Friday's Miscellany 10/11/2019

38 North

·         Maximum Pressure Against North Korea, RIP

·         North Korea’s Hydroelectric Power – The Tanchon Power Station Project

·         North Korea’s New Short-Range Missiles: A Technical Evaluation

AidData

·         Harnessing the Benefits of Transparency: Street-level Discretion,Targetability, and Local Public Service Delivery

Air University

·         Artificial Intelligence, Russia, China, and the Global Order

·         The Command of the Air

·         Military Negotiation as Meta-Leadership: Engage and Align for Mission Success

American Enterprise Institute

·         Beyond Counterterrorism: Defeating the Salafi-jihadi Movement

·         Polls on the 2020 Presidential Contest, the NRA, and the New AEI American Perspectives Survey

Amnesty International

·         Iraq: Freedom of Speech and Assembly under Attack as Over 100 Killed, Thousands Injured and Hundreds Arrested

·         Nigeria: Endangered voices: Attack on freedom of expression in Nigeria

·         Philippines: Probe of Police Chief Should Extend to Other Human Rights Abuses in the "War on Drugs"

The Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington

·         The European Response to the Saudi Attacks: A Careful Balancing Act

Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

·         Medical Surveillance Monthly Report (MSMR), September 2019, v. 6, no. 9

o    Editorial: The Department of Defense/Veterans Affairs Vision Center of Excellence

o    Absolute and Relative Morbidity Burdens Attributable to Ocular and Vision-Related Conditions, Active Component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2018

o    Incidence and Temporal Presentation of Visual Dysfunction Following Diagnosis of Traumatic Brain Injury, Active Component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2006–2017

o    Incidence and Prevalence of Selected Refractive Errors, Active Component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2001–2018

o    Incident and Recurrent Cases of Central Serous Chorioretinopathy, Active Component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2001–2018

Army University Press

·         Journal of Military Learning, October 2019, v. 3, no. 2 

o    Prioritizing Active Learning in the Classroom: Reflections for Professional Military Education

o    Developing an Inclusive Outcomes Statement: Adapting the Degree Qualifications Profile to a Military Context

o    Preparing Navy Nurses and Other Junior Officer Health Professionals in the U.S. Navy Reserve to be Ready Now, Anytime, Anywhere: A Leadership Development Project

o    Charlie Don’t Surf: The Military, War, Film, and Teaching

o    Hybrid Conflict and Effective Leadership Training

o    A Relational Learning Approach to New Faculty Orientation in Professional Military Education

o    Comparison of Occupation Physical Assessment Test Scores Administered at United States Military Academy, Reserve Officers’ Training Corps and Initial Entry Training

o    Guts, Glory, and Doctrine: Films as an Educational Tool for the U.S. Army

o    Midgrade Learning Continuum Leaders Workshop Summary

·         Forging the Ninth Army-XXIX TAC Team: The Development, Training,and Application of American Air-Ground Doctrine in World War II

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         South Korean Attitudes about ROK-Japan Relations on the Rocks

Atlantic Council

·         Toward Digital Power over States

·         The Value of the US Nuclear Power Complex to US National Security

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         ASPI-KAS 4th Australia-Europe Counter-Terrorism Dialogue 'Shifting Frontiers: Addressing Post-Caliphate Terrorism Dynamics'

·         Designing for Resilient Energy Systems: Choices in Future Engineering

·         Engineering Global Consent: The Chinese Communist Party's Data-Driven Power Expansion

Austrian Institute for European and Security Policy (AIES)

·         Turkey’s Perennial Strategic Importance and the S-400 Saga

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Mideast Subsidy Reforms Defy Academic Theory

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

·         Challenging the World Order: Erdoğan and Nukes

·         Distorting Ben-Gurion

·         Eurasia’s Great Game: India, Japan, and Europe Play to Putin’s Needs

·         Israeli Arabs Welcomed in Saudi Arabia: Diplomatic Breakthrough or Cynical Ploy?

·         Repentance at Election Time

·         Russian-Chinese Cooperation Is Not As Temporary As You Think

Beyond the Parallel

·         Sinpo Update: Significant Concealment Activity after Pukguksong Launch

Brookings 

·         Don’t Make Us Choose: Southeast Asia in the Throes of US-China Rivalry

·         Revisiting the Budget Outlook: An Update After the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2019

·         Supporting Small Informal Businesses to Improve the Quality of Jobs in Africa

·         Will America Embrace National Service?

Bruegel

·         With or Without You: Are Central European Countries Ready for the Euro?

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         A Third NSS Shipyard

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         India’s Quest for Jobs: A Policy Agenda

CATO Institute

·         Trust Doesn’t Explain Regional U.S. Economic Development and Five Other Theoretical and Empirical Problems with the Trust Literature

Center for Global Development

·         ABCs of the IFIs: The African Development Bank, the Asian Development Bank, and the International Fund for Agricultural Development

·         ABCs of the IFIs: The World Bank

·         Five Principles for Use of Aid in Subsidies to the Private Sector

·         What Is “Country Ownership”? A Formal Exploration of the Aid Relationship

Center for International Policy

·         Turkey's Invasion of Syria, Made in the U.S.A.

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         Russian Military Expenditure in Comparative Perspective: A Purchasing Power Parity Estimate

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Can Digital Health Help Stop the Next Epidemic?

·         Defense Acquisition Trends 2019: Topline DoD Trends

·         Dry Hills, Full Ponds: Climate Change, Resilience, and Agriculture in Nepal

·         The Role of the AfDB and the Future of Africa

·         U.S.-India Maritime Security Cooperation

·         U.S. Military Forces in FY 2020: Marine Corps

·         United States-DPRK Relations: Is Normalization Possible?

Center on Global Energy Policy

·         China and Economic Sanctions: Where Does Washington have Leverage?

Centre for Eastern Studies (OSW)

·         The Free State of Bavaria: The End of the CSU’s Sovereign Duchy?

Centre for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies

·         How Can the Emerging Markets Ride the Impact Investing Wave?

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Four Questions on the Polish Parliamentary Elections

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Digital Trade at the WTO: The CPTPP and CUSMA Pose Challenges to Canadian Data Regulation

·         A Guide to Emissions Trading under the Western Climate Initiative

Chatham House

·         Can the World Economy Find a New Leader?

·         Review of Progress on Antimicrobial Resistance

Chicago Council on Global Affairs

·         Public Prefers Cooperation and Engagement with China

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         A 'Smart' Smart City Plan

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         CTC Sentinel, October 2019, v. 12, no. 9

o    Russia’s Battlefield Success in Syria: Will It Be a Pyrrhic Victory?

o    A View from the CT Foxhole: Acting Secretary of Homeland Security Kevin McAleenan

o    Newly Released ISIS Files: Learning from the Islamic State’s Long-Version Personnel Form

o    Operation Marksburg: Frontline Field Investigation and the Prosecution of Terrorism

o    Hezbollah’s “Virtual Entrepreneurs:” How Hezbollah is Using the Internet to Incite Violence in Israel

Congress. Senate. Select Committee on Intelligence

·         Report on Russian Active Measures Campaigns and Interference in the 2016 U.S. Election

o    v.1 Russian Efforts against Election Infrastructure with Additional Views

o    v. 2 Russia's Use of Social Media with Additional Views

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         An Analysis of the Navy's Fiscal Year 2020 Shipbuilding Plan

Council for a Strong America

·         Unhealthy and Unprepared in Illinois: National Security Depends on Promoting Healthy Lifestyles from an Early Age

Daniel K. Inouye Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies

·         China's Global Influence: Perspectives and Recommendations

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         Armed Non-State Actors Need to be Included in Pragmatic Peacebuilding

·         Can China Buy Peace? Money and Security in the South China

Economic Research Forum

·         The Politics of Trade Protection: Evidence from an EU-Mandated Tariff Liberalization in Morocco

Egmont Institute

·         Security Forces’ Strategies of Resistance to Transitional Justice

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

·         Canada Country Analysis Brief - October 2019  

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         All at Sea: Europe’s Crisis of Solidarity on Migration

·         False Moves: Migration and Development Aid

European Leadership Network (ELN)

·         UK Defence Policy and Brexit: Time to Rethink London’s European Strategy

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Can Europe Prevent the Paralysis of the Multilateral Trading System?

·         Diminishing Safeguards, Increasing Returns: Non-Refoulement Gaps in the EU Return and Readmission System

European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)

·         Resetting Ethiopia: Will the State Heal or Fail?

EUROPOL

·         Internet Organised Crime Threat Assessment (IOCTA) 2019

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         China: The Risk to Academia

·         FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, October 2019

o    Intelligence-Led Policing for Law Enforcement Managers

o    Unbundling Beliefs and Values

o    Improving Effectiveness with Trusted Advisors

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Chinese Taipei's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing

·         Pakistan's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing

·         Solomon Islands' Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

·         The Disarmament Laboratory: Substance and Performance in UK Nuclear Disarmament Verification Research

·         Poland’s 2019 Election: Bright Prospects for the Populist Right

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Mackinder’s Nightmare: Part One

·         Mackinder’s Nightmare: Part Two

·         Operation “Peace Spring” and U.S. Strategy in Syria

·         ‘Pyongyang Coin’ and the Future of U.S. Sanctions on North Korea

·         Russia’s Awkward Dance with Vietnam

·         Russia’s Engagements in Central America

·         Sanctions & Financing: Rosneft’s Global Expansion

Foundation for Strategic Research

·         Mutual Reinforcement: CSDP and NATO in the Face of RisingChallenges

·         The “Tactical Cloud”, A Key Element of the Future Combat Air System

·         The War on Carbon. Five Priorities for the European Green Deal

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         Friends in Need: Whither the Russia-India Strategic Partnership?

Future Directions International

·         A Middle Eastern Chess Game: US-Iran Tensions and the Implications for India

German Council on Foreign Relations (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e. V.)

·         Poland’s Parliamentary Elections and a Looming Hungarian Scenario

·         Priorities for the EU’s New Foreign Policy Agenda up to 2024

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Achieving Political Inclusion

Global Public Policy Institute (GPPI) 

·         Forecasting and Foresight: Methods for Anticipating Governance Breakdown and Violent Conflict

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Department of Veterans Affairs: Improved Succession Planning Would Help Address Long-Standing Workforce Problems GAO-20-15

·         Puerto Rico Electricity Grid Recovery: Better Information and Enhanced Coordination Is Needed to Address Challenges GAO-20-141

·         Wildfire Disasters: FEMA Could Take Additional Actions to Address Unique Response and Recovery Challenges GAO-20-5 

Heritage Foundation

·         Enforcing Immigration Law: What States Can Do To Assist the Federal Government and Fight the Illegal Immigration Problem

Human Rights Watch

·         “Just Like Other Kids” Lack of Access to Inclusive Quality Education for Children with Disabilities in Iran

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

·         Modernization Requires Leadership: Leading the way to Cloud Security, Zero Trust, and Threat Intelligence

Institute for National Security Studies (INSS - Israel)

·         Domestic Challenges Spur Russian Pragmatism toward the West

·         The Protests in Egypt: A Wake-Up Call?

Institute for Security Studies [Africa]

·         Deadline or Deadlock? AMISOM’s Future in Somalia

·         South Africa’s Support to Peace and Security in Burundi

Institute for the Study of War

·         Turkish Invasion of Northeast Syria Looks Imminent

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Europe's "Just Do It" Moment

·         From Waste to Biomethane: Fostering Circular Economy Solutions in the Euro-Mediterranean Region

·         The Future Is Back: The EU, Russia and the Kosovo-Serbia Dispute

·         Hydrocarbons Will Determine the Political Future of Cyprus

·         Pros and Cons of Proactive Political Leadership: A Review of the Legacy of the "Last Chance" Commission

·         Tunisia's Presidential Elections: Global Populism Intrudes on the Tunisian Transition

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         China’s Digital Expansion and India

·         India’s Russian Option in Eurasia

·         India’s Stewardship of Universal Health Coverage (UHC)

·         Lotus Tower : Iconic Building Mired in Controversy

·         Modi-Xi Meeting – Why in Mahabalipuram?

·         Phasing Out Single-Use Plastics in India: Will it Work?

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         A Threat from Within? Exploring the Link between the Extreme Right and the Military

International Crisis Group

·         Averting an ISIS Resurgence in Iraq and Syria

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Assessing Oil and Non-Oil GDP Growth from Space: An Application to Yemen 2012-17

·         Interconnectedness and Contagion Analysis: A Practical Framework

·         Macroeconomic Effects of Reforms on Three Diverse Oil Exporters:Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the UK

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·         The MENA Region: A Great Power Competition

·         Risk Reduction Through Risk Sharing in the EU Banking Union

Jamestown Foundation

·         China Brief, October 8, 2019, v. 19, no. 18

o    Editor's Note for Military-Civil Fusion Issue (October 2019)

o    Military-Civil Fusion: Beijing’s “Guns AND Butter” Strategy to Become a Technological Superpower

o    Military-Civil Fusion and Electromagnetic Spectrum Management in the PLA

o    China’s Military Biotech Frontier: CRISPR, Military-Civil Fusion, and the New Revolution in Military Affairs

o    The Limitations of Military-Civil Mobilization: Problems with Funding and Clashing Interests in Industry-Based PLA Reserve Units

·         Terrorism Monitor, October 4, 2019, v. 17, no. 19

o    Political Crisis Deepens as Presidential Election Looms in Algeria

o    Attack on U.S. Base and EU Trainers in Somalia Underlines al-Shabaab’s Resilience

o    Abqaiq: Lessons for Countering Drones

Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA)

·         North China, Boxer Rebellion, Japan, Nepal, and Foreign Explorers:Ekai Kawaguchi’s Notes on 20th Century Tibet

·         Power Balance: Japan’s Role in the Indo-Pacific under the Constraints of Big Powers Priorities and Unsolved Historical and Territorial Questions

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         Joint Pub 3-31, Joint Land Operations, 03 October 2019

Joint Special Operations University (JSOU)

·         Tickling the Dragon’s Tail: The Destabilizing Effects of an Irregular Warfare Critical Mass

Justice Research and Statistics Association (JRSA)

·         Measuring the Criminal Justice System Impacts of Marijuana Legalization and Decriminalization Using State Data

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·         The Bougainville Referendum and Beyond

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         Meaning and Implementation Tasks of Turning the DMZ into an International Peace Zones

Macdonald-Laurier Institute (MLI)

·         Countering China's Economic Coercion: No Fear but Resolve, No Illusion but Diversification

·         Turning the Channel on Cancon: How to Unleash Canadian Creativity in the Digital Age

Martens Centre for European Studies

·         Recommendations for the New European Commission President

Middle East Institute

·         Trade, Reform, and Revitalization: Toward a US-Egypt Free Trade Agreement

MITRE

·         Getting Started with ATT&CK

National Bureau of Asian Research

·         A Concise Guide to Huawei’s Cybersecurity Risks and the Global Responses

·         Out of Tune: Japan-ROK Tension and U.S. Interests in Northeast Asia

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

·         Global Terrorism in 2018

National Counterintelligence and Security Center (NCSC)

·         Foreign Threats to U.S. Elections: Election Security Information Needs

National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS)

·         China’s 2019 National Defense White Paper and Intelligent Warfare

NATO Defense College

·         The Role of Democracy and Human Rights Adherence in NATO Enlargement Decisions

NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence

·         Nuclear Energy and the Current Security Environment in the Era of Hybrid Threats

Naval War College

·         Naval War College Review, Autumn 2019, v. 72, no. 4

o    Maritime Security—The Architecture of Japan’s Maritime-Security System in the East China Sea

o    Northwest Pacific—Exploring North Korea’s Asymmetric Military Strategy

o    The Future Navy—Near-Term Applications of Artificial Intelligence

o    Exploring the Options—The Development of USN Tactical Doctrine, 1913–23

o    The Royal Navy and Organizational Learning—The Western Approaches Tactical Unit and the Battle of the Atlantic

o    Research & Debate—The Medium Is the Message: Weaving Wargaming More Tightly into the Fabric of the Navy

o    Reflections on Reading

o    The Hattendorf Prize Lecture, 2018

New America

·         The Army and Multi-Domain Operations: Moving Beyond AirLand Battle

·         Building U.S. Resilience to Political Violence: A (Globally-Informed) Framework for Analysis and Action

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors

·         Beyond Industrial Policy: Why Europe Needs a New Growth Strategy

Nuclear Threat Initiative

·         Preventing a Dirty Bomb: Case Studies and Lessons Learned

Observer Research Foundation

·         The Islamic State in India’s Kerala: A Primer

·         Maritime Terrorism in Asia: An Assessment

·         Reintegrating Kashmir’s Ex-militants: An Examination of India’s Surrender and Rehabilitation Policy

Oxford Internet Institute Computational Propaganda Research Project

·         OxTEC: Political Campaigning – the Law, the Gaps and the Way Forward

·         OxTEC: The Market of Disinformation

Oxford Research Group

·         The Limits of US Military Power

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Global Dimensions of US Monetary Policy

·         Global E-Commerce Talks Stumble on Data Issues, Privacy, and More

·         Uncertainty and Other Factors are Dragging Down the Global Economy

Pew Research Center Internet & Technology

·         Americans and Digital Knowledge

               

Pew Research Center Religion & Public Life

·         For a Lot of American Teens, Religion Is a Regular Part of the Public School Day

·         Religion in the Public Schools

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         In Their Own Words: Behind Americans’ Views of ‘Socialism’ and‘Capitalism’

·         Partisan Antipathy: More Intense, More Personal

Policy Exchange

·         Putting Royal Assent in Doubt? One Implication of the Supreme Court’s Prorogation Judgment

Political Economy Research Institute (PERI)

·         Modern Money Theory (MMT) in the Tropics: Functional Finance in Developing Countries

Project on Middle East Democracy (POMED)

·         A Guide to Tunisia's 2019 Parliamentary Elections

RAND Corporation

·         Army Spouse Survey: Data to Help the Army Meet Spouses' Unique Needs

·         A Consensus Proposal for a Revised Regional Order in Post-Soviet Europe and Eurasia

·         The Emerging Risk of Virtual Societal Warfare

·         Iran's National Security Debate: Implications for Future U.S.-Iran Negotiations

·         Literature on Personnel Vetting Processes and Procedures:Annotated Selected Bibliography

·         RAND State Firearm Law Database

·         Right-Sizing Marine Corps Intermediate Supply Units: A Staffing Model and Proposed Process Improvements

·         Transboundary Environmental Stressors on India-Pakistan Relations: An Analysis of Shared Air and Water Resources  

·         Understanding Behavioral Health Technicians Within the Military

·         Understanding America's Surge in Fentanyl and Other Synthetic Opioids

San Diego Military Advisory Council

·         San Diego Military Economic Impact Study 2019

Small Arms Survey’s Human Security Baseline Assessment (HSBA)

·         Insecure Power and Violence: The Rise and Fall of Paul Malong and the Mathiang Anyoor

Small Wars Journal

·         A Hyper-Mobile Defense: Iran’s Novel Strategy to Sustain Proxy Conflicts in the Middle East

·         India’s National Security Challenges: The Growing Chinese Footprint in Sri Lanka and the Maldives

·         The Supreme Combat Tool

·         Trained But Undeveloped: Rethinking Combat Medic Sustainment

·         True Civil Affairs Integration: From Three Tribes to One

Social Cyber Institute

·         Creating Social Cyber Value

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         Revising the EU Dual-Use Regulation: Challenges and Opportunities for the Trilogue Process

Taylor & Francis

·         Intelligence and National Security, v.34, no. 7, 2019

o    Intelligence in a Modern Insurgency:The Case of the Maoist Insurgency in Nepal [open access]

·         Justice Quarterly, 2019

o    The Cannabis Effect on Crime: Time-Series Analysis of Crime in Colorado and Washington State [open access]

UK Commission on Countering Extremism

·         An Analysis of the Commission for Countering Extremism's Call for Evidence: Report 1 - Public Understanding of Extremism

·         Challenging Hateful Extremism

·         Mainstreaming Islamism: Islamist Institutions and Civil Society Organisations

·         Mainstream Islamism in Britain: Educating for the “Islamic Revival”

·         Public Perceptions of Extremism: Interim Summary Report

·         What Is To Be Done About al-Muhajiroun? Containing the Emigrants in a Democratic Society

UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan

·         Afghanistan Protection of Civilians in Armed Conflict: Special Report: Airstrikes on Alleged Drug-Processing Facilities Farah, 5 May 2019

US Customs and Border Protection (CBP)

·         2020 U.S. Border Patrol Strategy

·         U.S. Customs and Border Protection Strategy 2020-2025

US  Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Managing the Secure Release of Sensitive Detainees in Libya

·         South Sudan: Hope for the Best, Plan for the Worst

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         As Protests Explode, Iraq Must Get Serious About Reform

·         Helping Iraq Take Charge of Its Command-and-Control Structure

·         Jordan-Israel Peace at Twenty-Five: Past, Present, and Future

·         Turkey’s Syria Incursion: What Spurred It, and What’s Next?

·         What Is Iran Up To in Deir al-Zour?