Friday's Miscellany 08-09-2019

38 North

·         North Korea Unveils New “Multiple Launch Guided Rocket System”

·         Searching for Signs of Doi Moi in North Korea

·         Toward a Better Understanding of North Korea’s Cyber Operations

Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit (AREU)

·         Some Lessons from Colombia’s Peacemaking Process for Afghanistan

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·         Frontlines in Flux in Battle against African Militant Islamist Groups

·         Mitigating Farmer-Herder Violence in Mali  

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Iran’s Revolutionary Guard: A Strong Family of Four Generations

Arctic Institute

·         The Future of Arctic Farming – Infographic

Arms Control Association

·         The Post-INF Treaty Crisis: Background and Next Steps

Army War College

·         Implications of Climate Change for the U.S. Army

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         Regulatory Readiness of the DPRK for Attracting Foreign Direct Investment

Atlantic Council

·         Spotlight: President Bukele’s First Six Months

Austrian Institute for European and Security Policy  (AIES)

·         Austrian Institute for European and Security Policy

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Projecting National Power: Reconceiving Australian Air Power Strategy for an Age of High Contest

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         The Current State of Sales Tax on Digital Products

·         El Paso Mass Shooting: Symbol of Myriad Issues

·         Long, Hot Summer in Persian Gulf

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

·         An Israeli Victory Is Necessary if Peace Is to Be Achieved

·         Dissent in Labour Rises Following BBC Revelations

·         Echoes of the Muslim Brotherhood “Arab Spring” in Post-Bashir Sudan

·         Israel’s Strategic Goal in Syria

·         The Social Geography of the BDS Movement and Antisemitism

·         The UAE Withdraws from Yemen

·         Washington’s North Korea Dilemma

Blair Institute for Global Change

·         Restoring Order and Rebuilding Communities: The Need for a New National Crime Plan

Bruegel

·         The Impact of the Global Energy Transition on MENA Oil and Gas Producers

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         The Growing Cybersecurity Risk in Software Supply Chain

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Enhancing Congressional Intelligence Committee Effectiveness  

Center for Global Development

·         Digital Technology and State Capacity in Kenya

·         Five Takeaways on the Future of Humanitarian Reform

·         Promoting Investment in Research for Development Outcomes: A Research Ventures Fund at the World Bank

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Achilles’ Heel: Adding Resilience to NATO’s Fragile Missile Shield

·         Acquisition of Software-Defined Hardware-Based Adaptable Systems

·         China and the United States: Cooperation, Competition, and/or Conflict

·         Engaging India: Guide to Developing Health Care Partnerships with States

·         Federal Funding for Biosafety Research Is Critically Needed

·         Iran’s Threat to Saudi Critical Infrastructure: The Implications of U.S.-Iranian Escalation

·         ‘Peace’ in Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Libya, and Yemen

·         Trade Policy on the 2020 Trail: The Second Debate

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         CER Bulletin, August/September 2019, no. 127

o    No-Deal Brexit Means Trouble for Brits living in the EU

o    Von der Leyen's Bumpy Road to Becoming Commission President

o    What Next for the EU's Capital Markets Union?

CEPOL

·         European Law Enforcement Research Bulletin, no.18, Winter 2018/2019

o    Enhancing public security through use of social media

o    The Schengen Evaluation Mechanism: Exploring the Views of Experts in the Field of Police Cooperation

o    Perspectives of Community Policing in Greece

o    Law Enforcement Responses to Violent Extremism in Greece

o    Moped enabled mobile phone snatches

o    Jihaspora and Millennials

o    Core capabilities: Body-worn cameras in Portugal

o    The Investigative Interview's Contribution to Law Enforcement

Chatham House

·         Artificial Intelligence Prediction and Counterterrorism

·         Prospects for a Sustainable Elite Bargain in Mozambique: Third Time Lucky?

Chicago Council on Global Affairs

·         Americans and Russians Are Mostly Disinterested and Disengaged with Each Other

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         CTC Sentinel, August 2019, v. 12, no. 7

o    Iran’s Expanding Militia Army in Iraq: The New Special Groups

o    A View from the CT Foxhole: Suzanne Raine, Former Head of the United Kingdom’s Joint Terrorism Analysis Centre

o    Western Balkans Foreign Fighters and Homegrown Jihadis: Trends and Implications

o    Returnee Foreign Fighters from Syria and Iraq: The Kosovan Experience

o    Maduro’s Revolutionary Guards: The Rise of Paramilitarism in Venezuela

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Long-Term Implications of the 2020 Future Years Defense Program

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         Political Settlement and the Politics of Legitimation in Countries Undergoing Democratisation: Insights from Tanzania

·         Shoats and Smart Phones: Cross-Border Trading in the Ethio-Somaliland Corridor

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         Enterprise Cloud Fact Sheet

·         Understanding the Warfighting Requirements for DOD Enterprise Cloud

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         Lead Inspector General for Operation Inherent Resolve | Quarterly Report to the United States Congress

Department of State, Office of the Historian

·         Foreign Relations of the United States, 1977–1980, Volume XIX,South Asia

Department of State Inspector General

·         Lead Inspector General for Operation Inherent Resolve and Other Overseas Contingency Operations | Quarterly Report to the United States Congress | April 1, 2019 - June 30, 2019

East West Center

·         Emerging Trends in India-U.S. Oil and Gas Engagement

·         Taobao Villages: Rural E-Commerce and Low-End Manufacturing in China

Economic Research Forum

·         Ideas, Networks and Jobs: Rebasing Growth in the Middle East and North Africa

·         The Impact of Mass Media on Voting Behavior: The Cross-Country Evidence

·         Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Investment Relationship for Turkey 

·         Sukuk Market Development and Islamic Banks’ Capital Ratios

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         Paradox of Power: Russia, Armenia, and Europe after the Velvet Revolution

European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)

·         The EU and NATO: The Essential Partners

EUROPOL

·         Assessing the Islamic State in Libya

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, August 2019

o    Automated Threat Detection and the Future of Policing

o    Clippers and Cops

o    One Bite at a Time

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Cabo Verde's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and the Financing of Terrorism and Proliferation

·         Republic of Haiti's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         A Pathway Forward for the U.S. and Turkey in Syria: A Virtual Safe Zone

·         Unequal Sequel: China’s Belt and Road Initiative

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         The Future of Multigenerational Housing in Existing Communities: Insights for Transatlantic Cities

·         Uncertainty, Power, and Rethinking Turkish-U.S. Relations after S-400 Debacle

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Global Tobacco Control: U.S. Efforts Have Primarily Focused on Research and Surveillance GAO-19-533R

·         Guided Missile Frigate: Navy Has Taken Steps to Reduce Acquisition Risk, but Opportunities Exist to Improve Knowledge for Decision Makers GAO-19-512

·         Land Ports of Entry: CBP Should Update Policies and Enhance Analysis of Inspections GAO-19-658

·         Nuclear Supply Chain: NNSA Should Notify Congress of Its Recommendations to Improve the Enhanced Procurement Authority GAO-19-606R

Heritage Foundation

·         The U.S. Must Limit Damage from the Japan–South Korea Trade Dispute

·         The U.S. Must Strengthen Defense Cooperation with the U.K.’s NewBoris Johnson Government

Human Rights Watch

·         The War in Catatumbo: Abuses by Armed Groups Against Civilians Including Venezuelan Exiles in Northeastern Colombia

Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA)

·         Makran Gateways: A Strategic Reference for Gwadar and Chabahar

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Considerations for the Development of an Inclusive Military Model Phase 2 Inclusion Factor Findings

·         Department of the Army: Closing the Next Generation 9-1-1 Capability Gap

·         Defense Governance and Management: Improving the Defense Management Capabilities of Foreign Defense Institutions A Guide toCapability-Based Planning (CBP)

·         A New Military Retention Prediction Model: Machine Learning for High Fidelity Forecasting

·         Next Generation Personnel Management Models and Modeling Environment  

·         Measuring and Optimizing Medical Force Readiness (Conference Presentation)

·         Are Savings Goals an Effective Tool for Managing the Pentagon?

Institute for Security Studies (ISS)

·         How to Map Violence Without Police Data

International Crisis Group

·         Calming the Restless Pacific: Violence and Crime on Colombia’s Coast

·         Peace and Electoral Democracy in Myanmar

Institute for the Study of War

·         Russia in Review: Domestic Discontent and ForeignPolicy

·         Syria Situation Report: July 22 - August 6, 2019

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Doing More for Less? New Evidence on Lobbying and Government Contracts

Malmö University

·         Literature Review of Mass Shooters Motivations: Intersectional Perspective

Martens Centre for European Studies

·         The Renewal of Vows: A New Transatlantic Chapter for Europe and America

·         Strategic Autonomy: Why It's Not About Europe Going it Alone

·         Thin on the Ground: Recalibrating EU-Turkey Engagement in Syria

National Council for Behavioral Health

·         Mass Violence in America: Causes, Impacts and Solutions

National Security Archive

·         Kissinger Told Soviet Envoy during 1973 Arab-Israeli War: “My Nightmare is a Victory for Either Side” – The Soviet Agreed

New America

·         Blockchain Impact Ledger

·         The Promise of Public Interest Technology: In India and the UnitedStates

·         Brief: Separating the Fact from Fiction: Attorney General Barr is Wrong about Encryption  

Observer Research Foundation (ORF)

·         India is Creating Its Own West Bank in Kashmir

·         Jammu-Kashmir and Ladakh: Exploring a New Paradigm

·         Understanding China’s Afghanistan Policy: From Calculated Indifference to Strategic Engagement

Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE)

·         Annual Report of the Secretary General on Police-RelatedActivities in 2018

·         April – June 2019 Trends and observations from the Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine

·         The Criminal Offence Of Domestic Violence In Judicial Practice-New Trends and Challenges

·         Guiding Principles on Human Rights in the Return of TraffickedPersons

·         Practical Analysis of Social Entrepreneurship

·         Understanding the Role of Gender in Preventing and Countering ViolentExtremism and Radicalization that Lead to Terrorism: Good Practices for Law Enforcement

Oxford Research Group

·         Silent Spring to Strident Summer: The Politics of Global Heating

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Creating a Euro Area Safe Asset without Mutualizing Risk (Much)

·         EU Trade Policy amid the China-US Clash: Caught in the Cross-Fire?

·         Trump's Latest Trade War Escalation Will Push Average Tariffs on China Above 20 Percent

·         Trump’s Trade War Timeline: An Up-to-Date Guide

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         Trust and Mistrust in Americans’ Views of Scientific Experts

Policy Exchange

·         Modernising the United Kingdom: Unleashing the Power of the Union –Ideas for New Leadership

RAND

·         America's Pacific Island Allies: The Freely Associated States andChinese Influence

·         Approaches to Strategic Sealift Readiness

·         Assessing Continuous Evaluation Approaches for Insider Threats

·         Developing a Robust Water Strategy for Monterrey, Mexico: Diversification and Adaption for Coping with Climate, Economic, andTechnological Uncertainties

·         Developing a Robust Water Strategy for Monterrey, Mexico: Diversification and Adaption for Coping with Climate, Economic, and Technological Uncertainties – Planning Tool

·         Return and Expand? The Finances and Prospects of the Islamic State After the Caliphate

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·         Mapping the Jihadist Information Ecosystem: Towards the Next Generation of Disruption Capability

·         Radical Filter Bubbles: Social Media Personalisation Algorithms  and Extremist Content

·         Social Media and Terrorist Financing: What are the Vulnerabilities and How Could Public and Private Sectors Collaborate Better?

Small Wars Journal

·         An Assessment of the Private Military Industry and Its Role in the Iraq and Afghanistan Wars

·         Assessment of U.S. Strategic Goals Through Peacekeeping Operations in the 1982 Lebanon Intervention

·         Counterterrorism after a Peace Deal in Afghanistan

·         Current Military Academy Service Obligation Good for Civil-Military Relations

·         Cyber-Realpolitik: US Foreign Policy and a Fragmented International System

·         EU MESMERISE Workshop: Internal (Body Cavity) & External (Stand Off Frisk) Countraband & Weaponry Scanning – 11-12 July 2019 - Alcalá de Henares, Spain

·         Good for the Military – Bad for the Nation?

·         Iran’s Focus: Cyberwarfare and Retaliation on the West

·         Leveraging Incomplete Sovereignty: Building a Peaceful Empire on the Cheap

·         Making Headway against the Sinai Insurgency

·         Marine Corps Postmortem

·         Modern War and Cultural Change

·         North Korea: Geopolitics and War

·         Saving Blood and Treasure: The Evolving Art of War and the Application of Design Methodology to Complex Problems of 21st Century Small Wars

·         Third Generation Gangs Strategic Note No. 19: Comando Classe A(CCA) Massacre of Comando Vermelho (CV) Gang Members in Altamira Prision,Brazil – 58 Dead (Including 16 Decapitations)

Stanley Foundation

·         Impact: Peace Launch Report

UN Human Rights Council

·         Economic Interests of the Myanmar Military

UN Security Council Counter-Terrorism Committee

·         S/2019/50 – Twenty-Third Report of the Analytical Support and Sanctions Monitoring Team Submitted Pursuant to Resolution 2368 (2017)Concerning ISIL (Da’esh), Al-Qaida and Associated Individuals and Entities

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Defying Stereotypes, New Poll Shows Gazan More Moderate than West Bankers

·         Growing Anti-Syrian Sentiment in Turkey

·         How Jordan Can Deal with Jordanian ISIS Fighters Still in Syria

·         Netanyahu’s Tougher Election Math and the Spector of Succession

·         Oil’s Impact on Tensions in Southern Yemen

·         U.S. Safe Zone Deal Can Help Turkey Come to Terms with the PKK and YPG

World Economic Forum

·         Global Competitiveness Report 2019