Friday's Miscellany 01-27-2017

38 North

·         Can the US Prevent North Korea from Testing an ICBM?

·         Encouraging Japan to Go Nuclear Won’t Denuclearize North Korea

·         Is the Kalma Ballistic Missile Test Site Ready for an ICBM Launch?

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         A Shrimp Between Two Whales? Koreans’ View of the US-China Rivalry and THAAD

Atlantic Council

·         A Natural Gas Diplomacy for the New U.S. Administration

Australia’s National Security College

·         The Trump Presidency and Australia’s Security: Don’t Panic, Don’t Relax

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Australia’s Oceans Strategy and the 2017 Foreign Affairs White Paper

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         How a Novel Federal Claim Usurps State Authority

·         The Integration and De-integration of Physicians and Hospitals Over Time

·         State-owned oil in Mexico & Latin Am.

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         National Youth Policies. The Case of Morocco

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         Guide for the Diplomatically Perplexed: Trump 1.0

·         Sanctioning the Syrians

·         Should Israel Maintain Its Policy of Non-Intervention in Syria?

Bipartisan Policy Center

·         Building Blocks of a Ready Military: People, Funding, Tempo

Brookings

·         Congress May Tell Courts to Ignore Regulatory Agencies’ Reasoning, But Will It Matter?

·         Information for Accountability: Transparency and Citizen Engagement for Improved Service Delivery in Education Systems

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         Canada and Mediation: Issues and Considerations

CATO Institute

·         Compulsory Voting, Turnout, and Government Spending: Evidence from Austria

·         Stingray: A New Frontier in Police Surveillance

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Patriot Wars:  Automation and the Patriot Air and Missile Defense System

Center for Global Development

·         A Global Treaty to Reduce Antimicrobial Use in Livestock

·         Temporary Work Visas as US-Haiti Development Cooperation: A Preliminary Impact Evaluation

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Case For and Against a "Realist" Strategy in Syria

·         Designing and Managing Successful International Joint Development Programs

·         In the Wake of Arbitration: Papers from the Sixth Annual CSIS South China Sea Conference

·         Managing Cross-Strait Ties in 2017

·         PacNet #7 - Mr. Abe's opportunity

·         PacNet #8 - Trump must reassert US leadership in the Asia Pacific

·         The South China Sea – Some Fundamental Strategic Principles

·         Trump’s Defense Budget: Place Your Bet!

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Britain's Economy: Enjoy the Calm Before the Storm

·         May is Weak in Europe But Strong at Home

·         Russia, the West and Eastern Europe: Lenin's Long Shadow

·         What Does the Supreme Court's Ruling Mean for British Parliamentary Sovereignty?

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         China: Canada's Strategic Imperative

·         The Role of Resettlement in Refugee Responsibility Sharing

Centre for Security Governance

·         The Gradual Emergence of Second Generation Security Sector Reform in Sierra Leone

·         Picking Leaders for Professional Military Education

Chatham House

·         Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Warfare

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Defending Europe - Translating Mutual Assistance Into Action

·         Understanding Inclusive and Legitimate Politics in Fragile Societies

College of Europe

·         How Effective Is the EU as a Mediator? The Case of the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         CTC Sentinel, January 2017, v. 10, no. 1

o    A View from the CT Foxhole: Peter Edge, ICE Acting Deputy Director, and Wil van Gemert, Europol Deputy Director

o    Fighting the Long War: The Evolution of al-Qa`ida in the Arabian Peninsula

o    Is There a Nexus Between Terrorist Involvement and Mental Health in the Age of the Islamic State?

o    Drone, Counter Drone: Observations on the Contest Between the United States and Jihadis

o    Sub-Saharan Africa’s Three “New” Islamic State Affiliates

Congressional Budget  Office (CBO)

·         The Budget Outlook for 2017 to 2027 in 20 Slides

·         The Economic Outlook for 2017 to 2027 in 16 Slides

Council on Foreign Relations

·         At a Glance: Implementing the Trump Foreign Policy Agenda

·         Rebuilding Trust Between Silicon Valley and Washington

·         Water and U.S. National Security

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         An Untapped Resource: African Forces in Intelligence Gathering

·         Roads to Peace? The Role of Infrastructure in Fragile and Conflict-Affected States

·         Securing the Dangerous UN Convoys in Mali

Defense Science Board (DSB)

·         Seven Defense Priorities for the New Administration

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         DODI 5132.14 - Assessment, Monitoring, and Evaluation Policy for the Security Cooperation Enterprise

·         Policy and Procedures for Reductions in Force in the Civilian Workforce

Director of National Intelligence (DNI)

·         ICPG 900.2 - Crisis Management

East West Center

·         Does Unplanned Urbanization Pose a Disease Risk in Asia? The Case of Avian Influenza in Vietnam

·         Foreign Direct Investment and National Security: Regulatory Challenges for the US and Japan

Egmont Institute Royal Institute for International Relations

·         Oratio pro PESCO

Enough Project

·         Weapons of Mass Corruption: How Corruption in South Sudan’s Military Undermines the World’s Newest Country

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Constitutional Changes in Turkey: A Presidential System or the President’s System?

·         Future of Taxation in the Single Market

·         How Europe sees Brexit

·         Will Brexit Revive the Franco-German Engine?

European Union Institute for Security Studies

·         The EU and the World: Players and Policies Post-Lisbon

Federal Trade Commission (FTC)

·         Cross-Device Tracking: An FTC Staff Report

Finnish Institute of International Affairs

·         Middle Eastern Terror in Flux: Mosul after Daesh, Daesh after Raqqa

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

·         Regional Gender Strategy and Action Plan 2017–2019 for Asia and the Pacific

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·         How to Take into Account Vulnerability in Aid Allocation Criteria and Lack of Human Capital as Well: Improving the Performance Based Allocation

German Council on Foreign Relations

·         Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus Policy

German Development Institute

·         Assessing the Legal and Political Implications of the Post-Cotonou Negotiations for the Economic Partnership Agreements

·         Rising Powers and the Provision of Transnational Public Goods:Conceptual Considerations and Features of South Africa as a Case Study  

German Institute on Radicalization and De-radicalization Studies (GIRDS)

·         Journal for Deradicalisation, Winter 2016/17, no. 9

·         Disengagement from Ideologically-Based and Violent Organizations: A Systematic Review of the Literature

·         “My Muslim sister, indeed you are a mujahidah” - Narratives in the propaganda of the Islamic State to address and radicalize Western Women. An Exemplary analysis of the online magazine Dabiq

·         Deradicalization: Using Triggers for the Development of a US Program

·         Westliche Jugendliche im Bann des Islamischen Staates - Radikalisierende Inhalte der IS-Propaganda am Beispiel der Onlinemagazine Dabiq und Rumiyah

·         Political de-radicalization: why it is no longer possible in the wilāyāt system of the Islamic State

·         Islamic State, Identity, and the Global Jihadist Movement: How is Islamic State successful at recruiting “ordinary” people?

·         Conflict Management, Transitional Justice and De-radicalization – Different, but common goals

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Leadership in Partnership: Berlin’s New Pragmatism in an Era of Radical Uncertainty

·         Southern Challenges and the Regionalization of the Transatlantic Security Partnership

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Border Security: CBP Aims to Prevent High-Risk Travelers from Boarding U.S.-Bound Flights, but Needs to Evaluate Program Performance. GAO-17-216

·         Federal Health Care Center: VA and DOD Need to Develop Better Information to Monitor Operations and Improve Efficiency. GAO-17-197

·         International Taxation: Information on the Potential Impact on IRS and U.S. Multinationals of Revised International Guidance on Transfer Pricing. GAO-17-103

·         Veterans Health Administration: Management Attention Is Needed to Address Systemic, Long-standing Human Capital Challenges. GAO-17-30 

Government of China

·         China's Policies on Asia-Pacific Security Cooperation [white paper]

Heritage Foundation

·         The Originalism Revolution Turns 30: Evaluating Its Impact and Future Influence on the Law

·         A Rules-Based Strategy for Overcoming Minority Obstruction of a Supreme Court Nomination

·         A Simple Plan in 2017 for the Arms Trade Treaty: Return to Sender 

·         Stealing Deposits: Deposit Insurance, Risk-Taking, and the Removal of Market Discipline in Early 20th-Century Banks

·         The Trump–May White House Meeting: Five Key Recommendations for Advancing the Special Relationship

Homeland Defense and Security Information Analysis Center (HDSIAC)

·         Journal of the Homeland Defense & Security Information Analysis Center, v. 3, no. 4, Winter 2017

o    Keeping you SAFE Via Video Analytics

o    Food Security & Defense in the Age of ISIL

o    MRSA and the Critical Need to Develop a First Line Treatment

o    Nuclear Weapons Effects Prediction for Ground Shock and Target Response

o    Using Old Technology in New Ways to Power the Individual Warfighter

o    Battlescape Brain: Engaging Neuroscience in Defense Operations

o    Analog Processing: Reducing the Battery Cost of Battlefield Situational Awareness

o    Restful Sleep for Optimum Performance & Reduction of Post Traumatic Stress Disorder

Human Rights Watch

·         ‘It’s Not the Right Place for Us’: The Trial of Civilians by Military Courts in Lebanon

·         ‘You Will Get Nothing,’ Violations of Property and Inheritance Rights of Widows in Zimbabwe

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

·         Dragnet Surveillance Nation: How Data Brokers Sold Out America

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         Defence Modernisation: A Silver Lining in the Dark Clouds?

·         Outer Space Treaty: 50 Years Later

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Research Strategies for Detection and Measurement of Oil and Gas Sector Methane Emissions

Institute for International Political Studies

·         Europe 2017—Make It or Break It?

Institute for the Study of War

·         The Campaign of Mosul: January 19-23, 2017

·         Iran Positions for Reset in Iraq after Recapture of Mosul

·         Iraq Situation Report: January 12-24, 2017

·         Russian Airstrikes in Syria: December 20, 2016 – January 25, 2017

·         Syria Situation Report: January 19 - 26, 2017

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Towards the Energy Union: The BEMIP and the Case of Lithuania

·         Varieties of Youth Civic and Political Engagement in the South East Mediterranean

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         The Deepening Rohingya Crisis: Will it Engulf the Region?

·         Pakistan’s Relations with Oman: An Important Gateway to the Gulf

Institute on Domestic Violence & Sexual Assault (IDVSA)

·         Human Trafficking by the Numbers: The Initial Benchmark of Prevalence and Economic Impact for Texas

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Collect More, Spend Better : Public Investment in Asian Frontier Markets

·         Indian Financial Sector : Structure, Trends and Turns

·         On the Determinants of Fiscal Non-Compliance : An Empirical Analysis of Spain’s Regions

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         DOD Dictionary of Military and Associated Terms, 15 December 2016

·         Joint Force Quarterly (JFQ)  84 (1st Quarter, 2017)

o    From the Chairman: The Pace of Change

o    An Interview with Robert O. Work

o    Trust: The Sine Qua Non of Effective Joint Operations

o    Searching for Digital Hilltops: A Doctrinal Approach to Identifying Key Terrain in Cyberspace

o    Expanding Zeus's Shield: A New Approach for Theater Ballistic Missile Defense in the Asia-Pacific Region

o    The Viability of Moral Dissent by the Military (or, Chapter 6 of the U.S. Truth and Reconciliation Commission: Conclusions Regarding the Second Internment of American Citizens)

o    Civil Order and Governance as Military Responsibilities

o    The Palestinian Security Force: Future Prospects

o    The National War College: Celebrating 70 Years of Developing Strategic Practicioners

o    The National War College: Marking 70 Years of Strategic Education

o    Meaningful Metrics for Professional Military Education

o    The Urgent Necessity to Reverse Service AirLand Roles

o    Center of Gravity Analysis "Down Under": The Australian Defence Force's New Approach

o    Hybrid Threat Center of Gravity Analysis: Taking a Fresh Look at ISIL

o    Toward a Future National Strategy: A Review Essay

o    Breaking Through with Your Breakthrough: How Science-Based Communication Can Promote Trust to Accelerate Innovation and Technological Advantage

o    The Imperative for a Health Systems Approach to Global Health Engagement

o    The Case for a Joint Evaluation

o    Leadership and Operational Art in World War II: The Case for General Lesley J. McNair

Lexington Institute

·         Better Serving Those Who Serve: Improving the Educational Opportunities of Military-Connected Students

Long War Journal

·         Charting the Data for US Air Strikes in Yemen, 2002 - 2017 [updated January 29, 2017]

Migration Policy Institute

·         Constrained by its Roots: How the Origins of the Global Asylum System Limit Contemporary Protection

·         Open Windows, Closed Doors: Mutual Recognition Arrangements on Professional Services in the ASEAN Region

Mitchell Institute

·         America's Nuclear Backbone: The Value of ICBMs and the New Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent  

Modern War Institute (MWI)

·         Democratization, Trade Expectations, Military Power, and the Future of Sino-American Relations

National Academies Press

·         Community Violence as a Population Health Issue: Proceedings of a Workshop

Naval War College

·         China's Evolving Surface Fleet [China Maritime Study No. 14 (DRAFT)

New America Foundation

·         Can Our Political Institutions Handle Our Political Divisions?

Office of the Director on National Intelligence (ODNI)

·         Summary of 2016 Information Regarding United States Counterterrorism Strikes Outside Areas of Active Hostilities

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Border Tax Adjustments: Assessing Risks and Rewards

·         Border Tax: What You Need to Know

·         Multinational Investors as Export Superstars: How Emerging-Market Governments Can Reshape Comparative Advantage

·         Trump’s New Trade Initiatives

Pew Research Center Internet, Science & Tech

·         Americans and Cybersecurity

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         After Seismic Political Shift, Modest Changes in Public’s Policy Agenda

Police Foundation

·         Full Report: Reducing Violent Crime in American Cities: An Opportunity to Lead

RAND  Corporation

·         Counternetwork: Countering the Expansion of Transnational Criminal Networks

·         Helping Soldiers Leverage Army Knowledge, Skills, and Abilities in Civilian Jobs

·         Improving Employment Prospects for Soldiers Leaving the Regular Army

·         Improving Oversight and Coordination of Department of Defense Programs That Address Problematic Behaviors Among Military Personnel

·         Perspectives (PE) [Mediterranean region]

o    Against the Rising Tide: An Overview of the Growing Criminalization of the Mediterranean Basin

o    Cross-Cutting Challenges and their Implications for the Mediterranean Region

o    Troubled Waters: A Snapshot of Security Challenges in the Mediterranean Region

o    Regional Foreign Policy Dynamics and Their Implications for the Mediterranean Region

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·         Lone-Actor and Small Cell Terrorist Attacks: A New Front in Counter-Terrorist Finance?

·         On Tap Europe: Organized Crime and Illicit Trade in Spain: Country Report

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         Countering the U.S. Third Offset Strategy: Russian Perspectives, Responses and Challenges

Small Wars Journal

·         The Judge Advocate as Strategist

·         Mexican Cartel Strategic Note No. 19: +233,143 Homicides (& Disappearances) in Mexico 2007-2016

·         Ten Million is Not Enough: Coming to Grips with Megacities’ Challenges and Opportunities

·         Toward an Afghan End State

·         Why America Should Care About the YPJ in Syria

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

·         Kenya’s Regional Diplomacy: Peripheral or Adaptive Pragmatism?

·         Own Ways of Doing: National Pride, Power and China’s Political Calculus in Ethiopia

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         Reintroducing Disarmament and Cooperative Security to the Toolbox of 21st Century Leaders

·         A Resolution for a Peaceful Climate: Opportunities for the UN Security Council

Strategic Studies Institute (SSI)

·         Prospects for the Rule of Law in Cyberspace

Transatlantic Academy

·         Berlin's New Pragmatism in an Era of Radical Uncertainty

Transparency International

·         Corruption Perceptions Index 2016

·         State of Power 2017

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         President Trump and the Middle East: Views from Israel