Friday's Miscellany 01-24-2019

38 North

·         Denuclearizing North Korea: The Case for a Pragmatic Approach to Nuclear Safeguards and Verification

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·         Progress and Setbacks in the Fight against African Militant Islamist Groups in 2018

American Enterprise Institute

·         China’s Demographic Outlook to 2040 and Its Implications:  An Overview

·         China Dream:  America’s,China’s, and the Resulting Competition

·         Chinese Investment: State-Owned Enterprises Stop Globalizing, for the Moment

Amnesty International

·         Mexico:  The National Guard

Anti Defamation League Center on Extremism

·         Murder and Extremism in the United States in 2018

ASUA Institute of Land Warfare

·         A Case Study of Politics and U.S. Army Doctrine: 1954 Field Manual 100-5: Operations

·         Training the Machines: Incorporating AI into Land Combat Systems

Atlantic Council

·         Does Money Grow on Trees? Restoration Financing in Southeast Asia

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Defense and Security R&D: A Sovereign Strategic Advantage

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Energy Governance in Saudi Arabia

·         Lava Jato: Background

·         Lava Jato in Perspective

·         Lava Jato: Interview with Deltan Dallagnol

·         Lava Jato: Interview with Sergio Moro

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         Refugee Movements in the Middle East: Old Crises, New Ideas

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

·         Indian Muslims: A Valuable Prize for Regional Rivals

·         The Netherlands’ Profound Hypocrisy on the Jews

·         Revisiting Walter Eytan’s “The First Ten Years”

·         Tehran-Moscow Cooperation Goes Beyond Syria

·         Turkey’s Bizarre Approach to Missile Defense

·         US-Chinese Competition over the Haifa Port

Beyond Parallel

·         Undeclared North Korea: The Sino-ri Missile Operating Base and Strategic Force Facilities

Bonn International Center for Conversion (BICC)

·         Energy Planning Towards Sustainability: Anchoring Tunisia’s Energy Transition to the Local Level  

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         Complex Strategic Coercion and Russian Military Modernization

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Arab Horizons: Pitfalls and Pathways to Renewal

·         Philippine Politics Under Duterte: A Midterm Assessment

CATO Institute

·         How ‘Market Failure’ Arguments Lead to Misguided Policy

·         Temporary Protected Status and Immigration to the United States

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Financial Networks of Mass Destruction

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM)

·         Merchants of Fear. Discursive Securitization of the Refugee Crisis in the Visegrad Group Countries

Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA)

·         The European Deterrence Initiative

·         VICTORY OVER AND ACROSS DOMAINS: Training for Tomorrow’s Battlefields

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         America’s Military Spending and the Uncertain Costs of Its Wars:  The Need for Transparent Reporting

·         Bangladesh: Two Independence Movements

·         Eritrea: The Independence Struggle and the Struggles of Independence

·         The Importance of Being Balanced: Lessons from Negotiated Settlements to Self-determination Movements in Bosnia, Macedonia, and Kosovo

·         Independence Movements and Their Aftermath: Evaluating the Likelihood of Success

·         Influence and Infrastructure: The Strategic Stakes of Foreign Projects

·         Kosovo: An Unlikely Success Still in the Making

·         Pursuing Effective and Conflict- Aware Stabilization:  Framing and Constructing a Roadmap

·         Self-Determination and the Struggle for Success: Generalizing the Findings

·         Self-Determination and U.S. Choices

·         South Sudan: The Painful Rise and Rapid Descent of the World’s Newest Nation

·         Timor-Leste: A Nation of Resistance

·         Venezuela’s Presidential Crisis and the Transition to Democracy

Center for the Study of the Drones

·         Documents: DoD’s Domestic Drone Missions

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Putin's Last Term: Taking the Long View

Chatham House

·         Cooking in Displacement Settings: Engaging the Private Sector in Non-wood-based Fuel Supply

·         Food Politics and Policies in Post-Brexit Britain

·         Healthy Diets from Sustainable Production: Indonesia

Chicago Council on Global Affairs

·         South Koreans See Improved Security, Confident in U.S. Security Guarantee

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations (Nederlands Instituut voor Internationale Betrekkingen Clingendael)

·         The European Council's Strategic Agenda

·         The Innovation Potential of the EU Budget 2021-2027

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Funding the Frontline

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         Marginal Federal Tax Rates on Labor Income: 1962 to 2028

·         Operating Costs and Aging of Air Force Aircraft

·         Projected Costs of U.S. Nuclear Forces, 2019 to 2028

Danish Institute for International Studies (Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier)

·         Prospects of a Settlement With the Afghan Taliban

Department of Defense, Office of Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG-2019-047 Navy and Marine Corps Backup Aircraft and Depot Maintenance Float for Ground Combat and Tactical Vehicles

Department of Homeland Security Cyber Infrastructure

·         Emergency Directive 19-01 Mitigate DNS Infrastructure Tampering

Director of National Intelligence (DNI)

·         2019 National Intelligence Strategy

East West Center

·         Recognizing Israel Aligns with Indonesia’s Interests, Ambitions, & Constitution

Egmont Institute

·         Fighting for Europe: European Strategic Autonomy and the Use of Force

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Euros for Oil: A First Step, but Towards What?

European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)

·         The Benefit of Hindsight

·         What If....? Scanning the Horizon: 12 Scenarios for 2021

FBI Agents Association (FBIAA)

·         Voices from the Field: FBI Agent Accounts of the Real Consequences of the Government Shutdown

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Consolidated Assessment Ratings (Updated 25 January 2019)

·         Nicaragua's Progress in Strengthening Measures to Tackle Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing

·         Panama's Progress in Strengthening Measures to Tackle Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

·         Proposed Frontex Reform and Its Impact: Border Politics and the External Security Nexus in the EU

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Iran’s Space Launch: ICBM or Space Program Development?

·         Middle East Missile Race: The Missile Defense Review, Iran, and the Implications for the Gulf

·         Rebuilding Iraq’s Public Works Infrastructure Following the Defeat of ISIS

·         Selective Engagement: A Bipartisan U.S. Foreign Policy Approach?

·         Trump vs. Trotsky: The Many Consequences of a U.S. Withdrawal From Syria

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·         Trends in the Nutritional Status of Young Children in Sahelian Francophone Countries: 1990-2015

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         The Arctic: Critical Metals, Hydrogen and Wind Power for the Energy Transition

·         Malawi:  The Road to the2019 Tripartite Elections. Reflections on Corruption, Land and Multiparty Politics

·         Rare Earths and China:  A Review of Changing Criticality in the New Economy

·         The Treaty of Aachen:  New Impetus for Franco-German Defense Cooperation?

German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         Russia’s Military Policy in the Post-Soviet Space

German Marshall Fund of the  United States

·         Turkey’s Civil Society: Playing the Long Game

·         U.S. ‘Burden-Shifting’ Strategy in Africa Validates France’s Ambition for Greater European Strategic Autonomy

Global Public Policy Institute (GPPI)

·         System Upgrade: Improving Cross-Border Access to Electronic Evidence

Government Accountability Office (CBO)

·         Army Modernization: Steps Needed to Ensure Army Futures Command Fully Applies Leading Practices GAO-19-132

Households in Conflict Network

·         End-of-Conflict Deforestation: Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement

·         Killing Social Leaders for Territorial Control: The Unintended Consequences of Peace

·         Mass Atrocities and their Prevention v Anderton

·         Trust and Trustworthiness after a Land Restitution Program:Lab-in-the-Field Evidence from Colombia

Human Rights Watch

·         No Escape from Hell:  EU Policies Contribute to Abuse of Migrants in Libya

·         “No Room to Bargain”: Unfair and Abusive Labor Practices in Pakistan

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         JROTC: Perspectives from the Literature:  Research Roundtable on Recruiting (Conference Presentation)

·         Research Insights:

o    Countering Unmanned Vehicles

o    Value of Open-Source Data on Clouds to Remote Surveillance Planning

Institute for National Security Studies (INSS - Israel)

·         Cyber, Intelligence, and Security, December 2018, v. 2, no. 3

o    Identity Theft and Exposure to Harmful Content- Internet Risks for Teenagers

o    Ubiquitous Presence: Protecting Privacy and Forbidding Intrusion into a Person’s Records in Jewish Law

o    Cyberspace: The Next Arena for the Saudi-Iranian Conflict?

o    Jihadi Johns: Virtual Democracy and Countering Violent Extremism Propaganda

o    The European Union’s Foreign Policy Toolbox in International Cyber Diplomacy

o    Global Changes in the Proliferation of Armed UAVs: Risks, Challenges, and Opportunities Facing Israel

o    Operations in Cyberspace from the Perspective of International Law

o    Cyberspace and the Israel Defense Forces

·         Israel’s Dilemma over Syrian Reconstruction

Institute for the Study of War

·         Syria Situation Report: January 10-23, 2019

Institute of Development Studies (IDS)

·         Water-Microcredit Models and Market Inclusion: Shifting Debts and Responsibility

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         China's Vision of an Ecological Civilisation: A Struggle for Environmental Leadership in the Era of Climate

·         A New Idea of Europe: The Challenge of Flexibility

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Citizenship (Amendment) Bill: Re-Defining Identity

·         Ferment at the Reserve Bank of India: Resetting the Relationship with the Government

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         A Brief Primer on Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Methods in the Study of Terrorism

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Commodity Terms of Trade: A New Database

Jamestown Foundation

·         Terrorism Monitor, January 25, 2019, v. 17, no. 2

o    BLA’s Suicide Squad: Majeed Fidayeen Brigade

o    Giza Bus Attack Threatens Egypt’s Stability

o    A Tumultuous, Informal  Polyarchy: Algeria Between Clans, Old Threats and a Boiling Youth

Japan Ministry of Defense

·         National Defense Program Guidelines for FY 2019 and Beyond

Lowy Institute

·         East Asia’s Decoupling

Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

·         Breaking New Ground: Ten Ideas to Revamp Integration Policy in Europe

·         Communicating Strategically about Immigrant Integration:Policymaker Perspectives

MITRE

·         Commercial Snapshot Spectral Imaging: The Art of the Possible

·         Electro-Textile Ground Planes for Multipath and Interference Mitigation in GNSS Antennas Covering 1.1 to 1.6 GHz

National Commission on Military, National, and Public Service

·         Interim Report

National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC)

·         Homegrown Violent Extremist Mobilization Indicators 2019  

NATO Defense College

·         Fundamentals of the State Policy of the Russian Federation in the Field of Naval Activities for the Period Until 2030

NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence

·         Malicious Use of Social Media: Case Studies From BBC Monitoring

Observer Research Foundation

·         India-U.S. Data Sharing for Law Enforcement:  Blueprint for Reforms

Oxford Internet Institute Computational Propaganda Research Project

·         Government Responses to Malicious Use of Social Media

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         The Growing Popularity of Chinese Social Media Outside China Poses New Risks in the West

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         Majority of U.S. Public Supports High-Skilled Immigration

Pew Research Center U.S. Politics & Policy

·         Public’s 2019 Priorities: Economy, Health Care, Education and Security All Near Top of List

Policy Exchange

·         Contest to “Take Control” of Brexit

·         The Risks of the “Grieve Amendment” to Remove Precedence for Government Business

Polish Institute of International Affairs (Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych)

·         China and the Challenges of the Fourth Industrial Revolution:  Value Chains, 5G, and Emerging Markets

·         “Cohesion as a Common European Value:” Romania’s EU Council Presidency

·         Israel’s Political Scene Ahead of the Early Parliamentary Election

Political Economy Research Institute (PERI)

·         The Economy’s Other Half: How Taking Gender Seriously Transforms Macroeconomics

Potomac Institute

·         Punctuated Equilibria Paradigm and Security in the Modern World

Rand

·         Operating Under a Continuing Resolution:  A Limited Assessment of Effects on Defense Procurement Contract Awards

·         Opportunities for European Collaboration in Armored Vehicles

·         Perspective:  Artificial Intelligence Applications to Support Teachers and Teaching

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         20th Asia Pacific Programme for Senior Military Officers (APPSMO)

·         Counter Terrorist Trends and Analyses (CTTA) January 2019, v. 11 no. 1

o    Annual Threat Assessment 

o    Global Threat Forecast

o    Uyghur Violence and Jihadism in China and Beyond

o    Evolving Jihadist Landscape in the Middle East

o    Islamic State’s Online Social Movement Lifecycle: From Emergence to Repression in Southeast Asia

o    Assessment of Islamic State’s Ideological Threat

·         Striking a Balance: Emerging Technologies, Humanitarian Needs, and Other Public Goods

Small Wars Journal

·         Building Partner Capability and Capacity Post-NDAA 2017: A Practical Approach

·         Ending Endless Wars and the Islamic State

·         A Leader’s Playbook

·         Levantistan and The Confederacy of Afghanistan: How Redrawing the Map Can End America’s Wars

·         The Need for Clear Language in Ready Medical Force Requirements

·         Non-Physical Communities: Understanding the Expanded Frontier

·         Plutocratic Insurgency Note 10: Increasing Global Wealth Concentration, Record Private Jets at Davos, and the Demise of the American Dream

·         Preparing for the Future: Insurgents Get a Vote

·         Toward Understanding the Actions of the Islamic State and Other Jihadist Groups as Military Doctrine

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         The Lack of Disarmament in the Middle East: A Thorn in the Side of the NPT

Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse (TRAC)

·         Increased Litigation for Denials and Delays on Naturalization Applications

Triangle Center on Terrorism and Homeland Security

·         Muslim-American Involvement with Violent Extremism, 2001-2018

United Kingdom Parliament, House of Commons, Defense Committee

·         UK Response to Hybrid Threats Inquiry

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         In Damning Report, UN Panel Details War Economy in Yemen

·         Netanyahu’s Political and Legal Challenges in the Next Elections

·         Pushing Back on Iran in Syria (Part 1): Beyond the ‘Boots’

·         Reclamation: A Cultural Policy for Arab-Israeli Partnership

·         Security Threats on the Tunisia-Libya Border

World Economic Forum

·         Innovation with a Purpose: Improving Traceability in Food Value Chains through Technology Innovations