Friday's Miscellany 10-11-2013

38 North

·         North Korea's Chemical Warfare Capabilities 

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Bahrain’s National Dialogue faces a Stalemate 

·         The Islamist Movement and Questions on the ‘Mehna’ (Ordeal) 

·         Sudan’s Uprising: Repercussions of Tightened Security Grip 

American Enterprise Institute

·         Falling Short—How Bad Economic Choices Threaten the U.S.-India Relationship and India's Rise  

·         German Hard Power: Is There a There There? 

·         More In-Depth on the Green Party and 2013 Election 

Amnesty International

·         Continuing Crackdown on Freedoms in Azerbaijan  

·         Egypt's Christians Caught Between Sectarian Attacks and State Inaction  

·         “Keep Away from Schools or We'll Kill You”—Right to Education Under Attack in Nigeria  

·         Tunisia—When Bones Speak:  The Struggle to Bring Faysal Baraket's Torturers to Justice  

·         “We Are Like Rubbish in This country”—Forced Evictions in Nairobi, Kenya 

Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset

·         Conflict Trends (No.19): Real-time Analysis of African Political Violence, October 2013 

Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)

·         Exchange Rate Policy and Regional Trade Agreements: A Case of Conflicted Interests? 

·         Modern Currency Wars: The United States versus Japan 

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         Information Sharing for Cyber-Security:Evidence from Europe 

Atlantic Council

·         Cross-border Electricity Exchanges: Bolstering Economic Growth in the South Caucasus and Turkey 

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Keep Calm and Carry On: Reflections on the Anglosphere 

·         The Nuclear War Scare of 1983: How Serious was It? 

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

·         Algeria’s Discreet Role in Tunisian Dialogue 

Bipartisan Policy Center

·         From Merely Stupid to Dangerous: The Sequester’s Effects on National and Economic Security

Brookings

·         Afghanistan Index: Tracking Progress and Security in Post-9/11 Afghanistan [updated September 30, 2013] 

·         Debt Ceiling Drives Schizophrenic Treasury Market 

·         October 2013 Update to TIGER: Tracking Indexes for the Global Economic Recovery 

·         Palestinian Political Dynamics in the Aftermath of the Egyptian Coup 

·         South Korea's Fateful Decision on the Trans-Pacific Partnership 

·         Shutting Down the Government Shutdown: The Discharge Petition in the House 

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         EU Beyond the Crisis—The Unavoidable Challenge of Legitimacy  

CATO Institute

·         Why Growth Is Getting Harder  

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Great Unwinding: Iranian Nuclear Negotiations and Principles for Sanctions Relief 

·         Taking Off: Civil Aviation, Forward Progress and Japan's Third Arrow Reforms 

Center for Immigration Studies (CIS)

·         The Myth of the “Otherwise Law-Abiding” Illegal Alien 

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         Piracy, Illegal Fishing, and Maritime Insecurity in Somalia, Kenya, and Tanzania  

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Kidnapping for Ransom as a Source of Terrorism Financing 

·         Resilience in Security Policy: Present and Future  

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         The Global Aging Preparedness Index, Second Edition 

·         Issues & Insights, v. 13 , no. 12 - Workshop on Strategic Trade Controls 

·         Jihadi-Salafism's Next Generation 

·         Korea Chair Monitor, 2013, v. 1, no. 7 

·         PacNet #77 - US-Japan "2+2" Statement - Breaking New Ground? 

·         PacNet #76 - Of Symbols and Substance 

·         PacNet #75 - South Korea and a New Nationalism in an Era of Strength and Prosperity 

·         PacNet #74 - Pogo was Right! 

·         Significant Cyber Events Since 2006 [updated Oct 2013]  

·         Turkey Looks to China on Air and Missile Defense? 

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         How to Build a Modern European Union 

Chatham House

·         Counterterrorism: The Right Response? 

·         The Role of Traditional Values in Europe's Future 

·         Syria: The International Response

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         The Geopolitics of TTIP [Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership] 

Committee to Protect Journalists

·         Obama Administration and the Press—Leak Investigations and Surveillance in Post-9/11 America 

Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

·         Hydraulic Fracturing (Fracking) 

Department of Defense

·         Pay Our Military Act Implementation Guidance Memorandum 

·         Pay Our Military Act Implementation Guidance Cover Memo 

Department of State

·         Background Briefing by Senior Administration Officials on U.S. Assistance to Egypt 

·         Background Briefing Previewing Secretary Kerry's Trip to Kabul, Afghanistan 

·         Background Briefing: Senior State Department Officials and Senior Administration Official on Bilateral Security Agreement 

·         Security and Governance in Somalia: Consolidating Gains, Confronting Challenges, and Charting the Path Forward 

East-West Center

·         Turkey’s Evolving Strategic Balance with China, Japan and South Korea 

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

·         Libya Country Analysis Brief - October 2013 

·         Oman Country Analysis Brief - October 2013 

Enough Project

·         Completing the Mission—U.S. Special Forces Are Essential for Ending the LRA  

·         Striking Gold—How M23 and its Allies are Infiltrating Congo's Gold Trade 

EU Institute for Security Studies

·         The EU-China Partnership: 10 Years On 

EU Non-Proliferation Consortium

·         The Syrian Crisis: Use of Chemical Weapons and International Implications (October 2013) [documents] 

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         In Search of Legitimacy: The Palestinian National Movement 20 Years After Oslo 

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Beyond Vilnius: Keeping the Eastern Partnership on Track 

·         Is Europe's Future Digital? 

Feinstein International Center

·         Urban Profiling of Refugee Situations in Delhi: Refugees from Myanmar, Afghanistan and Somalia and their Indian Neighbours: A Comparative Study 

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Anarchy is the New Normal: Unconventional Governance and 21st Century Statecraft  

·         GI Come Back: America’s Return to the Philippines 

·         Mexican President Peña Nieto's "Time of Troubles" 

FRIDE

·         Partnering for a Nuclear-safe World: the EU, Its Strategic Partners and Nuclear Non-proliferation 

German Development Institute

·         Bureaucratic Pluralism and the Transformation of Development Cooperation 

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Turkey’s Africa Policy 

Henley Putnam University

·         Journal of Strategic Security, Fall 2013, v. 6, no. 3 

o    Evaluating and Improving Online Intelligence Courses

o    Strengthening Intelligence Education with Information-Processing and Knowledge-Organization Competencies

o    Amateur Hour? Experience and Faculty Qualifications in U.S. Intelligence Courses

o    Occam’s Follies: Real and Imagined Biases Facing Intelligence Studies

o    The Five Habits of the Master Thinker

o    Matching Intelligence Teaching Methods with Different Learners' Needs

o    Thinking in 140 Characters: The Internet, Neuroplasticity, and Intelligence Analysis

o    The Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction within a Probabilistic Framework

o    Efficacy of Modified Cognitive Interviewing, Compared to Human Judgments in Detecting Deception Related to Bio-threat Activities

Heritage Foundation

·         2014 NATO Summit: Laying the Groundwork Now 

·         America’s Debt, Through the Eyes of the Founders 

·         Biometric Exit Improvement Act: Wrong Solution to Broken Visa and Immigration System 

·         Can the Postal Service Have a Future? 

·         Let the Wind PTC Die Down Immediately 

·         A New View of Asia: 24 Charts that Show What's at Stake for America 

·         The President’s Legal Authority at the Debt Limit 

·         The Supreme Court Considers the President’s Power to Make Recess Appointments 

Human Rights Watch

·         “You Can Still See Their Blood”: Executions,Indiscriminate Shootings, and Hostage Taking by Opposition Forces in Latakia Countryside 

·         "That Land Is My Family’s Wealth":Addressing Land Dispossession after Côte d’Ivoire’s Post-Election Conflict 

Infinity Journal

·         Infinity Journal, Summer 2013, v. 3, no. 3 

o    Does War Have its Own Logic After All?

o    The Weinberger Doctrine: A Celebration

o    Using the Threat of Violence to Contain Syria: An External Approach

o    Why Did the US Adopt the Strategy of Massive Retaliation?

o    A Response to ‘Voices From the Field: Towards a Successful Outcome in Afghanistan’

o    When Should Covert Action Be Used in Fulfillment of Foreign Policy Strategy?

Institute for National Security Studies

·         Agreement on Syria’s Chemical Weapons—Should Israel Reassess its Arms Control and Disarmament Policies? 

·         End of the Muqawama?  Hamas and Hizbollah Face Reform or Collapse 

·         Hassan Rouhani and the Spiritual Leader—A New Style of Negotiations 

Institute for Security Studies (ISS)

·         Burundi: Missed Opportunities for South African Post-Conflict Development and Peacebuilding? 

·         Peace and Security Council Report,  2013, no 51 

·         SA’s Post-Conflict Development and Peacebuilding Experiences in the DRC: Lessons Learnt 

Institute for the Study of Radical Movements (ISRM)

·         Community Based Counter-Terrorism and Anti-Extremism Policies - The ZDK's 'Community Coaching' 

Institute for the Study of War (ISW)

·         AQI’s “Soldiers’ Harvest” Campaign  

·         Al-Qaeda in Iraq Resurgent, Part II 

·         Syria Updates: Air Strikes, Clashes, and Indirect Fire Incidents in Syria on October 7-8, 2013 

·         Update: Syria's Southern Battlefront 

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Manmohan Singh Meets Obama: Firming up Indo-US Strategic Partnership 

Intelligence Security Alliance

·         Operational Levels of Cyber Intelligence  

·         Preliminary Examination of Insider Threat Programs in the U.S. Private Sector  

International Crisis Group

·         Crying “Wolf”: Why Turkish Fears Need Not Block Kurdish Reform 

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Global Impact and Challenges of Unconventional Monetary Policies 

·         Global Impact and Challenges of Unconventional Monetary Policies - Background Paper 

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         Conflict, Violence, and Instability in the Post-2015 Development Agenda

Jamestown Foundation

·         China Brief, October 10, 2013, v. 13, no.  20  

o    The Relevant Organs: Institutional Factors behind China’s Gulf of Aden Deployment

o    China and the SCO: Dead Wood but a Good Platform

o    Why China Wants the Su-35

o    India in the South China Sea: Commercial Motives, Strategic Implications

Joint Chiefs of Staff

·         Joint Pub 3-17, Air Mobility Operations, 30 September 2013 

Long War Journal

·         Green-on-Blue Attacks in Afghanistan: The Data [updated October 13, 2013] 

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·         Fixing Australia’s Incredible Defense Policy  

·         Tax, Infrastructure, Anti-Corruption, Energy and the G20 

National Academies Press

·         Acute Exposure Guideline Levels for Selected Airborne Chemicals: Volume 15 

·         India-United States Cooperation on Global Security:  Summary of a Workshop on Technical Aspects of Civilian Nuclear Materials Security 

·         Priorities for Research to Reduce the Threat of Firearm-Related Violence 

·         Professionalizing the Nation's Cybersecurity Workforce?:  Criteria for Decision-Making 

National Bureau of Asian Research

·         New Commitment to a Code of Conduct in the South China Sea? 

National Security Archive

·         Every Nuclear-Tipped Missile is an"Accident Waiting to Happen" 

Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre

·         China in Myanmar: Implications for the Future 

·         Mapping Citizen Security Interventions in Latin America: Reviewing the Evidence 

·         The Years After the Dream: Bethlehem’s View of Oslo 

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)

·         OECD Skills Outlook 2013: First Results From the Survey of Adult Skills 

·         Survey of Adult Skills: Reader’s Companion

Oxfam International

·         Piecing Together the Jigsaw—Prospects for Improved Social Relations after the Armed Conflict in Northern Mali  

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         China's Credit Boom: New Risks Require New Reforms 

Pew Research Center

·         5 Facts About the National Debt: What You Should Know 

Pew Research Center for the People and the Press

·         Partisans Dug in on Budget, Health Care Impasse 

Rand

·         The Challenge of North Korean Biological Weapons  

·         Counterinsurgency Scorecard: Afghanistan in Early 2013 Relative to Insurgencies Since World War II 

·         Factors Affecting Physician Professional Satisfaction and Their Implications for Patient Care, Health Systems, and Health Policy 

·         Fair Value Accounting, Historical Cost Accounting, and Systemic Risk: Policy Issues and Options for Strengthening Valuation and Reducing Risk   

·         One Hundred Victories: Special Ops and the Future of American Warfare   

·         Readiness Reporting for an Adaptive Army 

Security & Defense Agenda

·         Beyond the Security vs. Privacy Debate  

Small Wars Journal

·         Gangs, Slums, Megacities and the Utility of Population-Centric COIN 

·         Into the Cities; Dark, Dense, and Dangerous 

·         Learning From Today’s Crisis of Counterinsurgency 

·         SWJ Book Review: Breach of Trust: How Americans Failed Their Soldiers and Their Country 

Small Wars Survey

·         Geospatial Technologies and Crime: The Jamaican Experience 

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         China's Exports of Small Arms and Light Weapons 

·         Development Assistance in Afghanistan after2014: From the Military Exit Strategy to a Civilian Entry Strategy 

Transatlantic Academy

·         The Double Bypass: How the United States and China are Routing Around Each Other and Transforming the Liberal Order 

Transnational Institute

·         Burma’s Ethnic Challenge: From Aspirations to Solutions 

·         Expert Seminar "Where next for Europe on drug policy reform?" 

·         The German Nuclear Phase-Out Put to the Test in International Investment Arbitration? 

·         Rethinking Regionalisms in Times of Crises 

Transparency International

·         Government Defence Anti-Corruption Index 

Trust for America's Health

·         Prescription Drug Abuse: Strategies to Stop the Epidemic 

Ubiquity Press

·         Stability: International Journal of Security and Development 2013, 2(3): 52 

o    The Ongoing Campaign of Terror in Nigeria: Boko Haram versus the State 

UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

·         UN global survey explains why so many people living with disabilities die in disasters 

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         An Innovative Approach to Countering Violent Extremism 

·         Fort Hood: A Terrorist Attack on U.S. Soil 

·         Iran Nuclear Talks:  A Brief History and the Road Ahead 

·         Israel's National Challenges, at Home and Abroad 

·         Israeli Security Policy in an Uncertain Middle East 

·         Reading Rouhani: The Promise and Peril of Iran's New President 

·         Rouhani's Negotiating Strategy: Divide and Isolate 

·         Ten Ways the Syrian Opposition Can Help Fight Extremism 

Wharton School

·         Disasters, Rebuilding and Leadership – Tough Lessons from Japan and the U.S. 

Wilson Center

·         American Policy in the Maghreb: Counterterrorism is Not Enough 

·         Brazil’s Political Challenge: Building Consensus on an Economically Sustainable Strategy 

·         Iran’s Rouhani Puts U.S.-Saudi Ties to the Test 

·         Sharing the Bomb among Friends: The Dilemmas of Sino-Soviet Strategic Cooperation 

·         U.S. Policy toward Syria: Making the Best of a Bad Situation?