Friday's Miscellany 09-14-2018

38 North

·         Are Sanctions Part of the Problem?

·         Donald Trump’s Instincts Are Mostly Right on North Korea, His Advisors Are the Problem

ACLU

·         Death, Damage, and Failure: Past, Present, and Future Impacts of Walls on the U.S.-Mexico Border

AidData

·         Connective Financing: Chinese Infrastructure Projects and the Diffusion of Economic Activity in Developing Countries

·         Estimating Spatial Treatment Effects: An Application to Base Closures and Aid Delivery in Afghanistan

·         Honor among Chiefs: An Experiment on Monitoring and Diversion Among Traditional Leaders in Malawi

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         The Iranian Factor in the Emerging Balance of Power in the Middle East

Amnesty International

·         Detained and Deported: Venezuelans Denied Protection in Curacao

Arms Control Association

·         Chronology of U.S.-North Korean Nuclear and Missile Diplomacy

Army Center of Military History

·         Army History Magazine, Fall 2018, no. 109

o    America's Army of Democracy  National Army, 1917–1919

o    French Infantry Musket: M1728 (Charleville)

o    Kesternich: The Battle that Saved the Bulge

·         The Marne: 15 July-6 August 1918

·         St. Mihiel: 12–16 September 1918

Army University Press

·         Journal of Military Learning, October 2018, v. 1, no. 4

o    Foundational Theories and Approaches to Ethics Education within the U.S. Military: A Literature Review

o    Using Digital Textbooks to Improve Student Learning: Lessons for Military Educators

o    What Our Professional Military Leaders Need to Know: Enhancing the Professional Military Educational Structure

o    Incorporating Reflection Exercises to Identify Soft Skills in Army Education

o    U.S. Air Force Military Training Instructor and Instructor Trainer Competencies: Training the Instructors of the Next Generation of Airmen

o    The Intersection of Leadership and Emotions Lessons and Actions Leading to Change

o    Educating Soldiers in a Virtual Environment

o    The Army Learning Coordination Council as a Change Catalyst: Exportable Educational Change Management for the Twenty-First Century

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         Evaluating the South Korean Special Envoy’s 2nd Pyongyang Visit: Reviving Dialogue, Delaying Resolution

ASUA Institute of Land Warfare

·         Profile of the United States Army (2018 Edition)

Atlantic Council

·         Beyond the Three Seas: A Strategy for Extending the 3SI Energy Security Vision to Ukraine and the Republic of Moldova

·         Climate Leadership in Uncertain Times

·         Defining Russian Election Interference: An Analysis of Select 2014to 2018 Cyber Enabled Incidents

·         US Policy in Syria: A Seven-year Reckoning

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Confronting the Governance Crisis in the Middle East

·         Corruption in Mexico

·         Formalizing An Informal Senate

·         Lebanon's Political Sectarianism

·         Political Inclusion in Rojava and Iraqi Kurdistan

·         Reflections on Tragedy

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         The Crisis of the GCC and the Role of the European Union

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         The Anti-Israel Effort Intensifies in Politics and On Campus

·         Greece Faces the End of the Bailout Era and a Dispute with Russia

·         How Feasible Is a Long-Term Truce with Hamas?

·         Insights from the UK Labour Anti-Semitism Debate

·         Light at the End of the Tunnel for Greece?

·         The North Korean Foreign Minister Visits Tehran

·         Oslo at 25: A Personal View

·         The Oslo Disaster Revisited: How It Happened

·         The Price of Israeli Withdrawal: Lessons from the Past

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         Shaping Disruptive Technological Change for Public Good

Blair Institute for Global Change

·         Violent Islamist Extremism: A Global Problem

Brookings

·         Analysis of Black Women’s Electoral Strength in an Era of Fractured Politics

·         A 10-degree Shift in Syria Strategy

·         The Federal Budget Outlook: We are Not Winning

·         How Has Trump’s Deregulatory Order Worked in Practice?

·         How Many People Will the World Leave Behind?

·         How Should Official Development Assistance be Allocated Across Countries?

Bruegel

·         The EU’s Multiannual Financial Framework and Some Implications for CESEE Countries

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         An Austrian Wedding and Bilat in Berlin: Implications for Russia-Ukraine Conflict

·         Rights of Passage: It’s Time the U.S. Recognizes Canada’s Arctic Claim

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         How Eastern Ukraine Is Adapting and Surviving: The Case of Kharkiv

·         The Politics of Post-Conflict Reconstruction

CATO Institute

·         Indispensable Remedy: The Broad Scope of the Constitution’s Impeachment Power

·         Political Impact of Immigration: Evidence from the United States

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Filling the Seams in U.S. Long-Range Penetrating Strike

·         Quantum Hegemony?: China’s Ambitions and the Challenge to U.S.Innovation Leadership

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Balkan Futures: Three Scenarios for 2025

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Acquisition Trends 2018: Defense Contract Spending Bounces Back -Executive Summary

·         Insurgent Sanctuary in Pakistan

·         Must the Energy Transition Be Slow? Not Necessarily

·         Telling the Truth About the War in Afghanistan

Centre for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies

·         The Ticking Bomb of Idlib

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Addressing Excessive Risk Taking in the Financial Sector: A Corporate Governance Approach

·         Creating Credit from De Facto Collateral Rights

·         From Fisheries Subsidies to Energy Reform under International Trade Law

·         Making Enhanced CACs the Rule: A Proposed Amendment of the Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act

·         Xenophobia toward Refugees and Other Forced Migrants

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         CTC Sentinel, September 2018, v. 11, no. 8

o    Al-Qa`ida’s First American Foreign Fighter after 9/11

o    A View from the CT Foxhole: An Interview with Kevin McAleenan, Commissioner of U.S. Customs and Border Protection

o    The Houthi War Machine: From Guerrilla War to State Capture

o    Treatment of Terrorists: How Does Gender Affect Justice?

o    From Caliphate to Caves: The Islamic State’s Asymmetric War in Northern Iraq

Chatham House

·         Iran and the GCC: Hedging, Pragmatism and Opportunism

Climate Leadership Council

·         Exceeding Paris: How the Baker-Shultz Carbon Dividends Plan Would Significantly Exceed the U.S. Paris Commitment

College of Europe

·         Building a Forward-looking EU Policy Strategy on Blockchain

Congress. House. Armed Services Committee

·         Army Futures Command: Will It Help?

·         U.S. Strategy in Syria

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·         Air Quality Impacts of Wildfires: Mitigation and Management Strategies

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Reviewing Current Developments in Ethiopia

Congress. House. Transportation & Infrastructure Committee

·         The State of Positive Train Control Implementation in the United States

Congress. Senate. Commerce, Science, & Transportation Committee

·         Transportation of Tomorrow: Emerging Technologies That Will Move America

Congress. Senate. Energy & Natural Resources Committee

·         Role of U.S. LNG in Meeting European Energy Demand

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

·         Evolving Threats to the Homeland

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         About CBO's Cost Estimates

·         Baseline Budget Projections

·         Comparing the Costs of Submarine Maintenance at Public and Private Shipyards

·         Testimony on Transparency at CBO: An Update

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         Evaluation Study: Danish Development Cooperation with Bolivia,Mozambique, Nepal and Vietnam

Department of Justice

·         North Korean Regime-Backed Programmer Charged With Conspiracy to Conduct Multiple Cyber Attacks and Intrusions

·         Court Document

Department of Justice. Community Oriented Policing Services

·         Below Ten: Combating Drugs, Guns, and Human Trafficking at the U.S. Southwest Border

Department of the Army

·         ADP 2-0 Intelligence, September 4, 2018  

East-West Center

·         US-China Development Cooperation: New Bilateral Dynamics?

Economic Research Forum (ERF)

·         Determinants of Fertility and Population Policies in MENA Countries

·         Gender Differences and Time Allocation: A Comparative Analysis of Egypt and Tunisia

·         Own Account Workers in Jordan: Profile and Work Characteristics

·         Time Poverty in Egypt and Tunisia: Is There A Gender Gap?

Egmont Institute

·         More Room for European Agencies in the EU Decision-making Process?

European Union Institute for Security Studies

·         Paper Beats Rock: GCC Geo-economics

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, September 2018 

o    What Leadership Is Not: Understanding Effective Influence

o    Enhanced Warrant Processing

o    Indispensable Guidance

·         Law Enforcement Officers Killed and Assaulted, 2017 

Feinstein International Center

·         Constraints and Complexities of Information Analysis in Humanitarian Emergencies: Evidence from South Sudan

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

·         Japan-Russia Relations: The Kremlin has the Upper Hand

Foundation for Strategic Research (Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique)

·         China and European Electricity Networks: Strategy and Issues

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         Geopolitics of Artificial Intelligence: The Return of Empires?

German Development Institute

·         Exporting for Growth: Identifying Leading Sectors for Egypt and Tunisia Using the Product Space Methodology

·         Meeting Africa’s Employment Challenge in a Changing World

·         Pro-poor Climate Risk Insurance: The Role of Community-based Organisations

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         Missions in a Changing World: The Bundeswehr and Its Operations Abroad

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·         When Do Religious Minorities' Grievances Lead to Peaceful or Violent Protest? Evidence from Canada’s Jewish and Muslim Communities

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Toward a Serious Rupture in the U.S.–Turkey Alliance?

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         GAO-18-559 Data Protection: Actions Taken by Equifax and Federal Agencies in Response to the 2017 Breach

·         GAO-18-678 Weapon System Sustainment: Selected Air Force and Navy Aircraft Generally Have Not Met Availability Goals, and DOD and Navy Guidance Need to Be Clarified

·         GAO-18-692T Positive Train Control: Most Railroads Expect to Request an Extension, and Substantial Work Remains Beyond 2018 [testimony]

·         GAO-18-696T Electronic Health Records: Clear Definition of the Interagency Program Office's Role in VA's New Modernization Effort Would Strengthen Accountability [testimony]

·         Key Trends with a Major Impact on Our Nation and Its Government (video)

Households in Conflict Network

·         Assets for Alimentation? The Nutritional Impact of Assets-Based Programming in Niger

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         The 2018 Maldivian Presidential Elections: Two-horse Race between Development and Reforms

·         Land Ahoy! Debarment Systems in Ministry of Defence Start Coming of Age

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, v. 20, September 12, 2018 

o    Uganda: Dissident Draws Attention to Human Rights Violations and Authoritarianism

o    Political Change in the Horn of Africa

Institute for Science and International Security

·         Revisiting Qusayr: Uncertainties Still Abound at Suspect Underground Site in Syria

Institute for Security Studies [Africa]

·         Violent Crime on Farms and Smallholdings in South Africa

Institute for the Study of War

·         Syria Situation Report: August 28 - September 12, 2018

·         The U.S. Response to Basra and Iraq's Crisis

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         PESCO and Security Cooperation Between the EU and Turkey

·         Regional Powers and the Production of Insecurity in the Middle East

·         Russia and the Baltics: A Testing Ground for NATO–EU Defence Cooperation

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         India Elections: The Perils of Anti-incumbency

·         Michael Pompeo in Pakistan: A Resetting of Relations

·         The Performance of Religious Parties in Pakistan’s Elections

·         The Rapidly Evolving Situation in Afghanistan: Some Hope but Considerable Despair

International Association of Chiefs of Police

·         Police Chief, v. 85, no. 9, September 2018

o    Police Personnel Retention Challenges: Literature Review and Recommendations

o    The Right Person for the Right Position: Changing Hiring Practices to Meet 21st Century Demands

o    Transforming Law Enforcement by Changing the Face of Policing

o    Changing Times; Changing Strategies: One Agency’s Experience with Innovative Recruitment

o    The NOBLE Mentoring Potential CEOs Program: A Process to Develop Chiefs of Police

o    IACP Through the Years: Upcoming: A Crisis in Recruiting

o    Officer Safety Corner: Organizational Contributions to Police Suicide

o    Research in Brief: Effectiveness of License Plate Readers for Patrol and Investigations

o    Chief's Counsel: Carpenter v. United States: Digital Privacy in the 21st Century

International Centre for Defense and Security

·         Bridging the Gap Between India and the Baltics

International Crisis Group

·         How to Save the U.S. Refugee Admissions Program

·         Prospects for a Deal to Stabilise Syria’s North East

International Monetary Fund (IMF) 

·         Carbon Taxation for International Maritime Fuels: Assessing the Options

·         Dollarization and Financial Development

·         External Audit Arrangements at Central Banks

·         Fintech, Inclusive Growth and Cyber Risks: Focus on the MENAP and CCA Regions

·         The Fiscal Cost of Conflict: Evidence from Afghanistan 2005-2016

·         An Imperfect Financial Union With Heterogeneous Regions

·         Managing Reductions in Aid Inflows: Assessing Policy Choices in Haiti

·         Systemic Banking Crises Revisited

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         Local Networks for Peace: Lessons from Community-Led Peacebuilding

·         Safeguarding Medical Care and Humanitarian Action in the UN Counterterrorism Framework

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·         Russia and China Have a Message for the West

James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies

·         All the World is Staged: An Analysis of Social Media Influence Operations against US Counterproliferation Efforts in Syria

Migration Policy Institute

·         Reimagining Skilled Migration Partnerships to Support Development

MITRE

·         June 2018 Federal Cloud & Data Center Summit Report

Modern War Institute (MWI)

·         PTSD and Veterans’ Benefits in the United States: A Historical Backgrounder

National Academies Press

·         Transportation Emergency Response Application (TERA) Support Materials for Airport EOC Exercises

National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS)

·         Understanding Fifty Years of Japanese Maritime Security Capacity Building Activities in Southeast Asia

Observer Research Foundation

·         The Impact of GST on Municipal Finances in India: A Case Study of Mumbai

Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI)

·         Summary of the Reengagement of Detainees Formerly Held at Guantanamo Bay (GTMO), Cuba

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Living with Lower Productivity Growth: Impact on Exports

·         Sector Gains Are Uneven under 2017 Tax Law

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         In Advanced and Emerging Economies Alike, Worries About Job Automation

Pew Research Center Journalism & Media

·         News Use Across Social Media Platforms 2018

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         Partisan Divides in Views of Many Countries – but Not North Korea

·         Republicans, Democrats See Opposing Party as More Ideological Than Their Own

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         #mission2030: Austria’s Strategy for a Low-Carbon Transformation

·         Perspectives on NATO’s Deterrence and Defence on the Eastern Flank

·         Recalibration of China’s Policy towards WANA: Greater Political and Security Cooperation?

·         “Tell China’s Stories Well”: Implications for the Western Narrative

·         The UK Policy Paper on UK-EU Future Relations: Impact on Brexit Negotiations

Rand

·         An Assessment of the Joint Requirements Council's (JRC) Organization and Staffing

·         Building Security in Africa: An Evaluation of U.S. Security Sector Assistance in Africa from the Cold War to the Present

·         A Developmental Approach to Building Sustainable Security-Sector Capacity in Africa

·         Expanding Operating and Support Cost Analysis for Major Programs During the DoD Acquisition Process: Legal Requirements, Current Practices, and Recommendations

·         Harmonizing Discretionary Policy Choice with Fiscal Rule Making:Mexico after Fiscal and Energy Sector Reforms

·         Preparing for "Post-ISIL" Access Challenges: Robust Basing to Support Operations Against Nonstate Adversaries

·         Shared Problems: The Lessons of AirLand Battle and the 31Initiatives for Multi-Domain Battle

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·         Pakistan’s Army Reverses the Great Game: The Oxus Meets the Indus

Sasakawa Peace Foundation USA

·         Fighting in Maritime Gray Zone Warfare in East Asia

Security Assistance Monitor

·         Corruption in the Defense Sector: Identifying Key Risks to U.S.Counterterrorism Aid

Small Wars Journal

·         Advise, Assist and Enable in Iraq: It’s a Human Thing

·         Ending the Curse in the DRC: A Game of Thrones, Mines and Militias

·         Russia in Ukraine 2013-2016: The Application of New Type Warfare Maximizing the Exploitation of Cyber, IO, and Media

·         The UK Should Learn from the Transgressions of Australian Special Forces

·         A Winning Strategy for Afghanistan

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         SIGAR 18-72-FA Department of the Army’s Afghanistan-Wide Mine, Battle Area, and Range Clearance Operation – Phase II, Effort 1: Audit of Costs Incurred by Janus Global Operations LLC

·         SIGAR 18-73-FA Department of the Army's Afghanistan-Wide Mine, Battle Area, and Range Clearance Operation – Phase II, Effort 2: Audit of Costs Incurred by Janus Global Operations LLC

Swisspeace

·         The Democratizing Effect of Non-Violent Resistance

Swiss Re Institute

·         Closing the Gap in Guangdong: Economic Resilience against Natural Disasters for Cities

·         Closing the Gap in Heilongjiang: Building Climate Resilience in Rural Provinces

US Air Force (USAF)

·         Air Force Instruction 16-608 - Implementation of, and Compliance with, Treaties Involving Weapons of Mass Destruction

US Customs and Border Protection (CBP)

·         Southwest Border Migration FY2018

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         China’s Role in Myanmar’s Internal Conflicts

·         Beyond the Homeland: Protecting America from Extremism in Fragile States

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Assad’s Law 10: Reshaping Syria’s Demographics

·         Egypt's New Realism: Challenges Under Sisi

·         The Future of Regional Cooperation in the War on Terror

·         Iran’s Military Propaganda: Failures and Successes

·         Iran’s Missile Attack in Iraqi Kurdistan Could Backfire

·         New Saudi Views of Jews—and of Israel

·         HBO's 'The Oslo Diaries'

·         Prosecution Highlights Hezbollah, Syrian Links to Hariri Assassination

·         Round One of Idlib Campaign May Target Turkish-Backed Rebels

·         The Smart Way to Sanction Iranian-Backed Militias in Iraq

·         Strength in Dialogue: A Case for the KRG Parliament

·         Thirst For Decentralization in Southern Iraq

Wilson Center

·         Research on Regional Resilience Improvement: Coping with Flooding Disaster by Climate Change Effect