Friday's Miscellany 01-13-2017

38 North

·         How Might North Korea Test an ICBM?

·         Sohae Satellite Launching Station: No Signs of an Upcoming Launch

·         What to Do About a North Korean ICBM

American Enterprise Institute

·         Putting the Commerce Back in the Dormant Commerce Clause: State Taxes, State Subsidies, and Commerce Neutrality

·         Record Chinese Outward Investment in 2016: Don’t Overreact

Asia Centre

·         Not Stopping Cold : China’s Emerging Strategies in the Arctic

Atlantic Council

·         A Nonstate Strategy for Saving Cyberspace

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Customs and Border Protection Abuses at Ports of Entry Along the U.S.-Mexico Border

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         Material Factors for the MENA Region: Data Sources, Trends and Drivers

·         On the Importance of Ideas, Identities and Values in the MENA Region

·         Shapes of a Union: From Ever Closer Union to Flexible Differentiation after Brexit

·         The World in 2017: Ten Issues that Will Set the International Agenda

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         France's Counterproductive "Peace Initiative"

·         Kerry’s Misreading of Reality

·         The Libyan Tragedy and Its Meaning: The Wages of Indecision

·         North Korea and the Middle East

·         A Soldier, Not a “Child”

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         A Conservative’s Prescriptive Policy Checklist: U.S. Foreign Policies in the Next Four Years to Shape a New World Order

Brennan Center for Justice

·         Justice Department’s Voter Fraud Scandal: Lessons

Brookings

·         Foresight Africa: Top Priorities for the Continent in 2017

·         How Trump’s Attacks on the Intelligence Community Will Come Back to Haunt Him

·         A Long-Term Budget for Entitlements and Required Revenues

·         The Privacy Paradox II: Measuring the Privacy Benefits of Privacy Threats

·         U.S.-China Challenges: Time for China to Step Up

·         What Makes Putin Tick, and what the West Should Do

Bruegel

·         Analysis of Developments in EU Capital Flows in the Global Context (3rd annual report)

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         Domestic Income Fairness and Strategic Global Security...Now One and the Same?"

CATO Institute 

·         Curse or Blessing? How Institutions Determine Success in Resource-Rich Economies

·         Does Mass Immigration Destroy Institutions? 1990s Israel as a Natural Experiment

·         Political Borders and Bank Lending in Post-Crisis America

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         #Virtual Caliphate: Defeating ISIL on the Physical Battlefield Is Not Enough

·         Congress and Asia Strategy in the Trump Administration

·         The Future of U.S.-Russia Relations

Center for Global Development

·         Beyond Brexit: Four Steps To Make Britain A Global Leader On Trade for Development

·         Implementing Ownership at USAID and MCC: A US Agency-Level Perspective

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         Program-Level Variation in Cadet Outcomes at the National Guard Youth ChalleNGe Program

Center for Security Policy (CSP)

·         CAIR is Hamas: How the Federal Government Proved the Council on American Islamic Relations is a Front for Terrorism

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Russian Analytical Digest, No. 195: 2016 in Review, Looking Forward to 2017

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         The Deterrence and Assurance Conversation

·         Energy Stability, Energy Independence, and the United States

·         PacNet #2 - A New US Administration and a Proposal to Bolster the ROK-US Alliance

·         PacNet #3 - TPP is Dead – Long Live TPP!

·         PacNet #4 - What's the Primary Threat?

·         Quality Infrastructure: Ensuring Sustainable Economic Growth

Center for the Study of Democracy

·         A Revanchist Russia versus an Uncertain West: An Appreciation ofthe Situation since the 2014 Ukrainian Crisis

Center on Global Energy Policy

·         Challenges Related to Carbon Transportation and Storage –Showstoppers for CCS?

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Critical Infrastructure and the Internet of Things

·         Resolving Unsustainable Debt: A Special Case for Small States

Centre for Security Governance

·         The Gradual Emergence of Second Generation Security Sector Reform in Bosnia-Herzegovina

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         The "Belarus Factor"

·         Europe and China's New Silk Roads

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Terror Threat Snapshot. 2016: “Year of Terror”

Congress. Senate. Armed Services Committee

·         Civilian Control of the Armed Forces

·         Confirmation Hearing - Mattis

·         Foreign Cyber Threats to the United States

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         Emoluments Clause

·         Russia Commission

·         Secretary of State Nomination Hearing

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

·         Backpage.com's Knowing Facilitation of Online Sex Trafficking

·         Combatting the Opioid Epidemic: A Review of Anti-Abuse Efforts in Medicare and Private Health Insurance Systems  

·         Nomination of General John F. Kelly, USMC (Ret.), to be Secretary, U.S. Department of Homeland Security

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         CBO’s Long-Term Projections of Labor Force Participation

·         Expired and Expiring Authorizations of Appropriations

Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

·         Bolstering the UN Human Rights Council’s Effectiveness

·         Colombia's Civil Conflict

·         Council of Councils Ninth Regional Conference

·         Environmental Health and China’s Rise

·         The Rohingya Migrant Crisis

Defense Science Board (DSB)

·         DSB Task Force Report on Cyber Defense Management

·         DSB Task Force Report on Next-Generation Unmanned Undersea Systems

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         Getting Defense Acquisition Right

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2017-038 Assessment of Warriors in Transition Program Oversight

·         DODIG-2017-041 Combined Security Transition Command–Afghanistan Improved Controls Over U.S. Funded Ministry of Defense Fuel Contracts, but Further Improvements are Needed (Redacted)

Department of Energy

·         Quadrennial Energy Review: Second Installment

Department of State

·         Exit Memo From Secretary Kerry to President Obama

·         Remarks at the U.S. Naval Academy

·         Remarks With Former Secretaries of State Madeleine Albright, Colin Powell, and Hillary Clinton

·         Report on Human Rights Abuses or Censorship in North Korea

Department of the Navy

·         Surface Force Strategy: Return to Sea Control 

East-West Center

·         Australia-Philippines Relationship Status: "It's Complicated"

·         Bilateral and Regional Implications of the U.S.-Philippine Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement

·         Can China Participate in Middle East Stabilization Efforts by Supporting Regional Connectivity?

·         Putting the Pacific on China's Radar

·         Vacillations and Dramas Exist in Sino-Philippines Relations Too

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         After Schulz: The Election of the New President of the European Parliament

·         Cyprus Negotiations (part I) - Heading Into the End Game?

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         2016 Preliminary Semiannual Uniform Crime Report, January-June

·         FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, January 2017

o    Extinction Through Profitable Crime: The Rhinoceros

o    Police Officer Wellness Training: The Road to Mental Readiness

o    History in the Making

o    Are You An Approachable Leader?

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Jamaica's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Re-Shuffling of the Cards in Lebanon: Meet the New Government

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·         How to Take into Account Vulnerability in Aid Allocation Criteria and Lack of Human Capital as Well: Improving the Performance Based Allocation

Geneva Centre for the Democratic Control of Armed Forces

·         Good Governance of the Security Sector in Southeast Asia: What Role for Parliament?

·         Ombuds Institutions for the Armed Forces: Selected Case Studies

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         Reforming NATO’s Partnerships

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Border Security in Eastern Europe: Lessons for NATO and Partners

·         The Difficult but Necessary Task of Promoting Democracy in Russia

·         Neighborhoods in Transition: Insights from U.S. Strategies for Integrated Urban Planning

Global Political Trends Center

·         Turkey-Israel Deal: A Key to Long-term Reconciliation?

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Border Patrol: Actions Needed to Improve Oversight of Post-Apprehension Consequences. GAO-17-66

·         Flood Insurance: FEMA Needs to Address Data Quality and Consider Company Characteristics When Revising Its Compensation Methodology. GAO-17-36

·         Military Personnel: DOD Has Processes for Operating and Managing Its Sexual Assault Incident Database. GAO-17-99

·         Public Health Emergencies: HHS Needs to Better Communicate Requirements and Revise Plans for Assessing Impact of Personnel Reassignment. GAO-17-187

·         Terrorism Risk Insurance: Market Challenges May Exist for Current Structure and Alternative Approaches. GAO-17-62

Heritage Foundation

·         Economic Outlook for 2017

·         Recommitting the United States to European Security and Prosperity: Five Steps for the Incoming Administration

·         Redefining “Aircraft,” Defining “Drone”: A Job for the 115th Congress

·         Support for Montenegro’s Accession to NATO Would Send a Message of Strength

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Analysis of Private Sector Care Reform Authorities and Savings

·         Applications of Modern Statistical Techniques to Operational Testing

·         Review of Federal Agency Policies on Scientific Integrity

Institute for Security & Development Policy

·         China’s March West: Pitfalls and Challenges in Greater Central Asia

Institute for the Study of War

·         The Campaign for ar-Raqqah: January 12, 2017

·         The Campaign for Mosul: January 4-9, 2017

·         Iraq Situation Report: January 6-11, 2017

Institute of Development Studies (IDS)

·         China–UK–Africa Trilateral Cooperation on Trade and Investment: Prospects and Challenges for Partnership for Africa’s Development

·         Where is the Money? Donor Funding for Conflict and Violence Prevention in Eastern Africa

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Climate Change: An Early Trump Inflicted Wound

·         Current Trends in China-South Asia Relations

Intelligence and National Security Alliance (INSA)

·         Protecting the Homeland: Intelligence Integration 15 Years After9/11

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         Suicide Tactics and the Islamic State

Jamestown Foundation

·         China Brief, January 13, 2017, v. 17, no. 1  

o    Snapshot: China’s Western Theater Command

o    China’s Lukewarm Response to Indian Military Modernization

o    Arunachal Pradesh: Cultural and Strategic Flashpoint For Sino-Indian Relations

o    Sino-Indian Competition in the Maritime Domain

·         Terrorism Monitor, January 14, 2017, v. 15, no. 1

o    India Tackles Terror Financing

o    Entering the Era of ‘Unmanned Terrorism’

o    How Al-Qaeda Will Benefit From Islamic State’s ‘Greater Sahara Province’

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         The Chairmanship of the Joint Chiefs of Staff 1949-2016

Konrad Adenauer Foundation (Konrad Adenauer Stiftung)

·         Immigration as Survival Strategy

Korea Ministry of Unification

·         White Paper on Korean Unification 2016  

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         Analysis of 2017 North Korea’s New Year’s Day Speech and Prospect for its Internal and External Policy

Lexington Institute

·         Aircraft Carriers: The Unique Value of America’s Most Famous Combat System

·         Near-Term U.S. Army Modernization: Buying What Is Available and Buying Time

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·         The Emerging Global Order: Australian Foreign Policy in the 21st Century

MITRE

·         Perspectives on Research in Artificial Intelligence and Artificial General Intelligence  Relevant to DoD

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

·         Final Report: Empirical Assessment of Domestic Radicalization (EADR)

·         Profiles of Individual Radicalization in the United States (PIRUS)

National Intelligence Council (NIC)

·         Global Trends home

·         Global Trends: Paradox of Progress

NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Centre of Excellence

·         Event Log Analysis with the Log Cluster Tool

Naval Sea Systems Command (NAVSEA)

·         NAVSEA Campaign Plan to Expand the Advantage

New America Foundation

·         To Pay Ransom or Not to Pay Ransom?  An Examination of Western Hostage Policies

Office of the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E)

·         FY 2016 Annual Report

Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI)

·         Background to “Assessing Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent US Elections”: The Analytic Process and Cyber Incident Attribution

·         ICD 208 - Maximizing the Utility of Analytic Products

·         Improving the Intelligence Community’s Declassification Process and the Community’s Support to the National Declassification Center

Open Society Foundation

·         Untangling the Web: A Blueprint for Reforming American Security Sector Assistance

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Management and Resolution of Banking Crises: Lessons from Recent European Experience

·         Why Remittance Taxes to Finance a Border Wall are a Bad Idea … for the US

Pew Research Center Social & Demographic Trends

·         Behind the Badge:  Amid Protests and Calls for Reform, How Police View Their Jobs, Key Issues and Recent Fatal Encounters Between Blacks and Police

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         Negative Views of Trump’s Transition, Amid Concerns About Conflicts, Tax Returns

Program for Public Consultation

·         Americans on the U.S. Role in the World: A Study of U.S. Public Attitudes

Rand

·         Assessing the Value of Structured Analytic Techniques in the U.S.Intelligence Community

·         Fifteen Years After 9/11: A Preliminary Balance Sheet: Addendum

·         Future-Proofing Justice: Building a Research Agenda to Address the Effects of Technological Change on the Protection of Constitutional Rights

·         Preventing State Collapse in Syria  

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·         The Cartography of Compliance

·         UK Foreign and Security Policy after Brexit

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         Mapping State and Non-State Actors’ Responses to Nuclear Energy in Southeast Asia

Second Line of Defense

·         Integration of the F-35B into USMC Operations

Small Wars Journal

·         How the Appearance of Conflicts of Interest in the White House Will Strengthen Terrorists and Insurgents Globally

·         July 14th, 1958: Iraq’s Day of Infamy 

·         Lessons From Stabilizing Fallujah

·         The Other Side of the COIN: The Russians in Chechnya

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

·         Zambia’s Constitutional Groundhog Day : Why National Debate about Constitutional Reform Is Not Going Away Anytime Soon

South Korea Ministry of Defense

·         2016 Defense White Paper

·         Prior Years White Papers

Stanley Foundation

·         The Iran Nuclear Agreement: Could It Inform Future Nonproliferation and Disarmament?

United States Trade Representative (USTR)

·         2016 Report to Congress on China’s WTO Compliance

University of Memphis

·         University of Memphis Law Review 46, no. 3 (2016): 545-635

o    Invisible Inequality: the Two Americas of Military Sacrifice

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         The Current Situation in Afghanistan

·         The Current Situation in Pakistan

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         After the Islamic State in Libya: All-Out War?

·         The Battle for al-Bab Is Bringing U.S.-Turkish Tensions to a Head

·         The Counterintuitive Role of Air Defense in Iran's Anti-Status Quo Regional Strategy

·         The Growing Islamic State Threat in Jordan

·         How Should the New U.S. President Play the "Kurdish Card" in the Middle East?

·         Iranian-Backed Terrorism in Bahrain: Finding a Sustainable Solution

·         More Information Is Needed to Evaluate Implementation of the Iran Nuclear Deal

·         NGO Law in Egypt

·         Potential Benefits of Easing Sudan Sanctions

·         Rafsanjani's Death Could Increase the IRGC's Succession Role

·         Tempering Expectations for the Paris Conference

·         Twitter and the Saudi Campaign to Preserve Male Guardianship Over Women

·         U.S. Policy on Turkey

White House

·         Remarks by the President and the Vice President in Presentation of the Medal of Freedom to Vice President Joe Biden

·         Remarks by the Vice President on Nuclear Security

·         Remarks by the President in Farewell Address

·         Report to the President Ensuring Long-Term U.S. Leadership in Semiconductors

·         Statement by the President on Cuban Immigration Policy

·         Weekly Address: President Obama’s Farewell Address to the Nation

World Bank

·         Global Economic Prospects: Weak Investment in Uncertain Times