Friday's Miscellany 07-17-2015

38 North

·         Kim Jong Un Tours Pesticide Facility Capable of Producing Biological Weapons

3RP - Regional Refugee & Resilience Plan

·         3RP Regional Progress Report for Syria 

Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit (AERU)

·         Politicization of Afghanistan’s High Schools 

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·         After the Election: Fundamental Security Challenges Nigeria Must Face 

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Forgotten Lessons in Syria, U.S. Repeats Afghanistan Mistakes 

·         Iran Nuclear Deal: A Monumental Mistake by the Obama Administration or a New Beginning? 

Anti-Defamation League (ADL)

·         With Hate in their Hearts: The State of White Supremacy in the United States 

Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset

·         ACLED Conflict Trends Report no. 39, July 2015: Real-time Analysis of African Political Violence 

Aspen Institute

·         Strengthening a Free and Open Internet in a Changing and Complex World 

Atlantic Council

·         Cuba’s Economic Reintegration: Begin with the International Financial Institutions 

·         Hiding in Plain Sight: Putin's War in Ukraine 

·         Naval Alliance: Preparing NATO for a Maritime Century 

·         Reviving Ukraine’s Private Sector: How US Leadership Can Yield Benefits 

Australia National University

·         The ANZUS Alliance in an Ascending Asia 

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         An Enterprise-Level Naval Shipbuilding Plan 

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

·         Morocco's Progress is Slow, Shaky but Real 

·         Scenarios of Macro-economic Development for Catalonia on Horizon 2030 

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         The Energy Implications of a Nuclear Deal between the P5+1 and Iran 

Brookings Institute

·         An Assessment of U.S. Natural Gas Exports 

·         China's Rise as a Regional and Global Power:The AIIB and the 'One Belt, One Road' 

·         Economic Proposal for Improving the Congressional Budget Process 

·         Retracing the Caucasian Circle:Considerations and Constraints for U.S., EU, and Turkish Engagement in the South Caucasus 

Bruegel

·         The Vulnerability of Europe's Small and Medium-Sized Banks 

Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS)

·         Local Police Departments, 2013: Equipment and Technology 

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Assad Regime’s Hold on the Syrian State 

·         China’s Economic Rise: Fact and Fiction 

CATO Institute

·         Checking E-Verify: The Costs and Consequences of a National Worker Screening Mandate 

Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA)

·         The Coming Storm: Baltic Sea Security Report 

Center for Immigration Studies (CIS)

·         Rejecting Detainers, Endangering Communities:Sanctuaries Release Thousands of Criminals 

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies

·         Turkish Red Crescent Community Center Project Needs Assessment 

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         Challenges in Implementation and Impact:Lessons from the Cincinnati, Joliet, and Lansing Smart Policing Initiatives 

·         Charting the Course for Civil Affairs in the New Normal 

Center for a New American Progress

·         Recalibrating the Anti-ISIS Strategy 

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Russian Analytical Digest (RAD), 17 July 2015, No. 170: Eurasian Economic Union: A 6 months report 

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)

·         What it Takes to Win: Succeeding in 21st Century Battle Network Competitions 

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Arab-US Strategic Partnership and the Changing Security Balance in the Gulf 

·         The Evolution of Cybersecurity Requirements for the U.S. Financial Industry 

·         Korea Chair Monitor, July 2-15, 2015,  v. 3, no. 14 

·         PacNet #40 - A modest proposal to help ASEAN reconcile their overlapping claims in the Spratlys 

Center for Unconventional Weapons Studies

·         Nuclear Hell on Wheels:  Examining the Need for a Mobile ICBM 

Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)

·         Studies in Intelligence, 2015, v. 59,  no. 2 

o    Change and Continuity: The National Intelligence Council, 2009–2014

o    The Foundations of Anglo-American Intelligence Sharing

o    Operation MILLPOND: The Beginning of a Distant Covert War

o    Application of the Critical-Path Method to Evaluate Insider Risks

Centre for European Policy Studies  (CEPS)

·         Access to Electronic Data by Third-Country Law Enforcement Authorities 

·         Greek Economy is Unlikely to Benefit from further Devaluation

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Global Cyberspace Is Safer than You Think:Real Trends in Cybercrime 

·         Just Enough, Just in Time: Improving Sovereign Debt Restructuring for Creditors, Debtors and Citizens 

·         Preparedness Rather Than Response: A Strategy to Prevent the Next Ebola Crisis 

Centre for Military and Strategic Studies

·         Journal of Military and Strategic Studies, 2015, v. 16, no. 2 

o    JMSS Awards of Excellence

o    First Prize: After the Pivot to the Asia-Pacific: Now what?

o    Second Prize: The Last Vestiges of Statehood: Failed States and the Groups that Work Within Them

o    Third Prize:The Cost of Admiralty: The development and condition of Britain’s modern naval shipbuilding programme, 1832-2015

o    Honouarble Mention: New technology, same old strategy: Why artificial superintelligence represents the logical continuation of the US quest for war virtuousness

o    Honourable Mention: The Nationalist Fleet: Radical Nationalism and The Imperial German Navy from Unification to 1914

o    Honourable Mention: Yarmouk – The Necessity of Studying the Battle in Early Medieval Military Historiography

o    A Tran-Atlantic Condominium of Democratic Power: the grand design for a post-war order at the heart of French policy at the Paris Peace Conference

o    Revolution, Civil War, and the 'Long' First World War in Russia

Chatham House

·         Cultural Heritage: Extremism's New Target 

·         Oil and Gas Mismatches: Finance, Investment and Climate Policy 

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Diplomacy in the Digital Age 

·         New Threats, New EU and NATO Responses 

College of Europe

·         The Monetary Policy of the European Central Bank (2002-2015)  

Combat Studies Institute Press

·         Fort Leavenworth: The People Behind the Names 

Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory

·         Keys Under Doormats: Mandating Insecurity by Requiring Government Access to all Data and Communications 

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Africa's Displaced People 

·         The European Union's Future 

·         The Goldman Act to Return Abducted American Children: Ensuring Accurate Numbers and Administration Action 

·         The Gulf Cooperation Council Camp David Summit: Any Results? 

·         Implications of a Nuclear Agreement with Iran (Part I) 

·         Implications of a Nuclear Agreement with Iran (Part II) 

·         Reviewing the U.S.-China Civil Nuclear Cooperation Agreement 

·         Tunisia’s Fragile Democratic Transition 

·         U.S. Economic and Military Alliances in Asia 

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Examining DHS’s Misplaced Focus on Climate Change 

·         Examining the Federal Air Marshal Service and Its Readiness to Meet the Evolving Threat 

·         The Rise of Radicalization: Is the U.S.Government Failing to Counter International and Domestic Terrorism? 

·         Securing the Maritime Border: The Future of CBP Air and Marine 

·         Terror Threat Snapshot  

·         Weapons of Mass Destruction: Bolstering DHS to Combat Persistent Threats to America 

Congress. House. Oversight & Government Reform Committee

·         Cybersecurity: The Department of the Interior 

Congress. Senate. Armed Services Committee

·         Counter-ISIL (Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant) Strategy 

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         Corruption, Global Magnitsky, and Modern Slavery - A Review of Human Rights Around the World 

·         Overview of U.S. Policy Toward Haiti Prior to the Elections 

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

·         The 2014 Humanitarian Crisis at Our Border: A Review of the Government's Response to Unaccompanied Minors One Year Later 

·         Securing the Border: Understanding Threats and Strategies for the Maritime Border 

·         Under Attack: Federal Cybersecurity and the OPM Data Breach 

·         Understanding America's Long-Term Fiscal Picture 

Congress. Senate. Select Committee on Intelligence

·         Counterterrorism, Counterintelligence, and the Challenges of "Going Dark"  

Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)

·         Overseas & Underserved: Student Loan Servicing and the Cost to Our Men and Women in Uniform 

Council on Foreign Relations

·         International Sanctions on Iran 

·         Oil Prices, Low-Carbon Energy, and Climate Policy 

·         The Role of the European Central Bank 

·         Yemen in Crisis 

Department of State

·         Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action [Iran nuclear deal] 

·         Key Excerpts of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran 

·         Press Availability on Nuclear Deal With Iran 

·         Statement on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action Reached in Vienna between Iran and the P5+1, with the European Union  

·         Updating the EU/P5+1 Ongoing Negotiations With Iran 

East West Center

·         The Arctic in World Affairs: A North Pacific Dialogue on International Cooperation in a Changing Arctic (2014 North Pacific Arctic Conference Proceedings) 

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

·         Turkey Country Analysis Brief - July 2015 

EU Institute for Security Studies

·         EU Sanctions: Exit Strategies 

·         EU Sanctions in Context:Three Types 

·         India and the EU: What Opportunities for Defence Cooperation?  

·         Sanctions Against Iran: The Role of Pivotal Rising Powers 

·         Sanctions Against North Korea: A Tricky Dilemma 

European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)

·         Engaging with Iran: A European Agenda 

·         Governing the Web 

·         The Road Back to European Power 

European Parliament

·         Illicit Small Arms and Light Weapons 

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         EU-Iran Relations Post-Vienna: The Way Forward 

EUROPOL

·         TE-SAT 2015: EU Terrorism Situation and Trend Report 

Federal Bureau of Investigations (FBI)

·         FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, July 2015 

o    Exploiting Verbal Markers of Deception Across Ethnic Lines: An Investigative Tool for Cross-Cultural Interviewing

o    The Importance of Mental Health Training in Law Enforcement

o    Foot Pursuits: Keeping Officers Safe

o    The Carver and the Planter

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Beware the Hyde-and-Jekyll Defense of the Iran Nuclear Agreement 

·         Iran, DAESH & the Rising Specter of Radiological Warfare in the Middle East  

·         Obama is No Metternich 

·         The Real Deal 

Foundation for Defense of Democracies

·         ‘SWIFT’ Warfare: Power, Blowback, and Hardening American Defenses 

Geneva Centre for Security Policy

·         The Dynamics of Regional Cooperation in Southeast Asia 

·         Geo-economic Competition: Global Disruptions from the New Frontline 

German Development Institute

·         Big Results Now? Emerging Lessons from Results-based Aid in Tanzania 

·         Financing Global Development: The BRICS New Development Bank 

·         The Global Partnership for Effective Development Cooperation: Origins, Actions and Future Prospects 

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·         Under the State's Thumb: Results from an Empirical Survey of Civic Organizations in Vietnam 

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Egypt: A Market for Natural Gas from Cyprus and Israel? 

·         Financing Gas Projects in the Eastern Mediterranean 

Global Security Studies

·         Global Security Studies Journal, Spring 2015, v. 6, no. 2 

o    Extraordinary Measures: Drone Warfare, Securitization, and "War on Terror"

o    Stability in Nigeria: An Unconventional Approach

o    Intelligence Operations in U.S. Organized Crime Rings

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         C-130 Force Structure: Air Force Addressed Statutory Elements in Its Report, but Decided Not to Transfer Certain Aircraft as Proposed. GAO-15-637R 

·         Defense Satellite Communications: DOD Needs Additional Information to Improve Procurements. GAO-15-459 

·         Insider Threats: DOD Should Improve Information Sharing and Oversight to Protect U.S. Installations. GAO-15-543 

·         Security Assistance: Taxpayer Funds Spent on Equipment That Was Never Shipped to Yemen. GAO-15-685R 

·         Unaccompanied Alien Children: Actions Needed to Ensure Children Receive Required Care in DHS Custody. GAO-15-521 

·         Veterans' Employment: Need for Further Workshops Should Be Considered before Making Decisions on Their Future. GAO-15-518 

Heritage Foundation

·         The Dangers of Internet Voting 

·         Export–Import Bank: Propaganda versus the Facts 

·         New Model Would Aid Dynamic Scoring of Transportation Spending, but Changes Are Needed 

·         The Proposed Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) Mechanism: U.S. Should Oppose EU Demand to Abandon It 

·         Regulatory Crimes and the Mistake of Law Defense 

·         U.S. Antidumping Law Needs a Dose of Free-Market Competition 

Hudson Institute

·         Cyber-Enabled Economic Warfare: An Evolving Challenge 

Human Rights Watch

·         A Difficult Profession: Media Freedom Under Attack in the Western Balkans 

·         One Passport, Two Systems: China’s Restrictions on Foreign Travel by Tibetans and Others 

Institut für Strategie- Politik- Sicherheits- und Wirtschaftsberatung (ISPSW)

·         Crossing Red Lines? Turkey’s Assault of China’s Sovereignty and Incitement of Xinjiang Insurgency 

·         ISIS and the Saudi Wahhabi Threat to Asian Security 

·         Security of Supply in Europe during the Ukraine Crisis 

Institute for Defense Analyses

·         Africa Watch, July 16, 2015 

o    Border Regions, Extremism, and Development

o    Whiter Togo's Opposition?

·         Africa Watch,  April – June 2015 

·         Estimating Deterrence Using Border Patrol Consequence Reforms 

·         Estimating Illegal Migrant Inflow: The Repeated Trials Model (Presentation) 

·         Rethinking the Concept of Global Coverage in the U.S. Intelligence Community 

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy

·         Crossing Red Lines? Turkey’s Assault of China’s Sovereignty and Incitement of Xinjiang Insurgency

·         ISIS and the Saudi Wahhabi Threat to Asian Security 

·         Security of Supply in Europe during the Ukraine Crisis 

Institute for the Study of War

·         Iraq Situation Report

o    July 11 - 13,2015 

o    July 14 - 16,2015 

·         ISIS's Global Strategy: A Wargame 

·         Ukraine Crisis Update: July 15, 2015 

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Blending Force and Consent: India’s Counter-Insurgency Dilemma in the Northeast 

·         Modi’s Visit to Mongolia: A Strategic Foray? 

·         The Troubled Democracy of Bangladesh: ‘Muddling Through’ or ‘a Political Settlement’? 

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Can Foreign Exchange Intervention Stem Exchange Rate Pressures from Global Capital Flow Shocks? 

·         China’s Labor Market in the “New Normal” 

·         The Dog That Didn’t Bark : The Strange Case of Domestic Policy Cooperation in the “New Normal” 

·         Drivers of Financial Integration –Implications for Asia 

·         Emerging Market Heterogeneity : Insights from Cluster and Taxonomy Analysis 

·         Price and Income Elasticity of Indian Exports—The Role of Supply-Side Bottlenecks 

·         The Quest for the Holy Grail : Efficient and Equitable Fiscal Consolidation in India 

·         Should Korea Worry about a Permanently Weak Yen? 

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         Safety and Security Challenges in UN Peace Operations 

Jamestown foundation

·         China Brief, v. 15, no.14, July 17, 2015 

o    Brief: Myanmar's Leaders Court China Despite Violence Along Border

o    Stock Market Crash Reveals Serious Flaws in the Xi Administration's Economic Policies

o    A Nuclear Deal with Chinese Characteristics: China’s Role in the P5+1 Talks with Iran 

o    China's Draft Counter-Terrorism Law

o    From “Game Player” to “Game Maker”: News Features of China’s Foreign Policy

Joint Special Operations University (JSOU)

·         Special Operations Research Topics 2016 

Konrad Adenauer Foundation

·         Power Struggle or Religious War? 

·         On the Situation of Christians in Syria and Iraq 

·         One Year on from the Annexation of Crimea 

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         Pyongyang’s Refusal to Denuclearize and the Re-Institution of Confrontation and Conflict on the Korean Peninsula 

Martens Centre for European Studies

·         Muzzling the Bear: Strategic Defense for Russia's Undeclared Information War on Europe

·         The Renaissance of the West: How Europe and America Can Shape Up in Confronting Putin's Russia 

National Academies Press

·         Diplomacy for the 21st Century:   Embedding a Culture of Science and Technology Throughout the Department of State 

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

·         Financial Crimes Perpetrated by Far-Right Extremists in the United States: 1990-2013 

·         Terrorism Trends with a Focus on Energy and Mining 

National Defense University

·         Joint force Quarterly (JFQ) (3rd Quarter), July 2015, no. 78 

o    From the Chairman: An Interview with Martin E. Dempsey

o    Islamic Radicalization in Kenya

o    The Arctic Domain: A Narrow Niche for Joint Special Operations Forces

o    Rapid Regeneration of Irregular Warfare Capacity

o    Quo Vadis? The Education of Senior Military Officers

o    Vertical and Horizontal Respect: A Two-Dimensional Framework for Ethical Decisionmaking

o    Waffles or Pancakes? Operational- versus Tactical-Level Wargaming

o    An Interview with Christopher C. Bogdan

o    Turnaround: The Untold Story of the Human Terrain System

o    On Military Professionalism and Civilian Control

o    Detangling the Web: A Screenshot of U.S. Government Cyber Activity

o    One Size Does Not Fit All: The Multifaceted Nature of Cyber Statecraft

o    Understanding the Indications and Warning Efforts of U.S. Ballistic Missile Defense

o    Spinning the Top: American Land Power and the Ground Campaigns of a Korean Crisis

o    Making Soup with Stones: JMTC Partnership and the NATO Connected Forces Initiative

o    The Limits of Airpower or the Limits of Strategy: The Air Wars in Vietnam and Their Legacies

o    Three Approaches to Center of Gravity Analysis: The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant

National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS)

·         Historical Views on the Discussions of Israel's "Defensible Borders" 

National Security Archive

·         Iran’s Nuclear Program – Then and Now 

·         The Pentagon's Spies: Newly Available Documents Trace Evolution of Spy Units through Obama Administration 

National Security Network (NSN)

·         The Limits of Iran’s Regional Ambitions 

NATO Defense College

·         Russia's 2014 Military Doctrine and Beyond: Threat Perceptions, Capabilities and Ambitions 

Nautilus Institute

·         Global Problems, Complexity, and Civil Society in East Asia 

Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre

·         Territorial Peacebuilding in Colombia; The Opportunity to do What Has Not Been Achieved Before? 

Observer Research Foundation

·         Resurgence of Al-Qaeda in South Asia Post-US Drawdown 

Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR)

·         Report on the Protection of Civilians in the Armed Conflict in Iraq: 11 December 2014 – 30 April 2015 

Oxford Research Group

·         Conservative Defence Policy - Five Knowns and Ten Unknowns 

·         Responding to the Tunisia Attack 

Peacekeeping and Stability Operations Institute (PKSOI)

·         A Missing Component of Professional Military Education 

·         SOLLIMS Sampler, July 2015,special edition 

o    Host Nation Ownership and Capacity

o    Light Footprint and Whole-of-Government Approach - The Southern Philippines

o    Enabling Transition in Liberia through Civil-Military Coordination

o    Strengthening Public Services in Post-Conflict

o    Political Primacy

o    Failure of the Top-Down Approach in Afghanistan

o    Strategic Messaging in Information Operations

o    Preventing Electoral Violence

o    Legitimacy

o    Justice and Reconciliation

o    Civil Society Capacity and Action for Peace Building - Kenya

o    Governance and Democracy

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         Climate Change Seen as Top Global Threat: Americans, Europeans, Middle Easterners Focus on ISIS as Greatest Danger 

Pew Research Center Journalism & Media

·         The Evolving Role of News on Twitter and Facebook 

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         A Post-Crisis Eurozone: Still an Attractive Offer for Central Europe 

Project 2049 Institute

·         TPP From Taiwan's Vantage Point: Political,Trade, and Strategic Considerations 

Quilliam Foundation

·         Counter-Extremism—A Decade on from 7/7 

·         The Virtual ‘Caliphate’: Understanding Islamic State’s Propaganda Strategy 

Rand

·         Family Resilience in the Military:Definitions, Models, and Policies 

·         Foresight Services to support strategic programming within Horizon 2020: Foresight report (D3) 

·         Mapping Pathways Toolkit: Scenario Planning Exercises to Support Consideration of ARV-based HIV Prevention Strategies 

·         Precision and Purpose: Airpower in the Libyan Civil War 

·         Proclaiming Airpower: Air Force Narratives and American Public Opinion from 1917 to 2014 

·         Project AIR FORCE Modeling Capabilities for Support of Combat Operations in Denied Environments 

·         Redefining Health Care Systems 

·         Reforming Military Retirement: Analysis in Support of the Military Compensation and Retirement Modernization Commission 

·         Understanding Low Survey Response Rates Among Young U.S. Military Personnel 

Securing America's Future Energy

·         The Iran Deal and Oil Markets: What to Know 

Small Arms Survey

·         Peacekeeper weapons losses in Sudan and South Sudan, 2005-14 

·         What the National Reports Reveal: Trends in UN PoA and ITI Reporting 

Small Wars Journal

·         Ancient Backbone: Using Ancient Texts to Train Modern Allies 

·         Beyond Finding the Enemy: Embracing Sociocultural Intelligence in Stability Operations 

·         The Developmental Opportunities Inherent in Becoming an OCT [observer coach-trainer] 

·         Mexican Cartel Tactical Note #25: Ambush Kills 15; Injures 5 Police in Jalisco 

·         Narrative: The Critical Component of Counter-Terrorism Strategy 

·         ‘Proxy Actors, Psyops & Irregular Forces:The Future of Modern Warfare?’ Workshop 

·         Qualitative Analysis Concept in Support of Force 2025 and Beyond (F2025B) Maneuvers 

·         Resist the Hype: Prevent SOF From Being the Next Victim of Too Much Attention 

·         Revising the Battle of the Narrative 

·         What Can a Country Do When its Most-wanted Man Escapes From a Maximum Security Prison - for the Second Time? 

·         What is the Counter-Daesh Strategy?: A“Cohenian” Exercise 

Stanley Foundation

·         Improving Nuclear Security—One Summit at a Time 

Transparency International

·         State of Corruption: Armenia, Azerbaijan,Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine 

Transworld

·         Managing Disorder. A Stronger Transatlantic Bond for More Sustainable Governance 

US-China Economic and Security Review Commission

·         China’s Stock Market Collapse and Government’s Response 

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         The Current Situation in Myanmar 

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         How Iran's Economic Gain from a Nuclear Deal Might Affect Its Foreign Policy 

·         Khamenei vs. Rouhani: Projecting Very Different Views on the Nuclear Deal 

·         Missiles and the Nuclear Negotiations with Iran 

·         The Nuclear Deal May Weaken Rouhani 

White House

·         The Historic Deal that Will Prevent Iran from Acquiring a Nuclear Weapon 

·         Statement by the President on Iran 

·         Statement by the President on the Shooting in Chattanooga, TN 

Wilson Center

·         Contested Memories and Reconciliation Challenges: Japan and the Asia-Pacific on the 70th Anniversary of the End ofWorld War II 

·         Geopolitics of European Security—The Consequences of U.S.-Russia Tension 

·         Nuclear Diplomacy with Iran: A Deal, Not a Gran Bargain 

·         Promoting a Global Energy System for U.S.Security 

World Bank

·         State of Social Safety Nets 2015 

World Health Organization (WHO)

·         Report of the Ebola Interim Assessment Panel