Friday's Miscellany 11-20-2023

 38 North

• Is the US-ROK Alliance Prepared for a Multipolar World? 
• North Korea-Iran Relations Post-JCPOA 

 Africa Center for Strategic Studies

• China’s First Political School in Africa 

 AidData

• Belt and Road Reboot: Beijing’s Bid to De-Risk Its Global Infrastructure Initiative 

 Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

• Medical Surveillance Monthly Report (MSMR), October 2032, v. 30, no. 10 
• Incidence of Colorectal Cancer Among Active Component Service Members, 2010–2022
• Force Protection Risks in AFRICOM, INDOPACOM and SOUTHCOM Due to Rapid Diagnostic Test Failures for Falciparum  Malaria, 2016–202
• Completeness and Timeliness of Reporting Notifiable Medical Events, U.S. Military Active Component and Other DOD Beneficiaries, 2018–2022
• Reportable Medical Events, Military Health System Facilities, Week 35, Ending September 2, 2023

 Army University Press

• Journal of Military Learning, October 2023 
• CivMX: Onboarding West Point Civilians to the Army Profession through the Civilian Military Experience
• Understanding “Leadergogy”: The Unique Teaching and Learning Methods in a Leader Development Course
• Military Instructors’ Perspectives on Interactive Multimedia Application in Military Classrooms
• Peer Coaching as a Leader Development Tool in Professional Military Education

 Asan Institute for Policy Studies

• How Should South Korea Respond to Youths’ Worsening Perception of China? 

 Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

• Balancing Act: Assessing China’s Growing Economic Influence in ASEAN
• What Does China Want From COP28? 

 Atlantic Council

• Deterrence is Crumbling in Korea: How We Can Fix It 
• Future of the Cities Summit of the Americas 
• Investigating China’s Economic Coercion: The Reach and Role of Chinese Corporate Entities 

 Australian Defence College (ADC)

• Australian Journal of Defence and Strategic Studies, v. 5, no. 2, November 2023 
• Conventional war is dead! Long live conventional war
• AUKUS-plus: the future of Indonesia’s bebas dan aktif foreign policy in the context of South-East Asian regional tension
• Energy transition and national security: the potential application of integrated assessment models
• Strategic thinking in hierarchical cultures: using leadership to transform rhetoric into reality 
• Six ideas on fighting power interdependence – building the fighting power system
• China’s discordant grey-zone grand strategy
• Warfare in an age of mutually assured precision
• Don’t’ look down: Australia’s Antarctic interests
• Defence by denial: American military strategy in the twenty-first century and its implications for Asia
• War’s logic by Antulio J Echevarria
• The echidna strategy by Sam Roggeveen

 Australian National University Press

• Adapting for Inertia: Delivering Large Government ICT Projects in Australia and New Zealand 

 Baker Institute for Public Policy

• The Pride and Prejudice of Sustainability: Rethinking Sustainability From a Systems Perspective 

 Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

• Cities and Regions for a Blue Economy  
• Why could Regenerative Agriculture be a Solution? The “Chianti Classico Model” 

 Belfer Center for Science & International Affairs

• Forging a Democratic Decision Advantage 

 Bipartisan Policy Center

• Green Light to Growth: Estimating the Economic Benefits of Clearing Green Card Backlogs 

 Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

• The End of the Social Justice Agenda 

 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

• Emergency Management and Information Integrity: A Framework for Crisis Response 

 CATO Institute

• Trade and Investment Are Not a Balancing Act 

 Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

• Rolling the Iron Dice: The Increasing Chance of Conflict Protraction 
• The Russia Stability Tracker 

 Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

• Optimizing Export Controls for Critical and Emerging Technologies: Reviewing Control Lists, Expanded Rules, and Covered Items 
• The Role of AGOA in Accelerating Africa’s Digital Transformation 

 Center on Islam, Democracy and the Future of the Muslim World

• Current Trends in Islamist Ideology, October 2023, v. 33 
• “Why We Are Waging Jihad”: A Critical Translation of Lashkar-e-Tayyaba’s Foundational Document
• The Spanish Role in the Institutionalization of the Muslim Brotherhood in Europe
• Yemen’s Truce: The Calm before the Storm
• Zakir Naik’s Impact on Malaysia: Religion and Politics
• Danger at Senegal’s Gates: The Jihadist Expansion toward Southwestern Mali
• The Islamic State’s Central Asian Contingents and Their International Threat

 Center on Terrorism, Extremism, and Counterterrorism

• Lawful Extremism: Extremist Ideology and the Dred Scott Decision 

 Chicago Council on Global Affairs

• Americans Feel More Threat from China Now Than in past Three Decades 
• Americans Say US Has Not Gone Far Enough on China Trade Issues 

 Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• Digital Global Gateway: How Can We Help? 
• Kleptocracy versus Democracy 

 Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

• CBO’s Interactive Force Structure Tool 
• The U.S. Military’s Force Structure: Fiscal Year 2024 Update to Personnel Numbers and Costs 

 Counter Extremism Project (CEP)

• Abdullah al-Faisal’s Ties to Extremists 
• Ahmad Musa Jibril's Ties to Extremists 
• How the Houthis Built Their Arsenal: Defense and Intelligence Procurement 
• A Year of Foreign Fighting for Ukraine: Catching Fish with Bare Hands? 

 Daniel K. Inouye Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies

• Security Nexus, 2023, v. 24  
• Everything Everywhere All at Once: Wars, Climate Change, Natural Disasters, Coups, and Economic Collapse 
• Rethinking the Approach to Security Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific 

 Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

• Cyber Espionage: A Challenge To International Law In The Age Of Intelligence Competition 
• Employment Effects of Foreign Agricultural Investments – Expectations Unfulfilled? 
• Managing Africa's Resources Equitably Demands Accountable States 
• Paying the Price: The Political Economy of Checkpoints in Somalia 
• Tropical Rainforests and Global Warming 

 Defense AI Observatory  (DAIO)

• Servers Before Tanks?: Defence AI in Denmark 

 Department of Defense (DOD)

• 2022 Demographics Profile of the Military Community /

 Department of Homeland Security Office of the Inspector General

• OIG-24-03 Limited-Scope Unannounced Inspection of Mesa Verde ICE Processing Center in Bakersfield, California 
• OIG-24-04 Results of Unannounced Inspections of CBP Holding Facilities in the Miami Area 
• OIG-24-05 Major Management and Performance Challenges Facing the Department of Homeland Security 

 Department of State Office of the Inspector General

• Lead Inspector General for Operation Inherent Resolve I Quarterly Report to the United States Congress I July 1, 2023 - September 30, 2023 

 Duke Sanford School of Public Policy

• Data Brokers and the Sale of Data on U.S. Military Personnel: Risks to Privacy, Safety, and National Security 

 European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats (Hybrid CoE)

• Identity as a Tool for Disinformation: Exploiting Social Divisions in Modern Societies 

 European Commission

• Key findings of the 2023 Report on Türkiye 

 European Union (EU)

• Being Black in the EU: Experiences of People of African Descent 
• European Drought Risk Atlas 

 European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)

• Africa Atlas: Mapping the Future of the AU-EU Partnership 
• From Cyber to Hearts and Minds: Cyber Operations and the Battle for Global Influence 

 Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) & CISA

• Planning Considerations for Cyber Incidents: Guidance for Emergency Managers 

 Financial Action Task Force (FATF) 

• Cambodia's Progress In Strengthening Measures to Tackle Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing 
• Illicit Financial Flows from Cyber-enabled Fraud 
• Mongolia's Progress In Strengthening Measures to Tackle Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing 
• Myanmar's Progress In Strengthening Measures to Tackle Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing 
• Thailand's Progress In Strengthening Measures to Tackle Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing 

 Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

• Ukraine’s Political Model Recast: Assessing New Opportunities and Risks 

 Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)              

• Australia and India’s New Military Bases: Responses to China’s Naval Presence in the Indian Ocean 
• The Dragon and the Bear in Africa: Stress-Testing Chinese-Russian Relations 

 Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD)

• Boeing’s Cyber Incident Highlights Need for Greater Information Sharing 
• The Counter Ransomware Initiative Takes the Fight to Hackers — But Commitments Appear Lackluster 
• How the U.S. Can Slash Tehran’s Oil Revenue 

 French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

• How to Meet the Industrial Challenge of Electric Mobility in France and in Europe 

 George Washington University Program on Extremism

• The Hamas Networks in America: A Short History 
• Into the Abyss: QAnon and the Militia Sphere in the 2020 Election 

 German Institute for International and Security Affairs (GIISA)

• Diplomacy in the Context of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine 
• Predicting Irregular Migration: High Hopes, Meagre Results 
• Turkey in the Black Sea Region: Ankara’s Reactions to the War in Ukraine against the Background of Regional Dynamics and Global Confrontation 

 German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

• Coping with Complexity: Dealing with Non-State Armed Actors 

 Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime

• ENACT Organised Crime Index: Africa 2023 

 Global Network on Extremism & Technology (GNET)

• For the Lutz?: AI-Generated Subliminal Hate is a New Challenge in the Fight against Online Harm 
• How the Indian Far-Right is Using the Israeli Conflict to Spread Islamophobic Disinformation 
• A Revival of Online Propaganda Ecosystems in Afghanistan and Pakistan 
• 'Yup, Another Far-Right Classic': The Propaganda of Far-Right Content on TikTol in Malayasia, Indonesia, and the Philippines 

 Globsec 

• What is the Path Forward for Slovakia’s Hungarians? 

 Government Accountability Office (GAO)

• Air Traffic Control Modernization: Program Management Improvements Could Help FAA Address NextGen Delays and Challenges GAO-24-105254 
• Army Corps of Engineers: Better Data and Planning Needed to Combat Aquatic Invasive Species GAO-24-105960 
• Public Health Preparedness: Building and Maintaining Infrastructure beyond the COVID-19 Pandemic GAO-24-105891 

 Government of Canada

• Canada’s Indo-Pacific Strategy 

 Hague Centre for Strategic Studies  (HCSS) 

• Advancing European Mineral Security: Insights from the Dutch Industry 
• The Changing Character of Command 
• HCSS-NATO HQ SACT Symposium Report | Rethinking Fire and Manoeuvre across the Physical and Non-Physical Aspects of Domains 
• Multi-Domain Operations: Passing the Torch          
• The Promise and Peril of Emerging Disruptive Technologies for Joint and Combined Multi-Domain Operations 
• The Socio-Political Instability Observer: September 2023 

 Henry Jackson Society

• Getting a Foot in the Door: Creating a Future Russia Now 

 Human Rights Watch 

• “Tanks on the Playground”: Attacks on Schools and Military Use of Schools in Ukraine 
• “They Promised to Kill 30”: Police Killings in Baixada Santista, São Paulo state, Brazil  
• “This Hell Was My Only Option”: Abuses Against Migrants and Asylum Seekers Pushed to Cross the Darién Gap 

 IJ Infinity Group

• Military Strategy Magazine, Summer 2023, v. 9, no. 1 
• Co-Opting Clausewitz: Using On War to Explain Success and Failure in the War in Ukraine
• The Roots of Bad Strategy
• Civil War Comes to the West
• Establishing the Realm of the Possible: Logistics and Military Strategy
• The Missing Strategic Theory Link in African Conflicts
• Should Strategists Worry About the Philosophy of Artificial Intelligence?

 Information Technology & Innovation Foundation (ITIF)

• Taking Stock of Phase One of the FTC’s Case Against Amazon 
• The United States Is Already Playing Catch Up with Digital Twins 

 Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA) 

• The Forgotten Fact of “China-Occupied Kashmir” 
• Muizzu as the Eighth President of the Maldives: Implications for India-Maldives Relations 
• Philippines and Shifting Dynamics in the South China Sea 

 Institute for Security & Development Policy (ISDP)

• From Alipay to the Digital Yuan: China’s Fintech Revolution 

 Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD)  

• Hate of the Nation: A Landscape Mapping of Observable, Plausibly Hateful Speech on Social Media 
• Tangled Web: The Interconnected Online Landscape of Hate Speech, Extremism, Terrorism and Harmful Conspiracy Movements in the UK 

 Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

• Amid Israel-Hamas War, India becomes Wild Card in an Emerging China-Russia-Iran Order across Eurasia 

 Institute for the Study of War

• China-Taiwan Weekly Update
• November 10, 2023 
• Iran Update
• November 6 
• November 7 
• November 8 
• November 9 
• November 10 
• November 11 
• November 12 
• Russia’s Military Restructuring and Expansion Hindered by the Ukraine War 
• Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
• November 6 
• November 7 
• November 8 
• November 9 
• November 10 
• November 11 
• November 12 
• Salafi-Jihadi Movement Weekly Update
• November 8, 2023 

 Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

• The EU’s Geopolitical Enlargement 
• Europe is Stuck Over the Israel-Hamas War 
• Kosovo Women’s Political Activism for Greater Representation 
• Technologies to Protect Global Forests: The Case of Indonesia 

 International Centre for Defence and Security (ICDS)

• The Impact of Ukrainian Membership on the EU’s Institutions and Internal Balance of Power 

 International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR)

• Childhood Innocence?: Mapping Trends in Teenage Terrorism Offenders 

 International Crisis Group

• Thin Ice in the Himalayas: Handling the India-China Border Dispute 

 Irregular Warfare Center (IWC)

• Devil Went Down to Georgia: Executing Cyberspace Resistance to Counter Russia 

 Jamestown Foundation

• China Brief, November 10, 2023, v. 23, no. 20 
• The Cross-Strait Intelligence Contest Continues Without Quarter
• Issues of Centralization, From Financial Work To Personnel
• Challenges For Beijing’s Digital Renminbi Ambitions
• Money Alone Is Not Enough: The Future Of The China-Argentina Relationship
• Terrorism Monitor, October 31,  2023, v. 21, no. 21 
• Brief: ISCAP Attacks Western Tourists in Uganda
• Brief: ISGS Expands Offensive in Burkina Faso and Niger
• Hamas Attacks on Israel Mobilize Supporters in Europe
• Tajikistan Seeks Regional Partners to Counter Threats from Afghanistan
• Nigerien Coup Offers Window of Opportunity for Jihadist Groups in the Sahel

 Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

• Immigration and Integration in the Ever More Diverse Houston Area 

 MITRE

• The MITRE AI Maturity Model and Organizational Assessment Tool Guide 
• Opportunities for Generative AI in Biotechnology 

 National Academies Press 

• Applying Lessons Learned from COVID-19 Research and Development to Future Epidemics: Proceedings of a Workshop 
• Artificial Intelligence to Assist Mathematical Reasoning: Proceedings of a Workshop  
• Developing an Emergency Response Playbook for State Transportation Agencies  
• An Emergency Management Playbook for State Transportation Agencies  
• Forum on Medical and Public Health Preparedness for Disasters and Emergencies: 2022 Annual Report 
• State DOT Models for Organizing and Operating Emergency Response: A Guide  

 National Institute for Public Policy (NIPP)

• The Democratization of Deterrence: The Impact of Individuals and the Private Sector on Strategic Deterrence 
• How Many Nuclear Weapons Does Russia Have? The Size and Characteristics of the Russian Nuclear Stockpile 
• TLAM-N and SLCM-N: Lessons for Extended Deterrence and Assuring Allies 

 NATO Cooperative Cyber Defense Centre of Excellence

• Autonomous Cyber Capabilities and Unilateral Measures of Self-Help against Malicious Cyber Operations 

 NATO Defense College

• Anyplace, Anywhere, Anytime - NATO and Multi-Domain 

 Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI)

• The Corruption of the American Mind – How Concealed Foreign Funding of U.S. Higher Education Predicts Erosion of Democratic Values and Antisemitic Incidents on Campus 

 New America

• The Rise of Techno-Nationalism 
• The Uncertainty of the Unthinkable: Imagining the Future of Nuclear Dangers to the United States 

 Observer Research Foundation

• Catalysing Progress through Capacity-Building Initiatives: Learnings from India’s Pan-African e-Network Project in Ghana and Malawi 
• China’s Response to ‘De-risking’ Strategy of the West 
• Harnessing India’s Demographic and Gender Dividend 
• The Social and Political Dimensions of Ethnic Conflicts in Manipur 
• Tracing the Strategic Dimensions of India-Russia Relations 
• Treading a Pragmatic Path: Russia in Afghanistan after August 2021 

 Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE)

• Enhanced Understanding on Freedom of Movement in all Phases of the Conflict Cycle 

 Peace Research Institute of Frankfurt (PRIF/HSFK)

• Rodrigo Duterte: The Legacy of a Widely Popular Strongman President 

 Potomac Institute for Policy Studies

• Elements of Global Competition  

 Project on Middle East Political Science (POMEPS)

• Urban Politics in the Middle East 

 Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft

• The Conventional Wisdom About the Chinese Military Challenge: Incomplete and Unpersuasive 

 Rand Corporation

• AI and Geopolitics: How Might AI Affect the Rise and Fall of Nations? 
• Reducing Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Technical Violations of Probation or Parole Supervision 
• A Revised Recruiting Resource Model for Achieving the Army Personnel Strategy: Accounting for Digital Advertising 
• Valuing Army Installation Resilience Investments for Natural Hazards: Exploring the Use of Insurance Methods and Historical Installation Storm Damage 

 Recorded Future

• Charting China’s Climb as a Leading Global Cyber Power 

 Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

• Critical Minerals in the Energy Transition: Environmental and Human Security Risks 
• Russia’s Use of Hydrocarbons in its Foreign Policy since the Ukraine Invasion 
• Saudi Arabia: The Kingdom of Oil 
• Six Principles for a More Dynamic and Effective UK–China Strategy 

 Small Arms Survey

• Changing Lakes State? Rin Tueny’s Inclusive Deterrence Approach in Practice 

 Small Wars Journal  

• Ensuring the Success of America’s First University-Based Irregular Warfare Research Center 
• Irregular Warfare:  Undermining the CCP’s Dangerous and Illegal Activities in the Indo-Pacific 
• Versatility at the Tip of the Spear: Food Security and the Utility of SOF 
• Whistling in the Dark: Why the Pentagon’s Joint Concept for Competing is Not Enough 

 South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

• Digital Identification and Biometrics In East Africa: Opportunities and Concerns 
• Geopolitical Energy Futures in South Africa: Strategic Policy Pathways to 2035 

 Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS)

• China’s and Russia’s Narratives on Ukraine: Examining the Boundaries of Political Alignment 
• Will Putin Start Compulsory Mass Mobilisation? 

 Taylor & Francis

• Critical Studies on Terrorism, 2023
• Critical Terrorism Studies and Numbers: Engagements, Openings, and Future Research [open access article] 
• Obstacles and Facilitators to Intimate Bystanders Reporting Violent Extremism or Targeted Violence  [open access article] 
• Terrorism and Politically Motivated Violence in the Recent History of the Basque Country. Descriptive Study of What Teachers in Training Know [open access article] 
• Policing and Society, 2023
• Public Support for Empowering Police during the COVID-19 Crisis: Evidence from London [open access article] 
• ‘Strands in a Cable’: Effective Investigator Decision-Making using Forensic Identification Evidence in Volume Crime Investigations [open access article] 
• Security Studies, 2023
• Is multi-method research more convincing than single-method research? An analysis of International Relations journal articles, 1980–2018 [open access article] 
• Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 2023
• An Attack against Us All? Perceived Similarity and Compassion for the Victims Mediate the Effects of News Coverage about Right-Wing Terrorism [open access article] 
• Blowin’ in the Wind? The Musical Response to the War on Terror [open access article] 
• Investigating the Influence of Islamic State’s Discourse in Jordan [open access article] 
• To Escalate, or Not to Escalate? Private Military and Security Companies and Conflict Severity  [open access article] 
• Too Close for Comfort: Cyber Terrorism and Information Security across National Policies and International Diplomacy [open access article] 

 Toda Peace Institute

• A 5-Point Peace Plan - Palestine and Israel  
• Climate Change and (Im)Mobility: Implication for PICTs at Home 
• The Digital Battlefield: The Taliban’s Case of Co-opting Social Media for Warfare and Governance 
• How Should States Manage Climate Mobilities and Planned Relocations? Early Lessons From Fiji and Vanuatu 

 Union of Concerned Scientists

• Strengthening and Diversifying the Federal STEM Workforce 

 University College London Press

• Violent Extremism: A Handbook of Risk Assessment and Management [digital version is open access] 

 World Weather Attributic

• Human-Induced Climate Change Compounded by Socio-Economic Water Stressors Increased Severity of Drought in Syria, Iraq and Iran