Friday's Miscellany 06-26-2015

Action on Armed Violence

·         Explosive States: Monitoring Explosive Violence in 2014 

Afghanistan Analysts Network

·         Beyond Jihad and Traditionalism:Afghanistan’s New Generation of Islamic Activists 

Airport Cooperative Research Program (ACRP)

·         Improving Emergency Response at Airports 

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         African South-South Migration to a Hostile Environment 

·         Daesh in Libya: Myth or Reality? 

·         The Islamic State (IS) in Libya: Expansion by Political Crisis 

American Security Project  (ASP)

·         Potential Areas of Cooperation Between the United States and Cuba 

Analytic Services Inc.

·         Building Codes and Resilience to Natural Disasters in the Asia-Pacific 

Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

·         Medical Surveillance Monthly Report, June 2015, v. 22, no. 6 

o    Update: Accidental drownings, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2005-2014

o    Risk of mental health disorders following an initial diagnosis of postpartum depression, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 1998-2010

o    Urinary tract infections in active component U.S. Armed Forces women before and after routine screening Pap examination

o    Diarrheal and respiratory illness surveillance during US-RP Balikatan 2014

o    Deployment-related conditions of special surveillance interest

Army Combined Arms Center

·         Commander's Guide to Support Operations Among Weaponized Displaced Persons, Refugees, and Evacuees 

Asia Society

·         North Korea Inside Out: The Case for Economic Engagement

·         Vital Partnership: California and ChinaCollaborating on Clean Energy and Combating Climate Change  

Atlantic Council

·         RENMINBI ASCENDING: How China's Currency Impacts Global Markets, Foreign Policy, and Transatlantic Financial Regulation

·         Shaping the Asia-Pacific Future: Strengthening the Institutional Architecture for an Open, Rules-Based EconomicOrder

·         Tunisia: From Elected Government to EffectiveGovernance

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Can Gulf Carriers Sustain Their Rapid Growth?

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

·         Self-Inflicted Marginalization? IlliberalRussia in Search for its own Reality

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         Sanctions Against Iran: A Guide to Targets, Terms, and Timetables

·         The Next Great Emerging Market?

British American Security Information Council (BASIC)

·         Preserving the Character of the Nation: British Military Attitudes to Nuclear Weapons

Brookings

·         2015 U.S.-Islamic World Forum [event]

·         Changing China Policy: Are We in Search of Enemies?

·         Deconstructing Syria: Towards a Regionalized Strategy for a Confederal Country

·         Navigating Uncertainty: Qatar’s Response to the Global Gas Boom

·         Proximity to the Flagpole: Effective Leadership in Geographically Dispersed Organizations

·         Should the U.S. Put Boots on the Ground to Fight ISIS? [event]

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         The Asia-Pacific and the Royal Canadian Navy

·         Canada and Asia: Prosperity and Security

·         Crisis – Order – Europe: Germany Steps Up

·         Reaching the Home Stretch on Trade Deals

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Crumbling States: Security Sector Reform in Libya and Yemen

CATO Institute

·         Low-Hanging Fruit Guarded by Dragons: Reforming Regressive Regulation to Boost U.S. Economic Growth

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Enabling Decision: Shaping the National Security Council for the Next President

·         Iran’s Economic Reintegration: Sanctions Relief, Energy, and Economic Growth Under a Nuclear Agreement with Iran

Center for American Progress

·         Iran’s Economic Reintegration: Sanctions Relief, Energy, and Economic Growth Under a Nuclear Agreement with Iran 

Center for Climate and Energy Solutions

·         Options for Mobilizing Clean Energy Finance

·         President Obama's Climate Action Plan: Two Years Later 

Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA)

·         Baltic Security: “The Coming Storm"

Center for Global Development

·         Can the Wounds of War Be Healed? Experimental Evidence on Reconciliation in Sierra Leone

Center for Infrastructure Protection and Homeland Security (CIP/HS)

·         CIP Report, June 2015, v.14, no. 5  Energy Sector

Center for International & Security Studies at Maryland (CISSM)

·         Iranian Public Opinion on the Nuclear Negotiations

Center for Security Policy (CSP)

·         Poll of U.S. Muslims Reveals Ominous Levels Of Support For Islamic Supremacists’ Doctrine of Shariah, Jihad

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)

·         Are U.S. Nuclear Forces Unaffordable?

·         Maintaining the U.S. Military's Advantage in Precision Strike [slides]

·         PacNet #36 -- Putting Air Defense Identification Zones on the Radar

·         Project Atom: A Competitive Strategies Approach to Defining U.S. Nuclear Strategy and Posture for 2025–2050

·         Sustaining America’s Precision Strike Advantage [report] 

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Lessons from the Global Fund’s Reform

·         Southeast Asia from Scott Circle: Revisiting U.S. Policy toward Post-Coup Thailand  

Center for Terrorism and Security Studies

·         Perspectives on Terrorism, June 2015, v. 9, no. 3

o    How Jihadist Networks Maintain a Persistent Online Presence

o    Fatal Attraction: Western Muslimas and ISIS

o    At What Cost?  United States' Counter-Terrorism Strategy, Reputation, and Public Opinion

o    Four Questions on ISIS: A "Trend" Analysis of the Islamic State

o    The Drone Campaign against Al Qaeda and ISIS Interview with Lt. General David Deptula USAF (Ret.)

o    Bibliography: Conflict in Syria (Part 2)

o    Bibliography: Lone Wolves/Actors of Terrorism

Center on National Security

·         By the Numbers: ISIS Cases in the United States

Centre for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies

·         US-Turkey Track II Dialogue

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Britain’s EU Referendum: Cameron Cannot Please Two Audiences Any Longer

·         The Eurozone's 'Five Presidents' Report': An Assessment

·         The Four Horsemen Circling the European Council Summit

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Emerging Issues in International Trade and Investment Law

Centre for Policy Development

·         The Longest Conflict: Australia’s Climate Security Challenge       

Chatham House

·         Enhancing Engagement Between China and the EU on Resource Governance and Low-Carbon Development

·         Guidelines for Good Governance in Emerging Oil and Gas Producers

·         Mozambique to 2018: Managers, Mediators and Magnates

·         Syria’s Economy: Picking up the Pieces

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         The Case for Contact: New Challenges of Mediation with Armed Groups

·         Shifting the Donor Narrative in South Sudan

Congress. House. Armed Services Committee

·         Assuring National Security Space: Investing in American Industry to End Reliance on Russian Rocket Engines

·         The Counterterrorism Strategy Against the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL): Are We on the Right Path?

·         Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century

·         Update on Findings and Recommendations of the2014 Department of Defense Nuclear Enterprise Review

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Colombia: Peace with the FARC?

·         Is Academic Freedom Threatened by China's Influence on U.S. Universities?

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Admitting Syrian Refugees: The Intelligence Void and the Emerging Homeland Security Threat

·         DHS’ Efforts to Secure .Gov

·         Terror Threat Snapshot

Congress. House. Oversight & Government Reform Committee

·         OPM Data Breach: Part II

Congress. Senate. Commerce, Science & Transportation Committee

·         Update on the Recalls of Defective Takata Air Bags and NHTSA's Vehicle Safety Efforts

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         American Energy Exports: Opportunities For U.S. Allies and U.S. National Security

·         Evaluating Key Components of a Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action With Iran

·         Lessons Learned From Past WMD Negotiations

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         China’s Growing Energy Demand: Implications for the United States

Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

·         The Future of U.S. Trade Policy

·         Issue Guide: Iran Nuclear Talks

·         U.S. Gun Policy: Global Comparisons

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         DoD Instruction 4540.01, Use of International Airspace by U.S. Military Aircraft and for Missile and Projectile Firings, June 2, 2015

·         DoD Instruction 5000.73, Cost Analysis Guidance and Procedures, June 9, 2015

·         DoD Statistical Report on the Military Retirement System 2014 [under military retirement]

East West Center

·         How the ASEAN Economic Community Will Benefit American Companies

Economist Intelligence Unit

·         Long-term Macroeconomic Forecasts: Key Trends to 2050

Egmont Institute Royal Institute for International Relations

·         Putin in Africa

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

·         Syria Country Analysis Brief - June 2015

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         Europe’s Neighbourhood: Crisis as the New Normal
·         Responding to an Assertive Gulf

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         After a Nuclear Deal - What Next for Iranian Oil and Gas?

·         Ensuring the EU’s Future as a Security Provider - Five Recommendations for the June European Council’s Session on CSDP

European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center (ESISC)

·         Terrorist Attack of Saint-Quentin-Fallavier:The First Islamic State-style Beheading in Western Europe Demonstrates that Industrial Sites are a New Target for “Lone Wolf” Terrorists

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Between a Self-Questioning Europe, a Self-Assured Russia, and a Hapless Ukraine: How American Armed Forces Became NATO’s Foreign Legion

·         China’s “Win-Win” Development Bargain: China, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, and the International Order

·         Is the World Getting Safer -- or Not?

·         Police Forces to the Border! Hungary Comes Full Circle on Open Borders

·         Why Ukraine Struggles to Reform

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·         Financing Sustainable Development -Addressing Vulnerabilities

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         European Defense Planning and the Ukraine Crisis: Two Contrasting Views

·         The Kurds: A Channel of Russian Influence in the Middle East?

FRIDE

·         Climate Change and State Fragility in the Sahel

Fund for Peace

·         Fragile States Index 2015

German Development Institute

·         Financing Global Development: Can Foreign Direct Investments be Increased Through International Investment Agreements?

·         Financing Global Development: The Potential of Trade Finance

·         Financing Global Development: The Role of Central Banks

·         Financing Global Development: The Role of Local Currency Bond Markets in Sub-Saharan Africa

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Chemical and Biological Defense: Designated Entity Needed to Identify, Align, and Manage DOD's Infrastructure. GAO-15-257

·         Combating Terrorism: Foreign Terrorist Organization Designation Process and U.S. Agency Enforcement Actions. GAO-15-629

·         Cybersecurity: Recent Data Breaches Illustrate Need for Strong Controls across Federal Agencies. GAO-15-725T [testimony]

·         Defense Health Care: DOD Needs to Clarify Policies Related to Occupational and Environmental Health Surveillance and Monitor Risk Mitigation Activities. GAO-15-487

·         Defense Logistics: Marine Corps and Army Reset Liability Estimates. GAO-15-569R

·         DHS IT Contracting: Steps Taken to Enhance EAGLE II Small Business Opportunities, but Better Assessment Data Needed. GAO-15-551

·         Export-Import Bank: Dual-Use Export Monitoring Guidance Revised and Implemented. GAO-15-611

·         Force Structure: Preliminary Observations on Air Force A-10 Divestment. GAO-15-698R

·         Highlights of a Forum: 3D Printing: Opportunities, Challenges, and Policy Implications of Additive Manufacturing. GAO-15-505SP

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·         Collective Self-Blockade? Why the UN Climate Conference in Paris Could Fail

Heritage Foundation

·         FY 2016 House Interior and Environment Appropriations Bill: Right on Regulations, Wrong on Spending

·         Islamist Terror Plot No. 70: Congress Needs to Take Terror Threat Much More Seriously

·         Terrorist Plot No. 71: Rise in Terrorism Calls for Increased Vigilance

Human Rights Watch

·         On Their Watch: Evidence of Senior Army Officers’ Responsibility for False Positive Killings in Colombia

·         Persecuting "Evil Way" Religion: Abuses against Montagnards in Vietnam

·         Stateless at Sea: The Moken of Burma and Thailand

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         21st Century Proliferation and Tracking: Tackling Arms Proliferation in the Modern Conflict Landscape

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch:  June 25, 2015

o    African Solutions for African Problems: Still Searching

o    African Democracy Emerges from Below

·         Africa Watch:  January – March 2015

·         Affordability of Defense Acquisition Programs

·         C2 Agility: Related Hypotheses and Experimental Findings (Presentation)

·         C2 Approach, Agility, Autonomy (Presentation)

·         Cyber Insurance: Managing Cyber Risk

·         Demand for Health Insurance by Military Retirees

·         Estimating Hedonic Price Indices for Ground Vehicles (Presentation)

·         Health Care Analysis for the Military Compensation and Retirement Modernization Commission Insurance Cost Model (Presentation)

·         Hedonic Price Indices for Ground Vehicles

·         Exposure—A New Decision Metric for Selecting Effective Sets of Security Upgrades

·         Modeling Terrain Impact on Mobile Ad Hoc Networks (MANET) Connectivity

·         Predicting Disposal Costs for United States Air Force Aircraft (Presentation)

·         Research and Development Strategies for the Current and Future Medical Treatment of Radiation Casualties

·         Staffing Cyber Operations (Presentation)

·         Violent Extremist Organizations and the Electoral Cycle in Africa—A Framework for Analyzing the 2015 Tanzanian Elections

Institute for Security & Development Policy

·         U.S.-China "Dual Leadership": The Rise of a New Balance of Power in East Asia?

Institute for the Study of War

·         Iraq Situation Report:

o    June 20-22

o    June 23 - 24

o    June 25 - 26,2015

·         ISIS Counterattacks in Northern Syria

·         ISIS-Linked Regional Activity: June 2015

·         ISIS Loses Libyan Stronghold

·         Jabhat al-Nusra in Syria

·         The Regime's Offensive Campaign: Damascus and Environs

·         Ukraine Crisis Update: June 25, 2015

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         ISAS Symposium on Modi’s Visit to China

o    Paper I:Chinese Setting for Talks with India: How Beijing Thinks and Acts

o    Paper II: Maintaining the Economic Momentum

o    Paper III: Dealing With Xi: Modi’s Foreign Policy Challenge

o    Paper IV: A New Touch of Realism in Bilateral Talks

International Campaign to Ban Landmines

·         Landmines/ERW, Refugees and Displacement

International Crisis Group

·         Burkina Faso: Meeting the October Target

·         The Central Sahel: A Perfect Sandstorm

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms : A Lost Cause?

·         Avoiding Dark Corners : A Robust Monetary Policy

·         Building Resilience in Sub-Saharan Africa's Fragile States

·         Global Food Prices and Domestic Inflation :Some Cross-Country Evidence

·         Inflation-Forecast Targeting : Applying the Principle of Transparency

·         The Journey to Inflation Targeting : Easier Said than Done The Case for Transitional Arrangements along the Road

·         The Leap of the Tiger : How Malaysia Can Escape the Middle-Income Trap

·         Lower for Longer : Neutral Rates in the United States

·         Monetary Policy in India : Transmission to Bank Interest Rates

·         Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention : A Panel Approach

·         What Really Drives Public Debt : A Holistic Approach

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         Why We Fail : Obstacles to the Effective Prevention of Mass Atrocities

Jamestown Foundation

·         Terrorism Monitor, June 25, 2015, v. 13, no. 13

o    Iranian Perspectives on Yemen’s Houthis

o    Growing Islamic State Influence in Pakistan Fuels Sectarian Violence

o    Conflict at a Crossroads: Can Nigeria Sustain Its Military Campaign Against Boko Haram?

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·         Perception Gap: Reading China’s Maritime Objectives in Indo-Pacific Asia

National Academies Press

·         Owning the Technical Baseline for Acquisition Programs in the U.S. Air Force:  A Workshop Report

·         Preventing Intimate Partner Violence in Uganda, Kenya, and Tanzania

National Security Archive

·         International Decision-Making in the Age of Genocide: Srebrenica  1993-1995

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

·         Defence Expenditures Data for 2014 and Estimates for 2015: Financial and Economic Data Relating to NATO Defence

Norwegian Peacebuilding Resource Centre

·         This Other Hidden Face of the Tunisian Revolution: Its Rurality

Pakistan Institute of Legislative Development and Transparency

·         Score Card on Assessment of Quality of Governance: First Year of the Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

·         Score Card on Assessment of Quality of Governance: First Year of the Government of Punjab

·         Score Card on Assessment of Quality of Governance: First Year of the Government of Sindh

Peace Research Institute Oslo

·         Are Muslim Countries More War-Prone?

·         A Climate of Conflicts?

·         Patterns of Peacemaking

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Gains from Harmonizing US and EU Auto Regulations under the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership

·         Thoughts on Systemic Risk Regulation [speech]

·         Too Much Finance, or Statistical Illusion?

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         Global Publics Back U.S. on Fighting ISIS, but Are Critical of Post-9/11 Torture

Pew Research Center Religion and Public Life

·         Gay Marriage Around the World

·         Same-Sex Marriage, State by State

Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM)

·         Afghan National Army: Improved but Still in Need of Massive Support

·         Ready to Go? ISIS and Its Presumed Expansion into Central Asia

Rand

·         Air National Guard Remotely Piloted Aircraft and Domestic Missions: Opportunities and Challenges

·         An Assessment of the Counter-ISIL Campaign: One Year After Mosul

·         Navigating the Road to Reintegration: Status and Continuing Support of the U.S. Air Force's Wounded Warriors

·         Strategies for Defending U.S. Government Networks in Cyberspace

·         Tankering Fuel on U.S. Air Force Transport Aircraft: An Assessment of Cost Savings

·         The Terrorism Threat to the United States and Implications for Refugees

Recorded Future

·         The Iranian-Saudi Conflict and Its Cyber Outlet

Small Wars Journal

·         Our Nation Fights Its Young Men

·         Special Report: This Week in Ukraine with Zack Baddorf

·         Venezuela, Military Generals, and the Cartel of the Suns

·         We Built a Culture MOOC…for Soldiers Everywhere (and Marines, and Airmen, and US AID personnel and others)

·         Why Military Advising Was So Successful inVietnam…for the Chinese: And What the US Can Learn From It

Stanley Foundation

·         Order and Disorder in Today’s Global Order

·         The Results We Need in 2016: Policy Recommendations for the Nuclear Security Summit

Strategic Studies Institute

·         The Strategic Lessons Unlearned from Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan: Why the ANSF Will Not Hold, and the Implications for the U.S. Army in Afghanistan

UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

·         2015 World Drug Report

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Pakistan's Power Crisis: The Way Forward

Voice of the People

·         Negotiations with Iran: Views from a Red State, a Blue State and a Swing State

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Aligning Means and Ends, Policies and Strategy in the War on ISIL

·         Fatah Central Committee Profiles

·         Forming a New Palestinian Government: Challenges and Opportunities

·         Infographic: Egypt's SCAF Leadership

·         Public Statement on U.S. Policy Toward the Iran Nuclear Negotiations

·         Reading Turkish Tea Leaves: Speaker's Election Will Offer Clues to Political Future

·         Turkey's Political Scene Post-Election (Part 2): The AKP-MHP Option

·         Turkey's Political Scene Post-Election (Part 3): The AKP-HDP Option

White House

·         FACT SHEET: U.S. Government Hostage Policy

·         Hostage Recovery Activities (EO 13698)

·         Remarks by the President in Eulogy for the Honorable Reverend Clementa Pinckney

·         Remarks by the President on the Supreme Court Decision on Marriage Equality

·         Statement by the President on the U.S. Government's Hostage Policy Review

·         Support, Defend, and Sustain: The Relevance of U.S. Response to Closing Civic Space

Wilson Center

·         Rolling Thunder? Saudi Arabia Discovers the Limits of Air Power

·         Water Scarcity Could Deter Energy Developers From Crossing Border Into Northern Mexico

World Bank

·         World Development Report 2015 : Mind,Society, and Behavior