Friday's Miscellany 11-03-2017

38 North

·         What North Korea’s IC May be Whispering to Kim Jong Un About US Intentions

Adelphi

·         Insurgency, Terrorism and Organised Crime in a Warming Climate: Analysing the Links Between Climate Change and Non-State Armed Groups

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·         South Sudan Conflict Drives Massive Population Movement  

African Centre for the Constructive Resolution of Disputes

·         Silencing the Guns: Mediation Practices and Contemporary Wars

Air Power Development Centre

·         Effects of Air Power on Joint Campaigns

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Balfour Declaration Centenary, 2017: A Constructive Retrieval or an Odd Masquerade

American Enterprise Institute

·         Sanctioning an Unruly Ally: Understanding Sino-North Korean Trade through the People’s Daily

Amnesty International

·         Human Rights Violations in Dutch High-Security Prisons in the Context of Counterterrorism

·         Nights of Terror: Attacks and Illegal Raids on Homes in Venezuela

Army University Press

·         Military Review, November-December 2017, v. 97, no. 6

o    Multi-Domain Battle: The Advent of Twenty-First Century War

o    The Return of U.S. Army Field Manual 3-0, Operations

o    Contemporary Warfare and Current Issues for the Defense of the Country

o    Compelling Reasons for the Expansion of Chinese Military Forces

o    North Korea Policy: Changed Regime

o    Assessing the Value of Serving in an Army Service Component Command as a Broadening Assignment

o    Strykers on the Mechanized Battlefield

o    Enabling Brigade Combat Team Success in Europe: Lessons Learned

o    Adaptation and Innovation with an Urban Twist: Changes to Suicide Tactics in the Battle for Mosul

o    Logistical Operations in Highly Lethal Environments

o    Epic Fail: Why Leaders Must Fail to Ultimately Succeed

o    How the Army Ought to Write Requirements

o    Integration of Cultural Property Protection into a Decisive Action Training Exercise

o    The Pursuit of Power: Europe 1815–1914

Atlantic Council

·         Tehran Stands Atop the Syria-Iran Alliance

·         Turkey: Managing Tensions and Options to Engage

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Australia’s Offshore Patrol Vessels: Missing an Opportunity?

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Energy in Africa Promotes U.S. Economic and Security Interests

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         All that Glitters is not Gold: Unveiling Iran’s Economic Recovery

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         The Chinese Communist Party’s 19th National Conference

·         Israel and the South Caucasus: Building a New Approach

·         Mahmoud Abbas Should Endorse the Balfour Declaration

·         The Puzzle of the North Korean ICBM

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         Taking Stock: Estimating Vulnerability Rediscovery

Brookings

·         Korean Defense Reform: History and Challenges

·         Lessons from the Rise of women’s Labor Force Participation in Japan

CATO Institute

·         Border Patrol Termination Rates: Discipline and Performance Problems Signal Need for Reform

·         Internet, Political Polarization, and the 2016 Election

·         State of Free Speech and Tolerance in America

Center for Global Development

·         Energy in Africa Promotes U.S. Economic and Security Interests

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         Independent Assessment of U.S. Government Efforts against al-Qaeda

·         Summary of Independent Assessment of U.S. Government Efforts against Al-Qaeda

Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS)

·         Trillion Dollar Nuclear Triad

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Health Security:  The Global Context

·         OPEC and Strategic Questions in the Oil Market

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)

·         Analysis of the FY 2018 Defense Budget and Trends in Defense Spending

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Illegal, Unreported, and Unregulated Fishing as a National Security Threat

·         PacNet #79 - The Philippines-Japan security partnership in a changing regional security environment

·         Tipping the Balance in Southeast Asia?  Thailand, the United States and China

·         U.S. Natural Gas in the Global Economy

Center for Terrorism and Security Studies

·         Perspectives on Terrorism, October 2017,  v. 11, no. 5

o    Countering Violent Extremism in Prisons: A Review of Key Recent Research and Critical Research Gaps

o    The New Crusaders: Contemporary Extreme Right Symbolism and Rhetoric

o    Exploring the Continuum of Lethality: Militant Islamists' Targeting Preferences in Europe

o    On and Off the Radar: Tactical and Strategic Responses to Screening Known Potential Terrorist Attackers

o    Counterterrorism Bookshelf: 30 Books on Terrorism & Counter-Terrorism-Related Subjects

o    Bibliography: Terrorist Organizations: Cells, Networks, Affiliations, Splits

o    Bibliography: Life Cycles of Terrorism

o    Academic Theses (Ph.D. and MA) on Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism Related Issues, written in English between 2013 and 2017

o    Recent Online Resources for the Analysis of Terrorism and Related Subjects

Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)

·         Abbottabad collection

·         CIA Releases Nearly 470,000 Additional Files Recovered in May 2011Raid on Usama Bin Ladin’s Compound

·         CIA World Factbook [updated]

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         How the EU and Third Countries Can Manage Migration

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         The Case for a WTO Climate Waiver

·         Developing a National Strategy for Climate Engineering Research in Canada

·         Disclosure of Climate-related Financial Information: Time for Canada to Act

·         Equitable Allocation of Climate Adaptation Finance: Considering Income Levels Alongside Vulnerability

·         Satellites, Remote Sensing and Big Data: Legal Implications for Measuring Emissions

·         Sovereign Debt Restructuring: Good Faith or Self-Interest?

Chatham House

·         The Implications of Brexit for UK, EU and Global Agricultural Reform in the Next Decade

·         South Africa’s Economic Engagement in Sub-Saharan Africa: Drivers,Constraints and Future Prospects

Congress. House. Armed Services Committee

·         Securing the Peace After the Fall of ISIL

·         U.S. Defense Strategy in South Asia  

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         An Insider’s Look at the North Korean Regime

Congress. House. Judiciary Committee

·         Net Neutrality and the Role of Antitrust

Congress. House. Oversight & Government Reform Committee

·         Examining the Regulation of Shark Finning in the United States

·         Overview of 16 Years of Involvement in Afghanistan

Congress. House. Science, Space, & Technology Committee

·         The Future of Low Dose Radiation Research

·         Putting Food on the Table – A Review of the Importance of Agriculture Research

Congress. House. Transportation & Infrastructure Committee

·         Emergency Response and Recovery: Central Takeaways from the Unprecedented 2017 Hurricane Season

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         The Authorizations for the Use of Military Force: Administration Perspective

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

·         Conflicting Reports; Administration Lacks Formal Plan to Address President Trump’s Financial Conflicts of Interest [minority report]

Congress. Senate. Judiciary Committee

·         Extremist Content and Russian Disinformation Online: Working with Tech to Find Solutions

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Approaches for Managing the Costs of U.S. Nuclear Forces, 2017 to2046

·         Effects of Climate Change and Coastal Development on U.S.Hurricane Damage: Implications for the Federal Budget

·         Factors Underlying CBO’s Long-Term Outlook for Federal Health Care Spending

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2018-003 Report of Investigation on Allegations Related to the DoD's Decision to Relocate a Joint Intelligence Analysis Complex

Department of Homeland Security

·         OIG 18-05 DHS' Controls Over Firearms and Other Sensitive Assets

·         OIG-18-06 Summary and Key Findings of Fiscal Year 2016 FEMA Disaster Grant and Program Audits

·         OIG 18-07 DHS Needs a More Unified Approach to Immigration Enforcement and Administration

·         OIG-18-08 FEMA and California Need to Assist CalRecycle, a California State Agency, to Improve Its Accounting of $230 Million in Disaster Costs

·         OIG-18-09 Management Alert - FEMA Should Recover $6.2 Million in Public Assistance Funds for Disaster Repairs That Are Not the Legal Responsibility of Richland County, North Dakota

Department of the Navy

·         Comprehensive Review of Recent Surface Force Incidents

·         Navy Releases Collision Report for USS Fitzgerald and USS John S McCain Collisions

·         Collision Report for USS Fitzgerald and USS John S. McCain Collisions

·         Collision Map Graphics

The Dialogue

·         Beneath the Violence: How Insecurity Shapes Daily Life and Emigration in Central America

East West Center

·         India’s Evolving Subregional Strategy

East Asia Institute

·         A New Roadmap for the Denuclearization of North Korea

Economic Research Forum (ERF)

·         The Composition of Labor Supply and Unemployment in Tunisia

·         Fiscal Consolidation and UAE Vision 2021: A Small Scale Macroeconomic Model Approach

·         The US Shale Oil Revolution Requires Major Reforms in the Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks and Institutions in the MENA Region

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

·         Russia Country Analysis Brief - October 2017

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         After Brexit: Prospects for UK-EU Cooperation on Foreign and Security Policy

European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)

·         Drug Trafficking in the MENA – The Economics and the Politics

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         FATF Guidance on AML/CFT Measures and Financial Inclusion, with a Supplement on Customer Due Diligence

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Congress Skirmishes Over FISA Section 702: Will It Preserve the Intelligence Community’s “Crown Jewel” or Neuter It?

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         Kind Words, Cruise Missiles, and Everything in Between. The Use of Power Resources in U.S. Policies towards Poland, Ukraine, and Belarus 1989–2008

German Development Institute

·         The Case for Connecting the Implementation of the Paris Climate Agreement and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development

·         Slow Onset Climate Change Impacts: Global Trends and the Role of Science-policy Partnerships

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         The Democrats' Foreign Policy in the Shadow of Trump

·         Extremist Content and Russian Disinformation Online: Working with Tech to Find Solutions

·         Resilience in the Western Balkans

·         Transatlantic Cities and Regions: Tracing Ten Years of Impact

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Critical Infrastructure Protection: DHS Risk Assessments Inform Owner and Operator Protection Efforts and Departmental Strategic Planning GAO-18-62

·         Emergency Communications: Overlap and Views on the Effectiveness of Organizations Promoting the Interoperability of Equipment GAO-18-173R

·         High-Containment Laboratories: Coordinated Actions Needed to Enhance the Select Agent Program's Oversight of Hazardous Pathogens GAO-18-145

·         High-Containment Laboratories: Coordinated Efforts Needed to Further Strengthen Oversight of Select Agents GAO-18-197T  [Testimony] 

·         Inspectors General: Documented Agreement of Certain Roles and Responsibilities Could Further Enhance Coordination in Afghanistan GAO-18-6

·         Low-Dose Radiation: Interagency Collaboration on Planning Research Could Improve Information on Health Effects GAO-18-184T [Testimony]

·         Opioid Use Disorders: HHS Needs Measures to Assess the Effectiveness of Efforts to Expand Access to Medication-Assisted Treatment GAO-18-44

·         Overseas Allowances: State Spends Almost $480 Million Annually to Compensate Employees for Costs and Hardships of Foreign Assignments GAO-18-87

·         Railroad Safety: Quiet Zone Analyses and Inspections Could Be Improved GAO-18-97

·         Stormwater Management: EPA Pilot Project to Increase Use of Green Infrastructure Could Benefit from Documenting Collaborative Agreements GAO-17-750

·         Strategic Petroleum Reserve: Preliminary Observations on the Emergency Oil Stockpile GAO-18-209T [Testimony]

·         Syrian Refugees: U.S. Agencies Conduct Financial Oversight Activities for Humanitarian Assistance but Should Strengthen Monitoring GAO-18-58

Heritage Foundation

·         Voter Fraud Cases from Across the Country

Hudson Institute

·         An Integrated Approach to the Himalayas

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

·         Hacking Cyborgs:  By 2025,Non-Augmented Humans Will Be Obsolete. But There’s Bad News…

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         The Indian Air Force’s Declining Squadron Strength – Options and Challenges

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Civilian Personnel Reform at the Department of Defense: Lessons from the Failure of the National Security Personnel System

·         Five Actions to Improve Military Hospital Performance

Institute for the Study of War

·         Further Military Escalation Remains Likely in Iraqi Kurdistan

·         The Kremlin Targets Ukraine Through Hungary

·         Russia Unfazed in Syria: October 8 - October 30, 2017

·         Turkey’s Silent Al Qaeda Partner in Syria

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Demographic and Economic Material Factors in the MENA Region

·         Environmental Factors in the MENA Region: A SWOT

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         The Challenges of Higher Education in India

·         Ease of Doing Business in India: A Big Jump but Tough for a Bigger Jump

·         Gujarat Assembly Elections: BJP Ahead Despite Voter Discontent

·         Revitalising the Indian Economy: Announcement of Public Sector Bank Recapitalisation Measures

·         Rex Tillerson in South Asia: An American Tilt towards India?

·         Shinzo Abe’s Victory in Japan: Implications for India

·         Sri Lanka’s Trade Imperative

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Building Resilience to Natural Disasters: An Application to Small Developing States

·         Debt Sustainability Analyses for Low-Income Countries: An Assessment of Projection Performance

·         Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses

·         How Financial Conditions Matter Differently across Latin America
·         Inequality in Brazil: A Regional Perspective 

·         International Financial Integration and Funding Risks: Bank-Level Evidence from Latin America

·         Measuring Global and Country-Specific Uncertainty

·         State-Owned Enterprises in Emerging Europe: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         Road to a Better UN? Peace Operations and the Reform Agenda

·         Women’s Struggle for Citizenship: Civil Society and Constitution Making after the Arab Uprisings

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         Possibility of North Korea’s Nuclear Abandonment and Countermeasures

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·         Autopilot: East Asia Policy Under Trump

Marine Corps University Middle East Studies

·         MES Insights, v. 8, no.  5, October 2017

o    Back to the Future: Trump’s Emerging Iran 'Strategy'

Migration Policy Institute

·         Beyond Teaching English: Supporting High School Completion by Immigrant and Refugee Students

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

·         Explosive Detection Technology Adoption: Findings from a General Population Survey

·         Ideological Motivations of Terrorism in the United States,1970-2016

·         Motivations, Mechanisms and Determinants of Terrorist Technology Transfer

Nautilus Institute

·         Scenarios of Insider Threats to Japan’s Nuclear Facilities and Materials– and Steps to Strengthen Protection

Observer Research Foundation

·         China in Afghanistan: Security, Regional Standing, and Status

Oxford Research Group

·         Mind the Gap: Parliament in the Age of Remote Warfare

·         North Korea and the Issue of Nuclear Culture

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Can the US Spend Like Denmark without Taxing Like It?

·         The End of the Bretton Woods International Monetary System

·         Tax Overhaul Risks Making the US Tax and Transfer System (Even)More Regressive

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         Declining Confidence in Trump, Lower Job Ratings for Congressional Leaders

·         Increasing Public Concern Over North Korea’s Nuclear Capability,Intentions

Polish Institute of International Affairs (Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych)

·         Xi Transforms the PLA: How the Military Is Being Adapted to China’s Changing Global Position

PONARS Eurasia

·         Central Asia’s Borders: The Next Twenty-Five Years

·         Monopolies Rising: Consolidation in the Russian Economy

Qatar America Institute

·         Qatar’s Aggressive Actions Against Money Laundering and Terrorism Finance

Rand

·         The Costs of Implementing Collaborative Care for Opioid and Alcohol Use Disorders in Primary Care

·         National Guard Youth ChalleNGe: Program Progress in 2015–2016

·         Federal Research and Development for Agricultural Biodefense [testimony]

Small Wars Journal

·         The Battle of the Beret: A Never-Ending Campaign

·         Countering the Russian Threat in Eastern Europe Through Counterintelligence

·         ETA: From Dictatorship to Democracy

·         General Petraeus on the Battle After the Battle Against ISIS

·         Honors and Errors: The Burns-Novick Vietnam War Documentary

·         Improving Close Air Support: An Army-Air Force CollaborativeApproach

·         Turkey & Iran Case Studies: An Introductory Summary to Diversionary Scapegoating

Soufan Center

·         Beyond the Caliphate: Foreign Fighters and the Threat of Returnees

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

·         Climate Change Progress, The US Withdrawal and What We Can Expect from COP23

·         Improving SADC Responses to Bring Peace to the DRC

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         October 30, 2017 - 37th Quarterly Report to Congress

·         SIGAR 18-09-IP Afghan Ministry of Defense Headquarters Security and Support Brigade: Facility Construction Generally Met Contract Requirements, but Three Safety-Related Concerns Need to Be Addressed

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         Time for Europe to put Iran's Missile Programme in Context  

Stanley Foundation

·         Regional Responses to the Crisis in Venezuela

Stimson Center

·         Convene a Joint Commission on the Consequences of a Nuclear War in South Asia

·         No Indian Ballistic Missile Defense for No Pakistani Multiple Independently Targetable Re-entry Vehicle (MIRV)

Strategic Studies Institute

·         Evaluation of the 2015 DoD Cyber Strategy: Mild Progress in a Complex and Dynamic Military Domain

·         Terrorist Sanctuary in the Sahara: A Case Study

UN Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI)

·         Report on the Protection of Civilians in the Context of the Ninewa Operations and the Retaking of Mosul City, 17 October 2016 –10 July 2017

US Global Change Research Program

·         Climate Science Special Report

US  Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         The Dalai Lama Mentors USIP Youth Leaders

·         Reducing Voter Fraud in Afghanistan

US Marine Corps (USMC)

·         Maritime Expeditionary Warfare Annual Report

Vision of Humanity

·         2017 Positive Peace Report

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Demolition of a Palestinian Islamic Jihad Tunnel Inside Israel

·         Hezbollah: Dreams of Expansion

·         How a New Initiative Could Pave the Way to Gulf Reconciliation

·         North Korea's Alliance with Syria Reveals a Wider Proliferation Threat

·         Resetting U.S. Relations with the Kurdistan Region

·         Russia Makes Inroads in North Africa

·         The Scoop on the Arab Street: New Polls, Taboo Topics

·         Shia Unrest in Hezbollah's Beirut Stronghold

·         Tourism Patterns Show Turkey Shifting from Europe to the Middle East

White House

·         Commission on Combating Drug Addiction and the Opioid Crisis:Final Report

Wilson Center

·         Budgeting for Productivity and Food Security: How Smart Public Spending Can Boost Agricultural Productivity in Ghana

Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control

·         Iranian Citizens Indicted for Illicit Procurement and Transshipment of Controlled Technology to Iran