Friday's Miscellany 10-19-2018

38 North

·         The Sanctions Effect in North Korea: Observations from Rason

Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit (AREU)

·         Swinging Between Hope and Despair: Kabul Citizen’s Voting Behavior in the 2018 Wolesi Jirga Elections

AidData

·         Evaluation of the Local Governance and Infrastructure Program

·         Evaluation of the Infrastructure Needs Program II

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Does the Middle East Still Play to the Tunes of Global Powers?

·         Jamal Khashoggi: The Intellectual and his ‘Incomplete’ Chapter…!

American Enterprise Institute

·         Tech Policy and the Midterm Elections

Amnesty International

·         Cases of Violence in the Brazilian Electoral Context Must be Investigated Considering the Possibility That They Could Be Hate Crimes

·         Egypt: How French Arms Were Used to Crush Dissent

·         Instilling Terror: From Lethal Force to Persecution in Nicaragua

·         Legal Analysis of DRC Legislation on the Right to Freedom of Peaceful Assembly

·         Life Without Legal Capacity In Kazakhstan

·         USA: Open letter to Department of Homeland Security on US Asylum Report

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Can Australia Afford Nuclear Propelled Submarines?  Can We Afford Not To?

·         Preventing Another Australia Card Fail

·         Safety in Numbers: Australia’s Private Security Guard Force and Counterterrorism

Baker Institute for Public Policy 

·         Lebanon: A Consociational Model to be Refined

·         Post-Boston Incident : A PHMSA Enterprise Opportunity for Continuous Improvement

·         Trump Climbdown Shows that Saudis Hold the Cards — and the Oil

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         The China-EU Relationship: Trade but Verify

·         Jihadist Groups in North Africa and the Sahel: Between Disintegration, Reconfiguration and Resilience

·         The Libyan Security Continuum: the Impact of the Libyan Crisis on the North African/Sahelian Regional System

·         Militarization and Militia-ization: Dynamics of Armed Group Proliferation in Egypt and Libya

·         New Trends in Identity Politics in the Middle East and North Africa and their Impact on State-society Relations

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

·         A Corbyn Government Would Be a Terrorist Threat to the Western World

·         Israel, Don’t Sacrifice Deterrence for Revenge

·         Khan Ahmar: Israel’s Opportunity

·         Merkel’s Approach to Israel Has Not Progressed

·         Normalizing Anti-Semitism in the US

·         The North Korean Air Force: A Declining or Evolving Threat?

·         President Trump, Tell the Palestinians: No Negotiations Without Recognition of Jewish Self-Determination

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         Can Democracy Survive in the Information Age?

Bonn International Center for Conversion (BICC)

·         Situated Sustainability: A Research Programme for Conflict-affected Settings and Beyond

Brookings

·         The Future of Financial Stability and Cyber Risk

·         Unconventional Monetary Policies in the Euro Area, Japan, and the United Kingdom

Bruegel

·         The Euro-Mediterranean Energy Relationship: A Fresh Perspective

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         China’s Rise as a Geoeconomic Influencer: Four European Case Studies

CATO Institute

·         Immigration and Redistribution

·         India’s New Protectionism Threatens Gains from Economic Reform

Center for Global Development

·         Let’s Be Real: The Informal Sector and the Gig Economy are the Future, and the Present, of Work in Africa

·         Rising to the SDG Challenge: The Unique Contribution of the International Development Finance Club

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         CSS Policy Perspectives v. 6/7, October 2018

o    When Terrorism and Organized Crime Meet

Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS)

·         Crossing Borders: How the Migration Crisis Transformed Europe’s External Policy

·         Defusing the South China Sea Disputes:  A Regional Blueprint

·         Europe’s Migration Maelstrom & Its Political Tides

·         Rebuilding Strategic Thinking

o    Volume 1: A National Security Priority for the United States

o    Volume 2: Developing Country Trends and Insights from Four Country Case Studies

·         What Can 24 Satellites Do for U.S. Missile Defense?

Center on Global Energy Policy

·         Low US Storage Levels Point to Winter Natural Gas Price Spike Risk

·         Secretary Perry’s Grid Resiliency Pricing Rule: On Market Interventions and Minimizing the Damage

·         Trump and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve: Legal Authorities,Physical Realities and October Surprises

Centre for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies

·         Walking a Fragile Path: Assessing the IDLIB De-Militarization Deal

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Premature Elections Won't Stabilise Libya

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Central Bank Balance Sheets and the Interaction between Monetary Policy and Financial Stability

·         Crisis in the WTO: Restoring the Dispute Settlement Function

·         Flood Risk Mapping in Canada: Moving Forward on a National Priority

·         The Rise of Mega-Regionalism: Revealing Canada’s Blind Spots

Chatham House

·         Tackling Illegal Wildlife Trade in Africa: Economic Incentives and Approaches

·         US Military Policy in the Middle East: An Appraisal

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Bridging the Gap: Sustainable Connectivity in EU-India Relations

·         Connectivity between Asia and Europe

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Terror Threat Snapshot - October 2018  

Congress. Senate. Commerce, Science, & Transportation Committee

·         Consumer Data Privacy: Examining Lessons From the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation and the California Consumer Privacy Act

·         The Future of the Fleets: Coast Guard and NOAA Ship Recapitalization

·         The Race to 5G: A View from the Field

Congress. Senate. Energy & Natural Resources Committee

·         Blackstart hearing

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         An Analysis of the Navy's Fiscal Year 2019 Shipbuilding Plan

·         Federal Support for Financing State and Local Transportation and Water Infrastructure

·         Public Spending on Transportation and Water Infrastructure, 1956to 2017

Council on Foreign Relations

·         Disinformation on Steroids: The Threat of Deep Fakes

·         Global Governance to Combat Illicit Financial Flows

Customs and Border Patrol (CBP)

·         CBP Discipline Overview Fiscal Years 2016 and 2017

·         Employee Misconduct and Corruption Statistics FY 2016 and FY 2017

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         The Franco-German Axis Prompts New Danish Strategy

Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

·         2017 National Network of Fusion Centers Final Report

Department of the Army

·         ATP 3-13.1 The Conduct of Information Operations, October 4, 2018

East West Center

·         Promises of the “Book of Hope”: Influences on the New Malaysian Government

Economic Research Forum (ERF) 

·         Chronic Illness and Labor Market Participation in Arab Countries:Evidence from Egypt and Tunisia

·         The Durable Effects of Gender Policies: Social Change in Arab Countries

·         Economic Geography, Growth Dynamics and Human Capital Accumulation in Turkey: Evidence from Regional and Micro Data

·         Envy and the Islamic Revival: Experimental Evidence from Tunisia

·         Firm Productivity and Agglomeration Economies: Evidence from Egyptian Data

·         Fiscal Outcomes in Bahrain: Oil Price Volatility, Fiscal Institutions or Politics?

·         Guidelines for Cost-Effective Public Procurement

·         Job Creation or Labor Absorption? An Analysis of Private Sector Job Growth in Egypt

·         Oil Price Volatility, Financial Institutions and Economic Growth

·         Picking Winners at the Ballot Box: Votes and Local Economic Growth in Turkey

·         Structural Transformation in Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia: Patterns,Drivers and Constraints

·         Trade Policy and Input Liberalization: The Effect on Egyptian Firms’ Productivity

Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF)

·         Protecting Security Researchers’ Rights in the Americas

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Strengthening Cohesion in the EU: How Can Structural Reforms Contribute?

·         Welcoming Back the Prodigal Son?

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Antigua and Barbuda's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing

·         Consolidated Assessment Ratings

·         The FATF Recommendations

Finnish Institute of International Affairs

·         Communist Parties In Russia, Ukraine and Moldova: Struggling with Popular Demands

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         The Need for a Grand Plan in Gaza

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         Brexit, Electricity and the No-Deal Scenario: Perspectives from Continental Europe, Ireland and the UK

·         The Next Wave of Global LNG Investment Is Coming

·         U.S. Oil Embargo on Iran: A New Oil Shock?

·         Wider Context: Germany’s Baltic Engagement, the “Munich Consensus”and the Future of European Security

German Council on Foreign Relations (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e. V.)

·         Public Administration Reform in Ukraine: Hurdle Race with a Slow Start

·         Responsible Defense Policy: This Autumn, Germany Should Pave Its Way out of the 46 Billion Defense Investment Gap

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         Israel’s Nation-State Law: Netanyahu Government Lays the Foundations for a Majoritarian System

·         Mission Impossible?  UN Mediation in Libya, Syria and Yemen

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         After the Brunson Affair: What Next for U.S.–Turkish Relations?

·         Germany’s Troubled Strategic Culture Needs to Change

·         Mission Impossible?  UN Mediation in Libya, Syria and Yemen

Global Public Policy Institute (GPPI)

·         The Fatemiyoun Division: Afghan Fighters in the Syrian Civil War

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         GAO-19-71 Document Services: DOD Should Take Actions to Achieve Further Efficiencies

·         GAO-19-116 Afghanistan Security: Some Improvements Reported in Afghan Forces' Capabilities, but Actions Needed to Enhance DOD Oversight of U.S.-Purchased Equipment

·         GAO-19-120T Air Force Readiness: Actions Needed to Rebuild Readiness and Prepare for the Future [testimony]

·         GAO-19-128 Weapon Systems Cybersecurity: DOD Just Beginning to Grapple with Scale of Vulnerabilities

·         GAO-19-147T Coast Guard Acquisitions: Lessons Learned to Inform Coast Guard and NOAA Shipbuilding Efforts [testimony]

Human Rights Watch

·         “It’s Not Normal” Sexual Exploitation, Harassment and Abuse in Secondary Schools in Senegal

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

·         Where the East Meets the West: How Western Internet and Modern Communications Technology Helped Soviet-style Propaganda in Donbass

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         Chemical Weapons Convention: Past, Present and Future

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, v. 21, October 18, 2018

o    African Debt: A Growing Problem?

o    Smoking in Africa: The Final Frontier

·         Beam Propagation Model Selection for Millimeter-Wave Directed Energy Weapons (Presentation)

·         Significance of Skull Fractures and Traumatic Brain Injuries Potentially Caused by Blunt-Impact Non-Lethal Weapons

·         Tutorial—Parametric Reliability Models

Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS)

·         United Nations Peacekeeping Operations: Environmental Sustainability

Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict (IPAC)

·         The Surabaya Bombings and the Future of ISIS in Indonesia

Institute for Security Studies

·         Peace and Security Council Report No 107

·         Should the Police be Assessed Using Crime Statistics?

Institute for the Study of War (ISW)

·         The Kremlin's Campaign in Africa

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Agriculture, Water and Rural Development in Egypt

·         India-Bhutan Hydropower Projects: Cooperation and Concerns

·         The International NGO Triangle in the MENA Region

·         A New Narrative for an Old Project: Re-Imagining Europe

·         Realizing Youth Potential in the Mediterranean: Unlocking Opportunities, Overcoming Challenges

·         Turkey's Migration Policy Revisited: (Dis)Continuities and Peculiarities

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Indonesia and India: Dealing with Disasters Together

Intelligence National Security Alliance

·         A Framework for Cyber Indications and Warning

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism

·         Countering Terrorism Through the Stripping of Citizenship: Ineffective and Counterproductive

International Crisis Group

·         Building Peace in Mexico: Dilemmas Facing the López Obrador Government

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Business Cycle with Bank Intermediation in Oil Economies

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·         Deportations on the Grounds of Extremism in Italy Since 2002

Martens Centre for European Studies

·         Time for a (More) Centre-Right EU Foreign Policy Chief

Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

·         Applying Behavioral Insights to Support Immigrant Integration and Social Cohesion

Mitchell Institute

·         Organizing for Cyber Resilience: Rethinking the Balance Between Prevention and Response

National Defence and the Canadian Armed Forces

·         Canadian Military Journal, 2018, v. 18, no. 4

o    Military Planning, Canada’s Strategic Interests and the Maritime Domain

o    War Never Changes: An Alternative Practical Model of War

o    Non-Commissioned Members as Transformational Leaders: Socialization of a Corps

o    Invasive Augmentation Technology in Canadian Defence Policy

o    November 11th in Canada (From 1919 to the Present): The History of a Commemoration

o    “Making Sausage”: RCAF Doctrine 2005-2016

o    Explaining Cultural Difference between Professional Organizations: A Sports Analogy to Start Further Discussion

o    Projecting Human Rights: A Modern Take on Uniformity

o    The Canadian Armed Forces and Humanitarian Assistance and Disaster Relief (HADR)

National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS)

·         Security Outlook of the Asia Pacific Countries and Its Implications for the Defense Sector

National Security Archive

·         Gina Haspel CIA Torture Cables' Dates and Times Declassified

·         Okinawa: Perennial Flashpoint in the U.S.-Japan Alliance

National Security Institute (NSI)

·         Cyber Imperative: Preserve and Strengthen Public-Private Partnerships

NATO Cooperative Cyber Defense Centre of Excellence

·         Guide to Developing a National Cybersecurity Strategy

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         Many Around the World Are Disengaged from Politics

Pew Research Center Journalism & Media

·         Social Media Bots Draw Public’s Attention and Concern

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         Gun Policy Remains Divisive, But Several Proposals Still Draw Bipartisan Support

·         Little Partisan Agreement on the Pressing Problems Facing the U.S.

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         China Grapples with Changing U.S. Trade Policy

·         EU Trade Policy in the Age of U.S. Protectionism

·         The Missing Pillar of the Banking Union: German Scepticism and the European Deposits Insurance Scheme

·         Protectionism in U.S. Trade Policy

Privacy & Civil Liberties Oversight Board (PCLOB)

·         Report to the President on the Implementation of Presidential Policy 28: Signals Intelligence Activities [redacted]

Program on Extremism, George Washington University

·         Nidal Hasan: A Case Study in Lone Actor Terrorism

·         Salafism in America: History, Evolution, Radicalization

Rand

·         At the Dawn of Belt and Road China in the Developing World

·         Enhancing Family Stability During a Permanent Change of Station: A Review of Disruptions and Policies

·         The Language of Inform, Influence, and Persuade: Assessment Lexicon and Usage Guide for U.S. European Command Efforts

·         Measuring Automated Vehicle Safety: Forging a Framework

·         Naval Operational Supply System: Analysis of Alternatives

·         Preventing Deviations from Presidential Term Limits in Low- and Middle-Income Democracies

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·         2018 UK PONI Papers [UK Project on Nuclear Issues (UK PONI) Annual Conference]

·         E-Commerce, Delivery Services and the Illicit Tobacco Trade

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         Pakistan and its Militants: Who is Mainstreaming Whom?

·         Simultaneous Disasters in Southeast Asia: Is Risk Outpacing Resilience?

·         Violent Extremism and its Continuum

Small Wars Journal 

·         Applying Recent Lessons from Climate Change Communication to Counter-ISIS Strategic Communication

·         The Challenge of Africa’s Cities

·         Colombia’s ELN, Ex-FARC Mafia Recruiting Hungry Venezuela Migrants

·         Courage and Self-Reliance - The Essential Virtues

·         The Easter Offensive of 1972: A Prelude to Vengeance Achieved

·         El Centro Field Note No. 1: Ciudad Juárez Prison Interview -Sicario Human Sacrifice to Santa Muerte

·         Military Perspectives and Interests in an Expanding Online Learning Environment

·         Saint Nazario and the Knights Templar: The Narco-Evangelicalism of a Mexican Drug Cartel

·         Why Won’t the US Leave Afghanistan?

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

·         Does South Africa Need Its Own Export-import Bank?

·         Sliding Towards Disaster: Migration in European-African Relations

Spearhead Research

·         The South China Sea: Examining Security and Cooperation

Stanley Foundation

·         Additive Manufacturing and Nuclear Nonproliferation: Shared Perspectives on Security Implications and Governance Options

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         Is the World on the Road to Peace or War?

Strategic Studies Institute

·         Assessing the Collective Security Treaty Organization: Capabilities and Vulnerabilities

Texas Military Preparedness Commission

·         Texas Military Value Task Force 2018 Strategic Report

Transparency International

·         European Getaway: Inside the Murky World of Golden Visas

Transportation Security Administration (TSA)

·         TSA Biometrics Roadmap for Aviation Security & the Passenger Experience

Treasury Department Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN)

·         Advisory on the Iranian Regime’s Illicit and Malign Activities and Attempts to Exploit the Financial System

Treasury Department Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC)

·         Treasury Sanctions Vast Financial Network Supporting Iranian Paramilitary Force That Recruits and Trains Child Soldiers

US Chamber of Commerce

·         Made in China 2025: Global Ambitions Built on Local Protections

US-China Economic and Security Review Commission

·         China’s Engagement with Latin America and the Caribbean

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Participatory Action Research for Advancing Youth-Led Peacebuilding in Kenya

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Delicate Diplomacy in Western Sahara

·         Gaïd Salah and the Future of the Algerian Army

·         Haftar on Algeria: Testing the Waters

·         How Is the Saudi Public Likely Responding to the Crisis over Khashoggi’s Disappearance? The Popularity of Riyadh’s “Reformist Repression”

·         Sisi’s Anti-Israel Rhetoric: New Speeches, Old Problems

·         Syria’s War is Not Over

·         Why Does Hezbollah Want Lebanon’s Health Ministry?

Wilson Center

·         Is Deterrence Enough? Deterrence Policies in Mexico, and Finding a Way Forward in the U.S.-Mexico Bilateral Relationship on Migration

World Economic Forum

·         2018 Global Competitiveness Report

World Peace Foundation

·         The Strategies of the Coalition in the Yemen War