Friday's Miscellany 04-27-2018

38 North

·         DPRK’s Closing the Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site: No, it is not a Case of Passing Off Damaged Goods

·         North Korea’s Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site: Unusual Activity Observed

·         The North Korean Parliamentary Session and Budget Report 2018:Cautious Optimism for the Summit Year

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·         African Militant Islamist Groups Again on the Rise

Air Power Development Centre

·         Three Stages of the Inter-Continental Ballistic Missile Flight

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Anatomy of Boko Haram: The Rise and Decline of a Violent Group in Nigeria

American Enterprise Institute

·         Chinese Technology Acquisition Is Not About Investing In the US

Amnesty International

·         Wrong Prescription: The Impact of Austerity Measures on the Right to Health in Spain

Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

·         Medical Surveillance Monthly Report, April  2018, v. 5, no. 4

o    Coccidioidomycosis, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2007–2017

o    CE/CME: Update: Heat illness, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2017

o    Update: Exertional rhabdomyolysis, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2013–2017

o    Update: Exertional hyponatremia, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2002–2017

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         South Korean Youths’ Perceptions of North Korea and Unification

Atlantic Council

·         Building a Smart Partnership for the Fourth Industrial Revolution

·         Iran Sanctions and the Fate of the JCPOA: What’s at Stake if President Trump Fails to Renew the Sanctions Waivers?

·         A Strategy for Deterring Russian De-Escalation Strikes

Australian National University – Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs

·         Australia and the Korean Crisis: Confronting the Limits of Influence?

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Building Pluralistic and Inclusive States Post-Arab Spring

·         In Tunisia, A Doomed Alliance

·         Tunisia's Nidaa-Ennahdha Alliance

·         Why Ennahdha has No Competition

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

·         Libya: Moving Beyond the Transitional Mood

·         Transmutation of Jihadi Organizations in the Sahel and the Regional Security Architecture

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         Erdoğan vs. the Free Press

·         International Law and WMD Attacks on Israel

·         Israel’s Nuclear and Conventional Deterrence

·         Natural Gas: An Underrated Driver of Saudi Hostility Towards Iran and Qatar

·         New Military Intelligence Chief Arrives at Critical Juncture

·         Tehran’s Dangerous Yemen Game

Brennan Center for Justice

·         Liberty & National Security: An Election Agenda for Candidates, Activists, and Legislators

Brookings

·         The Early Results of States’ Opportunity Zones are Promising, but There’s Still Room for Improvement

·         The Federal Budget Outlook: Even Crazier After All These Years

·         How Artificial Intelligence is Transforming the World

·         How New Technologies Can Enhance Anti-money Laundering Efforts and Provide Financial Access

·         How will FinTech and Digital Currencies Transform Central Banking

·         The Populist Challenge to Liberal Democracy

·         Unpacking the “Housing Shortage” Puzzle: How Does Housing Enter and Exit Supply?

Bruegel

·         Making a Reality of Europe’s Capital Markets Union

·         State Contingent Debt as Insurance for Euro-area Sovereigns

CATO Institute

·         Avoiding a Korean Calamity: Why Resolving the Dispute with Pyongyang Requires Keeping the Peace

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Soldier Protection Today

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM)

·         The EU-Tunisia Privileged Partnership - What Next?

·         The Sahel: Europe´s African Borders

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         Exploring the Utility of Memes for U.S. Government Influence Campaigns

Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS)

·         NPT Briefing Book 2018

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessment (CSBA)

·         Human-Machine Teaming for Future Ground Forces

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         PacNet #30 - The North-South Summit: Testing Pyongyang’s Sincerity

·         Peace in Korea? What You Need to Know about the Koreas Summit and the Trump-Kim Summit

·         Working Together to Protect All with Vaccines

Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)

·         Director's Diversity in Leadership Study: Year Two Executive Report

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         The EU Budget After Brexit: Reform not Revolution

·         Plugging in the British: EU Defence Policy

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Issues and Challenges in Mobilizing African Diaspora Investment

Centre for Military and Strategic Studies

·         Journal of Military and Strategic Studies, 2018, v. 18, no. 3

o    An Analysis of the French economic industrial and military mobilization in the Revolutionary and Napoleonic wars 1799-1815

o    The Ross Ellis Lecture in Military and Strategic Studies

o    The Final Allied Offensive on the Western Front in 1918

o    Operations at Arras

Chatham House

·         Foreign Ministries, SDG Diplomacy and the Private Sector

·         The political economy of Gulf investments in the Horn of Africa

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Geography of Future Water Challenges

·         Political Economy of Gulf Investments in the Horn of Africa

College of Europe

·         Between Continuity and Erosion: Three Scenarios for the Future of Transatlantic Relations

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         CTC Sentinel, April  2018, v. 11, no. 4

o    A View from the CT Foxhole: Five Years After the Boston Marathon Bombing

o    NYPD vs. Revolution Muslim: The Inside Story of the Defeat of a Local Radicalization Hub

o    The Islamic State’s Lingering Legacy among Young Men from the Mosul Area

o    Challenging the ISK Brand in Afghanistan-Pakistan: Rivalries and Divided Loyalties

o    The British Hacker Who Became the Islamic State’s Chief Terror Cybercoach: A Profile of Junaid Hussain

Conflict Armament Research

·         Islamic States Recoilless Launcher Systems

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·         Do Not Call: Combating Robocalls and Caller ID Spoofing

·         Perspectives on Reform of the CFIUS Review Process

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Grading Counterterrorism Cooperation with the GCC States

·         Mass Migration in Europe: Assimilation, Integration, and Security

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Border Security, Commerce and Travel: Commissioner McAleenan’s Vision for the Future of CBP

·         Securing Our Communities: Federal Support to High-Risk Urban Areas

·         Strengthening the Safety and Security of Our Nation: The President’s FY2019 Budget Request for the Department of Homeland Security

Congress. House. Judiciary Committee

·         Filtering Practices of Social Media Platforms

Congress. House. Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence

·         Report on Russian Active Measures [Redacted]

Congress. Senate. Armed Services Committee

·         Department of Defense Budget Posture

·         Posture of the Department of the Air Force

Congress. Senate. Commerce, Science & Transportation Committee

·         Maritime Transportation: Opportunities and Challenges

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

·         Fast Cars, Easy Money: How the Pentagon Mismanaged the Afghanistan Legacy Program

·         Johnson letter to ORR re: MS-13

·         McCaskill Ltr to ICE re Terrorist Screening

·         Mitigating America’s Cybersecurity Risk

·         Oversight of HHS and DHS Efforts to Protect Unaccompanied Alien Children from Human Trafficking and Abuse

Congress. Senate. Judiciary Committee

·         Abducted Abroad: Exploring the Plight of International Parental Child Abduction and its Effect on American Families

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Budget Outlook for 2018 to 2028 in 11 Slides

·         An Overview of The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2018 to 2028

·         CBO’s 10-Year Economic Forecast and How It Is Produced

·         How CBO Estimates the Cost of New Ships

Cost of War Project, Watson Institute

·         Environmental Rehabilitation and Global Profiteering in Wartime Iraq

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         Somali Diaspora Groups in Sweden

Department of Defense Office of Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2018-107 Expeditionary Fast Transport Capabilities

Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

·         Countering False Information on Social Media in Disasters and Emergencies: Social Media Working Group for Emergency Services and Disaster Management

Economic Research Forum (ERF)

·         The Composition of Labor Supply and its Evolution from 2010 to2016 in Jordan

·         Empirical Application of Collective Household Labour Supply Model in Iraq

·         The Evolution of Social Security in Jordan’s Labor Market: A Critical Comparison Between Pre- and Post- 2010 Social Security Reform

·         Household Asset Inequality in Turkey: How Informative is the Survey of Income and Living Conditions?

·         Syrian Refugees in Jordan: Demographics, Livelihoods, Education,and Health

Enough Project

·         Border Control from Hell: How the EU’s Migration Partnership Legitimizes Sudan’s “Militia State”

·         EuroPressure: EU Financial Leverage for Impact in South Sudan

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         Blue China: Navigating the Maritime Silk Road to Europe

European Institute of the Mediterranean

·         The Eastern Mediterranean: New Dynamics and Potential for Cooperation

·         The EU-Tunisia Privileged Partnership. What Next?

·         The Sahel: Europe´s African Borders

European Leadership Network (ELN)

·         Russia and NATO: How to Overcome Deterrence Instability?

·         Saving the JCPOA: The EU has to Work with Russia and China

European Parliament

·         Cyber-security

·         Revision of the Visa Code

European Policy Centre

·         Lebanon on the Edge

Flemish Peace Institute

·         Firearms Acquisition by Terrorists in Europe. Research Findings and Policy Recommendations of Project SAFTE

·         Triggering Terror: Illicit Gun Markets and Firearms Acquisition of Terrorist Networks in Europe

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         The Military as Peacemakers and Enforcers: Military Operations Other Than War in the 1990s

·         Moscow Rules: The Skripal Affair

·         Talking like a Nuclear State: Kim Jong-un is Going Into Summit Season with Strength

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·         Money and Mosquitoes - The Economics of Malaria in an Age of Declining Aid

·         What Can We Learn on Chinese Aid Allocation Motivations from New Available Data? A Sectorial Analysis of Chinese Aid to African Countries

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         Mind the Gap: How France and Germany Can Spearhead Joint Foreign Policy Initiatives Now

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         The EU as a Force for Peace in International Cyber Diplomacy

·         Libya: Tripoli’s Militia Cartel

·         On the Way to a Global Compact on Refugees

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Can Merkel Close the Deal?

·         The U.S.–France Special Relationship: Testing the Macron Method

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         GAO-18-241 Hanford Waste Treatment Plant: DOE Needs to Take Further Actions to Address Weaknesses in Its Quality Assurance Program

·         GAO-18-378 DOD Health Care: Defense Health Agency Should Improve Tracking of Serious Adverse Medical Events and Monitoring of Required Follow-up

·         GAO-18-498T Government Efficiency and Effectiveness: Opportunities to Reduce Fragmentation, Overlap, and Duplication and Achieve Other Financial Benefits [testimony]

·         GAO-18-506T Unaccompanied Children: DHS and HHS Have Taken Steps to Improve Transfers and Monitoring of Care, but Actions Still Needed [testimony]

·         GAO-18-512T National Preparedness: FEMA Has Taken Steps to Strengthen Grant Management, But Challenges Remain in Assessing Capabilities

·         GAO-18-520T Cybersecurity: DHS Needs to Enhance Efforts to Improve and Promote the Security of Federal and Private-Sector Networks [testimony]

Health Care Industry Cybersecurity Task Force

·         Report on Improving Cybersecurity in the Health Care Industry

Heritage Foundation

·         After the Storms: Lessons from Hurricane Response and Recovery in2017

·         Establishing a Legal Framework for Counter-Drone Technologies

·         Next Steps for U.S. Policy in Syria and Iraq

Human Rights Watch

·         “I Just Want Him to Live Like Other Jordanians”: Treatment of Non-Citizen Children of Jordanian Mothers

·         “Only Men Need Apply”: Gender Discrimination in Job Advertisements in China  

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

·         Dispelling the Fear of IT Modernization: A Realistic Approach to Justifying Legacy Modernization, Acquiring Trained Personnel, and Improving Organizational Communication

·         Facebook Poses a Massive Risk to National Security: But It’s Worse than You Think…

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         Implications of CAATSA for India’s Defence Relations with Russia and America  

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         IDA Contributions to the Soldier and Small Unit Operational Energy Program

·         Forecasting DAU Course Demand for the 4th Estate

Institute for Science and International Security

·         Correlating a Country’s Economic Output with its Level of Export Controls

Institute for Security Studies

·         Peace and Security Council Report No 101

Institute for the Study of War

·         A Way Forward in Syria

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Libya: Moving Beyond the Transitional Mood

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         The 2017 Annual Status of Education Report 1: India’s Learning Crisis

·         The Afghanistan Conundrum: The Problem it may pose for the Muslim World

·         Security and Governance in South Asia

·         Xi Jinping-Narendra Modi Meeting in Wuhan: Understanding the Chinese and Indian Motivations

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         Do We Really Understand What the Comprehensive Approach is All About in Counter-Terrorism and Counter-Radicalisation?

International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR)

·         Beyond Banking: Professor Neumann’s Pening Keynote Address at “No Money for Terror” Summit in Paris

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Financial Crises, Macroeconomic Shocks, and the Government Balance Sheet: A Panel Analysis

·         A New Strategy for Korea’s Fiscal Policy in a Low Growth Environment

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         A Poisoned Well: Lessons in Mediation from South Sudan’s Troubled Peace Process

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·         Turkey: Towards a Eurasian Shift?

Jamestown Foundation

·         China Brief, v. 18, no. 7, April 24, 2018

o    Pre-suasion: How the PRC Controls the Message on a Sino-US Trade War

o    Blinding the Enemy: How the PRC Prepares for Radar Countermeasures

o    Can China Realize Africa’s Dream of an East-West Transport Link?

o    Civil-Military Fusion and the PLA’s Pursuit of Dominance in Emerging Technologies

o    Sino-Nepali Relations—Scaling New Heights

·         Terrorism Monitor, April 34, 2017, v. 16, no. 8

o    UAE’s Divisive Strategy in Yemen

o    Tackling the Roots of Uzbek Terror

o    Jaysh al-Ayman—A ‘Local’ Threat in Kenya

JFK Special Warfare Center and School

·         Special Warfare, January -March 2018, v. 31, no. 1   

o    The Last Tactical Mile: Sustaining  Defeat-ISIS Operations in Syria

o    Anbar After ISIS

o    Tribe and State Relations in Iraq

o    The Concept of Revenge in Arab  Tribal Societies

o    Optimizing Indirect MISO: MIST-IRAQ and Advising at the Operational Level of War

o    Building Strategic Influence: The SOF Role  in Political Warfare

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         Joint Doctrine Note (JDN) 1-18, Strategy, 25 April 2018

·         Joint Pub 3-14, Space Operations, 10 April 2018

Joint Special Operations University (JSOU)

·         Complexity, Organizational Blinders,  and the SOCOM Design Way

Lawfare

·         Newly Disclosed Documents on the Five Eyes Alliance and What They Tell Us about Intelligence-Sharing Agreements

Martens Centre for European Studies

·         Filling the Void: Why the EU Must Step Up Support for Russian Civil Society

·         The US-led Missile Strikes in Syria

McAfee Advanced Threat Research

·         Analyzing Operation GhostSecret: Attack Seeks to Steal Data Worldwide

Migration Policy Institute

·         Next Steps: Implementing a Brexit Deal for UK Citizens Living in the EU-27

National Academies Press

·         Decrypting the Encryption Debate: A Framework for Decision Makers

·         Emergency Alert and Warning Systems: Current Knowledge and Future Research Direction

·         Reducing the Threat of Improvised Explosive Device Attacks by Restricting Access to Explosive Precursor Chemicals

National Security Archive

·         Gina Haspel’s CIA Torture File

NATO Defense College

·         Military Exercises: Political Messaging and Strategic Impact

NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence

·         Executive summary. Fake News: A Roadmap  

New America Foundation

·         Iraq After ISIS: What To Do Now

·         Securing Digital Dividends: Mainstreaming Cybersecurity in International Development

Nuclear Threat Initiative

·         UNSCR 1540 [Non-Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction]Resource Collection

Observer Research Foundation

·         Making India’s Sea Power Formidable and Future-ready

·         Understanding the Complexities of the Afghan Peace Process

Oxford Research Group

·         Britain’s Shadow Army: Policy Options for External Oversight of UK Special Forces

·         The Syria Attack: Motives and Consequences

Palm Center

·         DOD’s Rationale for Reinstating the Transgender Ban Is Contradicted by Evidence

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         China: Forced Technology Transfer and Theft?

·         Is Trump in a Trade War with China? An Up-to-Date Guide

·         NAFTA Termination: Legal Process in Canada and Mexico

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         Sub-Saharan African Immigrants in the U.S. Are Often More Educated Than Those in Top European Destinations

Pew Research Center Religion & Public Life

·         When Americans Say They Believe in God, What Do They Mean?  

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         The Public, the Political System and American Democracy

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         Austria in Central Europe: The Aspiration to Become a Bridge-Builder

·         Immigration and Asylum Policy Reform in France

·         Prospects for the Global Compact for Migration

·         Putting Georgia on the 2018 NATO Summit Agenda

·         Turkey’s Relations with Greece and Cyprus: Old Challenges Resurface

PONARS Eurasia

·         The Anti-Russia Surge in U.S. Politics: Finding Context

Rand

·         Charting Progress: U.S. Military Non-Medical Counseling Programs

·         Discontinuities and Distractions — Rethinking Security for the Year 2040: Findings from a RAND Corporation Workshop

·         The History and Politics of Defense Reviews

·         How Might Artificial Intelligence Affect the Risk of Nuclear War?

·         Identifying Law Enforcement Needs for Access to Digital Evidence in Remote Data Centers

·         Moving to the Unclassified: How the Intelligence Community Can Work from Unclassified Facilities

·         The Road to Zero: A Vision for Achieving Zero Roadway Deaths by2050

·         Security 2040: Perils and Promise Over the Near Horizon

·         Strengthening U.S.-ROK Relations in the New Administrations of the United States and South Korea: Findings from an October 2016 RAND Corporation Conference

·         Understanding Government Telework: An Examination of Research Literature and Practices from Government Agencies

·         What to Do with the Selective Service System? Historical Lessons and Future Posture

Recorded Future

·         ‘Soft Target: The Top 10 Vulnerabilities Used by Cybercriminals

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         Countering Anti-Access/Area Denial Challenges: Strategies and Capabilities

Small Arms Survey

·         Life-cycle Management of Ammunition (LCMA): Lessons Learned from Bosnia and Herzegovina

Small Wars Journal

·         2018 Ramadan Radicals: Revenge and Redemption - Potential Actors, Motivators, and Dates

·         Deployable Intelligence Support Element in Support of the Army Service Component Command

·         Factsheet: Chinas Territorial Stratagem - Extending Military Range & Influence through Reclamation & Occupation of the Spratly Waters,South China Sea

·         Homicide in Mexico 2007-March 2018: Continuing Epidemic of Militarized Hyper-Violence

·         Jihadi Generations: Strategies Used for Weaponizing Children (Part1)

·         Jihadi Generations: Strategies Used For Weaponizing Children (Part2)

·         Ramadan, Eid al-Fitr, and Eid al-Adha for 2018

·         Ramadan Tips for Soldiers, Police Officers, and Civilians

·         SOCNORTH 101

·         Setting the Theater: A Critical Intelligence Function

·         Suicidal Ideation Assessment Among Intelligence Professionals

·         What’s INSCOM For? A Brigade Commander’s Perspective

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

·         Infrastructure and Impacts: Strengthening Environmental and Social Safeguards

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         SIGAR 18-42-AR Afghanistan Reconstruction Trust Fund: The World Bank Needs to Improve How it Monitors Implementation, Shares Information, and Determines the Impact of Donor Contributions

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         The Challenge of Emerging Technologies to Non-proliferation Efforts: Controlling Additive Manufacturing and Intangible Transfers ofTechnology

·         The Challenge of Software and Technology Transfers to Non-proliferation Efforts: Implementing and Complying with Export Controls

Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse (TRAC)

·         Deportations Under ICE's Secure Communities Program

UK Finance

·         Staying Ahead of Cyber Crime

UK Independent Terrorism Legislation Review

·         The Westminster Bridge Terrorist Attack  22nd March 2017 Operation Classific: A Report on the Use of Terrorism Legislation  

UN Security Council Counter-Terrorism Committee

·         CTED Trends Report, March 2018: The Challenge of Returning and Relocating Foreign Terrorist Fighters: Research Perspective

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Collaborative Design in Peacebuilding: Lessons from the Central African Republic

·         The Current Situation in Nigeria: A USIP Fact Sheet

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Beyond 'Mowing the Grass': U.S. and Israeli Strategy in the Middle East

·         Between Syria and Gaza: Urgent Challenges for Israel's Security

·         Grading Counterterrorism Cooperation with the GCC States

·         How America Can Help Egypt in its War On Terror

·         Iraq Goes to the Polls: Progress and Pitfalls

·         Israel's Sinai Dilemma

·         Lebanese Hezbollah's Islamic Resistance in Syria

·         The Myth of Rising Above Sectarianism in Iraq

·         Supporting Tunisia’s Moves Toward Local Governance

·         The Syria Disaster, Seven Years In

·         Toward a More Moderate and Tolerant Islam

·         What Comes Next in Syria?

White House

·         National Security Presidential Memorandum Regarding U.S.Conventional Arms Transfer Policy

World Bank

·         Growing Smarter: Learning & Equitable Development in East Asia Pacific

·         Pathways for Peace : Inclusive Approaches to Preventing Violent Conflict