Friday's Miscellany 12-21-2012

AEI Critical Threats

·         The Iranian Nuclear Program: Timelines, Data,and Estimates

·         Pakistan Security Brief

·         Yemen's Military Restructuring: Removing Saleh's Network

American Institute for Contemporary German Studies (AICGS)

·         From Internal Reconciliation to External Reconciliation? A Sketch of the EU’s Ideas and Implementation Regarding the Arab-Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

Amnesty International

·         Exploited Labor—Migrant Workers in Italy’s Agricultural Sector 

·         Ghana—End Impunity Through Universal Jurisdiction 

Arthur D. Simons Center

·         InterAgency Journal 2012 - 3-4 (Special Edition)

o    Enhancing North American Security – A Military Perspective

o    Mexican Transnational Criminal Organizations:  Sources of Hemispheric Instability

o    Transnational Criminal Organizations: It’s Not  Personal… It’s Business!

o    Achieving Security along the U.S. Southwest Border

o    Department of Defense on the Southwest Border

o    Hemispheric Framework for Counter-Narcotics Operations

o    Disrupting Transnational Criminal Organizations: Logical Methods for Target Identification

o    Future Conflict, Open Borders, and the Need for Reform

Atlantic Council

·         Lessons from Constitution-Making in Tunisia 

·         Naval Future—International Preponderance Through Naval Partnership

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         A Second Term Obama Administration and the Middle East

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         Defining and Implementing Best Practices in Nuclear Security

·         A WMD-Free Zone in the Middle East: Creating the Conditions for Sustained Progress

Brookings Institute

·         The Next Chapter of Global Terrorism: New Realities Transcending Old 9/11 Paradigms

Canadian Defense & Foreign Affairs Institute (CDFAI)

·         Canada and the Five Eyes Intelligence Community 

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         The Carbon Contained in Global Oils

Caspian Research

·         Will Putin Succeed with His Post-Soviet Integration Project?

Center for American Progress

·         Women and Warfare: Denying Combat Recognition Creates ‘Brass Ceiling’

Center on Global Counterterrorism Cooperation

·         Criminal Justice and Rule of Law Capacity Building to Counter Terrorism in Fragile Institutional Contexts: Lessons from Development Cooperation

Center for Infrastructure Protection and Homeland Security (CIP/HS)

·         The CIP Report, December2012, v, 11, no. 6 - Resilience  

Center for International Cooperation

·         Political Missions 2012

Center for Naval Analysis (CNA)

·         Security Challenges in Libya and the Sahel

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Nepal's Faltering Peace Process and Swiss Engagement

·         Smart Pooling: State of Play in European Defence and Armaments Cooperation

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Competing Pressures for U.S. PEPFAR in Botswana

·         European Defense Trends 2012 

·         India’s Emerging Economy: Sector by Sector

·         Issues & Insights Vol. 12 - No. 14 -- The US-Japan Alliance: New Direction in an Uncertain World

·         Mexican Labor Reforms—What Do They Mean?

·         New U.S. Strategy, the FY2013 Defense Budget, Sequestration, and the Growing Strategy-Reality Gap 

·         PacNet #82R - Response to PacNet #82 - For Mongolia, Two Symbolic Steps in the Wrong Direction

·         PacNet #85 - Dealing with “North Korea 3.0”:The Same Game?

·         PacNet #86 - Japan, Central Asia, and the US Rebalance to Asia-Pacific

·         Recommendations for a New Administration: Be a Good Neighbor to the Caribbean

·         Recommendations for a New Administration: Building a Dynamic U.S.-Brazil Partnership

·         Recommendations for a New Administration:Weed and Lead with Canada

·         Southeast Asia from the Corner of 18th and K Streets: The E3 Initiative: The U.S. and ASEAN Take a Step in the RightDirection

·         TWQ: The 2011 Protests: Were They About Democracy? - Winter 2013

·         TWQ: An Opportunity for a U.S.–Iran Paradigm Shift - Winter 2013

·         TWQ: Avoid Repeating Mistakes Toward Iran - Winter 2013

·         TWQ: International Order and Global Swing States - Winter 2013

·         TWQ: Mobile Phones: Uplifting Weak and Failed States - Winter 2013

·         TWQ: Reassessing the All-Volunteer Force - Winter 2013

·         TWQ: The Responsibility Doctrine - Winter 2013

·         TWQ: Thinking Long on Afghanistan: Could it be Neutralized? - Winter 2013

·         TWQ: The Turkey–Russia–Iran Nexus: Eurasian Power Dynamics - Winter 2013

·         TWQ: Working with China to Promote Democracy - Winter 2013

·         U.S. Role in Global Polio Eradication

Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS)

·         EU Home Affairs Agencies and the Constructionof EU Internal Security

·         Justice and Home Affairs Databases and a Smart Borders System at EU External Borders: An Evaluation of Current and Forthcoming Proposals

·         Performance of Long-Term Care Systems in Europe

·         Why is the Greek Economy Collapsing? A SimpleTale of High Multipliers and Low Exports

Chatham House

·         Into the Quagmire—Turkey's Frustrated Syria Policy  

·         Through the Dragon Gate?  A Window of Opportunity for Northeast Asian Gas Security   

College of Europe

·         The Economics of Single Market Regulation

·         Social Capital and Individual Happiness in Europe

Congress. House. Armed Services Committee

·         Sequestration Resource Kit

·         Update on the Evolving Security Situation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Implications for U.S. National Security

Congress. House. Foreign Relations Committee

·         Benghazi Attack, Part II: The Report of the Accountability Review Board

·         The Devastating Crisis in Eastern Congo

·         Iranian Influence in the South Caucasus and the Surrounding Region

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Terrorist Exploitation of Refugee Programs

 

Congress. House. Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence

·         Chairman Rogers Statement on the Pickering Report

Congress. House. Transportation and Infrastructure Committee

·         Northeast Corridor Future: Options for High-Speed Rail Development and Opportunities for Private Sector Participation

·         A Review of the Preparedness, Response To and Recovery from Hurricane Sandy

·         An Update on the High Speed and Intercity Passenger Rail Program: Mistakes Made and Lessons Learned

Congress. Senate. Commerce, Science & Transportation Committee

·         Superstorm Sandy: The Devastating Impact onthe Nation's Largest Transportation Systems

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         Assessing Developments in Mali: Restoring Democracy and Reclaiming the North

·         BENGHAZI: The Attack and the Lessons Learned

·         Energy and Security from the Caspian to Europe [minority staff report]  

·         Terrorist Networks in Pakistan and the Proliferation of IEDs

Congress. Senate. Intelligence Committee

·         Terrorist Arrests and Plots Stopped in the United States 2009-2012*

Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

·         A New 'Degree of Hope' for Afghanistan

·         Preventing Chemical Weapons Use in Syria

·         South Korea's Presidential Stakes

·         U.S. Gun Policy: Global Comparisons

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         Annual Report on Sexual Harassment and Violence at the United States Military Service Academies - Academic ProgramYear (APY) 2011-2012

·         DoD Instruction 5505.17, Collection, Maintenance, Use, and Dissemination of Personally Identifiable Information and Law Enforcement Information by DoD Law Enforcement Activities, December 19, 2012

·         “The Force of the 21st Century” [SecDef speech]

·         DOD Suicide Event Report for FY 2011

·         Implications of Ongoing Fiscal Cliff Negotiations [SecDef Memo]

·         Sexual Harassment and Violence in the U.S.Military Services Academies [SecDef Memo]

Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

·         OIG-13-14 TSA’s National Deployment Force – FY 2012 Follow-Up

·         OIG-13-15 FEMA’s Sheltering and Temporary Essential Power Pilot Program

Department of State

·         Accountability Review Board on Benghazi [Pickering report]

·         Benghazi: The Attack and the Lessons Learned [Deputy Secretary William J. Burns]

·         Benghazi Attack, Part II: The Report of theA ccountability Review Board [Deputy Secretary William J. Burns]

·         Briefing on the Accountability Review Boardon Benghazi

·         Global Counterterrorism: A Progress Report

·         Secretary Clinton's letter to Congress on the Report

Department of the Army

·         Fiscal Year 2012 United States Army Financial Report

·         U.S. Army Capstone Concept

East-West Center

·         Closer US-India Relations Benefit the United States and Mississippi

·         The Collective Influence of Smaller States in the US-China Security Dilemma

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

·         OPEC Revenues Fact Sheet

Enough Project

·         Critical Issues for a Peace Process to Endt he Deadly Congo War 

·         South Sudan's Response to Violence in Jonglei

EU Institute for Security Studies

·         Look East, Act East:  Transatlantic Agendas in the Asia Pacific 

·         UNSCR 1540 and the EU: Reinforcing National Responsibilities

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         A Battle Against Decline? EU Defence afterthe European Council

·         Risky Tactics and Bad Examples: EU Enlargement Decisions Postponed

·         Steps but No Roadmap Towards GEMU – the Results of a Disappointing Summit - Post-Summit Analysis

Federation of American Scientists (FAS)

·         Trimming Nuclear Excess—Options for Further Reductions of U.S. and Russian Nuclear Forces

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Bosnia Remembered – Part I: The Legacy of Jasenovac 

·         The ‘Tamil Nadu Factor in China’s Naval Basing Ambitions in Sri Lanka

·         U.S. Strategy for Countering Violent Extremism: An Assessment

FRIDE

·         EU Democracy Promotion in the Eastern Neighbourhood: A Turn to Civil Society? 

·         Thinking Security, Doing Development? TheSecurity-Development Nexus in European Policies towards Tajikistan

Fund for Peace

·         Beyond Terror and Militants: AssessingConflict Risk in Nigeria

 

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·         Mapping Political Violence – The Approaches and Conceptual Challenges of Subnational Geospatial Analyses of Intrastate Conflict

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         The GCC in the Mediterranean in Light of the Arab Spring

·         Global Swing States and International Order: A Turkish View

·         A Transatlantic Perspective on the European Union and the United States in North Africa

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Afghanistan Drawdown Preparations: DOD Decision Makers Need Additional Analyses to Determine Costs and Benefits of Returning Excess Equipment. GAO-13-185R

·         CMS Innovation Center: Early Implementation Efforts Suggest Need for Additional Actions to Help Ensure Coordination With Other CMS Offices. GAO-13-12

·         Defense Contracting: DOD Initiative to Address Audit Backlog Shows Promise, but Additional Management Attention Needed to Close Aging Contracts. GAO-13-131

·         Dodd-Frank Act: Agencies' Efforts to Analyze and Coordinate Their Rules. GAO-13-101

·         Export Controls: Compliance and Enforcement Activities and Congressional Notification Requirements under Country-Based License Exemptions. GAO-13-119R

·         Information on Former High-Ranking Coast Guard Officials' Employment with Major Contractors. GAO-13-153R

·         Passenger Rail Security: Consistent Incident Reporting and Analysis Needed to Achieve Program Objectives. GAO-13-20

Heritage Foundation

·         The Arab Spring Descends into Islamist Winter: Implications for U.S. Policy

·         Improving Economic Mobility Through Increased Savings

·         Mali: Military Force Is Not the Solution

·         National Security and Defense: Comparing Congress and The Heritage Foundation's Policy Positions

·         Sequester Decision Time: Global Leader or Regional Hegemon?

·         Understanding American Liberty

·         The U.S. Must Rethink Its Approach to the Democratic Republic of the Congo

·         U.S. Needs Financial Leverage to Hold Line on U.N. Budget

Humanitarian Policy Group

·         Talking to the Other Side: Humanitarian Engagement with the Taliban in Afghanistan

·         Talking to the Other Side: Taliban Perspectives on Aid and Development Work in Afghanistan

ICOS

·         Syria: A Way Forward

Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA)

·         Ballistic Missile Proliferation: Implicationsf or India

·         The Challenges Before Shinzo Abe

·         India’s Limited War Doctrine: The Structural Factor

·         The Return of Shinzo Abe as Japan’s New PM: What Does It Mean for India?

·         Update on India’s Membership of Multilateral Export Controls Regimes

Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS)

·         The AP Graphs: A Preliminary Discussion

Institute for Strategic Dialogue

·         Far-Right Extremism: Trends and Methods for Response and Prevention

·         Preventing and Countering Far-Right Extremism: European Cooperation, Country Reports

·         Social Media for Social Change: Using the Internet to Tackle Intolerance

Institute for the Study of War

·         Asa’ib Al-Haq Activity Inside of Baghdad December 2011-November 2012 (map)

·         Asa’ib Al-Haq Activity Outside of Baghdad December 2011-November 2012 (map)

·         Political Update: Can a No-Confidence Vote Against Maliki Succeed This Time?

·         Resurgence of Asa’ib Ahl Al-Haq 

·         Unpacking the Attempted Assassination of Asadullah Khalid

·         Weekly Iraq Update - #51, December 12, 2012-December 19, 2012

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         India ASEAN FTA in Services 

·         Political Challenges in Post-war Sri Lanka

Instituto Affari Internazionali (IAI)

·         The GCC in the Mediterranean in Light of the Arab Spring

·         Southern Europe in Trouble: Domestic and Foreign Policy Challenges of the Financial Crisis

·         Trade and investment cooperation between the EU and the Gulf Cooperation Council

·         A Transatlantic Perspective on the European Union and the United States in North Africa

International Center for Research on Women

·         Child Marriage in Southern Asia  Policy Options for Action

International Crisis Group

·         Curbing Violence in Nigeria (I): The Jos Crisis

·         Eastern Congo: The ADF-Nalu’s Lost Rebellion

·         Georgia: Making Cohabitation Work

·         Jerusalem: Extreme Makeover? (I) & (II)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Bank Debt in Europe “Are Funding Models Broken”

·         Global Bonding: Do U.S. Bond and Equity Spillovers Dominate Global Financial Markets?

·         Income and Democracy: Lipset's Law Revisited

·         Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts

·         Optimal Oil Production and the World Supply of Oil

·         The Rising Resilience of Emerging Market and Developing Economies

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         Threats to Security in the Sahel: The Mali Crisis

International Relations and Security Network (ISN)

·         Challenges Facing the Russian Defense Establishment

·         Is China Now a Sea Power?

·         The State of American Power and Defense Challenges for a New Era

Iran Project

·         Weighing Benefits and Costs of Military Action Against Iran

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         Unha-3 Rocket Launch and Kim Jong-un’s Strategy of Regime Survival

Long War Journal

·         Charting the Data for US Airstrikes in Pakistan, 2004 - 2012 [updated Dec21, 2012]

National Academies Press

·         The Case for International Sharing of Scientific Data:  A Focus on DevelopingCountries: Proceedings of a Symposium

·         Determining Core Capabilities in Chemical and Biological Defense Science and Technology

·         Developing and Strengthening the Global Supply Chain for Second-Line Drugs for Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis:  Workshop Summary

·         The Future of Scientific Knowledge Discovery in Open Networked Environments: Summary of a Workshop

·         Future Uses of the Department of DefenseJoint Pathology Center Biorepository

National Bureau of Asian Research

·         Northeast Asia Turns Its Attention to the Arctic

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism

·         Analysis of Factors Related to Hate Crime andT errorism

·         Border Crossings and Terrorist Attacks in the United States: Lessons for Protecting against Dangerous Entrants  

·         Social Media Use during Disasters

National Defense University (NDU)

·         PRISM, December2012, v. 4, no. 1 

o    How to Build Democratic Armies

o    Civil-Military Cooperation: A Way to Resolve Complex Crisis Situations

o    Making the Afghan Civil-Military Imbalance Conducive to Democratization

o    Thinking About Strategic Hybrid Threats—In Theory and in Practice

o    Chinese Organized Crime in Latin America

o    Adaptive Leadership in Times of Crisis

o    Risk Management of Future Foreign Conflict Intervention

o    Stabilization Success in Afghanistan: The Challenges Within

o    Reconstruction Leaders’ Perceptions of CERP in Iraq: Report Overview

o    The Human Toll of Reconstruction During Operation Iraqi Freedom: Report Overview

o    An Interview with Richard N. Haass

National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS)

·         China Security Report 2012

·         NIDS Journal of Defense and Security No.13 (December 2012)

o    Vietnam, ASEAN, and the South China Sea: Unity or Diverseness?

o    The Concept of Virtual Nuclear Arsenals and "a World without  Nuclear Weapons"

o    Peacekeeping Capacity-building Assistance: The Role of the Group of Eight (G8)

o    Coercive Diplomacy and Peace Operations: Intervention in East Timor

National Security Archive

·         Lifting the Veil on Colombia's "EmeraldCzar"

·         Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan Was Not a Grand Design But a Grand Entanglement Resulting from Faulty Intelligence,Excessive Secrecy, and a Paralyzed Leadership, According to Conference of Former Decision-Makers

National Volunteer Fire Council

·         Suicide in the Fire and Emergency Services:Adopting a Proactive Approach to Behavioral Health Awareness and SuicidePrevention

Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability

·         Foundations of Energy Security for the DPRK:1990-2009 Energy Balances, Engagement Options, and Future Paths for Energy andEconomic Redevelopment

 Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre

·         Financial Markets in GCC Countries: Recent Crises and Structural Weaknesses

·         Human Rights in the Smaller Gulf States: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar and UAE

·         Overview of the Smaller GCC States (Kuwait, Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, UAE) and the Effect of the “Arab Spring” Uprisings

·         Regional Security Co-operation in the Smaller Gulf States

·         Syria: Towards the Endgame

·         United Arab Emirates

Pakistan Institute of Legislative Development and Transparency

·         Delimitation of Constituencies and Voters List for Karachi

Pew Global Attitudes Project

·         Social Networking Popular Across Globe

Portuguese Institute of International Relations and Security

·         Portugal and Turkey: An Increasingly Substantive Relationship

Rand

·         General Military Training: Standardization and Reduction Options

·         Improving Air Force Command and Control Through Enhanced Agile Combat Support Planning, Execution, Monitoring, and Control Processes

·         Rapid Acquisition and Fielding for Information Assurance and Cyber Security in the Navy

·         Second-Language Skills for All? Analyzing a Proposed Language Requirement for U.S. Air Force Officers

Small Arms Survey

·         Battering, Rape, and Lethal Violence A Baseline of Information on Physical Threats against Women in Nairobi

·         Political Conflict and Vulnerabilities: Firearms and Electoral Violence in Kenya

Small Wars Journal

·         Breaking Illicit Rice Bowls: A Framework for Analyzing Criminal National Security Threats

·         Conducting Security Force Assistance in a Rural District: Understanding the Operational Environment

·         German Counterinsurgency Operations in East Africa: The Hehe War, 1890-1898

·         Making Intelligence Relevant for the Missions of the 21st Century

Stanley Foundation

·         Assisting States to Prevent Atrocities: Implications for Development Policy, Stabilization Assistance, and Post-Conflict Peacebuilding

Stimson Center

·         Trans Pacific Partnership and the China-Japan-Korea Free Trade Agreement—Implications For Taiwan

Strategic Studies Institute (SSI)

·         Venezuela as an Exporter of 4th Generation Warfare Instability

Trust for America's Health

·         Ready or Not? 2012: Protecting the Public's Health from Diseases, Disasters, and Bioterrorism

United Kingdom Defense Committee

·         Future Maritime Surveillance—Government Response to the Committee's Fifth Report of Session 2012-13 

United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights

·         Report of Independent Inquiry on Syria 

U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission

·         China-Iran: A Limited Partnership

·         Outcomes of the Chinese Communist Party’s 18th National Congress

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Middle East in 2013: Promise and (Lots of) Peril

·         Political Economy and Conflict Dimensions of Afghanistan’s Mineral Resources: A Preliminary Exploration

United States International Trade Commission (USITC)

·         Trade, Offshoring, and U.S. Multinational Corporation Employment in the U.S. Manufacturing Sector, 1999-2008

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Between Nuclear Iran and the Arab Street: The GCC Summit in Bahrain

·         The Economic Cost of a Nuclear Iran

·         Egypt on the Brink (Again)

·         Have We Lost Egypt?

·         Iraqi President's Stroke Rekindles Fears of Kurdish/Arab Split

·         Is the End Near in Damascus

·         Fixing Afghanistan

·         Lebanon's Stagnation

·         Palestinian Rockets versus Israeli Missiles in the Second Gaza War

·         Stabilizing Yemen's Government

·         Syria's Instability Reaches Lebanon

White House

·         National Drug Control Strategy: Data Supplement 2012 

·         National Strategy for Information Sharing and Safeguarding