fighting COVID-19
• Middle East and North Africa Economic Update, April 2020 : How Transparency Can Help the Middle East and North Africa