Friday's Miscellany 07-04-2025

 38 North

• Does North Korea Really Have So Few ICBMs? 

 AidData

• Balancing Risk and Reward: Who benefits from China's investments in Indonesia? 
• How China Collateralizes 
• The Speed of Aid: Strategic Urgency in International Emergency Relief 

 Amnesty International

• “I Was Someone Else’s Property”: Slavery, Human Trafficking and Torture in Cambodia’s Scamming Compounds 

 Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

• Medical Surveillance Monthly Report (MSMR), June 2025, v. 32, no. 6 
• Heat Exhaustion and Heat Stroke Among Active Component Members of the U.S. Armed Forces, 2020–2024
• Exertional Rhabdomyolysis Among Active Component Members of the U.S. Armed Forces, 2020–2024
• Exertional Hyponatremia Among Active Component Members of the U.S. Armed Forces, 2009–2024
• Reportable Medical Events at Military Health System Facilities Through Week 14, Ending April 5, 2025

 Army University Press

• Military Review, July-August 2025, v. 105, no. 4 
• Distributed Combined Arms Rehearsals: Say Goodbye to Giant Terrain Models
• The Modern Light Infantry Battalion Command Post: Modular, Minimalist, and Mobile
• Becoming Multidomain Practitioners: Tactical Training for Multidomain Operations at Echelon
• Achieved Overmatch: A Potential Future for AI in the Army
• Using CamoGPT AI to Build Scenario-Driven Change: The Example of Guam as a Hybrid Attack Target
• Unmanned Aircraft and the Revolution in Operational Warfare: Preparing the U.S. Army for the Age of Unmanned Systems
• The Army's Command Assessment Program: The Doctrinal Foundation
• George Washington and the Foundations of Civilian Control of the Military
• The Army's Training Environment: Enabling Indo-Pacific Integrated Deterrence
• Leveraging Flexible Partnerships and the Thucydides Dance: Rethinking U.S. Foreign Policy in the Indo-Pacific Command
• To Conserve Fighting Strength in Large-Scale Combat Operations
• When the Golden Hour Goes Away: Prolonged Casualty Care in LSCO—Considerations for Commanders and Decision-Makers
• Prolonged Psychological Endurance and Its Relationship to Increased Resilience
• Did School Closures Matter for the Army's Recruiting Crisis?

 Aspen Digital

• AI’s Growing Role in News: No Turning Back 

 Australian Ministry of Defence

• Defence Data Strategy 2.0 - Decision Advantage in the Data Age 

 Australian National Audit Office (ANAO)

• Department of Defence’s Sustainment of Canberra Class Amphibious Assault Ships (Landing Helicopter Dock) 

 Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

• Venture Capital Financing and Canadian Defence 

 CCP BioThreats Initiative (CCP BTI)

• The Chinese Communist Party’s Involvement with U.S. Chinese Students and Scholars Associations 
• The Internationalization of the Chinese Communist Party’s Shāshǒujiǎn (杀手锏) Unconventional Warfare Doctrine and Bioweapons Proliferation Risks 

 Center for a Secure Free Society

• Iran’s Latin American Strategy: Leveraging Asymmetric Warfare to Project Conflict into the Western Hemisphere 

 Center for Security Studies (CSS)

• Analyses in Security Policy
• No. 362: The New Arithmetic of Alliance
• No. 363: Energy Security for Defense Capability 
• Before Vegas: The “Red Hackers” Who Shaped China’s Cyber Ecosystem 
• Caucasus Analytical Digest (CAD)
• No. 142: Abkhazia's Relations with Russia 
• Ukrainian Analytical Digest
• No. 13: Solidarity and Social Justice 

 Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)

• Tradecraft Review of the 2016 Intelligence Community Assessment on Russian Election Interference 

 Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

• Information Concerning the Budgetary Effects of H.R. 1, as Passed by the Senate on July 1, 2025 

 Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

• DODIG-2025-120 Evaluation of U.S. Navy Efforts to Meet Recruitment Goals 

 Department of Homeland Security Inspector General

• OIG-25-28 – Evaluation of DHS’ Information Security Program for Fiscal Year 2024 
• OIG-25-29 – CBP has Inconsistent Processes for Identifying Special Interest Aliens and Did Not Complete Requests for Interviewing [REDACTED] Aliens – [REDACTED] 
• OIG-25-30 – DHS Needs to Improve Oversight of Parole Expiration of Select Humanitarian Parole Processes 

 Department of Justice Inspector General

• 25-065 - Audit of the Federal Bureau of Investigation's Efforts to Mitigate the Effects of Ubiquitous Technical Surveillance 

 Energy Information Administration (EIA)

• How has U.S. Energy Use Changed Since 1776? 
• SHIP Act [Stop Harboring Iranian Petroleum Act] 

 Federal Reserve Bank of New York

• Losses from Natural Disasters [interactive] 
• Losses from Natural Disasters: County-Level Data on Damages, Injuries, and Fatalities [staff report] 
• New Dataset Maps Losses from Natural Disasters to the County Level 

 Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime

• DNIPRO: The Front Line of Crime
• Organized Child Sexual Exploitation: Addressing Motives and Response Needs in South East Asia 

 Global Network on Extremism & Technology (GNET)         

• Playing with Hate: How Far-Right Extremists Use Minecraft to Gamify Radicalisation 
• Techno-Caliphate or Terror from the Sky? ISWAP and Drone-Enabled Insurgency in the Lake Chad Basin Region 

 Global Public Policy Institute (GPPI)

• QuantumTechnologies: Key Advances and Implications for Security in Germany and Europe 

 Global Taiwan Institute

• Global Taiwan Brief, 2025, v. 10, no.13 
• Beijing’s Reactions to Lai Ching-te’s Position on Taiwan Sovereignty
• From Vilnius to Asunción: How Japan is Subtly Amplifying Taiwan’s Global Standing
• A Plan B for PRC Cable-Cutting: Taiwan’s Satellite Communications
• Lessons for India: How Taiwan Handles Chinese Political Warfare
• How Can US Forces Korea Help Deter Both North Korea and China?
• Takeaways from the 2025 G7 Summit and Opportunities for Taiwan
• Through the Firewall: Leveraging Grassroots Online Exchange to Address Cross-Strait Tensions 

 Globsec

• Seven Security Scenarios on Russian War in Ukraine for 2025 - 2026: Implications and Policy Recommendations to Western Partners 
• Stolen Generation: A Systematic Violation of Ukraine’s Future 

 Government Accountability Office (GAO)

• Chief Information Officer Open Recommendations: Nuclear Regulatory Commission GAO-25-108462 
• Commercial Shipbuilding: Maritime Administration Needs to Improve Financial Assistance Programs GAO-25-107304
• Highlights of a Forum: Reducing Spending and Enhancing Value in the U.S. Health Care System GAO-25-107465
• NASA: Assessments of Major Projects GAO-25-107591 
• National Security Space Launch: Increased Commercial Use of Ranges Underscores Need for Improved Cost Recovery GAO-25-107228 
• U.S. Territories: Public Debt and Economic Outlook – 2025 Update GAO-25-107560 
• VA and DOD Health Care: Agreements to Share Services and Other Resources Should Be Evaluated GAO-25-107497 

 Govini

• 2025 National Security Scorecard 

 Hague Centre for Strategic Studies  (HCSS)

• Building Bridges: Euro-Indo-Pacific Cooperation for Resilient FIMI Strategies 
• FIMI [Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference] in Focus: Navigating Information Threats in the Indo-Pacific and Europe
• The Strategic Importance of Chloralkali and Sustainable Aviation Fuel for the EU & Saudi Arabia 

 Hedayah International Center of Excellence for Countering Violent Extremism

• Artificial Intelligence for Counter Extremism 

 Human Rights Watch

• Without Water, We Are Nothing’: The Urgent Need for a Water Law in Guatemala 

 Information Technology & Innovation Foundation (ITIF)

• Broadband Convergence Is Creating More Competition 
• Congress Should Fully Fund NSF’s TIP Directorate to Make America More Competitive Versus China 
• How America’s Trading Partners Are Reacting to US Tariffs 

 Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology (ICIT)

• The Digital Immune System: How AI Can Outpace Cyber Threats 

 Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA) 

• From Diffusion to Discretion: Contextualising US Pivot in Compute Control 
• Hypersonic Weapons and Contemporary Conflicts 

 Institute for Security & Development Policy (ISDP)

• Safeguarding the Global Chip Supply: Lessons from PRC’s Technology Acquisition Tactics in Taiwan 

 Institute for the Study of Warfare

• Adversary Entente Task Force Update 
• July 2 
• Africa File
• July 3 JNIM Attacks Across Mali; Biya Faces Challengers in Cameroon 
• China-Taiwan Weekly Update
• July 3 
• Iran Update
• June 30 
• July 1 
• July 2 
• July 3 
• July 4 
• July 5 
• July 6 
• Iran Update Special Report
• Iraq after the Israel-Iran War, June 13 - July 3, 2025 
• Syria after the Israel-Iran War, June 13 – July 3, 2025 
• A Primer on Russian Cognitive Warfare 
• Russian Occupation Update
• June 30 
• July 3 
• Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
• June 30 
• July 1 
• July 2 
• July 3 
• July 4 
• July 5 
• July 6 

 Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

• Debt and Development for Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Two Faces of the Same Coin 
• NATO after The Hague: A Single-issue, Sustainable and More European Alliance 

 Institute of Strategic Studies Islamabad

• China’s Diplomatic and Military Support for Pakistan During the Recent India-Pakistan Crisis 
• Deregulating Wheat: A Policy Crossroads for Pakistan 
• Strategic Studies, Winter 2024, 44, no. 2 
• Risks of Maritime Entanglement between India and Pakistan in the Indian Ocean Region: A Need for Maritime Confidence Building Measures
• Indian Military Doctrinal Evolution and its Limitations: A Critical Appraisal
• India-Pakistan Development of Drones: Implications for Strategic Stability in South Asia
• Ideational Politics and Social Legitimacy: Role of Educational Propaganda in India
• Charting the Complexities: Unearthing the Roots of Terrorism in Pakistan Using the Conflict Wheel Model
• Strategic Importance of Small South Asian States: Revisiting Pakistan’s Regional Approach

 International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

• After ISIS: Insights into Post-war Gaza Humanitarian Camps 
• Conceptualising and Addressing the Migration-Terrorism Nexus: Literature Review, Case Studies, and Policy Recommendations 
• Executive Summary: Impact and Process Evaluation of Parenting Debates to Prevent Radicalisation 
• From Radicalisation to Designation: The AfD’s Extremist Turn 
• Stop the Machines: The Rise of Anti-Technology Extremism 

 International Centre for Defence and Security (ICDS)

• Estonia’s Role in the Changing Architecture of Development Cooperation 

 nternational Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR)

• ‘A New Era for Lebanon’: Can an End to Political Posters in Beirut Challenge Sectarian Divides? 

 Joint Special Operations University (JSOU) Press

• Mission or Meaning? Rethinking the Identity Crisis in U.S. Army Special Forces 
• Special Operations Research Topics 2026 

 Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

• Counterforce in Contemporary U.S. Nuclear Strategy 

 Marine Corps University Press

• Journal of Advanced Military Studies, 2025 Special Issue [Arctic Security] 
• The Russian Northern Fleet Bastion Revisited     
• The Arctic as an Arena for Strategic Competition: Rivalry with Traditional and Irregular Levers of Power on NATO’s Northern Flank    
• The Arctic as a Periphery in U.S.-China Competition   
• Chinese Arctic Expansion: How Beijing Benefits from Moscow’s Isolation    
• NATO’s Long Cold Front: Why NATO Must Reorganize Its Approach to Defending the European High North
• Enhancing NATO’s Naval Power in the High North

 Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

• Can the Trump Administration’s “Self-Deportation” Campaign Succeed? 
• Canada's Long-Standing Openness to Immigration Comes Under Pressure 
• How Can Labor Migration Policies Help Tackle Europe’s Looming Skills Crisis? 

 National Academies Press 

• Implications of Artificial Intelligence–Related Data Center Electricity Use and Emissions: Proceedings of a Workshop 

 National Defence University (Pakistan)

• ISSRA Papers (Journal of Governance and Public Policy) v. 17, 2025 
• Soft Power in Great Power Politics: Competing AI Governance Frameworks of Us and China
• Conundrum Of Pakistan's Tax Sector: Reinvigorating the Economy Through Tax Reforms
• Challenges for the Intelligence Community in the 21st Century
• Water Management in Pakistan: Challenges and Way Forward to Sustainability
• The Saffronisation of the Indian Security Apparatus: An Analysis of Evolving Strategic Culture, Political Ideologies, National Security
• Understanding the Rise of Populism in India: Implications for Liberal Democracy Impact of Climate Change on Balochistan, Pakistan
• Economic and Political Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility in Pakistan: A Dynamic Study
• Margalla Papers 2025, 29, v. no. 1 
• Pakistan’s National Security Challenges and Economic Growth Implications for Defence System
• India’s Acquisition of Strategic Non-Nuclear Weapons in the Third Nuclear Age: Implications and Way Forward for Pakistan
• Principles, Norms and Strategies of the US Global Cyberspace Governance
• Comparative Analysis of Counter-Violent Extremism Strategies in South Asia and Africa: Lessons and Pathways for Sustainable Security
• Robotic Replication of Living Things and Implications for Warfare
• Development of Joint Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear (CBRN) Response Capability in South Asia: Current Status & Future Prospects
• Emerging Security Architecture in Asia Pacific: Impact on Pakistan
• Pakistan’s Water Crisis and Its National Security Implications

 National Institute for Public Policy (NIPP)

• Opportunistic Aggression in the Past and Lessons for Today: The Korean War 

 National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)

• NIST CSWP 46 Analyzing Collusion Threats in the Semiconductor Supply Chain 

 National Security Archive

• Spying on Climate: Inside the Intelligence Community’s Environmental Legacy 

 NATO Cooperative Cyber Defense Centre of Excellence

• The Evolution of Cyber Forces in NATO Countries 

 Naval War College China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI)

• CMSI Note 15: PLAN Chief of Staff VADM Li Hanjun: Fast-Rising Star of Training and Education Extinguished 

 Observer Research Foundation

• Building Rainwater Resilience in India’s Cities 
• Decoding Digital Public Infrastructure: Scripting Inclusive Digital Futures 
• Foreign Policy Survey 2024: Young India and the China Challenge 
• Post-Assad Syria’s Search for Its Place in an Evolving International Order 
• The Quad’s Infrastructure Diplomacy: Current Trends and Future Prospects 

 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

• Anti-Corruption Trends in Eastern Europe and Central Asia: Strategic Frameworks and Business Integrity 
• OECD Economic Surveys: European Union and Euro Area 2025 

 Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE)

• Key Action Areas for Parliaments to Combat Trafficking in Human Beings 
• Opening Doors for Children: Prevention of Childhood Statelessness - Good Practices in the OSCE Area 
• War Crimes Proceedings in Serbia (2020-2023) 

 Overseas Development Institute (ODI)

• Gender Equality and the Climate Crisis: Where Do International Commitments Stand? 
• Strengthening Aid Integrity Against Anti-Gender Actors: A Tool to Support Bilateral and Multilateral ODA Donors’ Due Diligence Processes 
• Sustaining transformative growth in Sri Lanka 2025–2030 

 Pew Research Center

• How Changes in Turnout and Vote Choice Powered Trump’s Victory in 2024 

 RAND Corporation

• Anticipating Allies’ Responses to U.S. Retrenchment: Lessons from Limited Military Withdrawals During the Cold War 
• How Artificial General Intelligence Could Affect the Rise and Fall of Nations: Visions for Potential AGI Futures 
• Improving the Civilian Hiring Process in the Department of the Air Force 96th Test Wing 

 The Sentry

• Power and Plunder: The Eritrean Defense Forces Intervention in Tigray 

 Stanford Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI)

• Adverse Event Reporting for AI: Developing the Information Infrastructure Government Needs to Learn and Act 

 Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

• The Australia Group at 40: Making the AG Fit for an Era of Geopolitical Competition 
• Europe Should Help Repair the Damage to Non-Proliferation and International Law from the Attacks on Iran 
• Military and Security Dimensions of Quantum Technologies: A Primer 
• What Drove a Recent Wave of Arms Industry Consolidation? 

 Taylor & Francis

• African Security, 2025
• Brothers in Arms? Vigilantism and Ambivalent State Responses in West Africa [open access article] 
• Contemporary Politics, 2025
• The European Union in the annual United Nations General Assembly Debates [open access article] 
• How are Narratives Sacralised? Russian Dogma on the War in Ukraine [open access article] 
• Ethnic and Racial Studies, 2025
• Analyzing Quran Burnings in a Framework of Political Moralism and Political Realism [open access article] 
• Basing Views About Race on Facts? Meso-Level Policy Actors’ Navigation of Anti-Racist and Faith-Inclusive Expression with Schools [open access article] 
• Crafting in Waiting: Social Entrepreneurship and Refugee Labour at the Frontier [open access article] 
• Valued, Problematised, Ignored: Glimpses into Entanglements of Emplaced Mobilities in a Maltese Town [open access article] 
• Journal of Applied Security Research, 2025
• Can a Company’s Poor Customer Service Be a Security Risk? An Examination of Airbnb’s Twitter Data Using Artificial Intelligence Supervised Machine Learning [open access article] 
• Journal of Risk Research, 2025
• Social Vulnerability Triage: A Dynamic Scenario-Based System for Disaster Planning and Response [open access article] 
• Journal of Strategic Studies, 2025
• South Africa’s Disarmament and Its Ramifications: From the NPT to the Treaty of Pelindaba and MTCR Adherence, 1988–1995 [open access article] 
• Policing and Society, 2025
• Police innovation and Institutional Entrepreneurs: The Emergence of Police Drug Diversion Schemes in England and Wales [open access article] 
• Small Wars & Insurgencies, 2025
• The Kenyan Emergency: Soldiers' Views [open access article] 
• Old Ties, New Relations? Taliban’s Victory and Violent Jihadi Groups in Afghanistan [open access article] 
• Terrorism and Political Violence, 2025
• The Coercion-Manipulation-Persuasion Framework: Analyzing the Modus Operandi of Systems of Non-State Actors  [open access article] 
• Financial Extremism: The Dark Side of Crowdfunding and Terrorism [open access article] 
• From Extreme Ideas to Violent and Nonviolent Outcomes: An In-Depth Analysis of Probation Files on Terrorist Suspects in the Netherlands [open access article] 
• Predicting Novel Terrorism: Media Coverage as Early-Warning System of Novelty in Terror Attacks [open access article] 
• Typology of Terrorist Profiling Using Centrality Metrics: Hinge Figures, Influential Operatives and Trusted Assets [open access article] 

 US Marine Corps (USMC)

• Force Design 2030  
• Training and Education Annual Report 

 White House

• Executive Orders
• Providing for the Revocation of Syria Sanctions 
• Memorandum
• Simplifying the Funding of Energy Infrastructure and Critical Mineral and Material Projects 
• National Security Presidential Memorandum/NSPM-5: Reissuance of and Amendments to National Security Presidential Memorandum 5 on Strengthening the Policy of the United States Toward Cuba
• Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Strengthens the Policy of the United States Toward Cuba 

 World Health Organization (WHO)

• Independent Assessment of the Origins of SARS‑CoV‑2