Friday's Miscellany 02-17-2017

38 North

·         Finding the Real Site for the Pukguksong-2 Launch

Afghanistan Analysts Network

·         Thematic Dossier XIV: Afghan Migration to Europe

Air University Press

·         On the Leadership Journey: 30 Conversations about Leading Yourself and Others

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Purge of Powerful Algerian Generals: Civil-Military Reform or Presidential Power Grab?

·         Role of Iran’s Regional Media in its Soft War Policy

American Enterprise Institute

·         Iranian Concepts of Warfare: Understanding Tehran’s Evolving Military Doctrines

·         Peers, Near-Peers, and Partial Peers

American Institute for Contemporary German Studies (AICGS)

·         In a World of Cyber Threats, Isolationism Will Never Win

Asia Foundation

·         State and Region Financing, Planning and Budgeting in Myanmar

Atlantic Council

·         Breaking Aleppo

·         Energiewende: From Germany’s Past to Europe’s Future?

·         The Return of the Draft

Australian National University – Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs

·         Measuring Regional Progress for a Blue Economy

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         The Sultanate of Women: Exploring Female Roles in Perpetrating and Preventing Violent Extremism

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Energy Reform & the Environment

·         The Lengthy Brazilian Crisis Is Not Yet Over

·         Produced Oilfield Water Ownership

·         Syria's Kurds: An Uncertain Future

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         Youth Policy in Arab Mediterranean Countries in a Comparative Perspective

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         Curb Your Enthusiasm About the Trump Administration

·         Tread Carefully with the New US Administration

·         Trump Has Fans in Israel

Bipartisan Policy Center

·         Defense Personnel Systems: The Hidden Threat to a High-Performance Force

Bonn International Center for Conversion (BICC)

·         Safe Zones for Syria. Mitigating the Humanitarian Crisis

Brookings

·         Berlin’s Foreign Policy Dilemma: A Paradigm Shift in Volatile Times

·         How to Hunt a Lone Wolf: Countering Terrorists Who Act on Their Own

·         Women and Representative Governance in India

Bruegel

·         Improving the Responses to the Migration and Refugee Crisis in Europe

Canadian Global Affairs Institute

·         Cyber Threats and Vulnerabilities: A Conversation on the Future of Cyber Security (Part 2) [podcast]

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Guiding Principles for U.S. Policy Toward Russia, Ukraine, and Eurasia  

·         India’s Trade Policy Dilemma and the Role of Domestic Reform

CATO Institute

·         Monetarism with Chinese Characteristics

·         Not Just Treading Water: In Higher Education, Tuition Often Does More than Replace Lost Appropriations

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Defining Moment: The Future of the Transatlantic Security Relationship

Center for Cyber and Homeland Security (CCHS)

·         Emerging Mobile Technologies and the REAL ID Act: Legal Challenges and Recommended Approaches

·         Federal Support and Guidance in the Establishment of Information Sharing Environments: Mid-Atlantic Regional Information Sharing (MARIS) Case Study

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM)

·         Iran and Barzani: Worsening Relations and The Risk of an Inevitable Clash?

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)

·         U.S. Strategy for Maintaining a Europe Whole and Free

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Defeating Terrorism in Syria: A New Way Forward [testimony]

·         PacNet #16 - Set the US-Thailand Relationship Right

·         PacNet #17 - Untying North Korean 'Nots'  

·         Tracking the Trends and Numbers: Islam, Terrorism, Stability and Conflict in the Middle East

Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)

·         Director's Advisory Group Implementation: Year Three Report to the Workforce (July 2016)

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Crisis of Capitalism? Perhaps, But Don't Blame It On Globalization

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         GDP-indexed Bonds: A Way Forward

·         Sustainability Innovation in Canadian Small Businesses: What We Need to Know

Chatham House

·         Challenge and Uncertainty in a Volatile World: Japan–UK Responses

·         Humanitarian Action and Non-state Armed Groups: The UK Regulatory Environment

Congress. House. Armed Forces Committee

·         The Evolving Threat of Terrorism and Effective Counterterrorism Strategies

·         Military Services 5th Generation Tactical Aircraft Challenges andF-35 Joint Strike Fighter Program Update

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·         Modernizing Energy and Electricity Delivery Systems: Challenges and Opportunities to Promote Infrastructure Improvement and Expansion

·         Modernizing Environmental Laws: Challenges and Opportunities for Expanding Infrastructure and Promoting Development and Manufacturing

·         Self-Driving Cars: Road to Deployment

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Defeating Terrorism in Syria: A New Way Forward

·         Iran on Notice

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         America’s Airport: The Threat from Within

·         A Dangerous and Sophisticated Adversary: The Threat to the Homeland Posed by Cartel Operations

·         The Future of FEMA: Stakeholder Recommendations for the Next Administrator

·         Watchdog Recommendations: A Better Way Ahead to Manage the Department of Homeland Security

Congress. House. Oversight & Government Reform Committee

·         Examining Federal Programs that Serve Tribes and Their Members

·         GAO’s 2017 High Risk Report: 34 Programs in Peril

·         The Use of Official Time for Union Activities at the Department of Veterans Affairs

Congress. House. Science, Space & Technology Committee

·         Strengthening U.S. Cybersecurity Capabilities

Congress. House. Transportation & Infrastructure Committee

·         Building a 21st Century Infrastructure for America: State of American Aviation Manufacturing

Congress. Senate. Armed Services Committee

·         Department of Defense Single Servicemember and Military Family Readiness Programs

·         Reshaping the U.S. Military

Congress. Senate. Commerce, Science, & Transportation Committee

·         Moving America: Stakeholder Perspectives on our Multimodal Transportation System

·         Stakeholder Perspectives on Improving TSA for the Security of the Traveling Public

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security &Governmental Affairs Committee

·         High Risk: Government Operations Susceptible to Waste, Fraud, and Mismanagement

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Federal Spending for Means-Tested Programs, 2007 to 2027

·         Projected Costs of U.S. Nuclear Forces, 2017 to 2026

Council on Foreign Relations

·         Media Censorship in China

·         Reconciling U.S.-Turkish Interests in Northern Syria

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2017-054 Evaluation of Military Criminal Investigative Organizations’ Adult Sexual Assault Investigations

Department of the Navy

·         2017 US Navy Program Guide

·         Alternative Future Fleet Platform Architecture Study

East-West Center

·         Expert Consensus on Downscaled Climate Projections for the Main Hawaiian Islands

·         Power Asymmetry in the China-India Brahmaputra River Dispute 

·         Sri Lanka Suffers from China’s Indian Ocean Strategy 

Elcano Royal Institute of International and Strategic Studies

·         Trump’s Supply-side Energy Policy and the Low-carbon Transition

Enough Project

·         Dangerous Divisions: The Central African Republic Faces the Threat of Secession

European Union Institute for Security Studies

·         China and Russia: an Eastern Partnership in the Making?

·         China's Road: Into Eastern Europe

·         China's Road: into the Western Balkans

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, February 2017

o    Consular Notification and Access

o    Cops Mentoring Kids: An Investment in Crime Reduction  

o    Credibility

Finnish Institute of International Affairs

·         Turkish Troops in Syria: Is It All About the Kurds from Now On?

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Darker Shades of Gray: Why Gray Zone Conflicts Will Become More Frequent and Complex

·         Iraq: Post-conflict Stabilization Redux

·         Trump and Trudeau: A Successful “First Date”

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·         Efficiency of Township Hospitals in China in the Context of the Drug Policy Reform: Progress Should Not get Bogged in Midstream - A Case Study from a Survey in Weifang Prefecture

German Development Institute

·         A Micro-level Analysis of the Effects of Aid Fragmentation and Aid Alignment

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         America's Economy First: The Economic Consequences of President Trump for Europe

·         Political Communications in the "Fake News" Era: Six Lessons for Europe

Global Zero

·         Estimated U.S. Fatalities from a Russian Nuclear Retaliation

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Army Corps of Engineers: Factors Contributing to Cost Increases and Schedule Delays in the Olmsted Locks and Dam Project. GAO-17-147

·         Border Security: Additional Actions Needed to Strengthen Collection of Unmanned Aerial Systems and Aerostats Data. GAO-17-152

·         Cybersecurity: Actions Needed to Strengthen U.S. Capabilities. GAO-17-440T [Testimony]

·         Department of Homeland Security: Important Progress Made, but More Work Remains to Strengthen Management Functions. GAO-17-409T [Testimony]

·         Federal Courthouses: Actions Needed to Enhance Capital Security Program and Improve Collaboration. GAO-17-215

·         Food Safety: A National Strategy Is Needed to Address Fragmentation in Federal Oversight. GAO-17-74

·         Government Purchase Cards: Little Evidence of Potential Fraud Found in Small Purchases, but Documentation Issues Exist. GAO-17-276

·         Southwest Border Security: Additional Actions Needed to Better Assess Fencing's Contributions to Operations and Provide Guidance for Identifying Capability Gaps. GAO-17-331

Harvard Law School

·         National Security Journal, 2017, v.8, no. 1

o    Off-Ramp Opportunities in Material Support Cases

o    Social Media Compliance Programs and the War Against Terrorism

o    In Defense of the U.S. Maritime Drug Enforcement Act: A Justification for the Law’s Extraterritorial Reach

o    Eve of Destruction: Implementing Arms Control Treaty Obligations to Dismantle Weaponry

Human Rights Watch

·         “I Had a Dream to Finish School”: Barriers to Secondary Education in Tanzania

·         Pakistan Coercion, UN Complicity: The Mass Forced Return of Afghan Refugees  

·         Syria: Coordinated Chemical Attacks on Aleppo: Security Council Should Impose Sanctions

·         Ukraine: Dangers, Unnecessary Delays at Crossing Points

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

·         Signature Based Malware Detection is Dead

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         India - UAE Relations: New Dimension to Strategic Partnership

·         India’s Participation in CPEC: The Ifs and Buts

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, February 16, 2017

o    Cameroon: Anglophone Protests Highlight Historical Grievances

o    ECOWAS Acts Decisively in Favor of Democracy in The Gambia

Institute for Social Policy and Understanding (ISPU)

·         Creating a Welcoming, Inclusive, Dynamic Mosque

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         How Technology Can Unlock the Growth Potential along the New Silk Road

·         Why Border Controls won’t Protect Europe Against Terrorism

Institute for the Study of War

·         Iraq Situation Report: February 11-16, 2017

·         Iranian Proxies Fire Rockets at Green Zone in Baghdad, Saturday,February 11, 2017

·         Syria Situation Report: February 2 - 16, 2017

·         Warning Update: Turkish Aggression Against Syrian Kurds Threatens to Halt U.S. Anti-ISIS Operations in Syria

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         EU's Existential Threat: Demands for Flexibility in an EU Based on Rules

·         The Future of a More Differentiated E(M)U – Necessities, Options,Choices

·         Youth and the Mediterranean: Exploring New Approaches to Dialogue and Cooperation

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Has Demonetisation Impaired Policy Credibility?

·         India Budget 2017: Fighting High Public Debt

·         Political Uncertainty in Tamil Nadu: a Key Indian State

·         Polling Begins in Uttar Pradesh: No Clear Winner in Sight

·         Security and Governance in the Indian Ocean

·         Waiting for Hasina: Gains, Bargains and Expectations

·         Will Demonetisation Shrink the Informal Economy?

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         Data to Measure Sympathy and Support for Islamist Terrorism: A Look at Muslim Opinions on Al Qaeda and IS

International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation and Political Violence (ICSR)

·         Caliphate in Decline: An Estimate of Islamic State’s Financial Fortunes

·         Media Jihad: The Islamic State’s Doctrine for Information Warfare

International Crisis Group

·         Pakistan: Stoking the Fire in Karachi

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade : The Impact of Localized Supply Shocks Using Network Analysis

·         Currency Wars or Efficient Spillovers? A General Theory of International Policy Cooperation

·         Exploring the Role of Foreign Investors in Russia's Local Currency Government Bond (OFZ) Market

·         A Fresh Look at Potential Output in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European Countries

·         The Growth Return of Infrastructure in Latin America

·         The Impact of Natural Resource Discoveries in Latin America and the Caribbean : A Closer Look at the Case of Bolivia

·         Inflation-Forecast Targeting for India : An Outline of the Analytical Framework

·         Quarterly Projection Model for India : Key Elements and Properties

·         What Influences Bank Lending in Saudi Arabia?

·         What’s Different about Bank Holding Companies?

·         Women at Work in Latin America and the Caribbean

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         UN Support to Regional Peace Operations: Lessons from UNSOA

Jamestown Foundation

·         China Brief, February 6, 2017, v. 17, no. 2  

o    Beijing’s New Scorched-Earth Policy Against the Uighurs

o    China Announces Reform of Military Ranks

o    China Intensifies Effort to Establish Leading Role in Asia, Dislodge U.S

o    Rural China and the Asian Methamphetamine Trade: a Case Study of Lufeng

·         Terrorism Monitor, February 10, 2017, v. 15, no. 3

o    Senegal Boosts Security Measures to Combat AQIM Threat 

o    The ‘Khasavyurt Group’: A New Watershed of Islamic State Activity in Dagestan

o    Taking on Turkey: Islamic State’s New Frontier

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         DOD Dictionary of Military and Associated Terms, February 2017

·         Joint Pub 3-15, Barriers, Obstacles, and Mine Warfare for Joint Operations, 06 September 2016

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·         The Australia-ROK Emerging Leaders International Security Forum Report  

·         Strengthening the Asian Development Bank in 21st Century Asia

Martens Centre for European Studies

·         The Russian Economy IN FOCUS: Recovery is Further Away than Some Might Think

Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

·         Korean Immigrants in the United States

Mitre Corp

·         Navy Future Fleet Platform Architecture Study

National Academies Press

·         Strengthening Data Science Methods for Department of Defense Personnel and Readiness Missions

National Security Archive

·         Top Air Force Official Told JCS in 1971: “We Could Lose Two Hundred Million People [in a Nuclear War] and Still Have More Than We Had atthe Time of the Civil War

Nautilus Institute

·         DPRK Coal Exports to China Under New UN Sanctions: Potential Impacts and "Work-Arounds”

·         North Korea's Intercontinental February Surprise?

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors

·         A Political European Commission Through a New Organisation"This Time it’s Different". Really?

Pakistan Institute of Legislative Development and Transparency

·         Score Card on Assessment of the Quality of Governance Balochistan- Third Year of Governance 2015-2016

·         Score Card on Assessment of the Quality of Governance Khyber Pakhtunkhwa- Third Year of Governance 2015-2016

·         Score Card on Assessment of the Quality of Governance Punjab - Third Year of Governance 2015-2016

·         Score Card on Assessment of the Quality of Governance Sindh -Third Year of Governance 2015-2016

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Global Competition and the Rise of China

·         Kicking a Crude Habit: Diversifying Away from Oil and Gas in the 21st Century

·         A Potential Threat to International Financial Cooperation

·         Short-Run Effects of Lower Productivity Growth: A Twist on the Secular

·         US Trade Policy Options in the Pacific Basin: Bigger Is Better

Pew Research Center Journalism & Media

·         How Americans Encounter, Recall and Act Upon Digital News

Pew Research Center Religion & Public Life

·         Americans Express Increasingly Warm Feelings Toward Religious Groups

Political Economy Research Institute (PERI)

·         Asymetric Exchange Rate Policy in Inflation Targeting Developing Countries

·         Trumponomics: Should We Just Say "No"?

·         The Wages of Care: Bargaining Power, Earnings and Inequality

Rand

·         2016 Assessment of the Civilian Acquisition Workforce Personnel Demonstration Project

·         2016 Assessment of the Civilian Acquisition Workforce Personnel Demonstration Project: Executive Summary

·         Challenges and Approaches to Realizing Autonomous Vehicle Safety [testimony]

·         The Concert of Europe and Great-Power Governance Today: What Can the Order of 19th-Century Europe Teach Policymakers About International Order in the 21st Century?

·         Improving Implementation of the Department of Defense Leahy Law

·         Middle East Turmoil and the Continuing Terrorist Threat — Still No Easy Solutions [testimony]

·         Restoring the Power Projection Capabilities of the U.S. Armed Forces [testimony]

Refugees International

·         "Except God, We Have No One": Lack of Durable Solutions for Non-Syrian Refugees in Turkey

Small Wars Journal

·         An Application of Theory: Second Generation Military Design on the Horizon

·         Building on Reconstruction: What We Have Learned and Where to Go Next

·         For Guidance on Women in Combat Positions, Look to the U.S. Coast Guard

·         Intellectualizing Trumpism: A Massive Endeavour that is No Longer Amusing

·         ISIL & Drones: Understand the Network to Defeat the Network

·         Mapping the Pursuit of a ‘Combination of All Forms of Struggle’:How Colombia’s Peace Agreement Complements the FARC’s Political Strategy

·         Plutocratic Insurgency Note No. 2: 69% of Americans Don’t Even Have $1,000 in Savings

·         The US Continues to “Trump” The UK on Special Forces Transparency

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

·         Invasive Plants and Food Security in Africa: The Potential of Earth Observation Data

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         African Directions: Towards an Equitable Partnership in Peace Operations

·         Trends in International Arms Transfers, 2016

Swedish Defence Research Agency

·         China’s Acquisitions in Europe -European Perceptions of Chinese Investments and their Strategic Implications

Transatlantic Academy

·         Political Communications in the "Fake News" Era: Six Lessons for Europe

Transparency International

·         Top Secret Countries Keep Financial Crime Fighting Data To Themselves

United Kingdom Parliament, House of Commons Defense Committee

·         Who Guards the Guardians? Ministry of Defense Support for Former and Serving Personnel

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         The Current Situation in China 

·         Women, Peace, and Security in Pakistan

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Beyond 'One State': Preliminary Conclusions from the Netanyahu Meeting

·         The Case Against Moving the Embassy

·         The Islamic State and al-Qaeda in Pakistan

·         Reinforcing the Role of Sanctions in Restraining Iran

·         Saudi and Iranian Rapprochement in the Face of Russia and Turkey

Wilson Center

·         The Arab World Upended: Arab Spring Inspired Book Tracks the Aftermath of Revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt  

·         Preventing North Korea’s Nuclear Breakout

·         Who Will Own The Secrets In Our Genes? A U.S. – China Race in Artificial Intelligence and Genomics

World Bank

·         The Sunken Billions Revisited: Progress and Challenges in Global Marine Fisheries