Friday's Miscellany 04-26-2019

38 North

·         Is Kim Jong UnReally Claiming Overall Leadership On The Korean Peninsula?

·         The North-South Dialogue: RIP or Can It Be Resuscitated? 

·         Planning for a Putin-Kim Summit: What’s Likely to Be on the Agenda 

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·         The African UnionWavers between Reform and More of the Same 

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Algeria-Libya: ANew Demarcation Line between Two Arab Worlds? 

American Foreign Policy Council (AFPC)

·         Iran Strategy Brief No. 13: Reforming U.S. Persian Language Media - A Preliminary Assessment 

Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

·         Medical Surveillance Monthly Report (MSMR), April 2019, v. 6, no. 4 

o    Modeling Lyme Disease Host Animal Habitat Suitability, West Point, New York

o    Incidence, Timing, and Seasonal Patterns of Heat Illnesses during U.S. Army Basic Combat Training, 2014–2018

o    Update: Heat illness, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2018

o    Update: Exertional Rhabdomyolysis, Active Component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2014–2018

o    Update: Exertional Hyponatremia, Active Component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2003–2018

Arms Control Association

·         U.S. Nuclear Excess: Understanding the Costs, Risks, and Alternatives 

Army University Press

·         Military Review, May-June 2019, v. 99, no. 3

o    Reinvigorating the Army’s Approach to Mission Command: It’s Okay to Run with Scissors (Part 1)

o    Responding to the Perfect Storm: The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and Disaster Response in Puerto Rico, 2017

o    Civil Authority in Manbij, Syria: Using Civil Affairs to Implement Stabilization Activities in Nonpermissive Environments

o    How We Win the Competition for Influence

o    Symphony or Jazz: Mission-Planning Timelines

o    Targeting in Multi-Domain Operations

o    When the Balloon Goes Up: High-Altitude for Military Application

o    Decision Conflict in Army Leaders

o    Russian Forecasts of Future War

o    Use of the Brazilian Military Component in the Face of Venezuela’s Migration Crisis

o    Enabling Leaders to Dominate the Space Domain

o    The Gradual Shift to an Operational Reserve: Reserve Component Mobilizations in the 1990s

·         Art of War Papers:Inside the Sea Dragon: The Generations Within the Current People’s Liberation Army Navy Officer Corps

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         South Koreans and Their Neighbors 2019 

Asia Foundation

·         Decentralizing Power: The Role of State and Region Governments in Myanmar’s Energy Sector 

Atlantic Council

·         Cybersecurity:Changing the Model 

·         Leveraging the National Technology Industrial Base to Address Great-Power Competition

·         US International Broadcasting: Recommendations from the Eurasian Experience 

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         How China Can Help Save Venezuela 

·         Privatization in Ciudad Juárez 

·         U.S.-Mexico Trade Under AMLO: Challenges and Opportunities  

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         Big Tech and Democracy: The Critical Role of Congress 

Beyond the Parallel

·         Crafting a Regional Policy to Contain Erdoğan 

·         The Future of the China-Russia Alliance 

·         A New Era in Israel-Gulf State Relations?

·         Protests Challenge Gulf Counterrevolution 

·         Sometimes Might Makes Right: Saving International Organizations from Themselves

·         Trump’s Foreign Policy Is Not Chaotic 

·         Turkey and the EU:A Doomed Engagement 

Blair Institute for Global Change

·         The Glue ThatBinds: Integration in a Time of Populism 

Brookings Institute

·         Reclaiming Yemen:The Role of the Yemeni Professional Diaspora 

Bruegel

·         What Drives National Implementation of EU Policy Recommendations? 

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace 

·         The Case for a Pragmatic India-Taiwan Partnership 

·         Implications of Quantum Computing for Encryption Policy 

·         Likely Future Adoption of User-Controlled Encryption 

·         Sustaining Strong Partnerships: The First Trilateral Dialogue Initiative (TDI) Workshop 

CATO Institute

·         Attempts toMeasure the Administrative State: A Review and Critique

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Slow and Steady: Improving U.S.-Arab Cooperation to Counter Irregular Warfare 

Center for Global Development

·         Making Basel III Work for Emerging Markets and Developing Economies 

·         Who Benefits from Pharmaceutical Price Controls? Evidence from India 

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM)

·         The Role of Russiain the Middle East and North Africa Region. Strategy or Opportunism? 

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         After the“Caliphate” The Metrics of Daesh and the Ongoing Challenge of Extremism 

·         Building a Big Tent for Agricultural Transformation in Ethiopia 

·         Civil-Military Relations in the United States: A Conversation with the Hon. Leon E. Panetta 

·         CSIS Brief: TheHigher Road: Forging a U.S. Strategy for the Global Infrastructure Challenge

·         Forging a U.S.Strategy for the Global Infrastructure Challenge 

·         The Higher Road:Forging a U.S. Strategy for the Global Infrastructure Challenge 

·         Shifting the Burden Responsibly: Oversight and Accountability in U.S. Security Sector Assistance 

·         U.S. EconomicEngagement in Africa: Making Prosper Africa a Reality 

Center for Security Policy

·         Truth and the Ability to Speak It Under Direct Attack 

Centre for Research and Evidence on Security Threats (CREST)

·         ConspiracyTheories: How Are They Adopted, Communicated, and What Are Their Risks? 

Chatham House

·         Infrastructure Management Contracts: Improving Energy Asset Management in Displacement Settings  

Clingendael Netherlands Institute of International Relations (Nederlands Instituut voor Internationale Betrekkingen Clingendael)

·         Global SecurityPulse: Economic Security 

·         The Geopolitics OfSyria's Reconstruction: A Case Of Matryoshka 

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         CTC Sentinel, April 2019, v. 12, no. 4 

o    The Fragility of the Good Friday Peace: The Persistence of Terrorism in Northern Ireland

o    A View from the CT Foxhole: Edmund Fitton-Brown, Coordinator, ISIL (Daesh)/Al-Qaida/Taliban Monitoring Team, United Nations

o    Profit-Minded Suppliers: The WMD Pathways and Combating Convergence

o    Doxing and Defacements: Examining the Islamic State’s Hacking Capabilities

o    Reigniting the Rivalry: The Islamic State in Somalia vs. al-Shabaab

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         The 2019 Budgetand Economic Outlook [presentation] 

·         Costs of SubmarineMaintenance at Public and Private Shipyards 

·         How Changing Social Security Could Affect Beneficiaries and the System's Finances 

·         Report on theTroubled Asset Relief Program—April 2019

CUNY School of Law

·         Report on theBronx 120 Mass “Gang” Prosecution 

Danish Institute for International Studies (Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier)

·         Inside the RussianDigital Domain 

·         Mapping Artisanal Mining Areas and Mineral Supply Chains in Eastern DR Congo 

Department of Defense

·         DoD Manual 4140.01 DoD Supply Chain Materiel Management Procedures

o    Volume 1 - Operational Requirements

o    Volume 2 - Demand and Supply Planning

o    Volume 3 - Materiel Sourcing

o    Volume 4 - Make and Maintain Materiel

o    Volume 5 - Delivery of Materiel

o    Volume 6 - Materiel Returns, Retention, and Disposition

o    Volume 7 - Supporting Technologies

o    Volume 8 - Materiel Data Management and Exchange

o    Volume 9 - Materiel Programs

o    Volume 10 - Metrics and Inventory Stratification Reporting

o    Volume 11 - Inventory Accountability and Special Management And Handling

·         Initial Plan for Reforming the Business Operations of the Department of Defense for Efficiency and Effectiveness 

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2019-075 Evaluation of Military Services’ Law Enforcement Responses to Domestic Violence Incidents 

·         DODIG-2019-077  Evaluation of the Oversight of Intelligence Interrogation Approaches and Techniques 

·         DODIG-2019-082 Report of Investigation: Mr. Patrick M. Shanahan Acting Secretary of Defense 

Digital Citizens Alliance

·         Fishing in thePiracy Stream: How the Dark Web of Entertainment is Exposing Consumers to Harm 

Duke-Margolis Center for Health Policy

·         Serious IllnessApproaches by ACOs: U.S. Medical Management 

East West Center

·         Chinese, Japanese, and Korean Inroads into Central Asia Comparative Analysis of the Economic Cooperation Roadmaps for Uzbekistan 

Economic Research Forum

·         Are Politically Connected Firms Turtles or Gazelles? Evidence from the Egyptian Uprising 

·         The Impacts of Oil Price Shocks on Tourism Receipts for Selected MENA Countries: Do Structural Breaks Matter? 

·         Returns toInvestment in Education: The Case of Turkey 

Egmont Institute

·         Fostering Belgo-German Connectivity in the Heart of Europe 

·         Returnees in the Maghreb: Comparing Policies on Returning Foreign Terrorist Fighters in Egypt,Morocco and Tunisia 

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         Kingmakers of theMainstream: Predictions for the European Parliament Election 

European Institute of the Mediterranean

·         Climate Security in the Sahel and the Mediterranean: Local and Regional Responses 

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Brexit: Losing Control 

·         EPIM Policy Update April 2019 

·         Zelenskiy in Charge – When Reality Goes Beyond Fiction 

FBI Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3)

·         2018 Internet Crime Report 

Federation of American Scientists (FAS)

·         RethinkingNational Security 

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

·         The Concepts of  Parliamentarism in the EU's Political System: Approaching the Choice BetweenTwo Models 

·         The Sinification of China: How the Minorities are being Merged Into One Nation 

·         Spanish ElectionSpurred on by Fear of Breakup: Winner Must Reckon with Regional Parties 

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI) Military Robotics Might Enable Conflict While Reducing Costs

·         Military Robotics Might Enable Conflict While Reducing Costs 

·         The Mueller Reportis a Sobering Recounting of Foreign Election Interference and Presidential Conduct: What Comes Next Is (Mostly) Politics 

·         Trump’s Embrace of Haftar Will Reignite Libya’s Proxy War 

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·         Import Uncertainty and Export Dynamics 

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         China’s Belt & Road and the World: Competing Forms of Globalization 

·         Strategic Dimensions of the Energy Transition: Challenges and Responses for France, Germany and the European Union 

German Council on Foreign Relations (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e. V.)

·         Rupture in Kiev:Ukrainians Vote for Change to Consolidate Their Democracy 

German Development Institute

·         Governing digitaltrade – a new role for the WTO 

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         Political Lessons Learnt from the 2016 Brexit Referendum 

·         UN Peacekeeping inMali 

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·         Obama's Road toCairo: The President’s Rhetorical Journey, 2008–2009 

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Mind the Gap:National Views of The Free and Open Indo-Pacific 

·         Spain’s Elections:What They Are About and What to Expect? 

Georgetown Institute for Women, Peace & Security (GIWPS)

·         Women Entrepreneurs: Starting and Scaling Technology Businesses in the United States 

Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime

·         Combating CriminalConsortia in the African Artisanal and Small-Scale Gold Mining and Trade Sector 

·         Uncovered: TheDark World of the Zama Zamas 

Global Public Policy Institute

·         Automation and the Future of Work in Sub-Saharan Africa 

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         2017 Disaster Contracting: Actions Needed to Improve the Use of Post-Disaster Contracts to Support Response and Recovery GAO-19-281  

·         F-35 Aircraft Sustainment: DOD Needs to Address Substantial Supply Chain Challenges GAO-19-321 

·         Priority Open Recommendations: Department of Homeland Security GAO-19-360SP 

·         VA and Indian Health Service: Actions Needed to Strengthen Oversight and Coordination of Health Care for American Indian and Alaska Native Veterans GAO-19-291 

Human Rights Watch

·         “Paying for a BusTicket and Expecting to Fly”: How Apparel Brand Purchasing Practices DriveLabor Abuses 

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology

·         Software Securityis National Security

Institute for International Political Studies [Italian]

·         The EU Cybersecurity Act: When the Going Gets Tough, the Tough Get Going 

·         Infrastructure for Growth: How to Finance, Develop, and Protect It 

·         Terrorism and Counterterrorism in Asia: A Compass 

Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict (IPAC)

·         The OngoingProblem of Pro-ISIS Cells in Indonesia 

Institute for Science and International Security

·         Iran’s Long-TermCentrifuge Enrichment Plan: Providing Needed Transparency 

·         Summary of Report:The Fordow Enrichment Plant, aka Al Ghadir [1] - Iran’s Nuclear Archive Reveals Fordow was Built Originally to Make Weapon- Grade Uranium for 1-2 NuclearWeapons per Year 

·         Summary of Report:Project Midan: Building an Underground Nuclear Test Site in Iran [1] 

Institute for the Study of War

·         Ukraine's New President: The Stakes for Ukraine and the West 

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         A New Venice Declaration from a "Coalition of the Lead Donors" on Israel/Palestine 

·         Shaping the Political Order of the Middle East: Crisis and Opportunity 

·         The"Yellow-Green" Government's Foreign Policy 

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Decoding India’sStrategic Weapons Capabilities 

·         Easter Attacks in Sri Lanka 

·         India’s Successesand Challenges in the Indo-Pacific 

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         Branding aCaliphate in Decline: The Islamic State’s Video Output (2015-2018) 

International Crisis Group

·         Building a BetterFuture for Rohingya Refugees in Bangladesh 

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Global Declining Competition 

·         The Global Economic Recovery 10 Years After the 2008 Financial Crisis 

·         Indonesia's PublicWealth: A Balance Sheet Approach to Fiscal Policy Analysis 

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         Transitioning toNational Forces in Somalia: More Than an Exit for AMISOM

James Martin  Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS)

·         OP46: Options for a Verifiable Freeze on North Korea’s Missile Programs 

Jamestown Foundation

·         China Brief, April 24, 2019, v. 19, no. 8 

o    The Communist Youth League Announces Plans to Send a New Generation “Down to the Countryside”

o    Italy Joins the Belt and Road Initiative: Context, Interests, and Drivers

o    The Role of State-Owned Infrastructure Companies in the Development of China’s Latin America Policy

o    The Stand-Off Over the Myitsone Dam Project in Myanmar: Advantage China

o    Nowhere to Run, Nowhere to Hide: Whither Jihadism in China?

·         Terrorism Monitor, April 22, 2019, v. 17, no. 8 

o    Operations Against Hasm Continue but Security Forces Still Face Challenges

o    Ireland Faces Conundrum of Jihadist Returnees

o    'Old Wine in Old Bottles?' A Security Q and A on Post-Coup Sudan

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         Joint Pub 3-09, Joint Fire Support, 10 April 2019 

Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

·         The CanadianExpress Entry System for Selecting Economic Immigrants: Progress and Persistent Challenges 

·         How ManyUnauthorized Immigrants Graduate from U.S. High Schools Annually? 

·         The Unintended Consequences for English Learners of Using the Four-Year Graduation Rate forSchool Accountability 

National Security Archive

·         Reading Barr’s Redactions on Mueller’s Report 

New America Foundation

·         All Disasters AreLocal. Resilience Should Be, Too 

·         Prospects forClimate Change Policy Reform 

NYU Center for Business and Human Rights

·         Tackling Domestic Disinformation:  What the Social Media Companies Need to Do 

Observer Research Foundation

·         The Central Bank Autonomy Debate and India’s Knife-Edge Credit Crisis 

Office of Community Oriented Policing Services (COPS Office)

·         Law Enforcement Solutions By the Field, For the Field: Collaborative Reform Annual Review 

Oxford Research Group

·         The WarPod Ep #1:Building Partner Capacity in Africa 

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         The 2018 US-ChinaTrade Conflict after 40 Years of Special Protection 

·         Efforts of Oil Exporters in the Middle East and North Africa to Diversify Away from Oil HaveFallen Short 

·         Survival of theInternational Monetary Fund and Global Economic Cooperation

·         Will a US-ChinaTrade Deal Remove or Just Restructure the Massive 2018 Tariffs? 

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         A Changing World:Global Views on Diversity, Gender Equality, Family Life and the Importance of Religion 

·         Many Across theGlobe Are Dissatisfied With How Democracy Is Working 

Pew Research Center Internet & Technology

·         Sizing Up TwitterUsers 

Pew Research Center Religion & Public Life

·         In Western European Countries With Church Taxes, Support for the Tradition Remains Strong 

Policy Exchange

·         Islamophobia –Crippling Counter Terrorism 

Political Economy Research Institute (PERI)

·         A Multidimensional Approach to the Gender Gap in Poverty: An Application for Turkey 

·         Structural Change in India and China: External Sustainability and the Middle-Income Trap 

Project on Defense Alternatives

·         North Korea’s Conventional Military Forces: Relative Strength and Options

Rand

·         An Analytic Inventory of DHS Headquarters Business Processes 

·         DPRK Sanctions:Countering DPRK Proliferation Activities 

·         Extending Russia Competing from Advantageous Ground  

·         Human Smuggling Operations from Central America to the United States 

·         Human Smuggling and Associated Revenues What Do or Can We Know About Routes from Central America to the United States? 

·         Overextending and Unbalancing Russia: Assessing the Impact of Cost-Imposing Options 

Reporters Without Borders

·         2019 World Press Freedom Index – A Cycle of Fear 

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies 

·         CENS Workshop: The Age of Rages 

·         China’s Digital Silk Road: The Integration of Myanmar 

·         Easter Attacks In Sri Lanka

·         Islamic State: New Phase of Global Expansion? 

·         Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA) 

Small Wars Journal

·         The Art of Digital Deception: Getting Left of Bang on Deepfakes 

·         The Development of Operational Art and CEMA in Multi-Domain Battle: A Historical Analysis the Guadalcanal Campaign 1942-1943 

·         The Experience of War: The Commonalities of Shared Experiences in the Gallipoli Campaign of 1915 

·         The Line Between Conflict and Stability in Great Power Competition 

·         Resilient Command and Control of Airborne Intelligence Assets in the Theater Air Control System:A Contested, Degraded, Multi-Domain Imperative 

·         Small Wars Preparations in Support of the Joint Operational Environment 2035 

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) 

·         BAPA+40 in the African Context: Is There a Role for Peace and Security? 

·         Challenges in Defining South-South Cooperation 

·         Monitoring and Evaluation: The Need for Standardised Principles 

·         The Road to BAPA+40: An African Civil Society Perspective 

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         April 30, 2019Quarterly Report to Congress 

Stanley Foundation

·         The Role of International Climate Policy in Addressing Socioeconomic Change 

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         World Military Expenditure Grows to $1.8 Trillion in 2018

United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA)

·         Report on the Protection of Civilians in Armed Conflict - 2019 Quarterly Report 

U.S. Immigration Policy Center

·         Deterrence, Displacement,and Death: The Impact of the Border Wall on Undocumented Immigration 

·         Fractured Immigration Federalism: How Dissonant Immigration Enforcement Policies Affect Undocumented Immigrants 

·         How Interior Immigration Enforcement Affects Trust in Law Enforcement 

·         The Impact of Interior Immigration Enforcement on the Day-to-Day Behaviors of Undocumented Immigrants 

US International Trade Commission (USITC)

·         Journal of International Commerce and Economics, April 2019 

o    Global Value Chain Analysis: Concepts and Approaches

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Options for Reintegrating Taliban Fighters in an Afghan Peace Process 

·         The United Wa State Army and Burma’s Peace Process 

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Ahead of Ramadan,Yemen’s Economy is Increasingly Dire 

·         A Fifty-Year Reign?  MbS and the Future of Saudi Arabia 

·         How Trump’s Decision on the Golan Helps Assad, Iran, and Russia 

·         Israel’s Armistice with Hamas, Growing Tensions with Abbas 

·         Making Sense of Iraq's PMF Arrests 

·         Proceeding with Caution in Western Sahara 

·         Renewing the Iran Sanctions Waivers (Part 1): Nuclear Activities 

·         Renewing the IranSanctions Waivers (Part 2): Energy and Afghan Trade 

White House

·         Presidential Memorandum on Combating High Nonimmigrant Overstay Rates 

Wilson Center

·         “An Explosion Occurred in Power Unit No. 4”: The Story of Chernobyl in Documents 

·         Brazil-U.S.Defense Cooperation

·         Building Better Gendarmeries in Mexico and the Northern Triangle 

World Bank

·         Healthy China:Deepening Health Reform in China

Zolberg Institute on Migration and Mobility of The New School

·         A Global BroadbandPlan for Refugee Inclusion