Friday's Miscellany 06-02-2023

 38 North

• Sohae Satellite Launching Station: Busy Morning Post-launch 
• Sohae Satellite Launching Station: Imagery Evidence of a Pending Satellite Launch 
• Sohae Satellite Launching Station: Post-launch Clarity 

 Alliance Canada Hong Kong

• Murky Waters:  Beijing’s Influence in Canadian Democratic and Electoral Processes 

 American Enterprise Institute

• Pivot to Offense:  How Iran Is Adapting for Modern Conflict and Warfare 

 Amnesty International

• Lethal Racism:  Extrajudicial Executions and Unlawful Use of Force by Peru’s Security Forces 
• Nigeria:  Tainted Sale?  Why Shell’s Divestment from the Niger Delta Must Not Harm Human Rights 
• The Taliban’s War on Women:  The Crime Against Humanity of Gender Persecution in Afghanistan 
• Turn a New Chapter:  A Human Rights Agenda for Lesotho’s New Government 

 Asia-Pacific Leadership Network (APLN)

• From Minimum to Limited Deterrence: China’s Nuclear Build-Up and Future Implications 

 Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)

• The Big Squeeze 

 Atlantic Council

• Autonomy and Asymmetry:  The Future of Norway’s Defense, 2022-2042 
• China’s Subsea-Cable Power in the Middle East and North Africa 

 Baker Institute for Public Policy

• Should Abu Dhabi Quit OPEC? Reconsidering the UAE’s Membership 
• Toward a Comprehensive Brain Deal to Harness the Potential of Artificial Intelligence 
• Understanding the Risk of Firearm Violence in the Houston Area 

 Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

• A Critical Juncture: EU’s Venezuela Policy Following the War in Ukraine                  

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

• The Azerbaijan-Armenia Peace Talks: Lessons from Israel and Egypt 

 Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

• African Agency in International Climate Policy and Energy Geopolitics 
• Reach, Choice, and Transparency: Governing the Internet in the 21st Century 

 Bonn International Center for Conversion (BICC)                  

• When the 'War Attitude' Persists: How Pro-Government Militias affect Society in the Long Run 

 Brookings

• Digitalization and Digital Skills Gaps in Africa: An Empirical Profile 

 Bruegel

• The Rising Cost of European Union Borrowing and What to Do About It 

 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace       

• Hobo Economicus 
• Is the Global Tide Turning in Favor of Democracy? 
• The Resilience and Trauma of Ukraine’s Civil Society 

 Cato Institute

• Coordinating Humanitarian Entry in the United States and Mexico: A Bilateral Approach to U.S. Legal Migration 
• Poll:  Only 16% of Americans Support the Government Issuing a Central Bank Digital Currency 

 Center for Climate Security (CCS)

• Water Weaponization: Its Forms, Its Use in the Russia-Ukraine War, and What to Do About It 

 Center for Long-Term Cybersecurity (CLTC)

• Future Directions in Corporate Disclosure on Digital Responsibility 

 Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

• China-Russia Space Cooperation: The Strategic, Military, Diplomatic, and Economic Implications of a Growing Relationship 

 Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET)

• A Matrix for Selecting Responsible AI Frameworks 

 Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

• Inclusive Innovation for U.S. Economic Growth and Resiliency 
• Mapping the Semiconductor Supply Chain:  The Critical Role of the Indo-Pacific Region 
• Optimizing Export Controls for Critical and Emerging Technologies 
• Securing Semiconductor Supply Chains in the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity—Squaring the Circle on Deeper Cooperation 
• Timeline of China’s Deleveraging Campaign:  2013–2021 

 Center on Islam, Democracy and the Future of the Muslim World

• Current Trends in Islamist Ideology, April 2023, v. 32 
• A “Sahelian” or a “Littoral” Crisis? Examining the Widening of Nigeria’s Boko Haram Conflict
• Pro-Islamic State Narratives on Women and Feminism: Analyzing IS Supporters’ India-Centric Narratives
• The Mahsa Amini Protests and the Defeat of Islamism in Iran
• Lashkar-e-Jhangvi’s Role in the Afghanistan-Pakistan Militant Infrastructure
• Examining Theological Justifications for Kadyrovite Chechens Fighting in Ukraine

 Centre for European Reform (CER)

• CER Bulletin, no, 150, June/July 2023 
• 25 Years On...
• Why the EU can be Tougher on China
• The Commission: More Power Demands More Accountability
• Erdoğan's Victory and the West 
• The EU Cannot Leave It To the US and China To Slug It Out 

 Centre for Independent Studies

• Bonds of Belonging – Renewing Democracy in an Atomised Age 

 China Aerospace Studies Institute (CASI)

• CASI Webinar: PRC Hypersonics Research Landscape 
• What is China Doing at the Lunar Distant Retrograde Orbit? 

 Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

• Experts Insights: Russia and Ukraine 

 College of Europe

• Bordering in the EU – How the New Pact on Asylum and Migration Challenges Human Rights Obligations 

 Defense Science Board (DSB)

• 2020 DSB Summer Study on New Dimensions of Conflict Executive Summary 

 Department of Defense (DOD)

• Ukraine Fact Sheet – May 31, 2023 

 Department of Defense, Inspector General (DODIG)

• DODIG-2023-078 Audit of the DoD’s Implementation and Oversight of the Controlled Unclassified Information Program  

 Department of State

• A Strategic Framework for Space Diplomacy 

 Economic Research Forum

• Digitalization and Firm Performance in The Middle East and North Africa: Case Studies of Jordan, Morocco, and Egypt 
• Digitalization and Disruptive Technologies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) Regions 

 Egmont—The Royal Institute for International Relations

• War for Ukraine and the Rediscovery of Geopolitics: Must the EU Draw New Battlelines or Keep an Open Door? 

 European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats (Hybrid CoE)

• Vulnerabilities and Hybrid Threats in the Canadian Arctic: Resilience as Defence 

 European Council on Foreign Relations                   

• Brace Yourself: How the 2024 US Presidential Election Could Effect Europe  

 European Network for Economic and Fiscal Policy Research (EconPol)

• The Global Impact of the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act: Evidence from an International Expert Survey 
• How Sanctions Work - And Which Goals They Fail to Achieve 

 European Policy Centre (EPC)

• Here’s What to Expect on China, AI, Green Energy, and More When EU and US Officials Meet in Sweden 

 European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center (ESISC)

• The Use of Law and Military Justice to Repress "Political Dissent" in Lebanon: The Omar Harfouch Case 

 European Union Agency for Cybersecurity (ENISA)

• 5G Security Controls Matrix 

 Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

• Fiji's Progress in Strengthening Measures to Tackle Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing 
• Qatar's Measures to Combat Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing 

 Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

• Outlining EU-Turkey Relations: The Impacts of the Ukraine War and Turkey’s Crucial Elections 

 Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

• China Is Doubling Down on its Digital Currency 
• The Implications of a US Debt Default on National Security 
• Russia’s Alleged Arms Shipment in South Africa 

 German Council on Foreign Relations (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e. V.)

• Coping with Technology Sanctions in the Russian Financial Sector 

 German Marshall Fund of the United States 

• Countering SLAPPs in Hungary, Poland, and the Rest of the EU 
• Strengthening U.S.-EU Cooperation on Technical Standards in an Era of Strategic Competition 

 Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime

• The Business of Kidnapping: Criminality in Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo 
• Tarnished Hope:  Crime and Corruption in South Sudan’s Gold Sector 
• UN 'Cybercrime Treaty' 

 Global Network on Extremism & Technology (GNET)          

• First-Person Propaganda, First-Person Shooters, and Gamification: A Different View 

 Government Accountability Office (GAO)

• Child Care: Observations on States' Use of COVID-19 Pandemic-Related Funding GAO-23-106833 
• Environmental Sustainability: DOD Should Identify Workforce Capacity Needed to Achieve Goals GAO-23-105239 
• F-35 Joint Strike Fighter: More Actions Needed to Explain Cost Growth and Support Engine Modernization Decision GAO-23-106047 
• Information Technology: DHS Needs to Continue Addressing Critical Legacy Systems GAO-23-106853 
• Science & Tech Spotlight: Directed Energy Weapons GAO-23-106717 
• Zoonotic Diseases: Federal Actions Needed to Improve Surveillance and Better Assess Human Health Risks Posed by Wildlife GAO-23-105238 

 Henley Putnam University

• Journal of Strategic Security, 2023, v. 16, no. 2 
• Disrupting Deterrence Signaling: Examining the Fifth Wave of Technology’s Impact
• Extended Space Deterrence: Providing Security Assurance in Space
• Counterterrorism Law and Policy in the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia: A Comparative Perspective 
• Desperate and Opportunistic: CBRN Terrorists and Civilian Radiological Material
• A Taxonomy of Radiofrequency Jamming and Spoofing Strategies and Criminal Motives
• The Brave New World of Third Party Location Data
• How Putin's Cyberwar Failed in Ukraine

 Hoover Institution

• Strategika 85 - Alliances Hostile to American Interests 
• The United States: A Nation in Need of a Leader
• Overcoming the Axis of Tyranny
• The Quadruple Axis And Its Nemesis

 Hoover's China Leadership Monitor

• China Leadership Monitor, Summer 2023, no. 76 
• China’s Economy after Covid-19 
• When Grid Meets Web: How COVID-19 Extended the Party-State’s Capacity for Social Control at the Grassroots 
• Xi Jinping’s New Economic Team and Government Re-organization 
• A “Superior Relationship”: How the Invasion of Ukraine Has Deepened the Sino-Russian Partnership 
• Crisis Management and the Taiwan Situation: Chinese Views and Conflict Avoidance 
• China’s Response to the U.S. Trade War 

 Hudson Institute

• Fighting into the Bastions: Getting Noisier to Sustain the US Undersea Advantage 

 Information Technology & Innovation Foundation (ITIF)

• Data Isn’t the New Oil; That Might Be a Good Thing 
• How to Restore Limiting Principles for “Unfair Methods of Competition” in Antitrust Law 

 Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

• Building Energy Modeling and Resilient Department of Defense Installations:  Accounting for Climate Change 

 Institute for the Study of War

• China-Taiwan Weekly Update
• June 2, 2023 
• Iran Update
• May 30 
• May 31 
• June 1 
• June 2 
• Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
• May 29 
• May 30 
• May 31 
• June 1 
• June 2 
• June 3 
• June 4 
• Salafi-Jihadi Movement Update Special Edition: Protests in Pakistan
• May 31, 2023 

 Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

• A Critical Juncture: EU’s Venezuela Policy Following the War in Ukraine 

 Institute of Strategic Studies Islamabad

• Democratic Backslide in Contemporary India 

 International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

• A Practitioner’s Guide to Working with Children in VE-Affiliated Families: Protecting the Rights of the Child 

 International Centre for Defence and Security (ICDS)

• China and Rare Earths: Risks to Supply Chain Resilience in Europe 

 Irregular Warfare Center

• Utopia or Oblivion? 

 Jamestown Foundation

• China Brief, June 2, 2023, v. 23, no. 10 
• The People’s War on Drugs Rolls On
• A Tale of Two Summits: G7 Displays Unity as China Courts Central Asia
• Will France’s China Gamble Endanger Transatlantic Ties?
• China’s Role in the Modernization of Malawi’s Agriculture Sector
• Missile Defense in South Korea: Will President Yoon Heed China’s Concerns?

 Lowy Institute for International Relations 

• Chips, Subsidies, Security, and Great Power Competition 
• Digital Threats to Democracy Dialogue Summary Report 
• Southeast Asia Aid Map 

 Marine Corps University Press

• Journal of Advanced Military Studies, 2023, v. 14, no. 1 
• PART I: The Singleton Paradox: On the Future of Human-Machine Teaming and Potential Disruption of War Itself
• PART II: Whale Songs of Wars Not Yet Waged: The Demise of Natural-Born Killers through Human-Machine Teamings Yet to Come
• Future Warfare and Responsibility Management in the AI-based Military Decision-making Process
• Colonel John Boyd’s Thoughts on Disruption: A Useful Effects Spiral from Uncertainty to Chaos
• Future Bioterror and Biowarfare Threats for NATO’s Armed Forces until 2030
• Sovereignty, Cyberspace, and the Emergence of Internet Bubbles
• The Nationalization of Cybersecurity: The Potential Effects of the Cyberspace Solarium Commission Report on the Nation’s Critical Infrastructure
• Including Africa Threat Analysis in Force Design 2030
• The Deficiency of Disparity: The Limits of Systemic Theory and the Need for Strategic Studies in Power Transition Theory
• Intermediate Force Capabilities: Countering Adversaries across the Competition Continuum
• The Human Weapon System in Gray Zone Competition
• "Trying Not to Lose It": The Allied Disaster in France and the Low Countries, 1940

 Martens Centre for European Studies

• The Ukraine War and Its Implications for European Security 

 Middle East Institute (MEI)

• Putting Diplomacy First in the Middle East:  Creating Incentives for De-Escalation  

 MITRE

• Reopening & Operating Safely: A Testing Program Model for Future Public Health Emergencies 

 National Academies Press 

• Airport Lessons Learned from the COVID-19 Pandemic  
• Confucius Institutes at U.S. Institutions of Higher Education: Waiver Criteria for the Department of Defense 
• Fundamental Research in High Energy Density Science  

 National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

• Extremists of a Feather Flock Together? Community Structure and Patterns of Homophily in the US Islamist Co-Offending Network 

 NATO Cooperative Cyber Defense Centre of Excellence

• National Approaches to the Supply Chain Cybersecurity: Taking a More Restrictive Stance against High-Risk Vendors 

 NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence

• Defence Strategic Communications, Spring 2023, v. 12 
• Why Strategic Ambiguity is so Ambiguous 
• The Clarity Trap
• Unmapping the Indo-Pacific: A Strategic Communications Perspectives
• Strategic Communications, Ambiguity, and Taiwan
• Sanctions, Communication, and Ambiguity
• Geopolitiics by Metaphor: The Sweet Spot between Specificity and Ambiguity
• Talking about War Crimes: War Crimes Discourse and Strategy
• Hybrid after All: The 'Grey Zone', and the 'Hybrid Warfare' Debate, and the PLA's Science of Military Strategy
• Inherent Strategic Ambiguity between Objectives and Actions: Russia's 'Information War'
• Weathering the Storm: The European Union's Strategic Ambiguity on Twitter during the COVID-19 Pandemic
• Exploratory Research Report on the Information Environment in a Political and Security Crisis Context in the Sahel Region 
• Understanding Strategic Communications: NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence Terminology Working Group Publication No. 3

 Observer Research Foundation

• Debt ad Infinitum:  Pakistan’s Macroeconomic Catastrophe 

 Peace Research Institute of Frankfurt (PRIF/HSFK)

• Police Use of Deadly Force in Brazil and the Philippines: What Macro-Level Factors Tell Us 

 Policy Exchange (UK)

• Rule 39 and the Rule of Law 

 Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft

• Defense Contractor Funded Think Tanks Dominate Ukraine Debate 

 RAND Corporation

• Chinese Next-Generation Psychological Warfare:  The Military Applications of Emerging Technologies and Implications for the United States 
• Climate Change Dilemmas for UK Defense and Security:  Exploring Implications, Challenges, Opportunities and Threats Through Future Scenarios 
• "Conditions for Post-service Success Are Set Well Before the Uniform Comes Off":  Proceedings from a Roundtable on How Military Service Affects Veterans' Post-transition Outcomes 
• Designing a New Framework for the U.S. Space Force Workforce 
• Examining New Approaches for Implementing Vaccine Mandates Within the Department of Defense:  How Lessons Learned from COVID-19 Vaccine Mandates Could Improve Future Vaccination Campaigns 
• Great-Power Competition and Conflict in the Middle East Great-Power Competition and Conflict in the Middle East
• National Guard Youth ChalleNGe:  Program Progress in 2021–2022 
• Teachers' Views on School Safety: Consensus on Many Security Measures, but Stark Division about Arming Teachers 

 Recorded Future

• Private Eyes: China’s Embrace of Open-Source Military Intelligence 

 Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

• Art of Tasseography:  China–Russia Relations as Viewed from China 

 S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

• Cyberspace and American Power – The US Cybersecurity Strategy 2023 

 Small Wars Journal

• Drone Swarms and Amphibious Operations 
• An Unconventional Warfare Mindset: The Philosophy of Special Forces Must be Sustained 

 South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

• Governance and Community Participation in Marine and Coastal EbA in SADC 
• Livelihood Opportunities Through Scaling Marine and Coastal EbA 

 Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS)

• Russia-China Energy Relations Since 24 February: Consequences and Options for Europe 

 Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

• Multilateral Peace Operations in 2022: Developments and Trends 

 Taylor & Francis

• Conflict, Security & Development, 2023
• Brazil in MINUSTAH: Exporting a Domestic Understanding of Civil-Military Relations to a UN Peace Operation [open access article] 
• Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict, 2023
• ‘When Militias Go ‘Rogue’: Explaining Anti-Government Extremism in So-Called ‘Pro-Nation-State’ Militias in the United States of America and Ukraine [open access article] 
• International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence, 2023, v. 36, no. 3
• Beijingology 2.0: Bridging the “Art” and “Science” of China Watching in Xi Jinping’s New Era [open access article] 
• Innovators, Copycats, or Pragmatists? Soviet Industrial Espionage and Innovation in the Military Aerospace Sector during the Cold War [open access article] 
• The Language of Nuclear Security: Language Diversity in Open-Source Internet Searches [open access article] 
• The Rise of ISIS as a Partial Surprise: An Open-Source Analysis on the Threat Evolution and Early Warnings in the United Kingdom [open access article] 
• Sempill, Japan, and Pearl Harbor: Traitor or Spy-Myth? [open access article] 
• Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 2023, v. 46, no. 7
• Do Vigilante Groups Reduce Cartel-Related Violence? An Empirical Assessment of Crime Trends in Michoacán, Mexico [open access article] 
• Female Fighters and Militants During the Lebanese Civil War: Individual Profiles, Pathways, and Motivations [open access article] 
• What is Local Resilience Against Radicalization and How can it be Promoted? A Multidisciplinary Literature Review [open access article] 

 Terrorism Research Initiative (TRI)

• Perspectives on Terrorism, 2023, v. 17, no. 1 
• Why Individuals and Communities Do Not Turn to Violent Extremism
• Profiles of Individual Radicalisation in Australia (PIRA): Introducing an Australian Open-Source Extremist Database
• The Link between Misinformation and Radicalisation: Current Knowledge and Areas for Future Inquiry
• Why Terrorism Researchers Should Care about Criminal Responsibility
• An Easy-to-Use Search Tool for the Abbottabad Compound Material Archive
• Introduction to the Special Section on Anti-Government Extremism
• Countering Far-Right Anti-Government Extremism in the United States
• Breaking (with) the System: Exodus as Resistance?
• The Not-So-Silent “Majority”: An Automated Content Analysis of Anti-Government Online Communities
• From Anti-Measure Activism to Anti-State Extremism? The “Querdenker” Protest-Movement and Its Interrelation and Dynamics with the “Reichsbürger” in Germany and Austria
• Anti-Government Extremism in Australia: Understanding the Australian Anti-Lockdown Freedom
• Bibliography: Islamic State (IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh) Part 7
• Bookshelf: 10 Books on Terrorism & Counter-Terrorism-Related Subjects

 UN Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR)

• Development and Cooperation on Nuclear Research and Energy in the Middle East 

 UN Interregional Crime and Justice Research Institute (UNICRI)

• Extremism: No Victory in Violence 

 US-China Economic and Security Review Commission

• China’s Position on Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine 
• Rule by Law: China’s Increasingly Global Legal Reach 

 US Institute of Peace  (USIP)

• Overcoming the Challenges of Transitional Mobilization  

 Wilson Center

• Open Science Hardware: A Shared Solution to Environmental Monitoring Challenges 

 World Bank

• A Blue Transformation for Pacific Maritime Transport: Overarching Regional Transport 
• Electric Mobility and Power Systems: Impacts and Mitigation Strategies in Developing Countries  
• The Potential Implications of Economic and Social Rights for Sovereign Debt Investing