Friday's Miscellany 06-13-2025

 38 North

• North Korea’s Failed Ship Launch: Failure or a Step Toward Progress? 
• North Korea’s Health App Offers Medicines on Demand 
• A ‘Pragmatic’ Foreign Policy Agenda: What’s Next for South Korea’s New President? 
• Quick Take: Damaged North Korean Destroyer Could Be Ready for Ceremonial Relaunch 
• Yongbyon Nuclear Scientific Research Center: A Suspected New Enrichment Facility and Dismantlement of 50 MWe Reactor 

 Africa Center for Strategic Studies

• China Widening Its Influence in Africa Through Expanded Security Engagements 

 American Chamber of Commerce in Taiwan

• 2025 Taiwan White Paper 

 American Enterprise Institute (AEI)

• Defense Strategy and the Decision Drivers of Force Structure and Posture 

 Amnesty International

• Democratic Republic of Congo:  25 Years Without Justice for the Six-Day War in Kisangani 

 Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

• Hong Kong's Financial Evolution: China's Bid to Shape Global Capital Flows 

 Atlantic Council

• Building for Tomorrow: Preparing US Industry to Compete in a Lower-Carbon Global Economy 
• Energy Strategy across the Arabian Sea and Indian Ocean 
• How Japanese Economic Statecraft Has Shifted from Promotion to Protection 
• Keeping China at Bay and Critical Minerals Stocked:  The Case for U.S.-Africa Defense Collaboration 
• Mapping China’s Strategy for Rare Earths Dominance 
• Marine Energy: Harnessing the Power of the Atlantic 
• Reprogramming the Future: The Specialized Semiconductors Reshaping the Global Supply Chain 
• Why Congress must reauthorize the US Development Finance Corporation 

 Bruegel

• Ten Challenges Facing China’s Economy 

 California. Office of the Governor

• Governor Newsom’s Address to California: Democracy at a Crossroads 

 Canada Office of the Auditor General

• Delivering Canada's Future Fighter Jet Capability 

 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

• The Life of the Party:  Past and Present Constraints on the Future of the Chinese Communist Party 

 Cato Institute

• Opportunity Costs of State and Local AI Regulation 

 Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

• Countering AI Chip Smuggling Has Become a National Security Priority:  An Updated Playbook for Preventing AI Chip Smuggling to the PRC 

 Center for Climate & Security (CCS)

• Energy Transitions and Ecological Security Risks 
• Military Response to Climate Hazards (MiRCH) Tracker: February-May 2025 Update 
• Occupations and Ecological (In)Security 

 Center for Global Development (CGD)

• The Belt and Road Trilemma: The Future of China’s Role in International Development Finance 

 Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET)

• Advanced Space Technologies: Challenges and Opportunities for U.S. National Security 
• Opportunities in Open Science, Metascience, and Artificial Intelligence 

 Center for Security Studies (CSS)

• Belarus Analytical Digest
• No. 002: State Repression in Belarus 
• Russian Analytical Digest
• No. 328: Russian Space Sector 

 Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS)

• Australia Doubles Down on Southeast Asia 
• Building a Brain of the Army Through Professional Military Education 
• Building a New Market to Counter Chinese Mineral Market Manipulation 
• Canada May Be the United States’ Best Hope for Minerals Security 
• China’s Advance in Colombia in the Time of Gustavo Petro 
• Don’t Miss the Boat:  Considerations for U.S.-South Korea Maritime Cooperation 
• Gains from Digital Services Imports in Japan: A Case for Open Digital Trade 
• Illicit Innovation:  Latin America Is Not Prepared to Fight Criminal Drones 
• Is China’s New London “Super Embassy” a Risk to National Security? 
• The U.S.-China Science and Technology Cooperation Agreement Is Not Yet Obsolete 
• What Do the Israeli Strikes Mean for Iran’s Nuclear Program? 
• White House Executive Orders Target Ambitious Nuclear Deployment in the United States and Abroad 

 Centre for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS)

• Poland’s Security and Turkey: Apart and Yet Together 

 Centre for European Reform (CER)

• The Case for Using the Anti-Coercion Instrument against Russia 
• Elections in Poland and Romania: What Do the Results Mean for Europe? 

 Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

• How Central Banks Are Shaping the Future of Digital Currencies 
• The Quadripolar World: Understanding Twenty-First-Century Geopolitics 
• When the Facts Change: The Future of the Global Monetary System 

 Chatham House

• Why Peacebuilding Fails and What to Do About It: Evidence from Conflict Economies in the Middle East and Africa 

 China Aerospace Studies Institute (CASI)

• China’s Lunar Space Situational Awareness—An Update 

 Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• Towards Green Industrial Partnerships 

 College of Europe

• Beyond Temporariness: Policy Options for Ukrainians Under EU Temporary Protection in 2025 

 Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

• Availability, Use, and Operating and Support Costs of F-35 Fighter Aircraft   
• Distributional Effects of H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act 
• Effects on Deficits and the Debt of Enacting H.R. 1 and of Making Certain Tax Policies in H.R. 1 Permanent 
• How H.R. 1, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, Would Affect the Distribution of Resources Available to Households 

 Department of Homeland Security Inspector General

• OIG-25-25 Coast Guard Missed Opportunities to Interdict Foreign Fishing Vessels Suspected of Illegally Fishing in U.S. Waters 
• OIG-25-26 FEMA Contributed to the National Drug Control Strategy but Could Benefit from Improved Reporting 

 Department of State Inspector General

• AUD-GEER-25-18 Audit of the Department of State’s Monitoring of Anti-Corruption Programs and Activities in Central and Eastern Europe 

 Egmont: The Royal Institute for International Relations

• 2025: A Year of Challenges 

 Energy Information Administration (EIA)

• Amid Regional Conflict, the Strait of Hormuz Remains Critical Oil Chokepoint 
• Gulf of America [Mexico] Oil and Natural Gas Production Expected to Remain Stable through 2026 
• Ukraine Country Analysis Brief 

 EU Joint Research Centre (JRC)

• Generative AI Outlook Report: Exploring the Intersection of Technology, Society and Policy  

 European Council on Foreign Relations

• The kids Are All Right: What Germany’s Conservative Turn Means for Europe 
• Rise to the Challengers: Europe’s Populist Parties and Its Foreign Policy Future 

 European Network for Economic and Fiscal Policy Research (EconPol)

• The Climate Is Changing – Will We? Weatherproofing the Future 

 European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)

• Plugging the Gap: How Europe Can Keep Ukraine Supplied with the Means to Defend Itself 

 European Values

• EU and NATO Decision-Making During a Potential Joint Russian and Chinese Strategic Escalation 
• Simulations Report: Chinese Quarantine of Taiwan Resulting in European Paralysis 
• TikTok: A Tool for Cognitive Warfare? 

 EUROPOL

• Steal, Deal and Repeat - How Cybercriminals Trade and Exploit Your Data – Internet Organised Crime Threat Assessment 2025 

 Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

• Russia’s Use of the Instruments of Statecraft in the Indo-Pacific 

 French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales) (IFRI)

• The Hunt for Economic Security: The Role of Navies in Deterring Threats to the Maritime Economy 

 German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

• Enhancing EU-NATO Cooperation in Preparedness and Critical Infrastructure Protection 

 Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime

• Monitoring Online Illegal Wildlife Trade: Focus on the Maritime and Marine Dimensions 
• Trouble at Home: Russia's Looming Demobilization Challenge  

 Global Network on Extremism & Technology (GNET)

• Mapping the Money Trail: The Evolution of Terrorist Financing Networks in Indonesia 
• Prompted to Harm: Analysing the Pirkkala School Stabbing and Its Digital Manifesto 

 Global Public Policy Institute (GPPI)

• Climate Negotiations Under Scrutiny: Is UNFCCC Decision-Making Up to the Challenge? 
• Regulating Cyberspace: UN Consensus-Building in a Fragmented Digital World 
• Revitalising and Reforming the World Trade Organization in an Age of Geopolitics 

 Global Research Institute - William and Mary

• Snap Polls Dashboard 
• Spring 2025 Snap Poll XXII: The First 100 Days of the Trump Administration 

 Global Taiwan Institute

• Global Taiwan Brief 2025, v. 10, no.11 
• Silent Exercises, Escalating Tactics: How the CCP’s Evolving Strategy Shapes Taiwan’s Public Sentiment
• PRC ID Cards and Hybrid Warfare: The Accumulated Impact on Taiwan and Potential Countermeasures
• Taiwan’s Enduring Controversies Over Abortion Laws
• China’s Undersea Cable Sabotage and Taiwan’s Digital Vulnerabilities
• What Taiwan Needs in Pope Leo XIV: A Test of Moral Courage

 Government Accountability Office (GAO)

• Cybersecurity: Network Monitoring Program Needs Further Guidance and Actions GAO-25-107470 
• Defense Acquisition Reform: Persistent Challenges Require New Iterative Approaches to Delivering Capability with Speed GAO-25-108528 
• Defense Production Act: Information Sharing Needed to Improve Use of Authorities GAO-25-107688 
• Defense Production Act: Use and Challenges from Fiscal Years 2018 to 2024 GAO-25-108497 
• Fraud in Federal Programs: FinCEN Should Take Steps to Improve the Ability of Inspectors General to Determine Beneficial Owners of Companies [Reissued with revisions on Jun. 9, 2025] GAO-25-107143 
• IT Systems Annual Assessment: DOD Needs to Improve Performance Reporting and Cybersecurity Planning GAO-25-107649 
• Maritime Security: Actions Needed to Address Coordination and Operational Challenges Hindering Federal Efforts GAO-25-108525 
• Priority Open Recommendations: Department of Defense GAO-25-108042 
• Trans-Alaska Pipeline: Clarifying the Roles of Joint Pipeline Office Agencies Would Enhance Safety Oversight GAO-25-107390 
• Ukraine: DOE Could Better Assess Fraud Risks and Formalize Its Transition Plans for Nuclear Security and Safety Efforts GAO-25-108444 
• Weapon Systems Annual Assessment: DOD Leaders Should Ensure That Newer Programs Are Structured for Speed and Innovation GAO-25-107569 

 Hague Centre for Strategic Studies  (HCSS)

• Securing the Digital Backbone: NATO’s Quest for Interoperability in the Age of Emerging Disruptive Technologies 

 Henry L. Stimson Center

• The End of American Internationalism? 

 Henley Putnam University

• Journal of Strategic Security, 2025, v. 18, no. 2 
• Terrorism and Counterterrorism in the Taliban’s Afghanistan
• Afghan Generational Radicalization
• From Uncertainty to Strategic Failure: U.S. Military Interventions and the Complexity of Nation-Building in Afghanistan
• Afghanistan: Consolidation of Power Under the Taliban, Challenges and Sustainability
• Learning from Afghanistan: The Futility of Occupation in Nation-Building
• From Nation-Building to Collapse: Analyzing Afghanistan’s 2021 Fall and the Geopolitical Entropies of U.S. Withdrawal
• Our Knowledge of the Taliban as Guide for US Policy
• Taliban 1.0 and 2.0 in Afghanistan: Same Policies, Persistent Vision
• Afghanistan: Taliban’s Second Chance and RED Strategy
• China-Taliban Security Ties: A Reimagining of South Asia's Security Discourse
• Navigating Transit Governance: WTO Rules and UNCLOS with a Focus on Nepal and Afghanistan
• U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan and Realignment of Eurasian Rival Powers
• Human Security and Afghan Refugee Resettlement in the US: A Case Study of Camp Atterbury
• Reliance on Local Contractors and Messy Withdrawals: Lessons from Afghanistan
• Afghanistan, Wargaming, and Human Behavior

 Henry Jackson Society

• China’s Use of AI and its Negative Impact on the World 

 Hudson Institute

• Deals, Deadlocks, and Deterrence: Scenarios for Renewed U.S.–North Korea Diplomacy 
• How Israel’s Operation Rising Lion Dismantled Iran from Within: A Case Study in the Art of Deception 

 Human Rights Watch

• ‘A Conspiracy to Grab the Land’: Exploiting Pakistan’s Blasphemy Laws for Blackmail and Profit 

 Information Technology & Innovation Foundation (ITIF)

• Blocking Access to Foreign Pirate Sites: A Long-Overdue Task for Congress 

 Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

• Protecting Critical Infrastructure Through Prosecution: Appraising Deterrence Under Federal Criminal Law 

 Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

• Evolving Military Roles in Cyberspace: A Five Nation Perspective 
• India’s Coastal Security Construct – A Holistic Security Perspective 

 Institute for National Security Studies (INSS - Israel)

• Strategic Assessment, July 2025, v. 28, no. 2 
• Why Deterrence Failed on October 7, 2023?

 Institute for Science and International Security

• Analysis of IAEA Iran Verification and Monitoring Report — May 2025 
• Is North Korea Building a New, Kangsong-Like Building at Yongbyon? 
• Post-Attack Analysis of Israel’s June 12/13 Military Attack on Iran’s Nuclear Program 

 Institute for the Study of War

• Adversary Entente Task Force Update
• June 11, 2025 
• Africa File
• June 12, 2025 Wagner Out, Africa Corps In June 12, 2025 
• Iran Update
• June 9 
• June 10 
• June 11  
• Iran Update Special Edition: Israeli Strikes on Iran
• June 12 
• June 13 
• June 14 
• June 15 
• Russian Force Generation and Technological Adaptations Update
• June 11  
• Russian Occupation Update
• June 9  
• June 12 
• Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
• June 9 
• June 10 
• June 11  
• June 12 
• June 13 
• June 14  
• June 15 
• The Strengthening China-Russia Nexus 

 Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

• Cracks in the Global Monetary Architecture 
• Digital Transformation: Aligning Italy’s Piano Mattei with African Development Priorities 
• Italy’s De-Risking Efforts in the Semiconductor Industry 
• A New Monetary Order by Creating a New Global Reserve Currency 
• Ten Years Later Is Not Too Late: The Strategic Premises of a New Nuclear Deal with Iran 

 International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)

• More or Less?  European Defense Engagement in the Indo-Pacific in the Second Trump Administration 
• Russia’s Information Confrontation Doctrine in Practice (2014–Present): Intent, Evolution and Implications 

 International Organization for Migration (IMO)

• Local Migration Governance in Ukraine: Well‑developed Areas and Opportunities for Development 
• Promising Practices in Counter-trafficking Programming in North Africa, Mauritania and the Niger 

 Italian Institute for International Political Studies

• Infrastructure Grids and Networks. The Challenges Ahead, amid Security and Efficiency 

 Jamestown Foundation

• China Brief, June 7, 2025, v. 25, no. 11 
• New Rules Advance Data-Based Governance System
• Fracturing Transatlantic Convergence, One Capital at a Time
• Taiwan’s Lai Risks DPP Factional Infighting in Bid for Control
• Experts See Risk and Reward to Integrating AI in Nuclear Weapons
• Hongmen Associations Have Links to United Front and Organized Crime
• Beijing’s Political Machine Makes Inroads in New York Politics

 Joint Special Operations University (JSOU) Press

• Fertile Ground for Extremism: JNIM's Territorial Expansion from Mali into Burkina Faso Through a PMESII-PT Lens 
• Foreseeing Inroads to Instability: JNIM’s Expansion in West Africa 

 Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

• Thinking Strategically About Risk Reduction: What Role Should It Play in a Two-Peer Security Environment? 

 Macdonald-Laurier Institute

• Empowering Maritime First Nations: Improving Treaty Rights Under the Marshall Decision 

Mercator Institute for China Studies

• Beyond Made in China 2025:  China’s Dream of Broad-Based Industrial Greatness 

 Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

• Key Considerations for Future Temporary Protection and Regularization Programs in Latin America 

 MITRE

• MITRE Response to 2025 National AI R&D Strategic Plan RFI 

 National Academies Press 

• 2024 Assessment of the DEVCOM Army Research Laboratory 
• Human and Organizational Factors in AI Risk Management: Proceedings of a Workshop 
• Reimagining Supply Chains for National Resiliency: Proceedings of a Forum 

 National Bureau of Asian Research (NBR)

• Safeguarding U.S. Companies from Unfair South Korean Competition Policies 

 National Institute for Public Policy (NIPP)

• Journal of Policy & Strategy, 2025, v. 5, no. 2 
• Deterring the New Pacing Threats: Opportunistic and Coordinated Aggression
• Thinking About Russian Nuclear Weapons Thinking
• Restoring Deterrence and Freedom of Navigation in the Red Sea: The Interaction of Regional and Foreign Actors
• The Disorderly Advent of the Tripolar Nuclear Order
• Thomas Scheber, former Director of Strike Policy and Integration, Office of the Secretary of Defense [interview]
• Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Three Years On, February 2025
• Next Steps in Homeland Missile Defense, March 2025
• Document No. 1. Statement of General Anthony Cotton, Commander, United States Strategic Command before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Strategic Forces, March 26, 2025, select excerpts
• Document No. 2. Statement of General Stephen N. Whiting, Commander, United States Space Command before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Subcommittee on Strategic Forces, March 26, 2025, select excerpts
• Document No. 3. Remarks by NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte with U.S. Vice President JD Vance in the margins of the Munich Security Conference, February 14, 2025
• Document No. 4. Remarks by Vice President James David Vance, Munich Security Conference, February 14, 2025
• Document No. 5. Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service, International Security and Estonia 2025, select excerpts
• Tailored Deterrence and Nuclear Weapons Upload 
• Why Arms Control Must Fail 

 National Security Space Association (NSSA)

• Navigating Budget Uncertainty: FY25 & FY26 Defense Funding 

 NATO Defense College

• Friends with Benefits - Assessing Russian-Chinese Military Exercises 

 Naval War College Stockton Center for International Law

• International Law Studies 2025, v. 106, issue 1 
• Cosmic Force: A Framework for Applying the Prohibition of the Use of Force in Outer Space 

 Norwegian Institute for International Affairs (NUPI)

• Germany’s Security and Defence Policies after the Zeitenwende: New Government, New Direction? 
• How Can Peacekeeping Contribute to Advancing Women, Peace and Security? 
• Riskification and the Production of Threat: A Comparison of Risk Assessments in Cybersecurity and Counter-Terrorism 

 Observer Research Foundation

• Beijing’s Middle East Playbook in a Changing Global Order 
• Global Health Diplomacy: Navigating Politics and Security 
• In the Aftermath of Operation Sindoor: Escalation, Deterrence, and India-Pakistan Strategic Stability 
• Rethinking India-Europe Trade Routes in a New Era of Connectivity 
• Taiwan-India @30: Charting a New Arc of Cooperation 
• When The Tables Turn: The Global South in an Era of Instability 

 Pew Research Center

• 6 Facts About the U.S. Military 
• Israeli Public Is Increasingly Skeptical About Lasting Peace 
• More Americans Disapprove than Approve of the job Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is Doing as U.S. Health Secretary 
• The Political Gap in Americans’ News Sources: Exploring Use of and Trust in 30 sources across U.S. Political Lines 
• News Media Tracker: How Americans Use and Trust News Sources 

 ProPublica

• Elon Musk's Demolition Crew 

 Rand

• As U.S.-China Trade Talks Continue, Europe Needs a Plan to Navigate Uncertainty 
• Automated Grading for Efficiently Evaluating the Dual-Use Biological Capabilities of Large Language Models 
• A Brief Guide to Workforce Statistics:  For Airmen and Guardians 
• Defending U.S. Military Bases Against Drones? A Recent Tabletop Exercise Explores How 
• Disbanding the PKK: Political Engagement as the Key to Ending Insurgencies 
• Evolving Threats to Critical Undersea Infrastructure:  Implications for European Security and Resilience 
• Insuring Catastrophic Cyber Risk 
• Instead of Nuclear Weapons, Give Poland a Nuclear Umbrella 
• Mitigating Emerging Human Intelligence [HUMINT] Challenges with Forecasting 
• Protecting Our Borders: Leveraging Technological Assets and Local Knowledge in Remote Communities 
• Strategies and Detection Gaps in a Game-Theoretic Model of Compute Governance 
• Ten Practical Principles for Policy and Program Analysis 
• Testing Self-Reliance: What the Trade War Reveals About China's Vulnerabilities and Power 
• U.S.-Allied Militaries Must Prepare for the Quantum Threat to Cryptography 
• U.S.-Japan Ties:  Perfect Like Before or Changing It All? 
• The Wagner Group Is Leaving Mali. But Russian Mercenaries Aren't Going Anywhere 

 Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

• Crime, Terror and Insecurity in Mozambique 

 Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS)

• The Land of Victorious Militarism – Militaristic Indoctrination in Russia 
• The Prospects of Moldova’s EU Accession With or Without a Defined Status of the Transnistrian Region /

 Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

• Climate, Peace and Security Fact Sheet: Haiti (2025) 
• Impact of Military Artificial Intelligence on Nuclear Escalation Risk 
• Security Cooperation between Japan and the Nordic States in Uncertain Times 

 Swedish Defense Research Agency

• The China Coast Guard's Militarisation and Its Operations Around the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands 

 Swedish Institute of International Affairs

• Navigating South China Sea Tensions: The Philippines and Vietnam 
• Technological Evolution, Looming Geopolitics: Embarking on 6G Standards Definition 
• Why the New Defence Boom in the EU Won’t Lead to a "European Defence Union" 

 Taylor & Francis

• African Security, 2025
• Militarisation and Political (In)Security in Contemporary Zimbabwe [open access article] 
• Civil Wars, 2025
• Rebel Victory and State Consolidation: Legacies of Networks and Aspirational Solidarity in Afghanistan in the 1990 [open access article] 
• International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence, 2025
• Fact or Fiction? UK Intelligence Agencies’ Representation in the Press [open access article] 
• Intelligence Education Made in Europe: Critical Reflections on the German Experience [open access article] 
• “Need to Know” in a Time of Crisis: The Collaboration between Romanian Secret Services and Their Homologues in the Soviet Bloc in 1956 [open access article] 
• Prospects for United Nations Strategic Intelligence [open access article] 
• Journal of Strategic Studies, 2025
• Is the Decline of War a Delusion? An Exchange Between Researchers Following the Publication of Azar Gat’s Article on the Subject [open access article] 
• Policing and Society, 2025
• Improving Police Investigation of Intimate Partner Sexual Violence: Challenges and Opportunities [open access article] 
• Institutional Racism, Inclusivity and Colour-Blindness in the Finnish Police [open access article] 
• Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 2025
• “Aren’t You Tired of Talking?” – Priming Men and Women into Violence through Gateway Organizations [open access article] 
• From Spiral to Stasis? United Kingdom Counter-Terrorism Legislation and Extreme Right-Wing Terrorism [open access article] 

 Toda Peace Institute

• Toward A ‘Reassurance Spiral’ in US-China Relations 

 TWZ

• Troubled Constellation Frigate Is Now At Least 759 Metric Tons Overweight 

 U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission

• PRC in International Organizations 

 UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

• UNODCs' Work on Drug Use Disorder Treatment and Care - Impact 

 White House

• Executive Orders
• Empowering Commonsense Wildfire Prevention and Response 
• Leading The World in Supersonic Flight 
• Regarding the Proposed Acquisition of the United States Steel Corporation by Nippon Steel Corporation 
• Presidential Memoranda
• Department of Defense Security for the Protection of Department of Homeland Security Functions 

 World Bank

• Making Refugee Self-Reliance Work: From Aid to Employment in Sub-Saharan Africa