Friday's Miscellany 10-06-2017

38 North

·         The Gwangju Uprising and North Korea: What We Can Learn From Declassified Documents

·         A Hypothetical Nuclear Attack on Seoul and Tokyo: The Human Cost of War on the Korean Peninsula

·         Interdicting North Korean Vessels: Another False Hope

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Qatar and Its Blockading Nations Articulate a Different Foreign Policy at the 72nd UN General Assembly

·         Rohingya: The Latest Massacre in a Violence-Filled History

Amnesty International

·         Conform or Flee: Repression and Insecurity Pushing Burundians into Exile

·         Forced Back to Danger: Asylum-Seekers Returned from Europe to Afghanistan

Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset

·         ACLED Conflict Trends Report no. 62, October 2017

ASUA Institute of Land Warfare

·         Reconnecting Athens and Sparta: A Review of OPMS XXI at 20 Years

Atlantic Council

·         Ukraine’s Internally Displaced Persons Hold a Key to Peace

·         US Strategy toward China’s Belt and Road Initiative

·         What if NAFTA Ended?  The Imperative of a Successful Renegotiations

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         BRICS Without East Jerusalem

·         An Eye for an Eye: Iran Promises to Partition Saudi Arabia If Iraq Is Partitioned

·         How Palestine “Occupies” Itself

·         Saudi Women Behind the Wheel: Prince Mohammed’s Litmus Test

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         A Lasting Defeat: The Campaign to Destroy ISIS

·         Market Mechanisms and the Paris Agreement

·         North Korea’s Biological Weapons Program: The Known and Unknown

Brennan Center for Justice

·         Extreme Vetting and the Muslim Ban

Brookings

·         Afghanistan Index: Also Including Selected Data on Pakistan [September 29, 2017]

·         Monetary Policy Without a Working Theory of Inflation

·         Recent Foreign-born Growth Counters Trump’s Immigration Stereotypes

·         Thinking “Beyond the Box”: The Use of Criminal Records in College Admissions

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Modern Biotechnology and India’s Governance Imperatives

CATO Institute

·         Cost of Service Regulation in U.S. Health Care: Minimum Medical Loss Ratios

·         Responsible Stakeholders: Why the United States Should Welcome China’s Economic Leadership

Center for a New American Security

·         Deir Azzour [Syria] Tribal Mapping Project

Center for Global Development

·         Assessing “Leverage” in the Climate Investment Funds

·         Testing for Repugnance in Economic Transactions: Evidence from Guest Work in the Gulf  

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Cross-examining the Criminal Court

·         Mali’s Fragile Peace

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)

·         Force Planning for the Era of Great Power Competition

·         Formulating National Security Strategy

·         Securing the Frontier: Challenges and Solutions for U.S. Polar Operations

·         Winning in the Gray Zone: Using Electromagnetic Warfare to Regain Escalation Dominance

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         An Economic Lens on International Migration

·         Escalation and Deterrence in the Second Space Age

·         Lebanese Armed Forces, Hezbollah, and Military Legitimacy

·         PacNet #72 - US China Policy Review – Thoroughly Consider Taiwan

·         PacNet #71 - A Lesson for the Iran Deal from the North Korea Experience

Center for the Study of Intelligence

·         Studies in Intelligence, 2017, v. 61, no. 3

o    Intelligence Success or Failure?: Sputnik and US Intelligence: The Warning Record

o    WWII Intelligence Culture Shock:  From Europe to China: An OSS Veteran’s Reflections

o    Reflections on Readings on 9/11, Iraq WMD, and the Detention and Interrogation Program

o    A Review of Enhanced Interrogation: Inside the Minds and Motives of the Islamic Terrorists Who Are Trying to Destroy America

Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction

·         Options for Synthetic DNA Order Screening, Revisited

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

·         CDC Hurricane 2017 Key Messages

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Understanding the Challenges of Climate Change Regulation in International Shipping

·         Venezuela after the Fall: Financing, Debt Relief and Geopolitics

Chicago Council on Global Affairs

·         What Americans Think About America First

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Dutch Perspectives on the Security of the Baltic States

College of Europe

·         The Modernization of Turkey’s Customs Union with the European Union: Reasons and Possible Outcomes

Congress. House. Armed Services Committee

·         Securing the Peace After the Fall of ISIL

·         U.S. Defense Strategy in South Asia

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·         Air Quality Impacts of Wildfires: Perspectives of Key Stakeholders  

·         Oversight of the Equifax Data Breach: Answers for Consumers

·         Part II: Powering America: Defining Reliability in a Transforming Electricity Industry  

·         Powering America: Consumer-Oriented Perspectives on Improving the Nation’s Electricity Markets

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Iranian Backed Militias: Destabilizing the Middle East

·         Iraq and Syria Genocide Emergency Relief and Accountability

·         The Rohingya Crisis: U.S. Response to the Tragedy in Burma

·         State Department’s Antiterrorism Assistance Program: The GAO Review

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Examining DHS’s Cybersecurity Mission

·         Innovations in Security: Examining the Use of Canines

Congress. House. Judiciary Committee

·         Online Sex Trafficking and the Communications Decency Act

Congress. House. Oversight & Government Reform Committee

·         Cybersecurity of the Internet of Things

·         Innovations in Security: Examining the Use of Canines

Congress. House. Science, Space, and Technology Committee 

·         Powering Exploration: An Update on Radioisotope Production and Lessons Learned from Cassini

·         Resiliency: The Electric Grid’s Only Hope

Congress. House. Transportation & Infrastructure Committee

·         Building a 21st Century Infrastructure for America: Coast Guard Stakeholders’ Perspectives and Jones Act Fleet Capabilities

·         Building a 21st Century Infrastructure for America: Rail Stakeholders’ Perspectives

Congress. Senate. Armed Services Committee

·         Political and Security Situation in Afghanistan

Congress. Senate. Energy & Natural Resources Committee

·         Efficient Approaches to Reducing Industrial Energy Costs

·         Energy Storage Technologies

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         The Future of Iraq's Minorities: What's Next After ISIS

Congress. Senate. Judiciary Committee

·         Equifax: Continuing to Monitor Data-Broker Cybersecurity

·         Oversight of the Administration’s Decision to End Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         CBO’s Economic Forecasting Record: 2017 Update

·         A Premium Support System for Medicare: Updated Analysis of Illustrative Options

·         Trends in the Department of Defense’s Support Costs

Council on Foreign Relations

·         Countering Sexual Violence in Conflict

·         Managing a Smaller U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve

·         Using External Breakeven Prices to Track Vulnerabilities in Oil-Exporting Countries

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         Arctic Rivalries: Friendly Competition or Dangerous Conflict?  

·         Expanding Jihad: How al-Qaeda and Islamic State Find New Battlefields

·         When Armed Groups Provide Public Services: From The Power of Guns to Civilian Acceptance

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         Guidance from Secretary Jim Mattis

Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

·         OIG-17-114 CBP's IT Systems and Infrastructure Did Not Fully Support Border Security Operations

Department of State

·         New START Treaty Aggregate Numbers of Strategic Offensive Arms

·         The Secretary's Report on Whether the Government of Sudan Has Sustained the Positive Actions That Gave Rise to E.O. 13761 (2017)

East West Center

·         Mongolia’s Domestic Politics Complicate Foreign Policy in a Precarious International Setting

East Asia Institute

·         Tactics Against the North or Tactics for Naught?  South Korea Embroiled in Debate over Tactical Nuclear Weapons Deployment

Educational Fund to Stop Gun Violence (EFSGV)

·         Breaking Through Barriers: The Emerging Role of Healthcare Provider Training Programs in Firearm Suicide Prevention

Egmont Institute

·         Angola’s Africa Policy

·         Anticipating the Post-Daesh Landscape

European Parliament

·         Cross-border Payments in the European Union

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Balkan Enlargement and the Politics of Civic Pressure: The Case of the Public Administration Reform Sector

·         Brexit: Sufficient Unto the Day

European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center (ESISC)

·         Europe: Private Solutions to Secure Public Spaces Evolve in Response to Increasing Vehicular Attacks

European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)

·         Arab Wars: Calculating the Costs

·         Meet Iraq's Sunni Arabs – A Strategic Profile

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

·         Ecuador Country Analysis Brief - October 2017 

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         Making Prevention a Reality: Identifying, Assessing, and Managing the Threat of Targeted Attacks

FireEyes

·         Significant FormBook Distribution Campaigns Impacting the U.S. and South Korea

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Russia-North Korea Economic Ties: Is There More Than Meets the Eye?

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·         Cultural Proximity: A Source of Trade Flow Resilience?

German Development Institute 

·         Digitalisation and Flight: How Can Donors Leverage Digital Technologies to Support Refugees?

·         Thematic Aid Allocation: What are the Benefits and Risks?

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         Ambitious Framework Nation: Germany in NATO

·         EU’s Common Foreign and Security Policy

·         EU Defence Policy Needs Strategy

·         Israel: Shrinking Spaces

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·         Federalism and Foreign Direct Investment: How Political Affiliation Determines the Spatial Distribution of FDI – Evidence from India

Governance Lab/Data Collaboratives

·         The Potential of Social Media Intelligence to Improve People’s Lives

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Antiterrorism Assistance Program: State Should Improve Data Collection and Participant Oversight GAO-18-149T [Testimony]

·         Antiterrorism Assistance: State Department Should Improve Data Collection and Participant Oversight GAO-17-704

·         Defense Nuclear Enterprise: Processes to Monitor Progress on Implementing Recommendations and Managing Risks Could Be Improved GAO-18-144

·         Drinking Water: Additional Data and Statistical Analysis May Enhance EPA's Oversight of the Lead and Copper Rule GAO-17-424

·         Federal Aviation Administration: Stakeholders' Perspectives on Potentially Moving the Office of Commercial Space Transportation GAO-18-96

·         Southwest Border Security: Actions Needed to Enhance CBP's Maintenance of Roads Used for Its Operations GAO-18-11

·         Space Exploration: DOE Could Improve Planning and Communication Related to Plutonium-238 and Radioisotope Power Systems Production Challenges GAO-17-673

·         Space Exploration: Improved Planning and Communication Needed for Plutonium-238 and Radioisotope Power Systems Production GAO-18-161T [Testimony]

·         U.S. Territories: Public Debt Outlook GAO-18-160

Heritage Foundation

·         2018 Index of U.S. Military Strength

·         Time to Decertify the Iran Nuclear Agreement

Households in Conflict Network

·         Governance Interventions in Fragile and Conflict-Affected Countries

Human Rights Watch

·         Central African Republic: Sexual Violence as Weapon of War

·         “I Have No Idea Why They Sent Us Back”: Jordanian Deportations and Expulsions of Syrian Refugees

·         “These are the Crimes we are Fleeing”: Justice for Syria in Swedish and German Courts

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

·         Equifax: The Hazards of Dragnet Surveillance Capitalism Part 2:Just Another Data Breach? Or C-Suite Criminal Negligence?

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         Comprehensive Integrated Border Management System:  Issues and Challenges

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, October 5, 2017  

·         International Election Observation and Kenya’s 2017 Election: Indicative of Structural Problems with the Model

·         Uganda Debates Life Tenure for President Museveni

Institute for Security & Development

·         Kazakhstan in Europe: Why Not?

·         THAAD in the Korean Peninsula

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         The Belt and Road and China’s Long-term Visions in the Middle East

Institute for the Study of War

·         Cascading Crisis in Iraqi Kurdistan

·         Russia Hedges in Iraqi Kurdistan

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Assessing EU-Mediterranean Policies in the Fields of Industry and Energy from a Bottom-up Perspective

·         The Challenge of Long-Term Development in the Occupied West Bank:Voices from the Field

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         Has Countering the Financing of Terrorism Gone Wrong? Prosecuting the Parents of Foreign Terrorist Fighters

·         Running A’maq: The Practice of Western Media Citing Islamic State Propaganda

International Crisis Group

·         How to Ensure a Credible, Peaceful Presidential Vote in Kenya

·         New Roadmap to Make U.S. Sudan Sanctions Relief Work

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Lessons from the Old Masters on Assessing Equity and Efficiency: A Primer for Fiscal Policymakers

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         People before Process: Humanizing the HR System for UN Peace Operations

Joint Special Operations University (JSOU)

·         Countering the Islamist Insurgency

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·         Xi Jinping's Moment

Manhattan Institute

·         Obama’s Fiscal Legacy: A Comprehensive Overview of Spending, Taxes, and Deficits

National Academies Press

·         Enhancing the Resilience of the Nation's Electricity System

·         Pain Management and the Opioid Epidemic: Balancing Societal and Individual Benefits and Risks of Prescription Opioid Use

National Defense University Press

·         Joint Force Quarterly (JFQ), 87 (4th Quarter, October 2017)

o    From the Chairman: Allies and Partners Are Our Strategic Center of Gravity

o    An Interview with Joseph L. Lengyel

o    Open Sources for the Information Age: Or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Unclassified Data

o    The Use of Explosives in Cities: A Grim but Lawful Reality of War

o    Follow the Money: Targeting Enemy War-Sustaining Activities

o    The Risk of Delay: The Need for a New Authorization for Use of Military Force

o    Butter Bar to Four Star: Deficiencies in Leader Development

o    Asadism and Legitimacy in Syria

o    Toxic Culture: How the U.S. Military Enables Incivility and What to Do About It

o    Increasing Partner-Nation Capacity Through Global Health Engagement

o    Human Terrain at the Crossroads

o    Are There Too Many General Officers for Today’s Military?

o    Exploring a New System of Command and Control: The Case for U.S. Africa Command

o    The Role of Space Norms in Protection and Defense

o    Time in War

Nautilus Institute

·         Deterring Nuclear Terrorism: Insider Threats to Nuclear Facilities

Office of the  Director of  National Intelligence (ODNI)

·         ICD 906 - Controlled Access Programs

·         ICPG 704.6 - Conduct of Polygraph Examinations for Personnel Security Vetting

·         ICPM 2005-900-2 - DNI National Counterproliferation Center

Peacekeeping & Stability Operations Institute (PKSOI)

·         Peace & Stability Operations Journal, 2017, v. 7, no. 2  

o    AUSA Precursor Event - Peace and Stability

o    PSOTEW Background and Introduction

o    Work Groups 1-6

o    The Modern History of Civil Affairs and it's Necessary Reforms

o    A Review on the Structure and Function of UN Integrated Mission

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         The Economic Cost of Weakening Capital Requirements for Large Banks

Pew Research Center Internet & Technology

·         Automation in Everyday Life

Pew Research Center Journalism & Media

·         Covering President Trump in a Polarized Media Environment

Pew Research Center Religion & Public Life

·         Many Countries Favor Specific Religions, Officially or Unofficially

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         Partisan Divide on Political Values Grows Even Wider

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         The Importance of the UK’s Withdrawal Bill in the Brexit Negotiations with the EU

·         The Local Government Dimension of Relations between Poland and Latin America

·         Prospects for a UN Peacekeeping Mission to Donbas

·         Russia’s Position on the North Korea Crisis

PONARS Eurasia

·         Does It Make Sense to Expect a Color Revolution in Belarus?

Rand

·         Air Force Senior Leader Representation in the Joint Community

·         Challenges to the Sustainability of the U.S. Public Cord Blood System

·         Conflict with China Revisited: Prospects, Consequences, and Strategies for Deterrence

·         Future Aircraft Carrier Options

·         Health Sector Reform in the Kurdistan Region — Iraq: Primary Care Management Information System, Physician Dual Practice Finance Reform, and Quality of Care Training

·         Human Capital Needs for the Department of Defense Operational Contract Support Planning and Integration Workforce

·         Rare Birds: Understanding and Addressing Air Force Underrepresentation in Senior Joint Positions in the Post–Goldwater-Nichols Era

·         A Strategic Assessment of the Future of U.S. Navy Ship Maintenance: Challenges and Opportunities

Small Wars Journal

·         The Cyber Underground – Resistance to Active Measures and Propaganda: “The Disruptors” - Motto: “Think For Yourself”

·         The History of Body Armor, From Medieval Times to Today

·         An Intelligence Professional’s Reading List

·         Props: Small Planes for Small Wars

·         Why We Are Where We Are With North Korea - And Where Do We Go From Here?

Stanley Foundation

·         UN-Civil Society Cooperation to Strengthen Accountability and Prevention Under the Responsibility to Protect

Transnational Institute

·         Building Bottom-up Accountability in an Era of Land Grabbing in Sub-Saharan Africa

·         A Toolkit for Participatory Action Research

United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs (UNODA)

·         Disarmament Digital Documents Library (new) 

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         China’s Approach to International Terrorism

·         Evolving Sino-Russian Cooperation in Syria

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         An Opening for Jihadists in Southeast Asia

·         Are Shia Dynamics in Iraq and Lebanon Turning Against Iran?

·         JCPOA under the Gun (Part 1): Trump's Five Decisions

·         JCPOA under the Gun (Part 2): A Middle Course?

·         King Salman's Moscow Visit Overshadowed by Past Tensions

·         The Radical Change of the Tunisian Peaceful Revolution

·         Tattoo Sectarianism

·         Unique Saudi Poll Shows Moderate Majority, But Sectarian Split

Wilson Center

·         Documenting the Soviet ICBM Program

·         The Economics of Financial Market Growth in the Middle East

·         New Sources on Sputnik

·         The War on ISIS: U.S. Success without a Payoff

·         Why the Kremlin Loves Foreign News