Friday's Miscellany 12-25-2015

38 North

·        A New ICBM for North Korea? 

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·        Paying Ransoms, Europe Bankrolls Qaeda Terror 

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·        Afghanistan and the U.S. Strategy to Defeat ISIS 

·        EU Strategy in Central Asia: Competition or Cooperation? 

American Enterprise Institute

·        Al Qaeda Electronic: A Sleeping Dog? 

·        San Bernardino Shooting a Terrorist Attack with al Qaeda and ISIS Footprints 

Amnesty International

·        Syria: ‘Civilian Objects were not Damaged’: Russia’s Statements on Its Attacks in Syria Unmasked 

Armament Research Services

·        Identifying & Tracing the FN Herstal FAL Rifle: Documenting Signs of Diversion in Syria and Beyond  

Asia Foundation

·        Mapping Barriers to Trade in South Asia 

Asian Development Bank

·        Asian Economic Integration Report 2015: How Can Special Economic Zones Catalyze Economic Development? 

ASUA Institute of Land Warfare

·        These Are the Drones You Are Looking For: Manned–Unmanned Teaming and the U.S. Army 

Australian National University – Strategic & Defence Studies Centre

·        The A Word: An Accomodationist Strategy for US-China Relations 

·        CSCAP Regional Security Outlook 2016 

·        East Timor Intervention: A Retrospective on INTERFET 

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·        Australia–China Cyber Relations in the Next Internet Era 

Brookings

·        Dealing with Delhi: How Culture Shapes India’s Middle East Policy 

·        Post-crisis, Community Banks are Doing Better than the Big Four by Some Measures 

·        Taiwan’s January 2016 Elections and Their Implications for Relations with China and the United States 

Bruegel

·        Matching Research and Innovation Policies in EU Countries 

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·        Sectarian Twitter Wars: Sunni-Shia Conflict and Cooperation in the Digital Age 

Center for Energy Governance and Security

·        Azerbaijan and Security in the Caucasus and the Black Sea Region  

Center for Global Development

·        Role of Industrial Policy as a Development Tool: New Evidence from the Globalization of Trade-and-Investment 

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·        Afghanistan a Year After"Transition": Losing the War at Every Level 

·        Adjusting to Low Prices: Prospects for Fossil Fuel Subsidy Reform in Oil-Producing and Exporting Countries 

·        PacNet #87 - For the US and Vietnam, a Moral and Strategic Imperative 

Centre for Security Governance

·        Police Reform in Kenya: Challenges and Opportunities 

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·        The EU as a Security Actor in Africa 

·        The New East-West Discord: Russian Objectives, Western Interests 

Council on Foreign Affairs

·        Unified Korea and the Future of the U.S.-South Korea Alliance 

Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

·        OIG 16-16: The Secret Service Did Not Identify Best Practices and Lessons Learned from the 2011 White House Shooting Incident 

·        CBP Border Security Report. Fiscal Year 2015 

EastWest Institute

·        Afghanistan Reconnected: Advocacy and Outreach Mission to Afghanistan 

European Council on Foreign Relations

·        China: Taking Stock Before the Paris Climate Conference 

European Parliamentary Research Service

·        Bridging the Digital Divide in the EU 

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·        The Problem with the Iran Nuclear Deal: It’s Not that Iran Will Violate It but that Iran Will Comply 

French Institute of International Relations

·        “Conservatism” in Russia: Political Tool or Historical Choice? 

·        Shadows on Israeli Gas Success Story: A Political and Geopolitical Risk Analysis 

FRIDE

·        Enemy of Convenience: Iran’s Fight Against Daesh 

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·        A New Episode in EU-Turkish Relations: Why so Much Bitterness? 

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·        Civilian and Contractor Workforces: Complete Information Needed to Assess DOD's Progress for Reductions and Associated Savings. GAO-16-172 

·        Defense Logistics: DOD Has Addressed Most Reporting Requirements and Continues to Refine Its Asset Visibility Strategy. GAO-16-88 

Heritage Foundation

·        2016 Index of Economic Freedom: Yet More Evidence of Free Trade’s Benefits 

·        JCT Should Not Predict Federal Reserve Actions in Dynamic Scoring 

Households in Conflict Network

·        The Impact of Violence on Individual Risk Preferences: Evidence from a Natural Experiment 

·        Masked Development: Exploring the Hidden Benefits of the Zapatista Conflict 

·        Return Migration and Economic Outcomes in the Conflict Context 

Institute for the Study of War

·        Control of Terrain in Syria: December 23, 2015 

·        Iraq Situation Report: December 15-21, 2015 

·        ISIS Sanctuary: December 21, 2015 

·        Ramadi Control Map, December 22, 2015 

·        Russia Security Update: December 15-22, 2015 

·        Russian Airstrikes in Syria: December 13 - 21, 2015 

·        S-400 Missile Radius Map 

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·        UNHRC Resolution and Sri Lanka’s ‘Domestic Mechanism’: Accountability for Human Rights Violations 

Instituto Affari Internazionali (IAI)

·        The Khartoum Process: Critical Assessment and Policy Recommendations 

Intelligence and National Security Alliance

·        Tactical Cyber Intelligence 

International Assessment and Strategy Center

·        Dangerous Nexus: Terrorism, Crime and Corruption 

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·        Foreign (Terrorist) Fighters with IS: A European Perspective 

International Centre for Defense and Security

·        Hybrid or Not: Deterring and Defeating Russia’s Ways of Warfare in the Baltics - the Case of Estonia 

International Crisis Group

·        The End of Hegemony: What Next for Venezuela? 

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·        Exiting From Fragility in sub-Saharan Africa: The Role of Fiscal Policies and Fiscal Institutions 

·        How External Factors Affect Domestic Economy: Nowcasting an Emerging Market 

·        If the Fed Acts, How Do You React? The Liftoff Effect on Capital Flows 

·        A Macro-Model Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Vietnam 

·        March Madness in Wall Street : (What) Does the Market Learn from Stress Tests? 

·        Some Misconceptions about Public Investment Efficiency and Growth 

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·        Educating Syrian Youth in Jordan: Holistic Approaches to Emergency Response 

Jamestown Foundation

·        China Brief, December 21, 2015, v. 15, no. 24  

o   Waking Up? China Moves on Environmental Issues at Paris Summit

o   China’s Draft Cybersecurity Law

o   The Latest Indication of the PLA’s Network Warfare Strategy?

o   New Tensions, Old Problems on the Sino-Indian Border

o   Mapping China’s Small Arms Trade: China’s Illicit Domestic Gun Trade

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·        Joint Pub 3-09 DOCNET Course, Joint Fire Support, December 2015 

Konrad Adenauer Foundation (Konrad Adenauer Stiftung)

·        From Wales to Warsaw: A New Normal for NATO? 

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·        2015 Australia-Papua New Guinea Emerging Leaders Dialogue: Outcomes Report 

National Academies Press

·        Strategies to Enhance Air Force Communication with Internal and External Audiences: A Workshop Report  

National Security Archive

·        The Special Newsweek Edition “DECLASSIFIED”–Even Further Declassified 

·        U.S. Cold War Nuclear Target Lists Declassified for First Time 

NATO Defense College

·        Political Consensus and Defence Preparations:Why NATO Needs a ‘Military Strategy’ 

Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability

·        US Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) Activities in Japan 1945 – 2015: A Visual Guide 

Oxfam Policy & Practice

·        Choosing to Return?  Prospects for Durable Solutions in Iraq 

·        Nepal Earthquake Six Months On: What Needs to Happen Now? 

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·        An Assessment of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement 

Rand

·        Assessment of Surface Ship Maintenance Requirements 

·        Identifying Key Workplace Stressors Affecting Twentieth Air Force: Analyses Conducted from December 2012 Through February2013 

·        Metrics to Compare Aircraft Operating and Support Costs in the Department of Defense 

Small Wars Journal

·        The Cognitive Delusions of a Top Secret Clearance 

·        Defeating the Abu Bakr al Baghdadi Gang: A Realistic Strategy 

·        Justifying Jihad: A Case Study of Al-Shabaab and Boko Haram 

·        Kurdistan: The Permanent Solution to Daesh 

·        Playing a Give-Away Game? The Undeclared Russian-Ukrainian War in Donbas 

·        The Price of Professionalization 

·        A Review of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards and Qods Force: Growing Global Presence, Links to Cartels, and Mounting Sophistication 

Strategic Studies Institute

·        Reforming U.S. Export Controls Reforms: Advancing U.S. Army Interests 

·        Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future 

Transnational Institute

·        Tax Evasion and Weapon Production: Letterbox Arms Companies in the Netherlands 

UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR)

·        UNHCR Mid-Year Trends 2015 

U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission

·        China’s Development Finance: Outbound, Inbound, and Future Trends in Financial Statecraft 

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·        Afghanistan-Pakistan Relations: The Prospect of Reviving Taliban Talks 

·        Regional Security through Inclusive Reform in the Maghreb and the Sahel 

·        Toward a Rule of Law Culture: Exploring Effective Responses to Justice and Security Challenges 

US Treasury Department

·        National Terrorist Financing Risk Assessment2015 

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·        Hezbollah's Russian Military Education in Syria  

·        Roundtable: Preserving a Path to a Two-State Solution 

·        Sanctions Relief Is Not the Key to Iran's Economy 

·        Turkey's Military Presence in Iraq: A Complex Strategic Deterrent 

White House

·        National Action Plan for Combating Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis 

·        Remarks by the President to Servicemembers 

·        Weekly Address: Merry Christmas from the President and First Lady 

Wilson Center

·        Now for Public Debt in Mexico: Policy Lessons for the Effective Oversight of State and Municipal Government Finances