Friday's Miscellany 05-03-2013

38 North 

·         How North Korea Evades Financial Sanctions

·         Start-Up of North Korean Experimental Light Water Reactor Could Begin by Mid-2013 if Fuel is Available

AEI Iran Tracker

·         Iranian Strategy in Syria

 Afghanistan Analysts Network

·         Is the Taleban Insurgency a Holy or an Unholy War? An Afghan-Pakistani Ulema Debate

·         Legalities of the Post-2014 Landscape: TheUS-Afghan Bilateral Security Agreement

·         Over-promising, Under-delivering: The Outcome of the Afghanistan Conference in Kazakhstan

Air Force STSC

·         CrossTalk, The Journal of Defense Software Engineering, May/June 2013, v. 26, no. 3

o    A Lean Approach to Scheduling Systems Engineering Resources

o    Scaling Agile Development

o    Uncomfortable With Agile

o    Architecting for Large Scale Agile Software Development: A Risk-Driven Approach

o    Function Points, Use Case Points, Story Points: Observations From a Case Study

o    International Systems and Software Engineering Standards for Very Small Entities

Air University

·         Air & Space Power Journal, May-June 2013, v. 27, no 3 

o    A Range-Balanced Force: An Alternate Force Structure Adapted to New Defense Priorities

o    Nowhere to Hide: The Growing Threat to Air Bases

o    Lt Gen Frank Andrews and the Role of Airpower in Hemispheric Security

o    Realizing Operational Planning and Assessment in the Twenty-First-Century Air Operations Center: How a Refined Planning Construct and Semantic Technologies Can Enable Delivery of the AOC’s Last Unsupported Functions (Part 2)

o    Tanker Acquisition: A Systems Engineering Perspective

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Lebanon Seeking National Unity Government for Sectarian Tension

·         New Balances The Army’s Exit from The Political Equation in Yemen

·         Zigzag Diplomacy: Ethiopian-Qatari DiplomaticRelations and their Implications

American Academy of Arts & Sciences

·         ARISE II: Unleashing America’s Research & Innovation Enterprise

American Peace Society

·         World Affairs Journal, May-June  2013

o    Fractured Continent: The Turmoil and Promise of Latin America

o    Pollution in China: The Business of Bad Air

o    India: Almost a Miracle

o    Syria, Iran, and Kurdish Independence

o    Afghanistan’s Threatened Treasures

o    Historical Fiction: China’s South China Sea Claims

o    The Great War, Reconsidered

o    Behind the Curtain: Stalin’s Plan Almost Worked

Amnesty International

·         Sri Lanka’s Assault on Dissent 

·         Turkey—National Authorities and the International Community Must Act in Partnership to Meet the Needs of Syrian Refugees

Armed Forces Journal

·         AFJ, May 2013

o    Back to Reality

o    Rebuilding Defense Around SOF

o    In Yemen, an Adversary Adapts

o    Malice in Wonderstan

o    The Pit and the Pendulum

o    Conundrum in the Sahel

o    Print When Ready, Gridley

Arms Control Association

·         Assessing Progress on Nuclear Nonproliferation and Disarmament—2010-2013 Report Card, Updated 

Army Combined Arms Center

·         Military Review, May-June 2013,v.  93, no. 3

o    The Imaginary Army Ethic: A Call for Articulating a Real Foundation for our Profession

o    Improving the Leader Development Experience in Army Units

o    Professionalism and the Officer Personnel Management System

o    Early Mistakes with Security Forces Advisory Teams in Afghanistan

o    To Make Army PME Distance Learning Work, Make It Social

o    The Non-neutrality of Technology: Pitfalls of Network-Enabled Operations

o    The Human Shield in Islamic Jurisprudence

o    Purpose in Mission Design: Understanding the Four Kinds of Operational Approach

o    Alternate Perspectives: Trying to Think from the Other Side of the Hill

o    INSIGHTS: King No More [field artillery]

o    INSIGHTS: Promoting Critical Thought: A Response to the Center of Army Leadership’s Rebuttal to “Empirically Based Leadership”

Arthur D. Simons Center

·         IAS-002 (April 2013) Internal Security Forces: Their Capability, Legitimacy and Effect on Internal Violence

Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)

·         Disaster Risk Management in Asia and the Pacific: Issues Paper

Australian Department of Defence

·         Defence White Paper 2013

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Mexican Politics Could Constrain U.S.Influence on Security

·         Risk-intelligent Governance in the Age of Cyberthreats

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

·         A Fog of Myths about North Korea

Bipartisan Policy Center

·         U.S.-Turkish Cooperation Toward a Post-Assad Syria

Brookings Institute

·         Afghanistan Index: Tracking Progress and Security in Post-9/11 Afghanistan [updated April26, 2013]

·         Becoming a Techno-Industrial Power—Chinese Science and Technology Policy 

·         The Final Countdown: Prospects for Ending Extreme Poverty by 2030 (Interactive)

·         You Can Never Have Too Much Money, New Research Shows

Canada National Defence, Chief of the Air Staff

·         Royal Canadian Air Force Journal, v. 2, no. 1Winter 2013

o    The Crucible for Change: Defence Spending in Debert Nova Scotia, during World War II

o    Targeting in Irregular Warfare: How Is It Different?

o    The Relevance of Manned, Fixed-Wing Aircraft in the Provision of ISR and C2 Support

o    Building a Balance Air Force

o    Gaining Perspective on Aviation Fatigue: Flying Fatigued—What Does It Mean for You?

o    Saving NATO with Airpower

Canadian Defense & Foreign Affairs Institute

·         West African Canaries in the Gold Mine—Investment Outlook and Challenges for Burkina Faso & Mali

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         China's Military & The U.S.-Japan Alliance in 2030

Caspian Research Institute

·         Azerbaijan-Iran Dispute Enters HistoricalTerritory

Center for American Progress (CAP)

·         Disastrous Spending: Federal Disaster-Relief Expenditures Rise amid More Extreme Weather 

·         The Terror Gap

Center for Immigration Studies (CIS)

·         Are There Really Jobs Americans Won’t Do?: A Detailed Look at Immigrant and Native Employment Across Occupations

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         2013 Retirement Choices 

·         The Israeli “Nuclear Alert” of 1973

·         Retirement Choice—2013 

Center for a New American Security

·         U.S. Military and the Asia “Rebalance” 

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Lashkar-e-Taiba: Local Organisation, Global Ambitions

·         Nagorno-Karabakh: Obstacles to a Negotiated Settlement

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Anti-Corruption Efforts in Global Development 

·         Beyond the Last War: Balancing Ground Forces and Future Challenges Risk in USCENTCOM and USPACOM 

·         The Changing Landscape of Global Health Diplomacy

·         China Reaches Out to India on Afghanistan

·         Defense Cuts, Sequestration, and the U.S.Defense Budget

·         DIIG Current Issues No. 32: A Reality Check for the U.S. Semiconductor Industrial Base 

·         PacNet #29 - Does ChinaHave a Strategy? Modern China or Dystopia: Alternate Futures?

·         PacNet #30 - Australia and Air-Sea Battle

·         The Park Geun-hye Administration's Foreign and Security Policy Challenges

·         Realizing the Potential of U.S.Unconventional Natural Gas  

·         Southeast Asia from the Corner of 18th & K Streets: Getting Asia Right: Forget The "Pivot"

·         Thoughts from the Chairman: North Korea: Defining the Danger and the Way Out

·         Workshop on South Korea as a Responsible Nuclear Supplier 

Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS)

·         EU Migration Policy after the Arab Spring:The Pitfalls of Home Affairs Diplomacy

·         The Evolving Integration in East Asia - Too Many Reservations?

·         Facilitated Dialogue in the Balkans Vindicates the EEAS

·         Harmonising Corporate Taxation in the EU –Still a Long Way to Go

Chatham House

·         China's New Leadership: Approaches to International Affairs

·         Iraq Ten Years On

·         Syria: International Responses to a Growing Crisis

·         Turkey and the Horn of Africa: Emerging Interests and Relations

Combat Studies Institute Press

·         Victory Starts Here: A 40-year History of the US Army Training and Doctrine Command

Combatting Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         CTC Sentinel, April 2013,v. 6, no. 4 

o    Hizb Allah Resurrected: The Party of God’s Return to Tradecraft

o    The Sinaloa Federation’s International Presence

o    Boko Haram: Reversals and Retrenchment

o    The Salafist Temptation: The Radicalization of Tunisia’s Post-Revolution Youth

o    Rethinking Counterinsurgency in Somalia

o    France: A New Hard Line on Kidnappings?

o    Recent Highlights in Terrorist Activity

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         How CBO Would Analyze the Economic Effects of Proposals to Make Major Changes in Immigration Policy

·         Status of Discretionary Appropriations: FY2013 House

·         Status of Discretionary Appropriations: FY2013 Senate

Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

·         Cybersecurity and Internet Governance 

·         U.S. Ballistic Missile Defense

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         DoD Directive 3600.01, Information Operations (IO), May 2, 2013

·         Military and Security Developments Involvingt he Democratic People’s Republic of Korea

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2013-073   Use of Defense Logistics Agency Excess Parts for High Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicle Depot Repairs Will Reduce Costs

·         DODIG-2013-075  Improvements Needed in U.S. Special Operations Command Global Battlestaff and Program Support Contract Oversight

·         DODIG-2013-076  Examination of Army Management's Assertion for Existence and Completeness of Operating Materials and Supplies Quick Win Assets

Department of State

·         Background Briefing on the Administration's Policies Toward Burma Sanctions

East-West Center

·         Can a Growing Services Sector Renew Asia's Economic Growth?

·         Conflict Prevention Urgent for the Senkaku Conundrum

·         How Mobile Is the Footloose Industry? The Case of the Notebook PC Industry in China

·         Promoting Standards Harmonization in the Fight Against Climate Change

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         What Does the Gulf Think About the Arab Awakening?

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Economic Governance: Helping European Healthcare Systems to Deliver Better Health and Wealth?

·         Serving the Citizens? Consular Role of the EEAS Grows in Small Steps

·         Strong Attack Against the Freedom of Movement of EU Citizens: Turning Back the Clock

·         Think Global - Act European IV Thinking Strategically About the EU's External Action

 

Enough Project

·         Hidden in Plain Sight—Sudan’s Harboring ofthe LRA in the Kafia Kingi Enclave, 2009-2013

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Detecting the Radicalization and Recruitment of the Boston Bombers 

·         Russia and the Boston Bombings

·         Understanding Afghan Insurgents: Motivations, Goals, and the Reconciliation and Reintegration Process  

FutureLab Europe

·         Europe’s Lost Generation?

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         The Third World, Global Islam and Pragmatism:The Making of Iranian Foreign Policy

The German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         The Democratic Disconnect: Citizenship and Accountability in the Transatlantic Community

·         The Difficult Case for British Membership in the EU

·         Syria and Iraq ― Convergence and Divergence in U.S.-Turkish Assessments

Global ECCO Project

·         Combating Terrorism Exchange (CTX), May 2013, v. 3, no. 2   

o    Al-Sahawa: An Awakening in Al Qaim

o    Inside Anbar

o    Maoist Insurgency in India: Emerging Vulnerabilities

o    The U.S.–Yemeni Joint Counterterrorism Exercises: The Other Side of the COIN

o    MAJ Nils N. French, Canadian Army

o    How Can Leaders Maintain Ethical Command Climates?

o    Zero F*&a%#!@G Thirty

o    Painting Guerrillas or Guerrilla Painting?

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         CMS: Activities, Staffing, and Funding for the Center for Strategic Planning. GAO-13-377R 

·         Federal Employees' Compensation Act: Case Examples Illustrate Vulnerabilities That Could Result in Improper Payments or Overlapping Benefits. GAO-13-386

·         National Preparedness: Efforts to Address the Medical Needs of Children in a Chemical, Biological, Radiological, or Nuclear Incident. GAO-13-438

·         Security Force Assistance: More Detailed Planning and Improved Access to Information Needed to Guide Efforts of Advisor Teams in Afghanistan. GAO-13-381

·         State and Local Governments' Fiscal Outlook: April 2013 Update. GAO-13-546SP

·         Toxic Substances: EPA Has Increased Efforts to Assess and Control Chemicals but Could Strengthen Its Approach. GAO-13-249

Government of France

·         Defense White Paper—International and Strategic Evolutions Faced by France

Heritage Foundation

·         Beyond BRAC: Global Defense Infrastructure for the 21st Century

·         Debt and Growth in a Time of Controversy

·         Red Tape Rising: Regulation in Obama’s First Term

·         Seven Costly Sins of the Water Resources Development Act of 2013

·         Tariff Reform Needed to Boost the U.S. Economy

·         U.S. Should Oppose Return to U.N. Peace Enforcement

·         Syria's Chemical Weapons: U.S. Should Engage Syria's Opposition to Defuse Threat

·         Three Key Questions for a New USTR

Human Rights Watch

·         Raised on the Registry:  The Irreparable Harm of Placing Children on Sex Offender Registries in the US

Institute for Defense Studies & Analyses (ISDA)

·         Examining the Prospects of South Korea “Going Nuclear”

·         India-China Relations: A New Paradigm

·         Significance of Japan-Taiwan Fishery Pact

·         Water Sector in Pakistan: Policy, Politics, Management

Institute for Security Studies (ISS)

·         Assessing the Vulnerability of Kenyan Youths to Radicalisation and Extremism

·         Economie Politique des Conflits au Nord-Mali/ The Political Economy of Conflicts in Northern Mali

Institute for the Study of War

·         2013 Iraq Update #18B: Protesters Divided asKurds Hand Maliki A Lifeline

·         2013 Iraq Update #18: Maliki Continues toTarget Protesters and Calls for Majority Rule

·         2013 Iraq Update #17B: Iraq On The Edge

·         2013 Iraq Update #17: Iraq’s Sunni Mobilize

·         Iranian Strategy in Syria

·         Syria Update: Implications of Chemical Weapon Use on U.S. Aid Decision

International Crisis Group

·         Blurring the Borders: Syrian Spillover Risks for Turkey

·         CrisisWatch, N°117, May2013

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Another Look at Governments’ Balance Sheets:The Role of Nonfinancial Assets

·         The Impact of Debt Sustainability and the Level of Debt on Emerging Markets Spreads

·         International Evidence on Government Supportand Risk Taking in the Banking Sector

·         Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets: Tamingthe Cycle

·         Searching for the Finance-Growth Nexus in Libya

International Relations and Security

·         Clients and Enablers

·         The Crime-Conflict Nexus: Warlords and Pseudo-States

·         Introduction: A World of Thieves and Warriors

·         Nationalizing Villainy: Kleptocracies and State Crime

·         US and Russia Join Forces to Fight Drug Crisis

·         What Is to Be Done?

Jamestown Foundation

·         Terrorism Monitor, May 2, 2013., v. 11, no. 9

o    War Crimes Trials in Bangladesh Create Opening for Islamist Militants

o    Yemen's Military Reforms May Not Hold the Answer to Internal Stability Questions

o    The Counter-Insurgency Role of Syria's "Popular Committees"

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         Joint Doctrine Note 1-13, Security Force Assistance, 29 April 2013

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         The Winner and Loser of North Korea’s Saber-Rattling

Long War Journal

·         Green-on-Blue Attacks in Afghanistan: The Data [updated May 4, 2013]

Macaulay-Brown Inc.

·         Trusted Computation Through Biologically Inspired Processes - White Paper

National Bureau of Asian Research

·         The State of Cooperation in the East China Sea

National Threat Initiative (NTI)

·         UNSCR 1540 Resource Collection

Naval War College

·         Naval War College Review, Summer 2013, v. 66, no. 3

o    Marching toward the Sweet Spot: Options for the U.S. Marine Corps in a Time of Austerity

o    Smart Defense: Brave New Approach or Deja Vu?

o    Toward "Land" or toward "Sea"? 

o    Adjudication: The Diabolus in Machina of War Gaming

o    The Gaza Flotilla Incident and the Modern Law of Blockade

o    The Type 45 Daring-Class Destroyer: How Project Management Problems Led to Fewer Ships

o    The Other Ultra: Signal Intelligence and the Battle to Supply Rommel's Attack toward Suez

o    Stowaway Soldier, Camouflage in a Khaki World: Creating a Single Culture of Trust from Distinct Service Cultures (Commentary)

Norwegian Institute of International Affairs

·         Market Specific Fixed and Sunk Export Costs:The Impact of Learning and Spillovers

Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre

·         Triangular Co-operation for Government Capacity Development in South Sudan

·         Yemen’s Domestic and Regional Politics

Oxford Research Group

·         North Korea: Taking into Account the View from Pyongyang

Peacekeeping & Stability Operations Institute

·         Peace & Stability Operations Journal Online, April 2013, v. 3, no. 3

o    2013 Unified Peace & Stability Operations Training and Education and Integration & Exercise Workshop

o    Stability Operations: Policy and Doctrine Awaiting Execution

o    Personal Contact in Security Cooperation: Towards Guard Dogs, Not Wolves

o    Socio-Cultural Analysis at the Combatant Command

PeaceWomen Project

·         Women, Peace and Security: Sexual Violence in Conflict and Sanctions

 Pew Research Center for the People & the Press

·         Modest Support for Military Force if Syria Used Chemical Weapons

·         Most Expect 'Occasional Acts of Terrorism' in the Future

Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life

·         The World’s Muslims: Religion, Politics and Society

Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM)

·         Democratic Opposition Alone Will Not Bring Democracy to Egypt

Political Economy Research Institute (PERI)

·         Demand, Production, and the Determinants of Distribution: A Caveat on “Wage-Led Growth”

·         Is Inflation Targeting Operative in an Open Economy Setting?

Portuguese Institute of International Relations and Security

·         Rajaram Panda, "Japan's ASEAN Diplomacyunder Abe-II" (IPRIS Viewpoints, No. 122, April 2013)

Rand

·         Assessing Aegis Program Transition to an Open-Architecture Model

·         Can Economic Openness Inspire Better Corporate Governance? An Exploration of the Link between Openness and Corporate Governance based on the Asian Experience

·         A Computational Model of Public Support for Insurgency and Terrorism: A Prototype for More-General Social-Science Modeling

·         Facilitating Information Sharing Across the International Space Community: Lessons from Behavioral Science

·         Limiting the Potential for Racial Profiling in State and Local Police Enforcement of Immigration Laws

·         Overseas Basing of U.S. Military Forces: An Assessment of Relative Costs and Strategic Benefits

·         Providing for the Casualties of War: The American Experience Through World War II

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·         A Return to East of Suez?  UK Military Deployment to the Gulf

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         Enhancing Global and Regional Mechanisms for Conflict Management and Resolution

·         Iran: How Intelligence and Policy Intersect

·         A National Security Imperative: ProtectingS ingapore Businesses from Cyber-Espionage

·         A New Containment-Policy The Curbing of War and Violent Conflict in World Society

Security & Defense Agenda

·         Afghanistan: The Prospects and Challenges Ahead

Small Wars Journal

·         The Ansar of Yemen: The Huthis and al-Qaeda

·         The Horizon Framework: Bringing Time Into the Assessment of Counterinsurgency Warfare 

·         Iraqi Provincial Elections: Iraq’s Political Pulse

·         Social Banditry and the Public Persona of Joaquín “El Chapo” Guzmán: Implications for Information Operations in Guatemala

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         April 2013 Quarterly Report to Congress

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         China's Arctic Aspirations

·         The Global Market in Natural Uranium: From Proliferation Risk to Non-Proliferation Opportunity

Strategic Studies Institute (SSI)

·         Cyber Infrastructure Protection: Vol. II

Transatlantic Academy

·         The Democratic Disconnect: Citizenship andA ccountability in the Transatlantic Community

Transnational Institute

·         Political Reform in Burma/Myanmar and Consequences for Ethnic Conflict

United States Commission on International Religious Freedom (USCIRF)

·         2013 United States Commission on International Religious Freedom Annual Report

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Atrocity Prevention at the State Level

·         Regional Politics and the Prospects for Stability in Afghanistan

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Hezbollah's Criminal Network Expanding in Size, Scope and Savvy

·         Hizb Allah Resurrected: The Party of God's Return to Tradecraft 

·         No 'Happy Easter': The Muslim Brotherhood'sB izarre Religious Intolerance 

·         Stalled Arab Peace Initiative Reaffirmed 

·         Tempered Islamism

·         Turkey's Foreign Policy Gambit

Wilson Center

·         U.S. Firearms Trafficking to Guatemala and Mexico: A Working Paper

DOD report to Congress - Military & Security Developments in North Korea

As required by the NDAA for FY 2012 - DOD released this report today
"Military and Security Developments Involving the Democratic People's Republic of Korea"

"Section 1236 of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2012, Public Law 112-81, provides that the Secretary of Defense shall submit a report “in both classified and unclassified form, on the current and future military power of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea” (DPRK). The report shall address an assessment of the security situation on the Korean Peninsula, the goals and factors shaping North Korean security strategy and military strategy, trends in North Korean security, an assessment of North Korea’s regional security objectives, including an assessment of the North Korean military’s capabilities, developments in North Korean military doctrine and training, an assessment of North Korea’s proliferation activities, and other military security developments."

The related press release can be found at here.