38 North
- Half A Loaf: Third Hwasong-16 Solid IRBM Test Shows Booster is Ready but HGV Payload Needs Work
- Impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol: Impact on US-Japan-ROK Cooperation
- K-Coup and its Limits: Popular Sovereignty, Civic Virtue, and Political Science Blind Spots
- Kim Jong Un Welcomes Donald J. Trump to Second Term
- Quick Take: Kim’s New Year’s Greetings to Putin
- Africa’s 2025 Elections: A Test of Credibility to Uphold Democratic Norms
- What to Expect from Africa-China Relations in 2025
- AI-Generated Regulation: Not Ready for Prime Time (Yet)
- Dollars and Sense: America’s Interest in a Ukrainian Victory
- Power of Demography and the Fate of East Asia
- Rebalancing Trade with China Requires a More Diverse Electronics Supply Chain
Andrew Marshall
Foundation
- Military Review, January-February 2025, v. 105, no. 1
- Cyber Considerations of a Resistance Operating
Concept: The Subversive Potential of Persuasive Technology
- Lessons in Reconstitution from the Russia-Ukraine
War: Gaining Asymmetric Advantage through Transformative Reconstitution
- Meeting Expectations: Failure in Ukraine Will Not
Change the Russian Aerospace Defense Force
- Classical Methods of Influence Applied to
Contemporary Military Leadership
- Toward a Leadership Theory for Mission Command
- Reconstituting Partner Forces in Conflict: A
Global Unity of Effort
- Black on Ammunition, Green on Forecasting:
Ammunition Lessons Learned from a DIVARTY in a Division Warfighter
Exercise
- Achieving Decision Dominance: The Arduous Pursuit
of Operationalized Data
- Operating in a Multidomain Environment: Combat
Support Training Exercise 86-24-02
- The Problem with Convergence: Dispelling the
Illusion Surrounding the Tactical Application of Offensive Space and
Cyberspace Capabilities
- Homeland Joint Interagency Task Force: Can It
Better Deliver Planning, Coordination, and Information Sharing Protocols
to Counter Transnational Criminal Threats?
- Can the President Federalize the National Guard?
- Preparing for Hot Conflicts: Army Training and
Operations in a Warming World
- Flowers On His Grave [Poem]
- The U.S. Military Risks Mineral Shortages in a
U.S.-China War: Lessons from World War I, World War II, and the Korean
War
- Assessment of North Korea’s Regional Development Policy
- Evaluating the Nature of North Korea’s Policy Shift toward South Korea
- Evaluation and Implications of the Indo-Pacific Regional Security Environment
- North Korea’s Hostile Policy Toward South Korea and Its Link to Foreign Policy Strategies
- ASPI Notes for the Trump Administration
- China’s Views on Escalation and Crisis Management and Implications for the United States
- Petrodollar to Digital Yuan: China, the Gulf, and the 21st Century Path to De-Dollarization
- “First, We Will Defend the Homeland”: The Case for Homeland Missile Defense
- Kurdistan’s Share of the 2024 Iraqi Budget: More Than Meets the Eye
- Morocco’s Government must Foster Greater Economic Competition
- The Next Decade of Strategic Competition: How the Pentagon Can Use Special Operations Forces to Better Compete
- Recalibrating the Use of Individual Sanctions in Venezuela
- Sanctioned Kleptocracy: How Putin’s Kremligarchs Have Survived The War—And Even Prospered
- Securing a Free and Open World: A US-EU Blueprint to Counter China and Russia
- Syria’s Energy Sector and Its Impact on Stability and Regional Developments
- Venezuela’s 2024 Stolen Election Compounds Challenges to Stability and Democratic Renewal
- The Strategist
- Deficit Tracker [updated December 2024]
- Democracy Playbook 2025: 7 Pillars to Defend Democracy in 2025 and Beyond
- Expanding Global Partnerships to Advance Africa’s Agency and Aspirations
- The External Wealth of Nations Database
- Getting the SDGs Back on Track in Africa
- The Hidden STEM Gender Gap: Why Progress at Top Universities Masks a Growing Crisis
- Immigration Drives the Nation’s Healthy Post-Pandemic Population Growth, New Census Data Show
- The future of U.S.-China policy: Recommendations for the Incoming Administration [various reports]
- Leveraging AI and Emerging Technologies to Unlock Africa’s Potential
- Taxation, Representation, and Climate Migration
- Tracking Regulatory Changes in the Second Trump Administration
- Turning Policy Into Action in Africa: Overcoming Policy Failures and Bridging Implementation Gaps for Real-World Impact
- Ukraine Index: Tracking developments in the Ukraine War
- What We Know About the 2024 Democratic and Republican Parties: An Analysis of Congressional Candidates
- Are Bad Governments aThreat to Sovereign Defaults? The Effects of Political Risk on Debt Sustainability
- European Public Goods: The Time for Action is Now
- Finance for Nature: How To Improve Funding for the Protection of Biodiversity
- Using Data as a Production Factor: Policy Ideas for a New EU Data Strategy
- China Decoupling Beyond the United States: Comparing Germany, Japan, and India
- Measuring Changes Caused by Generative Artificial Intelligence: Setting the Foundations
- Speaking in Code: Contextualizing Large Language Models in Southeast Asia
- The Co-Evolution of the Canada-U.S. Oil Industry and Possible Implications of Donald Trump’s Re-election
- Redesigning the Royal Canadian Navy for a More Dangerous World
- The Impact of the Chinese Exclusion Act on the Economic Development of the Western United States
- Why Didn’t the US Unemployment Rate Rise at the End of World War II?
- The First 100 Days
- Biopower: Securing American Leadership in Biotechnology
- The Quad Plus the Philippines: A Strategic Partnership for a Peaceful South China Sea
- Climate Security and the New US Administration
- Climate Security Policy Recommendations for the New Administration
- Military Responses to Climate Hazards (MiRCH) Tracker: December 2024 Update
- Guiding Opinions on Promoting the Development of New-Style Research and Development Institutions [translation]
- Advancing U.S.-China Coordination amid Strategic Competition: An Emerging Playbook
- Defending the North Amid Rising Geopolitical Tensions
- Faster into the Cloud: Accelerating Federal Use of Cloud Services for Security and Efficiency
- Faster into the Cloud: Accelerating Federal Use of Cloud Services for Security and Efficiency—Working Group Discussion Papers
- Faster into the Cloud: Working Group Discussion Papers
- How Ukraine Rebuilt Its Military Acquisition System Around Commercial Technology
- Jihadist Terrorism in the United States
- Silicon Island: Assessing Taiwan’s Importance to U.S. Economic Growth and Security
- “Tough on the Weak, Lenient on the Powerful”: Assessing the Impact of Mano Dura Policies in Latin America
- Understanding the Impact of Remittances on Mexico’s Economy and Safeguarding Their Future Impact
- Aftershocks: Disruptive Growth in Low Earth Orbit Creates New Policy Challenges
- Final Submission to the Public Inquiry into Foreign Interference in Federal Electoral Processes and Democratic Institutions in Canada
- Human-Machine Interaction and Human Agency in the Military Domain
- An Agenda for UK–China Climate Cooperation: Why Joint Action Can and Should Transcend Political Challenges
- As the UK Government Seeks Greater Engagement with China, a Clearer Strategy is Crucial – and Long Overdue
- Bystanders or Active Participants: The Surprisingly Violent “Non-Violent” Offenders in the Capitol Hill Siege
- Not Just Oath Keepers and Proud Boys: Meet the “Ordinary” Violent Offenders of January 6, 2021
- China in Iraq
- Dirty Deals, Done Dirt Cheap? Implications of a Trump-Brokered Deal to End the Russia-Ukraine War
- Food, Power and Politics
- The Integration of IDPs into Host Communities in Ouahigouya, Burkina Faso
- Polar Connections: Exploring the Potential for Indigenous Contributions to a Secure Arctic
- Paying without Playing? Assessing the European Union’s Actorness in the Middle East Peace Process
- When the Bottom Does not Reach the Top: The Limits of the EU’s Civil Society Promotion in the Western Balkans
- The 2025 Outlook for Navy Shipbuilding
- An Analysis of the Navy’s 2025 Shipbuilding Plan
- The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2025 to 2035
- The Assimilationist Turn in Tibet Policy in the Xi Jinping Era
- Clean Power 2030: Too Fast, Too Furious?
- 8 Old and New Challenges for UN Peacekeeping
- Future-Proofing Peacekeeping: Denmark on the UN Security Council, 2025-2026
- The Rise and Fall of the Wagner Group
- Pathway to Scaling Unmanned Weapon Systems
- Scaling Nontraditional Defense Innovation
- 14th Quadrennial Review of Military Compensation
- DoD Planning, Programming, Budgeting, and Execution (PPBE) Reform Implementation Plan
- Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States
- FY2024 Annual Performance Report for the DOD Strategic Management Plan for FYs 2022–2026
- Key Achievements and Facts: U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine
- Ukraine Fact Sheet – Jan. 9, 2025
- DODIG-2025-058 Review of Responsibilities and Actions Related to the Secretary of Defense’s Hospitalizations and the DoD’s Policies and Procedures for Notification and Transfer of Functions and Duties
- DODIG-2025-056 Audit of the DoD’s Process for Authorizing Third Party Organizations to Perform Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification 2.0 Assessments
- Treasury Disrupts Russia’s Sanctions Evasion Schemes
- Treasury Intensifies Sanctions Against Russia by Targeting Russia’s Oil Production and Exports
- Commanders of Putin's Long War: Purged, Reshuffled and Disgruntled
- How Geopolitical Tensions Reshape Trade Patterns: Geoeconomic Fragmentation, or China’s Big Manufacturing Push?
- End of Russian Hegemony: A New Transactional Order Arises in the South Caucasus
- Prohibited Force: The Meaning of “Use of Force” in International Law
- Cybersecurity Workforce: Departments Need to Fully Implement Key Practices GAO-25-106795
- Food Safety: FDA Should Strengthen Inspection Efforts to Protect the U.S. Food Supply GAO-25-107571
- Fusion Energy: Additional Planning Would Strengthen DOE's Efforts to Facilitate Commercialization GAO-25-107037
- Wearable Technologies: Potential Opportunities and Deployment Challenges in Manufacturing and Warehousing GAO-25-107213
- America Must Prepare to Test Nuclear Weapons
- An Open Letter to the Next Defense Department Comptroller
- China 2035: Three Scenarios for China’s Nuclear Program
- How the Nukes Were Queered: A Case Study in DEI as a Political and Bureaucratic Weapon
- Liberal Education’s Antidote to Indoctrination
- Concrete Sky: Air Base Hardening in the Western Pacific
- Past Lessons and Future Action: Policies for a Successful Free and Open Indo-Pacific
- The Real Deal for US Steel: A Comprehensive Analysis of the Nippon Steel–US Steel Purchase
- Three Policy Resets to Promote U.S. Innovation Leadership
- New Information on Shenyang Machine Tool Company’s Illicit Sales to North Korea and Russia
- Response to Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Article on Iran’s Short Timeline to a Bomb
- Russian Decoy Drones that Depend on Western Parts Pose a Great Challenge to Ukrainian Defenses
- Africa File
- January 9, 2025: Islamic State Suicide Attack in Somalia; AUSSOM Dysfunction; M23 Captures District Capital in Eastern DRC
- January 16, 2025: SAF Advances in Central Sudan en Route to Khartoum; Canadian Gold Mining Company Leaves Mali with Russia on Standby; JNIM’s Deadliest-Ever Attack in Benin; DRC Launches Counteroffensive Against Rwandan-backed M23
- China-Taiwan Weekly Update
- Iran Update
- January 6
- January 7
- January 8
- January 9
- January 10
- January 11
- January 12
- January 13
- January 14
- January 15
- January 16
- January 17
- January 18
- January 19
- The Islamic State’s Global Long Game and Resurgence in Syria Poses an Evolved Threat to the West
- Russia's Quiet Conquest: Belarus
- Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
- The Need for a Taxonomy of Hybrid Warfare: Population-Centric vs. Enemy-Centric Approaches
- OSS 2.0: Emphasizing the Importance of Human Intelligence in Irregular Warfare for Great Power Competition
- China Brief, January 17, 2025, v. 25, no. 1
- Dreams Deferred in Xi’s New Year’s Speech
- Assessment of PLA Leaders at the End of 2024
- The Four Main Groups Challenging Xi Jinping
- Military Implications of PLA Aircraft Incursions
in Taiwan’s Airspace 2024
- The Leninist Leash: Control and Mobilization in
Beijing’s Global Order
- Navigating the Transition: The Role of Purpose, Tribe, and Excitement for U.S. Special Operations Forces Veterans
- SOF Effectiveness in Strategic Competition: Insights for West Africa and Beyond
- A Call for a New NSC-68 and Goldwater Nichols Reform
- Want Combat Airpower? Then Fix the Air Force Pilot Crisis
- Cyber SEAL: Cyber Streaming Effects and Analytic Languages
- Strengthening America's Transportation Resilience: Innovating to Enhance Unified Response and Recovery
- Transit Safety Analysis: Bus Collisions and the Drivers’ Time on Shift
- Climate Security, Great Power Competition, and Adversarial Geopolitics in North and West Africa
- Climate Security, Great Power Competition, and Adversarial Geopolitics in North and West Africa. Rapid Review 1: Farmer-Herder Conflict
- Climate Security, Great Power Competition, and Adversarial Geopolitics in North and West Africa. Rapid Review 2: Russian Influence
- Foundational Datasets: Global Chemical, Biological, Radiological, & Nuclear Data Suite & Portal
- The Global Terrorism Database: Experiments in Machine-Assisted Data Collection
- Government Responses to Asymmetric Threats: The State of the Literature on Information Operations from 2002 to 2022
- Government Responses to Asymmetric Threats: The State of the Literature on Counterterrorism from 2010 to 2023
- Joint Force Quarterly (JFQ), 116, (1st Quarter January 2025)
- Risk: A Weak Element in U.S. Strategy Formulation
- Preparing for Adversary Employment of
Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons: Tactical Effects, Operational Impacts,
Strategic Implications
- Adopting a Data-Centric Mindset for Operational
Planning
- The Art of Campaigning: Joint Planners Working at
the Intersections of Everything
- Being Believed: Persuasion and the Narrative in
Military Operations
- The Urgency of Warfighting Renewal: Five
Principles for Today’s Professional Military Education
- Celtic Security in the Atlantic: How Does Ireland
Secure Europe’s Western Flank?
- Is the PLA Overestimating the Potential of
Artificial Intelligence?
- Determining Political Objectives
- Updating the TACS/AAGS for Large-Scale Combat
Operations
- Bullets, Bandages, and Fairy Dust: Improving DMO
Health Services Support with Wargaming
- It’s the Chain That Broke It: The Strategic
Supply Chains Underpinning National Security
- Polybian Warfare: The First Punic War as a Case
Study in Strategic Competition and Joint Warfighting
- The Future of Stealth Military Doctrine
- The Biden Administration’s Nuclear Weapons Employment Guidance: Increased Cost and Reduced Deterrent Effectiveness
- Geopolitical Consequences of Ukraine’s Defeat
- A Modest Proposal to Improve Joint Professional Military Education
- International Law Studies, 2024, v. 104, no, 1 [special issue]
- International Law Studies, 2025, v. 106, no. 1
- China Maritime Report No. 44: Dirty But Preparing to Fight: VADM Li Pengcheng's Downfall Amid Increasing PLAN Readiness
- CMSI Translations #13: Mission Command Is Not The Antidote
- CMSI Translations #12: Strengthen Command Capabilities to Win Future Naval Battles
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- Trump II: A New Trajectory in Russia Relations for NATO Nordic States
- China and Saudi Arabia: A Deepening Strategic Partnership
- Current Trends in India’s National Security 2025
- Digital Public Infrastructure as a Catalyst for Private Sector Innovation
- The Future of Climate Cooperation between the United States and India
- India and the UK in 2025: A Primer
- India as a Digital Powerhouse: An Assessment of Young India’s Aspirations
- India’s AI Imperative: Building National Competencies in a New World Order
- Privacy in Practice: Strategies for Data Management in India
- Rebalancing Globalization: Perspectives from the Global South
- Renewing the EU-India Strategic Compact: Doing Better, Doing More, and Key How Not To’s
- The Role of BRICS Leadership in Forging Climate and Health Strategies for a One-Health World
- Strategic Diplomacy in the Indo-Pacific: The Case of Japan and the Philippines
- Triangular Partnerships: A Preferred Modality for a World in Crisis?
- Understanding the Link Between Food Insecurity and Negative Mental Health Outcomes
- Policing,
2024
- AI-related Data Ethics Oversight in UK Policing [open access article]
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- Embedding Critical Reflective Practice in Policing: Reflections from a Practitioner–Academic Collaboration in the Context of Technology-Facilitated Human Trafficking [open access article]
- Enhancing Accountability for Police Use of Lethal Force: Global Monitoring and Comparative Benchmarking [open access article]
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- How Far Have We Advanced in Simulation-Based Training for Policing and Law Enforcement? A Literature Review 2014–24 [open access article]
- How the Duty to Report Prevents Reporting and Reinforces Silence Around Sexual Harassment within the Police [open access article]
- The Landscape of Police Auditing in the USA: The State of the Art [open access article]
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- Policing Child Abuse in Kenya—Perspectives from the Frontline [open access article]
- Re-Defining Evidence-Based Policing [open access article]
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- How Biden Compares with Other Recent Presidents in Appointing Federal Judges
- Many Remote Workers Say They’d Be Likely to Leave Their Job If They Could No Longer Work from Home
- What the Data Says about Federal Workers
- Antisemitism in the Arabic-Speaking Sphere
- Jihadism Trends in 2024: Cases and Patterns in Review
- Rise of Online Antisemitism in Arabic Six Months Post October 7
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- Combating Forced Labor in Global Supply Chains: Is U.S. Trade Enforcement Making a Difference, and Can It Do More?
- Competing Visions of Restraint for U.S. Foreign Policy
- Countering Russia's 'Shadow Fleet'
- The Denazify Lie: Russia's Use of Extremist Narratives Against Ukraine
- Exploring Factors for U.S.-Russia Crisis Stability in Space
- The Fall of Assad Could Be a Turning Point for the Axis of U.S. Adversaries
- Finding and Using Policy-Relevant Data About Veterans: Availability, Accessibility, and Avenues for Improvement
- Forced Labor in Global Supply Chains: Trade Enforcement Impacts and Opportunities
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- Ho'okele Mua II, a Wargame About Climate Change and Operational Risk in INDOPACOM
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- Political Legitimacy and the People's Liberation Army
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- Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 2024
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- Old Wine, New Bottles? The Challenge of State Threats
- PPPs and Fighting Financial Crime in Ukraine
- Sanctions Alliances and Synergies
- Counter Terrorist Trends and Analysis (CTTA), January 2025, v. 17, no. 1
- Annual Threat Assessment
- Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism and Political
Aggression, 2024
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- Extremist Group Exits: What Autobiographies by Male Right-Wing Formers Reveal about Identity Transformation [open access article]
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- Civil Wars,
2024
- The Houthi Movement and the Management of Instability in Wartime Yemen [open access article]
- Critical Studies on Terrorism, 2024
- French Normalisation of Exceptional Powers as a Response to Terrorism Post-Paris Attacks [open access article]
- Defense & Security Analysis, 2024
- Between Idealism and Pragmatism: Iran’s Approach Towards the Russian Aggression against Ukraine in 2022 [open access article]
- Ethnic and Racial Studies, 2024
- Antiracism in Dark Times [open access article]
- The Far and Extreme Right in Documentaries: Euphemisation, Exceptionalisation, and Humanization [open access article]
- Once a Refugee, Always a Refugee? The Social Construction of Refugee Status after Resettlement [open access article]
- Revisiting the “Asian Gang” in Southern London and Eastern Oslo [open access article]
- Re-Vitalising the Asian Gang: Animated Muslim Agency [open access article]
- Violence as Method: the “White Replacement”, “White Genocide”, and “Eurabia” Conspiracy Theories and the Biopolitics of Networked Violence [open access article]
- Global Crime, 2025
- Radical Networks and Terrorist Action: The Importance of Social Relationships and Network Positions [open access article]
- SexWork.DK: A Comparative Study of Citizenship and Working Hours among Sex Workers in Denmark [open access article]
- Global Security: Health, Science and Policy, 2025
- Libya in Transition: Governance Challenges and Civil Society’s Prospects in Political and Economic Reforms [open access article]
- Journal of Policing, Intelligence and Counter
Terrorism, 2024
- Intelligence and the ‘Heart’ of the Terrorist: Managing the System of Systems to Discover and Respond to Tactics of Fear [open access article]
- International Journal of Intelligence and
CounterIntelligence, 2025
- An Ethical Framework for Economic Intelligence [open access article]
- Everybody Needs Help Sometimes: Facilitators of Soviet Defectors’ Publications [open access article]
- Russia’s Declining Satellite Reconnaissance Capabilities and Its Implications for Security and International Stability [open access article]
- Soviet Espionage in Sweden: The Vasilii Sidorenko Case of 1942 [open access article]
- The Triumph of HUMINT: The GDR Foreign Intelligence Services’ Collection of Defense Intelligence, 1951–1989 [open access article]
- Journal of Risk Research, 2024
- Understanding Threat Appraisal and Protective Action Concerning Forest Fires in Low-Exposure Regions: An Application of the Protective Action Decision Model [open access article]
- Journal of Strategic Studies, 2025
- The Digital Cult of the Offensive and the US Military [open access article]
- Policing and Society, 2024/2025
- Communicating and Categorising ‘Kidnap’ Incidents in UK Police Emergency Calls: A Conversation Analytic Study [open access article]
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- Small Wars & Insurgencies, 2024
- Rebel Group Branding and External Intervention [open access article]
- Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 2025
- One or Many? Disentangling the Puzzle of Pro-Government Militia Deployment [open access article]
- Terrorism and Political Violence, 2025
- Cognitive Distortions in Men Who Have Exited White Supremacist Group [open access article]
- What Is It to Explain Extremism? [open access article]
- The Watch, v. 5, 2024
- The Importance Of Trusted Defense Partners
- The Watch Interview: Commodore Raymond E. King,
Commander, Royal Bahamas Defence Force
- Information Warrior: Global Engagement Center
envoy fights growing wave of disinformation
- Strategic Advance: PRC forging deep economic ties
with Mexico
- Mexico Targeted By Russian Information Operations
After Ukraine Invasion
- PRC Influence in the Bahamas: A developing threat
to homeland defense
- Building Capacity: Mexico-U.S. Bilateral Military
Cooperation Roundtable
- Achieving Interoperability: The Bahamas-U.S.
Biliteral Security Cooperation Framework
- Vital Partnerships: Canadian Armed Forces foster
Caribbean partnerships to defend North America
- Strategic Advantage: Women, Peace, and Security
program
- Trusted Partner: The William J. Perry Center
- WHINSEC: Paves Way For Security Cooperation In
The Western Hemisphere
- Neighbors By Circumstance, Partners By Choice:
Mexico, U.S. work on bilateral solutions to mutual security threats
- Training U.N. Peacekeepers: Mexican Joint
Training Center for Peacekeeping Operations
- Eyes In The Sky: The National Center for Airspace
Protection and Surveillance
- Celebrating Tradition: Heroic Military Academy
Marks Bicentennial
- Defenders of the ‘Third border’
- Safeguarding Bermuda: The Royal Bermuda Regiment
- Fighting Illegal Trafficking: The Turks and
Caicos Islands Regiment
- Ensuring U.S. Security and Economic Strength in an Age of Artificial Intelligence
- National Resilience Strategy [Pres Biden]
- Executive Order on Strengthening and Promoting Innovation in the Nation’s Cybersecurity [Pres Biden]
- FACT SHEET: New Executive Order on Strengthening and Promoting Innovation in the Nation’s Cybersecurity [Pres Biden]
- FACT SHEET: Safeguarding America from National Security Risks of Connected Vehicle Technology from China and Russia [Pres Biden]
- Investing in America Report: Today’s Investments, Tomorrow’s Future [Pres. Biden]
- REPORT: The Biden-Harris Administration Roadmap for Pandemic Preparedness and Response
- REPORT: Record-Low Crime During the Biden-Harris Administration