Friday's Miscellany 06-21-2013

38 North

·         Park vs Kim: Who Wins This Game of Thrones?

AEI Critical Threats

·         Challenges to America's Counterterrorism Strategy in Somalia

Alberto Nisman [Argentine state prosecutor]

·         Iranian Terrorist Activities in Argentina and Latin America 

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Does Tajikistan Matter? Political Trends in Modern Tajikistan

·         From Taksim to Tahrir: A Turkish ‘Arab Spring’?

Amnesty International

·         Mining and Human Rights in Katanga, Democratic Republic of the Congo 

·         Five Stories of Roma Forced Evictions in Romania 

Asian Development Bank

·         Developing South Asia: Lessons and Insights

Atlantic Council

·         IntelBrief: Obama and Africa: Too Little, Too Late?

·         Labor, Technology, and Innovation in Europe—Facing Global Risk Through Increased Resiliency 

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Enter the Cyber Dragon: Understanding Chinese Intelligence Agencies' Cyber Capabilities

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

·         Still a Long Way to Go for Tunisian Democracy

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         The Next Frontier in United States Unconventional Shale Gas and Tight Oil Extraction: Strategic Reduction of Environmental Impact

·         Preventing Insider Theft: Lessons from the Casino and Pharmaceutical Industries

·         Suspension of Nuclear Activities Is Not End of Diversion

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         With Nothing to Lose: The Limits of a Rational Iran

Brookings

·         2013 U.S.-Islamic World Forum

·         2013 U.S.-Islamic World Forum Videos

·         Afghanistan Index: Tracking Progress and Security in Post-9/11 Afghanistan [updated June20, 2013]

·         Closing the Nuclear Trapdoor in the U.S.-Turkey "Model" Partnership  

·         The Political Games in the Taliban Negotiations

Canadian Defense & Foreign Affairs Institute (CDFAI)

·         Digital Diplomacy Revolution—Why is Canada Lagging Behind?  

·         Exigencies of Future Deployments: What Canada Must Exact from Its Military Partners

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Private Sector in Post-Revolution Egypt 

Center for American Progress

·         Pound Foolish: Federal Community-Resilience Investments Swamped by Disaster Damages

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         Command, Control, and Coordination—A Quick-Look Analysis of the Charlotte-Mecklenburg Police Department’s Operations during the 2012 Democratic National Convention

·         Command, Control, and Coordination—A Quick-Look Analysis of the Tampa Police Department’s Operations During the 2012Republican National Convention

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Russia in Europe: Strategic Challenges

·         Tunisia: Challenges of Transition

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)

·         Shaping America’s Future Military: Toward a New Force Planning Construct

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Middle East Notes and Comment: Arab Politics Undone

·         PacNet #40B - "A New Type of Great-Power Relations" and the Implications for South Korea

·         PacNet #43 - Triangulation and Trustpolitik

·         PacNet #44 - Will the “Oil and Gas Revolution” Pass China by?

·         Rethinking Absorptive Capacity 

·         A Whole-of-Government Approach for U.S.-India Relations

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP)

·         Too Little to Go Around—House Appropriations Plan to Increase Defense and Homeland Security Requires Even Deeper Cuts in Other Programs   

Center on Islam, Democracy and the Future of the Muslim World

·         The Next Decade of Jihadism in Pakistan

Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS)

·         Agricultural Labour Market Flexibility in the EU and Candidate Countries

·         The Empirical Content of the Present Value Model: A Survey of the Instrumental Uses of Farmland Prices

·         Farm/Household-level Simulation Results of Testing Policy and Other Scenarios

·         Influence of Agricultural Support on Sale Prices of French Farmland: A Comparison of Different Subsidies, Accounting for the Role of Environmental and Land Regulations

·         Open Season for Data Fishing on the Web: The Challenges of the US PRISM Programme for the EU

·         The Role of Environmental and Land Transaction Regulations on Agricultural Land Price: The Example of Brittany

·         Simulation Results of AgriPoliS about Diminishing Capital Subsidies and Restrictions

·         Simulation Results on the Impact of Changes in the Main EU Policy Tools on Farm Investment Behaviour

·         A Spatial Analysis of Agricultural Land Prices in Bavaria

Chatham House

·         Ghana's Democratic Gains, Economic Change and Regional Influence

·         Iran After Ahmadinejad

·         Is Japan Truly “Back”?  Prospects for a More Proactive Security Policy 

·         Making the Connection: Building Stability in Cyber and Space

Commission on the Humanities & Social Sciences

·         The Heart of the Matter: The Humanities and Social Sciences for a Vibrant, Competitive and Secure Nation 

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·         Continuing Concerns Over BioWatch and the Surveillance of Bioterrorism

·         U.S. Energy Abundance: Regulatory, Market, and Legal Barriers to Export

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Elections in Iran: The Regime Cementing its Control

·         Ethiopia After Meles: The Future of Democracy and Human Rights

·         Regional Security Cooperation: An Examination of the Central American Regional Security Initiative (CARSI) and the Caribbean Basin Security Initiative (CBSI)

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Threat, Risk and Vulnerability: The Future of the TWIC Program

Congress. House. Oversight and Government Reform Committee

·         Federal Government Approaches to Issuing Biometric IDs: Part II

·         Reinventing Government

Congress. House. Transportation and Infrastructure Committee

·         National Rail Policy: Examining Goals, Objectives, and Responsibilities

Congress. Senate. Commerce, Science & Transportation Committee

·         Airline Industry Consolidation

·         Staying on Track: Next Steps in Improving Passenger and Freight Rail Safety

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         Examining Prospects for Democratic Reform and Economic Recovery in Zimbabwe

·         Security Cooperation in Mexico: Examining the Next Steps in the U.S.-Mexico Security Relationship

 Congress. Senate. Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee

·         Safeguarding Our Nation's Secrets: Examining the Security Clearance Process

Congress. Senate. Judiciary Committee

·         Oversight of the Federal Bureau of Investigation

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         The Economic Impact of S. 744, the Border Security, Economic Opportunity, and Immigration Modernization Act

·         S. 744, Border Security, Economic Opportunity, and Immigration Modernization Act - Cost Estimate

·         Status of Discretionary Appropriations: FY2014 House

Defense R&D Canada

·         Air S&T Strategic Road Map

·         Air S&T Strategic Road Map Methodology

·         Air S&T Strategic Road Map Synopsis

·         Airborne Sensing of a Ground Area with a Team of Networked Robotic Drones

·         Canadian Extremist Crime Database

·         Geospatial Data Acquisition in Support of Mobility Analysis

·         Identifying Potential Implications of Technologies on Military and Security Operations

·         Military Operational Energy – A Fully Burdened Cost Model

·         Scoping Study on DRDC Toronto Future Research Regarding Naval Mine Countermeasures (Étude de délimitation des recherches futures de RDDC Toronto au sujet de la lutte contre les mines marines)

·         Semantic Web - The Missing Link in Global Source Code Analysis?

·         The State and Scientific Basis of Cyber Security Metrics

·         The Strategic Implications of China's Dominance of the Global Rare Earth Elements (REE) Market

·         Understanding the Institutional Dimension of Inter-agency Collaboration

 

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         Defense Department Releases Women in Service Review Implementation Plans

o    The Secretary of Defense Memo

o    The U.S. Army's Plan

o    The U.S. Navy's Plan

o    The U.S. Air Force's Plan

o    The U.S. Marine Corps' Plan

o    The U.S. Special Operations Command's Plan 

·         DoD Directive 5505.06, Investigations of Allegations Against Senior DoD Officials, June 6, 2013

·         DoD Directive 6490.14, Defense Suicide Prevention Program, June 18, 2013

·         DoD Manual 1416.08, DoD Manual for Foreign National Compensation, May 30, 2013

·         Report on Nuclear Employment Strategy of the United States Specified in Section 491 of 10 U.S.C.

Department of Homeland Security Inspector General

·         OIG-13-95 - DHS Can Take Actions To Address Its Additional Cybersecurity Responsibilities

Department of State

·         Country Reports on Terrorism for 2012 

·         A New Legal Framework for U.S.-Russian Cooperation in Nuclear Nonproliferation and Security

·         Trafficking in Persons Report 2013

Department of the Navy

·         Command Investigation Into the Grounding of USS Guardian (MCM 5) on Tubbataha Reef, Republic of the Philippines that Occurred on 17 January 2013

East-West Center

·         Malaysia’s Election and Najib’s Challenged Mandate

Egmont Institute Royal Institute for International Relations

·         The European Citizens' Initiative: Next Big Thing or New False Good Idea?

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

·         Australia Country Analysis Brief

Enough Project

·         Troops in the Demilitarized Zone—Confirmation of Violations by Sudan and South Sudan 

EU Institute for Security Studies

·         The European Future of the Western Balkans -Thessaloniki@10

·         Yes They Could - Iran’s Presidential Surprise

EU Non-Proliferation Consortium

·         Creating a Common EU Policy on Nuclear Non-Proliferation Education—A Case Study of Sweden 

·         European Union’s Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear Centers of Excellence Initiative 

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Challenges for the EU in the Resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict: Azerbaijani and Armenian Perspectives

·         EU Immigration Policy: Act Now Before It Is Too Late

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         Active Shooter and Mass Casualty Incidents

Feinstein International Center

 ·         Modern Challenges to Traditional Justice: The Struggle to Deliver Remedy and Reparation in War-Affected Lango

FRIDE

·         Europe’s Gulf Dilemma

German Development Institute

·         Complementarity in Development: Bringing Private Foundations on Board

·         Post 2015: What It Means for the United Nations Development System

·         Which Factors Determine the Upgrading of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs)? The Case of Egypt

·         With or Without Force? European Public Opinion on Democracy Promotion

German Marshall Fund

·         Obama’s Second Term: The Process of Building Global Leadership

·         Turkey and Georgia: Zero-Problems?

Global Homeland Security Education Network (GHSEN)

·         The Journal of the Global Homeland Security Education Network, 2013, v. 2,no. 1

o    Certainty Through Flexibility: Intelligence and Paramilitarization in Canadian Public Order Policing

o    The Impact of Transgressive Leisure on Domestic Anti-Terrorism, Security and Police Practice Geocaching, Public Safety, and Bomb Scares

o    The Effect of Counter-Terrorism Measure on Participation in Leisure Time Events

o    On Killing: the Changing World of Youth, Violence and Gun Culture

o    Security Venues of Mass Gatherings

 Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Airline Mergers: Issues Raised by the Proposed Merger of American Airlines and US Airways. GAO-13-403T [testimony]

·         Climate Change: Various Adaptation Efforts Are Under Way at Key Natural Resource Management Agencies. GAO-13-253

·         Defense Contractors: Information on the Impact of Reducing the Cap on Employee Compensation Costs. GAO-13-566

·         Defense Infrastructure: DOD's Excess Capacity Estimating Methods Have Limitations. GAO-13-535

·         F-35 Joint Strike Fighter: Restructuring Has Improved the Program, but Affordability Challenges and Other Risks Remain. GAO-13-690T [testimony]

·         Military Airlift: DOD Needs to Take Steps to Manage Workload Distributed to the Civil Reserve Air Fleet. GAO-13-564

·         Nuclear Nonproliferation: IAEA Has Made Progress in Implementing Critical Programs but Continues to Face Challenges. GAO-13-139

·         Personnel Security Clearances: Further Actions Needed to Improve the Process and Realize Efficiencies. GAO-13-728T [testimony]

·         Rail Safety: Preliminary Observations on Federal Rail Safety Oversight and Positive Train Control Implementation. GAO-13-679T [testimony]

·         Transportation Worker Identification Credential: Card Reader Pilot Results Are Unreliable; Security Benefits Should Be Reassessed. GAO-13-695T [testimony]

Heritage Foundation

·         Beyond the Border—U.S. and Canada Expand Partnership in Trade and Security

·         Ignorance of the Law Is No Excuse, But It Is Reality

·         Many Real Dangers of Soaring National Debt

·         Obama’s Wish to Cut Nuclear Arsenal Undermines National Security

·         Reasonably Construing the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act to Avoid Overcriminalization

·         The Senate’s Comprehensive Immigration Bill: Top 10 Concerns

·         Soaring National Debt Remains a Grave Threat

Hogan Lovells, LLC

·         A Sober Look at National Security Access to Data in the Cloud 

·         Global Reality—Governmental Access to Data in the Cloud 

Hoover Institute

·         Strategika, 2013, no. 3

o    Women Soldiers Confront not just the Enemy, but a Range of Political Issues

o    For Women in the Infantry, Political Correctness is not Enough

o    The Military's March to Equality

Households in Conflict Network

·         Revisiting Haiti´s Gangs and Organized Violence 

·         Urban Violence and Humanitarian Action in Medellin

Human Rights Watch

·         Interfere, Restrict, Control: Restraints on Freedom of Association in Bahrain

·         Just Sign Here: Unfair Trials Based on Confessions to the Police in Morocco

·         Treat Us Like Human Beings: Discrimination against Sex Workers, Sexual and Gender Minorities, and People Who Use Drugs in Tanzania 

Infinity Journal

·         Infinity Journal, Winter 2012, v. 3, no. 2 

o    Strategic Culture: More Problems than Prospects

o    Viable Targets? Hamas' Centers of Gravity

o    Looking at Gaza's Strategic Status in the Wake of Operation 'Pillar of Defense'

o    Strategy and Cyberpower: From Tactics to Politics

o    Strategic Education for All Journal Officers: Building Morale and Enabling Adaptability

o    Was Obama's 2009 Afghanistan Surge Based on Sound Strategy?

Institute for Defense Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         Does China Mix Business with Politics?

Institute for Economics & Peace

·         Global Peace Index 2013

Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS)

·         Can Rouhani Deliver a Nuclear Deal? Can He be Trusted?

Institute for Security Studies (ISS)

·         Peace and Security Council Report 47

Institute for the Study of War

·         2013 Iraq Update #25: The Ninewa and Anbar Elections and the future of Iraq's Sunni Leadership

·         Afghanistan ORBAT: June 2013

·         Iranian Naval and Maritime Strategy 

·         Iraq's Sunnis in Crisis

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         The Prospects for Modi’s Prime Ministerial Ambitions 

·         A Tale of Two Leaders

International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation and Political Violence (ICSR)

·         Talking to the Taliban: Hope over History?

International Crisis Group

·         The Philippines: Dismantling Rebel Groups

·         Sudan’s Spreading Conflict (II): War in Blue Nile

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Bank Funding in Central, Eastern and South Eastern Europe Post Lehman: a “New Normal”?

·         The Growth and Stabilization Properties of Fiscal Policy in Malaysia

·         How Do Banking Crises Affect Bilateral Exports?

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         Poaching as a Threat to International Peace and Security [video]

Jamestown Foundation

·         China Brief, June 21,2013, v. 13, no. 13

o    The South China Sea Dispute (Part 2): Friction to Remain the Status Quo

o    Second Thomas Shoal Likely the Next Flashpoint in the South China Sea

o    President Aquino’s Second Half: Minimum Credible Defense in Contested Waters?

o    Beijing’s Aggressive New Foreign Policy and Implications for the South China Sea

Joint Chiefs of Staff

·         Joint Pub 4-01 The Defense Transportation System, 06 June 2013

Joint Ocean Commission Initiative

·         Charting the Course: Securing the Future of America’s Oceans

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         Diplomatic Maneuverings after Choe Ryong-hae’s Visit to China

·         Obligations under International Law of States Involved in the Repatriation of the 9 North Korean Teenage Escapees

·         The ‘Trust-building Process’ Strategy for the Creative Restoration of the ‘Korean-Ecosystem’

 

Lowy Institute for International Policy

·         Saving Multilateralism—The G20, the WTO, and World Trade

National Academies Press

·         Best Practices in State and Regional Innovation Initiatives:  Competing in the21st Century

·         Improving the Assessment of the Proliferation Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles

National Defense University Press

·         Joint Force Quarterly (JFQ), 3rd Quarter, July 2013, no. 70

o    Have You Renewed Your Commitment Yet?

o    A Western Insurgency in Afghanistan

o    Forward-deployed Medical Assets and the COIN Offensive

o    The Way Ahead for Human Terrain Teams

o    Environmental Planning While Deployed: Mission Hindrance or Enhancement

o    Air Advising: A Critical Component of Joint Engagement

o    Tora Bora Reconsidered: Lessons from 125 Years of Strategic Manhunts

o    Beyond Sequester: Improving National Defense in an Age of Austerity

o    Insights from the Women in Combat Symposium

o    Enhancing the U.S. Rebalance Toward Asia: Elevating Allies

o    Thucydides, Benghazi, and Honor

o    Unpacking Cyberwar: The Sufficiency of the Law of Armed Conflict in the Cyber Domain

o    Awaiting Cyber 9/11

o    On Military Creativity

o    The New Operational Paradigm: Operation Odyssey Dawn and the Maritime Operations Center

o    Energy Diversity and Development in Kenya

o    Second Fronts: Factors in Success and Failure and Implications for the Future

o    From National to Theater: Developing Strategy

National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS)

·         The Arab Spring and Beyond-The Development of the Egyptian Political Situation since 2012

NATO Civil-Military Fusion Center

·         Afghanistan Weekly Review [latest update June 18, 2013]

NATO Defense College

·         Political and Military Cooperation or NATO-Russian Roulette: Proactive Management of a Difficult Relationship

Naval War College

·         High Seas Buffer: The Taiwan Patrol Force,1950–1979

Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre

·         Cuban-Latin American and Caribbean Relations: Challenges Beyond Normalization

·         Hizb Al-Tahrir in Palestine: A New Political Actor?

·         Palestinian Youth Activism: New Actors, New Possibilities

·         “We are One, but We are Different”: Murle Identity and Local Peacebuilding in Jonglei State, South Sudan

Observer Research Foundation

·         China Military Watch—Volume II, Issue 12

One Earth Future Foundation

·         The Human Cost of Maritime Piracy 2012

Peacekeeping & Stability Operations Institute (PKSOI)

·         Fostering a Police Reform Paradigm

Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life

·         Arab Spring Adds to Global Restrictions on Religion

Pew Research Hispanic Center

·         Diverse Origins: The Nation’s 14 Largest Hispanic-Origin Groups

Political Economy Research Institute (PERI)

·         Exploitation without Subsumption: The Scope and Limits of Proto-Industrial Exploitation

·         Morally Arbitrary Economic Advantage

·         Social Structures of Accumulation, the Rate of Profit, and Economic Crises

Pricewaterhouse Cooper (PWC)

·         Key findings from the 2013 US State of Cybercrime Survey

RAND Corporation

·         Army's Role in Overcoming Anti-Access and Area Denial Challenges 

·         An Assessment of the Army's Tactical Human Optimization, Rapid Rehabilitation and Reconditioning Program 

·         Crisis Stability and Long-Range Strike—A Comparative Analysis of Fighters, Bombers, and Missiles

·         Mapping Pathways: Developing Evidence-based, People-centred Strategies for the Use of Antiretrovirals as Prevention  

·         Rouhani's Election—Regime Retrenchment in the Face of Pressure (Testimony)

·         Using EPIC to Find Conflicts, Inconsistencies, and Gaps in Department of Defense Policies 

Refugees International

·         South Sudan—Investigating Sexual Violence in Conflict Proves Challenging 

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·         The Future of the UK’s Co-operative Nuclear Relationships

Small Wars Journal

·         Acting in the Human Domain, but Educating for the Physical Domains: How Professional Military Education is Failing to Prepare Soldiers to Affect Fundamental Change

·         Bandwidth Cascades: Escalation and Pathogen Models for Cyber Conflict Diffusion

·         Bunker Hill: A Story of Prudent Risk and Reckless Irresponsibility

·         Detour Needed: The 'New Silk Road' and a False Hope for a Troubled Afghanistan

·         Fracture Lines: The Evaluating the Possibility of a Sectarian Future for Syria

·         Leaving Afghanistan: Base Closure at the Tactical Level

·         Targeting and Intelligence at the Company Level: Lessons Learned from a CoIST [Company Intelligence Support Team] in Afghanistan

·         To the Horizon: Seven Conflicts of Concern for the U.S. Military Part II

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         USAID’s Technical Support to the Central and Provincial Ministry of Public Health Project: Audit of Costs Incurred by Management Sciences for Health 

·         USAID’s Program to Support the Loya Jirga and Election Process in Afghanistan: Audit of Costs Incurred by The Asia Foundation

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         Strengthening the European Union's Future Approach to WMD Nonproliferation 

Strategic Studies Institute (SSI)

·         The Struggle for Yemen and the Challenge of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula

Transnational Institute

·         Land & Sovereignty in the Americas - 2013, no. 2

o    Governing the Global Land Grab: Competing political tendencies

Transworld

·         Home-made Adjustments? US Human Rights and Democracy Promotion

·         Responsibility to Protect, Humanitarian Intervention and Human Rights: Lessons from Libya to Mali

·         “Shocking” Adjustments? EU Human Rights and Democracy Promotion

·         Transatlantic Tensions on Data Privacy

U.S. Coast Guard

·         U.S. Coast Guard Strategy for the Arctic 

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Exporting Terror in America's Backyard

·         How the U.S. Gains from Israel Alliance

·         Israel's Go-Ahead on Natural Gas

·         Israel's Security Policy in a Changing Middle East

·         Jordan's Web Policy Mistake

·         Morsi's Provocative Appointments

·         Regime Change in Qatar

·         Rouhani's Nuclear Views: An Open Book?

·         The Rowhani Front

·         Time for G8 to Make Hezbollah Statement

·         Will Protests at Home Affect Turkey's Foreign Policy?

White House

·         Guide for Developing High-Quality Emergency Operations Plans for Houses of Worship

·         National Biosurveillance Science and Technology Roadmap

·         Progress Report on the President’s Executive Actions to Reduce Gun Violence

·         Remarks by President Obama at the Brandenburg Gate -- Berlin, Germany

·         Remarks by President Obama and German Chancellor Merkel in Joint Press Conference

Wilson Center

·         Minegolia Part I: China and Mongolia’s Mining Boom