Friday's Miscellany 12-20-2013

38 North

·         North Korea’s Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site:No Indication of Nuclear 

Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit (AREU)

·         Water Rights and Conflict Resolution Processes in Afghanistan: The Cast of the Sar-i-Pul Sub-Basin

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Future of Turkish-Egyptian Ties After Military Coup 

·         Syrian Opposition: Risks of Fragmentation and Necessity of Consensus 

·         Turkish Foreign Policy under Regional Transformations 

American Enterprise Institute

·         Five Factors Plaguing Pentagon Procurement  

Amnesty International

·         Abolishing Reeducation Through Labor in China  

·         Attacks Against Human Rights Defenders in North Kivu, DRC  

·         Bahrain—Children in a Maze of Injustice  

·         Turkmenistan—An “Era of Happiness” or More of the Same Repression?  

Asian Development Bank

·         The ASEAN Economic Community: A Work in Progress 

·         Electronic Taxpayer Services in Asia and the Pacific 

·         Forum on Building Resilience to Fragility in Asia and the Pacific: Proceedings 

Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)

·         The Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement: Looking Ahead to the Next Steps 

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         The Asan Public Opinion Brief (December 2013) 

ASUA Institute of Land Warfare

·         The Army's Organic Industrial Base: Providing Readiness Today, Preparing for Challenges Tomorrow 

Atlantic Council

·         Al-Shabaab's Somali Safe Havens—A Springboard for Terror 

·         Rouhani’s First One Hundred Days—Cautious Domestic Reforms and Nuclear Breakthrough 

·         Stability Through Change: Toward a New Political Economy in Jordan 

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         On the Path of Change: Political, Economic and Social Challenges for Myanmar  

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Turkey's Energy Policy and the Future of Natural Gas 

·         When Sexual Harassment Becomes a Barrier to Development 

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

·         European Defence Summit: Time to Move Forward 

·         Pakistan & The Regional Powers: An Overview of 2013 

·         Tunisia Should Escape from Becoming a Bazaar Economy 

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         Palestinian Red Line 

·         Saudi-Israeli Relations: Balancing Legitimacy and Security 

·         Yemen Under Attack 

Bipartisan Policy Center

·         Roots of Turkish Conduct: Understanding the Evolution of Turkish Policy in the Middle East  

·         What is the Impact of the Defense Sequester on the Economy?  

Brookings

·         Development Aid and Procurement: The Case for Reform 

·         Impact of the Great Recession on Retirement Trends in Industrialized Countries 

·         Playing with Fire: Why Private Gulf Financing for Syria’s Extremist Rebels Risks Igniting Sectarian Conflict at Home 

·         The Rhyme of History: Lessons from the Great War 

·         The United States and the Middle East: Avoiding Miscalculation and Preparing for Conflict 

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         U.S.-China Security Perceptions Survey—Findings and Implications 

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Needs Assessment: Veterans in the Western United States  

·         Process Over Platforms: A Paradigm Shift in Acquisition Through Advanced Manufacturing  

Center for American Progress (CAP)

·         Moving Out of Harm’s Way 

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         Behind the Periscope: Leadership in China's Navy

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)

·         Critical Mass—Nuclear Proliferation in the Middle East  

·         U.S. Asia-Pacific Strategic Considerations Related to P.L.A. Naval Forces Modernization 

Center for Infrastructure Protection and Homeland Security (CIP/HS)

·         CIP Report, December 2013, v. 12, no. 6  

o    Resilience

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         The Future of Conventional Arms Control in Europe 

·         The Proliferation of Advanced Conventional Weapons 

Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS)

·         Biosafety of GM (Genetically Modified) Crops in Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania 

·         FYSA: For Your Situational Awareness, December 2013, Issue 2 

o    How is the Defense Drawdown Affecting Industry?

o    The Need for a National Debate on Nuclear Strategy

o    Invest in Pakistan...Really?

·         Federated Defense Project Concept Paper 

·         Global Economics Monthly, December 2013, v. 2, no. 12 : Economics and the Rebalance 

·         India Looks to Afghanistan’s “Year of Transition” 

·         Investment Facilitation in Transitional and Fragile States 

·         PacNet #91 - Importance of Jeju Civilian-Military Port 

·         PacNet #90 - North Korean Regime Change 

·         Significant Cyber Events [updated December19, 2013] 

·         SMR (Small Modular Reactors) Deployment Faces Challenges despite National Interest 

·         U.S. Department of Defense Contract Spending and the Supporting Industrial Base, 2000-2012 

·         The US and Iran: Sanctions, Energy, Arms Control, and Regime Change 

Center for Terrorism and Security Studies

·         Perspectives on Terrorism, December 2013, v. 7, no. 6 

o    Media Metrics: How Arab and Western Media Construct Success and Failure in the ‘Global War on Terror’ 

o    Sri Lanka’s Post-Conflict Strategy: Restorative Justice for Rebels and Rebuilding of Conflict-affected Communities

o    Salafi Violence and Sufi Tolerance? Rethinking Conventional Wisdom

o    Simultaneous Attacks by Terrorist Organisations

o    Al-Shabaab’s Somali Safe Havens: A Springboard for Terror

o    Rethinking International Counterterrorism Assistance to the Greater Horn of Africa: Toward a Regional Risk Reduction Strategy

o    Research Note on the Energy Infrastructure Attack Database (EIAD)

o    Risks of Terrorism, Homicide and Illness: a Methodological Consideration

o    Literature on the Conflict in Syria (2011 – November 2013)

o    Selected Dissertations and Theses on Terrorism, Counterterrorism and Political Violence, 1980 – 2013 

Central Asia Program - The Institute for European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies

·         Eurasian Integration: The Next Stage 

·         Kazakhstan’s National Development Strategies:An Assessment 

Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)

·         CIA at War 

Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS)

·         The 2014 European Elections in Poland: Are We in for Another Uninspiring Campaign? 

·         The Asset Quality Review and Capital Needs:Why Re-capitalise Banks with Public Money? 

·         The Governance Gap in European Security and Defence 

·         Net Neutrality and Mandatory Network-Sharing: How to Disconnect the Continent 

·         Not Making the Lists: The Underrepresentation of Women in EU Politics and Business 

·         Political, Fiscal and Banking Union in the Eurozone? 

·         The Steel Industry in the European Union:Composition and Drivers of Energy Prices and Costs 

·         Who Lost Ukraine? 

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Running into the Sand? The EU's Faltering Response to the Arab Revolutions 

·         What Germany's New Coalition Government Means for the EU 

The Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         The Arctic and Geopolitics 

·         Bounding Cyber Power: Escalation and Restraint in Global Cyberspace 

·         Canada’s Northern Strategy and East Asian Interests in the Arctic 

·         Climate Change, a Dead Horse and Realpolitik 

Chatham House

·         Blank Poster: Russia Heading Into 2014  

·         Encouraging Peace-building through Better Environmental and Natural Resource Management 

·         Shale Gas in the United Kingdom 

College of Europe

·         The EU and the Arms Trade Treaty: An Analysis of the European Union’s Effectiveness in Multilateral Security Governance 

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         Jihadi Discourse in the Wake of the Arab Spring 

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Border Adjustments for Economywide Policies  That Impose a Price on Greenhouse Gas Emissions 

·         Choices for Deficit Reduction: An Update 

·         Federal Investment 

·         A Guide to Style and Usage 

·         International Trade and Carbon Leakage 

·         Projected Costs of U.S. Nuclear Forces, 2014to 2023 

Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

·         The Thawing Arctic: Risks and Opportunities 

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         Annual Industrial Capabilities Report to Congress 2013 

Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

·         NIPP 2013 Partnering for Critical Infrastructure Security and Resilience 

·         OIG-14-20 Adequacy of USSS Efforts to Identify, Mitigate, and Address Instances of Misconduct and Inappropriate Behavior (Redacted) 

Department of State

·         Terrorist Designation of the al-Mulathamun Battalion 

Department of the Air Force

·         Report of Investigation (S8011P) Major General Michael J. Carey 

Director of National Intelligence (DNI)

·         ICD 731 - Supply Chain Risk Management 

·         DNI Announces the Declassification of the Existence of Collection Activities Authorized by President George W. Bush Shortly After the Attacks of September 11, 2001 

East West Center

·         ASEAN Centrality and the ASEAN-US Economic Relationship 

·         Beijing Calculates Cross-Strait Relations: Waiting for the Melon to Drop 

Enough Project

·         Humanitarian Needs Assessment in Sudan's Blue Nile State 

EU Institute for Security Studies

·         European Defence – to be Continued 

·         Peacebuilding in 3D: EU and US Approaches 

·         Reforming Arab Security Sectors 

EU Non-Proliferation Consortium

·         Assessing the European Union's Sanctions Policy: Iran as a Case Study 

·         European Union Initiatives to Control Small Arms and Light Weapons: Towards a More Coordinated Approach 

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         After Vilnius: Why the EU Needs to Rethink Its Eastern Partnership 

·         European Defence: Ten Years On 

·         Why Europe Needs a New Global Strategy 

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Pre-Summit Analysis 

·         Will the December Summit Provide a Coup de Théatre in European Defence? 

FireEye, Inc.

·         Operation Ke3chang: Targeted Attacks Against Ministries of Foreign Affairs  

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Quaker Philadelphia and the Development of Pluralism 

·         William Penn, Benjamin Franklin, and the American Founding: The Philadelphia Factor 

FRIDE

·         Democracy and Islamists: What is Next? 

·         The Gulf Goes Global: The Evolving Role of Gulf Countries in the Middle East and North Africa and Beyond  

German Development Institute

·         Common Goals and Differential Commitments.The Role of Emerging Economies in Global Development 

·         Contributing to Democratic Consolidation and Sustainable Peace in El Salvador and the Philippines. Overcoming the Quest for Stability 

·         Investment Rules in Chinese Preferential Trade and Investment Agreements: Is China Following the Global Trend Towards Comprehensive Agreements? 

·         Is the Earth Flat or Is It a Cube? European Foreign Aid, Political Conditionality and Democracy 

·         Post 2015: How to Design Goals for (Inter)national Action? 

·         Struggling for Stability. International Support for Peace and Democracy in Post-civil War Nepal

The German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         The Double Souls of Turkey and its Impact on Turkish-U.S. Relations 

·         The Evolving Role of the Adriatic Space in the Mediterranean: Challenges and Opportunities 

·         Exit Venus: Europe Needs to be Stronger about Defense 

·         Islamism, Electoral Hegemony, and Democracy: Lessons from Turkey, Egypt, and Tunisia 

·         Tunisia’s Constitutional Process: Hurdles and Prospects 

Global Political Trends Center

·         Climate Reality: A Challenge Pushing the Countries to Cooperate 

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Defense Management: Further Analysis Needed to Identify Guam's Public Infrastructure Requirements and Costs for DOD's Realignment Plan. GAO-14-82 

·         Federal Employees Health Benefits Program: Oversight of Carriers' Fraud and Abuse Programs. GAO-14-39 

·         Federal Protective Service Continues to Face Challenges with Contract Guards and Risk Assessments at Federal Facilities, GAO-14-235T (testimony)  

·         Homeland Security: Federal Protective Service Continues to Face Challenges with Contract Guards and Risk Assessments at Federal Facilities. GAO-14-235T (testimony)  

Heritage Foundation

·         61st Terrorist Plot Against the U.S.: Terry Lee Loewen Plot to Attack Wichita Airport

·         China’s Strategic Capabilities and Intent 

·         Combating Islamism in South Asia: Keeping Bangladesh on the Democratic Path 

·         Preserving Freedom Online: The U.S. Should Reject the U.N.’s Authoritarian Control of the Internet 

·         Time for Japan to Fulfill Commitment on U.S.Marine Base on Okinawa 

·         The U.S. Should Support Japan’s Enhanced Security Role 

Hoover Institute

·         Strategika, December2013, no. 9 

o    Is Our NATO Ally Turkey Emerging as a Regional Power That is Hostile, Neutral, or Can Remain a Partner to American Strategic Concerns?

Human Rights Watch

·         Accountability for Inter-Communal Violence in Plateau and Kaduna States, Nigeria  

·         Challenging the Red Lines: Stories of Rights Activists in Saudi Arabia  

·         Syria: Criminal Justice for Serious Crimes Under International Law  

·         “They Came to Kill”: Escalating Atrocities in the Central African Republic  

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, December 13, 2013 

o    France's Latest African Rescue Mission--The Central African Republic

o    The Fallout from Malawi's "Cashgate" Corruption Scandal

·         Africa Watch, December 20, 2013 

o    Countering Al-Shabaab's Role in the Charcoal Trade: Time for Economic Warfare

o    April 2014: A Look Forward to the Next Election in South Africa

·         IDA Research Notes, Fall 2013 

o    DOD Acquisition—Starting Viable Programs

o    Defining acquisition trade space through “DERIVE”

o    Supporting acquisition decisions in air mobility

o    Assessing system reliability with limited flight testing

o    Promise, reality, and limitations of software defined radios

o    Implications of contractor working capital on contract pricing and financing

o    The mechanisms and value of competition

o    Initiation and early management of acquisition programs

Institute for Defense Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         Border Roads Organisation in the North-East:Need for Priority 

·         Chinese Intrusions Across the LAC  

·         Nuclear Terrorism: The New Terror of the 21stCentury 

·         Taking Stock of Chinese Leader Xi Jinping’s One Year Rule 

·         Understanding Iran's Political and Military Institutions: An Indian Perspective 

Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS)

·         Further Construction Progress on the Fourth Heavy Water Reactor at Khushab Nuclear Site 

Instituto Affari Internazionali (IAI)

·         Moroccan Exceptionalism Examined:Constitutional Insights Pre- and Post-2011 

International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR)

·         ICSR Insight: Up to 11,000 Foreign Fighters in Syria; Steep Rise Among Western Europeans 

International Crisis Group

·         Somalia: Puntland’s Punted Polls 

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Adding China to the Global Projection Model 

·         Africa’s Rising Exposure to China: How Large Are Spillovers Through Trade? 

·         Credit Constraints, Political Instability,and Capital Accumulation 

·         Inequality, Leverage and Crises: The Case of Endogenous Default 

·         Labor Force Participation and Monetary Policy in the Wake of the Great Recession 

·         Local Government Financing Platforms in China: A Fortune or Misfortune? 

·         Monetary Transmission in Brazil: Has the Credit Channel Changed? 

·         Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach 

·         Procyclicality and the Search for Early Warning Indicators 

·         Real Money Investors and Sovereign Bond Yields 

·         The Redistributive Effects of Financial Deregulation 

·         Resilience in Latin America: Lessons from Macroeconomic Management and Financial Policies 

·         Securitization: Lessons Learned and the Road Ahead 

·         This Time They Are Different: Heterogeneity and Nonlinearity in the Relationship Between Debt and Growth 

·         Understanding Countries’ Tax Effort 

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         Peacekeeping Reimbursements: Key Topics for the Next COE Working Group 

·         Planning Ahead for a Postconflict Syria:Lessons from Iraq, Lebanon, and Yemen 

·         Shanghai Cooperation Organization - Mapping Multilateralism in Transition No. 2 

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         The Ups and Downs of the Military’s Influence in the Period of Kim Jong-un’s Power Consolidation (2009~2013) 

Lexington Institute

·         Teaching American History with the Common Core State Standards 

Lowy Institute for International Policy

·         Japan is Back: Unbundling Abe’s Grand Strategy 

Middle East Studies (MES)

·         MES Insights, December 2013, v. 4, no. 6

o    “In Yemen, 'If Not Drones, Then What?'” 

National Academies Press

·         Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change:  Anticipating Surprises 

·         Assessment to Enhance Air Force and Department of Defense Prototyping for the New Defense Strategy:  A Workshop Summary 

·         Engaging the Public in Critical Disaster Planning and Decision Making:  Workshop Summary 

·         Landsat and Beyond:  Sustaining and Enhancing the Nation's Land Imaging Program 

·         Responding to Capability Surprise:  A Strategy for U.S. Naval Forces 

·         Twenty-Fifth Symposium on Naval Hydrodynamics 

·         Veterans and Agent Orange:  Update 2012 

National Defense University Press

·         The Noncommissioned Officer and Petty Officer:  Backbone of the Armed Forces 

National Iranian American Council (NAIC)

·         Extending Hands & Unclenching Fists:Reorienting Iran’s Outlook Beyond the Nuclear Deal 

National Security Archive

·         Proliferation Watch: U.S. Intelligence Assessments of Potential Nuclear Powers, 1977-2001 

Nautilus Peace and Security Network

·         Internet Events, Social Media and National Security in China 

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors

·         Which Financial Instrument to Facilitate Structural Reforms in the Euro Area? 

Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre

·         Turkey’s New Humanitarian Approach in Somalia 

Office of U.S. Senator Tom Coburn (R-Okla.)

·         Wastebook 2013  

               

Pakistan Institute of Legislative Development and Transparency

·         Report of Pakistan-Afghanistan Parliamentarians Dialogue - IX 

Pew Hispanic Trends Project

·         On Immigration Policy, Deportation Relief Seen As More Important Than Citizenship: A Survey of Hispanics and Asian Americans 

Pew Research Social & Demographic Trends

·         Changing Patterns of Global Migration and Remittances

Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM)

·         The Future of the European Defence Industry after the December Summit: Ten Polish Priorities 

Portuguese Institute of International Relations and Security

·         Shamshad A. Khan, "Abe's Agenda of Revising Japanese Peace Constitution: The Motives and the Internal Challenges" (IPRIS Viewpoints, No. 136, December 2013) 

President’s Review Group on Intelligence and Communications Technologies

·         Liberty and Security in a Changing World: Report and Recommendations of the President's Review Group on Intelligence 

·         Whitehouse Press Release 

Rand

·         Before the Grand Opening: Measuring Washington State's Marijuana Market in the Last Year Before Legalized Commercial Sales 

·         Do Joint Fighter Programs Save Money?   

·         Do Joint Fighter Programs Save Money? Technical Appendixes on Methodology   

·         Enabling Early Sustainment Decisions:Application to F-35 Depot-Level Maintenance  

·         Europe's Societal Challenges: An Analysis of Global Societal Trends to 2030 and Their Impact on the EU   

·         A Sixty-Year Timeline of the Air Force Maui Optical and Supercomputing Site   

Security Council Report

·         Protection of Civilians in Armed Conflict 

Small Arms Survey

·         Industrial Demilitarization of Conventional Ammunition 

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         SIGAR 14-13 Forward Operating Base Sharana: Poor Planning and Construction Resulted in $5.4 Million Spent for Inoperable Incinerators and Continued Use of Open-Air Burn Pits 

Stanley Foundation

·         G-20 Action on Vehicle Efficiency and Emissions 

SwissPeace

·         Myanmar: Working in a Quickly Changing Environment 

Transnational Institute

·         Eyes Wide Shut: Corruption and Drug-Related Violence in Rosario 

·         Ethnic Conflict in Burma/Myanmar: From Aspirations to Solutions 

Trust for America's Health

·         Outbreaks: Protecting Americans from Infectious Diseases 2013 

U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission

·         China's Potential Air Defense System Sale to Turkey and Implications for the United States  

·         “Maneuver-5” Exercise Focuses on Improving Distant Seas Combat Capabilities  

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Counterinsurgency, Local Militias, and Statebuilding in Afghanistan 

US Treasury Department

·         Treasury Designates Al-Qa’ida Supporters in Qatar and Yemen 

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Egypt's New Constitution: Bleak Prospects 

·         Foreign Jihadists in Syria: Tracking Recruitment Networks 

·         The Fractious Politics of Syria's Kurds 

·         The Potential for an Assad Statelet in Syria 

·         The Syrian Regime's Military Solution to the War 

White House

·         Beyond the Border Implementation Report 

·         FACT SHEET: U.S. Assistance to the Central African Republic 

·         Message to the Congress -- Report Consistentwith War Powers Resolution