Friday's Miscellany 01-10-2020

38 North

·         Can Science and Technology Be a Silver Bullet for the North Korean Economy?

·         Minor Modifications at the Abandoned 50 MWe Reactor at Yongbyon

·         Premature Epitaphs for Nuclear Diplomacy with North Korea

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         The New Arab Uprisings: How the 2019 Trajectory Differs from the 2011 Legacy? (Part 1)

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         Asan International Security Outlook 2020 : Neo Geopolitics

Atlantic Council

·         Democracy Under Siege: Advancing Cooperation and Common Values in the Indo-Pacific

·         Election 2020: What’s at Stake for Energy?

·         Energy Sector Diversification: Meeting Demographic Challenges in the MENA Region

·         European Energy Diversification: How Alternative Sources and Routes Can Bolster Energy Security and Decarbonization

·         International Co-Financing of Nuclear Reactors between the United States and Its Allies

·         International Grid Integration: Efficiencies, Vulnerabilities, and Strategic Implications in Asia

·         The Role of Oil and Gas Companies in the Energy Transition

·         The Saudi Aramco-SABIC Merger: How Acquiring SABIC Fits IntoAramco’s Long-Term Diversification Strategy

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

·         2019 Was Marked By Defiance and Dissent. 2020 Will Probably Be No Different

·         Don’t Confuse Me With Facts. It’s Always About the “Occupation”

·         Iran Seeks to End Direct Clash with US and Return to Asymmetric Comfort Zone

·         The Iraq Uprising: Where Does It Go From Here?

·         The Soleimani Affair Reveals Turkey’s Directionless Regional Policy

·         Soleimani Killing Hailed by Arabs—But Not by Palestinians

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         Impacts of the U.S. Killing of Qassem Soleimani

Brookings

·         Africa Can Play a Leading Role in the Fight against Climate Change

·         China 2049: Economic Challenges of a Rising Global Power

·         A Continental Strategy for Economic Diversification through the AfCFTA and Intellectual Property Rights

·         Exploring New Sources of Large-Scale Job Creation: The PotentialRole of Industries Without Smokestacks

·         Foresight Africa: Top Priorities for the Continent 2020-2030

·         Is Seeing Still Believing? The Deepfake Challenge to Truth in Politics

·         Strategies to Deliver on the Sustainable Development Goals in Africa

Bruegel

·         Market versus Policy Europeanisation: Has an Imbalance Grown OverTime?

Canada. Department of National Defence

·         Canadian Military Journal, Winter 2019, v. 20, no. 1

o    Military Commanders’ Responsibility for Members’ Health

o    Future Unmanned Combat Air Vehicles (UCAV) and the Ethics of Responsibility

o    “A Truly Global Approach”: Opportunities for Increased Internationalization in Professional Military Education

o    Devil Copper: War and the Canadian Nickel Industry, 1883–1970

o    When Johnny (Canuck) Comes Marching Home Again: Canadians in the American Civil War, 1861–1865

o    “Parallel Warfare” in Conflicts with Limited Political Aims

o    Legal Implications of Canadian Foreign Fighter

o    Strengthening the Canadian Armed Forces Capacity to  Address Child Soldiers

o    Missing in Action: The Troubling Case of Defence and the Election of 2019

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Bridging the Elite-Grassroots Divide Among Anticorruption Activists

·         Multipolarity in Practice: Understanding Russia’s Engagement With Regional Institutions

CATO Institute

·         Immigrants’ Deportations, Local Crime, and Police Effectiveness

·         The More Things Change, the More They Stay the Same: The Failure of Regime‐Change Operations

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Total Competition: China’s Challenge in the South China Sea

Center for Complex Operations (CCO)

·         Prism, January  2020, v. 8, no. 3

o    Cyber Physical Systems: The Coming Singularity

o    The Worst Possible Day: U.S. Telecommunications and Huawei

o    Directed Energy Weapons Are Real . . . And Disruptive

o    Redefining Neuroweapons: Emerging Capabilities in Neuroscience and Neurotechnology

o    Strategic Competition for Emerging Military Technologies: Comparative Paths and Patterns

o    Minds at War: China’s Pursuit of Military Advantage through Cognitive Science and Biotechnology

o    Killing Me Softly: Competition in Artificial Intelligence and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles

o    The Ethics of Acquiring Disruptive Technologies: Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Weapons, and Decision Support Systems

o    The Challenges Facing 21st Century Military Modernization

o    A Small State Perspective on the Evolving Nature of Cyber Conflict: Lessons from Singapore

o    “Thinking About What Could Be” An Interview with General John M. Murray, Commanding General, Army Futures Command

Center for Global Development

·         Creating an Accountability Framework that Serves the Global Fragility Act’s Mission

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Containing Tehran: Understanding Iran’s Power and Exploiting Its Vulnerabilities

·         Missiles of China [interactive]

·         Perspectives on Taiwan: Insights from the 2019 Taiwan-U.S. Policy Program

·         Significant Cyber Incidents [updated December  2019]   

·         Staying in the Gulf: The Changing Cost and Strategic Advantages

Center for the Study of Hate and Extremism

·         Report to the Nation: Illustrated Almanac-Decade Summary: Hate and Extremism With Updated 2019 FBI, U.S. City, Canada & Europe Data

Center on Global Energy Policy

·         The U.S. Isn’t Energy Independent. Middle East Oil Still Matters

Center on Law, Ethics and National Security

·         The Killing of General Soleimani Was Lawful Self-Defense, Not “Assassination”

·         Would Attacking Sites “Important” to “Iranian Culture” be a “War Crime”? (Not Always) 

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

·         Trends in Opioids Prescribed at Discharge from Emergency Departments Among Adults:  United States 2006–2017

Centre for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies

·         EDAM’s Artificial Intelligence and Digital Transformation Research of 2019

Clingendael Institute

·         How to Stop Libya's CollAPSE

Combating Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         Beyond Soleimani: Implications for Iran’s Proxy Network in Iraq and Syria

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         The Cost of Replacing Today’s Naval Aviation Fleet

·         The Foreign-Born Population and Its Effects on the U.S. Economy and the Federal Budget—An Overview

Department of the Navy (DoN)

·         Workforce of the Future: Department of the Navy 2019-2030 Civilian Human Capital Strategy

European Asylum Support Office (EASO)

·         EASO COI Report: Syria - Actors

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         The Power of Perspective: Why EU Membership Still Matters in the Western Balkans

European Leadership Network (ELN)

·         Policy Intervention: Recommendations for European Leadership on Iran and the Middle East

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Brexit: Getting It Done

European Union (EU)

·         Biocides

·         Conflict Resilience

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Tunisia's Progress in Strengthening Measures to Tackle Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Eastern Promises: Our German Problem

·         Iran Crisis Threatens Neighbors in Central Asia and the Caucasus

·         Snatching Strategic Defeat from the Jaws of Tactical Victory in the Middle East

·         Three Conflict Scenarios for the Black Sea in 2020

·         What is the FISA Agenda as the New Decade Begins?

German Development Institute

·         Revenue Collection and Social Policies: Their UnderestimatedContribution to Social Cohesion

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·         How Do International Sanctions End? Towards a Process-Oriented,Relational, and Signalling Perspective

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Aviation Consumer Protection: Few U.S. Aircraft Have Lavatories Designed to Accommodate Passengers with Reduced Mobility GAO-20-258

·         Public Transportation: Enhanced Federal Information Sharing on Coordination Could Improve Rural Transit Services GAO-20-205

·         Technology Readiness Assessment Guide: Best Practices for Evaluating the Readiness of Technology for Use in Acquisition Programs and Projects GAO-20-48G

·         Unmanned Aircraft Systems: FAA Could Better Leverage Test Site Program to Advance Drone Integration GAO-20-97

Harvard Law School

·         National Security Journal, 2020, v. 11, no. 1

o    A Comparative Study of Domestic Laws Constraining Private Sector Active Defense Measures in Cyberspace

o    The Syrian Detention Conundrum: International and Comparative Legal Complexities

o    Law Wars: Experimental Data on the Impact of Legal Labels on Wartime Event Beliefs

o    A Postmortem for International Criminal Law? Terrorism, Law and Politics, and the Reaffirmation of State Sovereignty  

Heritage Foundation

·         Assessing Threats to U.S. Vital Interests 

·         Iran’s Extensive Cruise Missile Program Requires U.S. Action

Human Rights Watch

·         Burkina Faso: Armed Islamist Atrocities Surge

Institute for Critical Infrastructure Technology

·         The Road to Mobility: The 2020 Guide to Trends and Technology for Smart Cities and Transportation

Institute for National Security Studies (INSS - Israel)

·         Iran between Gasoline Protests and Parliamentary Elections

·         Tip of the Iceberg: Report of the UN Secretary-General on Resolution 1701, November 2019

Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict (IPAC)

·         The Growing Influence of Salafism in Muslim Mindanao

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         China Might Take Iran’s Side in a War with US

·         Hybrid Warfare – Orchestrating the Technology Revolution

·         Willful Ignorance Hurts Christian militia in Iraq

Institute for the Study of War

·         Iranian Escalation Timeline

·         Iraq Situation Report: January 4 - 6, 2020

·         Iraq Situation Report: December 27, 2019 - January 3, 2020

·         Iraq's Parliament Votes to End U.S. Troop Presence in Iraq

·         Syria Situation Report: December 17, 2019 - January 7, 2020

Institute of Development Studies (IDS)

·         Are Women Not ‘Working’? Interactions between Childcare and Women’s Economic Engagement

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         The CAA and the NRC: Exploring Possible Solutions

Intelligence and National Security Alliance

·         Getting it Right: Establishing Uniform Policies for Controlled Unclassified Information

·         Same but Different: Security Clearances for Contractors and Government Employees

International Crisis Group

·         Managing Trafficking in Northern Niger

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·         Strategic Littorals: Connectivity and Heritage in Northern UAE and Oman

Lowy Institute for International Relations

·         Taiwan’s 2020 Elections: China has Lost the Battle for Public Opinion in Taiwan

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         Analysis of the 5th Plenary Meeting of the Central Committee of the 7th Workers’ Party of Korea and the Future Prospects

Migration Policy Institute

·         Beyond Work: Reducing Social Isolation for Refugee Women and Other Marginalized Newcomers

MITRE

·         5G and the Front Lines of the U.S.-China Great Power Competition

·         Driving Impact Through Acquisition Flexibility

Observer Research Foundation

·         Ideological Shift, Public Support and Social Media: The ‘New’ inKashmir’s ‘New Militancy’

·         Improving Access to Agricultural Credit: New Perspectives

·         The Myth of ‘Pure Evil’: Using Behavioural Science to HelpUnderstand and Counter Terrorism

·         The Smart Cities Mission in Delhi, 2015-2019: An Evaluation

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         Trump Ratings Remain Low Around Globe, While Views of U.S. Stay Mostly Favorable

Pew Research Center Social & Demographic Trends

·         Most Americans Say There Is Too Much Economic Inequality in the U.S., but Fewer Than Half Call It a Top Priority

Policy Exchange

·         Justice That Protects: Placing Public Safety at the Heart of Criminal Justice and the Prisons System  

Project 2049 Institute

·         China’s Top Five War Plans

Radicalisation Awareness Network Centre of Excellence

·         Far-Right Extremism: A Practical Introduction

·         Islamist Extremism: A Practical Introduction

Rand

·         Deterring Attacks Against the Power Grid: Two Approaches for the U.S. Department of Defense

·         Russia's Hostile Measures Combating Russian Gray Zone Aggression against NATO in the Contact, Blunt, and Surge Layers of Competition

·         Social and Emotional Learning, School Climate, and School Safety:A Randomized Controlled Trial Evaluation of Tools for Life® in Elementary and Middle Schools

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         Counter Terrorist Trends and Analysis (CTTA), January 2020, v. 11, no. 1

o    Annual Threat Assessment

o    Global Threat Landscape

o    Southeast Asia: Indonesia, Philippines, Malaysia, Myanmar, Thailand, Singapore

o    South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka

o    Central Asia: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan

o    China

o    Islamic State’s Narratives of Resilience and Endurance

o    Debunking Jihadist Ideological Misinterpretations and Distortions

·         Singapore Trade Policy Forum

Small Wars Journal

·         After the Soleimani Strike, What’s Next for Iraq and the Region?

·         An Argument Against Killing Qasem Soleimani

·         The Army Sniper

·         Avoiding War in the Arctic: A Two-Step Solution

·         Mexican Cartel Tactical Note #42: Car Bomb in Apaseo el Alto,Guanajuato with Remote Detonation IED (‘Papa Bomba’) Payload

·         Mexican Cartel Tactical Note #43: Improvised Armored Fighting Vehicles (IAFVs) – ‘Narcotanques’ and ‘Monstruos Blindados’ in Jalisco

·         Mismatch: U.S. Preparation for Future Conflict During China’s Second Cultural Revolution

·         The Perils of Seeking an American "Victory" over Iran

·         Regulars vs. Irregulars: The US Army and the Indian Wars at the End of the 19th Century

·         Revisiting an Alternative Approach to Fighting Small Wars: The Works of Charles Wolf Jr. and Nathan Leites, 1965 to 1970

·         Small States – Big Gains: Understanding the Dynamics of Security Sector Assistance (SSA)

·         Third Generation Gangs Strategic Note No. 21: 96 MS-13 Members and Associates, Including the Leaders of 9 Cliques, Charged in Long Island

·         The War in Catatumbo: Taking Stock of an Underreported War

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA)

·         Digitalising Democracy in SADC: Insights from 2019 Elections

·         G20 Compact with Africa: No Reformers, No Compact – The Zimbabwean Case Study

·         G20 Compact with Africa: The Case of Ghana

Strategic and Defence Studies Centre

·         CSCAP Regional Security Outlook 2020

Strategic Studies Institute (SSI)

·         Turkey and the United States on the Brink: Implications for NATO and the US-Turkish Strategic and Military Partnership

Swisspeace

·         Beyond the Tracks? Reflections on Multitrack Approaches to Peace Processes

Taylor & Francis

·         Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism and Political Aggression, 2020, v. 12, no. 1

o    Between Vulnerability and Risk? Mental Health in UK Counter-Terrorism [open access article]

o    Evaluating Interventions to Disengage Extremist Offenders: A Study of the Proactive Integrated Support Model (PRISM)

o    Measuring Radicalisation: Risk Assessment Conceptualisations and Practice in England and Wales [open access article]

·         Policing and Society, 2020, v. 30, no. 1

o    Ethnography and Narrative [open access article]

·         Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 2020, v. 43, no. 2

o    Terrorist Decision Making in theContext of Risk, Attack Planning, and Attack Commission [open access article]

Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse (TRAC)          

·         Record Number of Asylum Cases in FY 2019

US Fire Administration (USFA)

·         Fire in the United States 2008-2017

US Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Displacement and the Vulnerability to Mobilize for Violence: Evidence from Afghanistan

·         Iran Timeline: Since the 1979 Revolution

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Ceasefire or Escalation in Libya?

·         The DEA's Targeting of Hezbollah's Global Criminal Support Network

·         Eight Reasons Why the United States and Iraq Still Need Each Other

·         New Khamenei Speech Underlines the Importance of Popular Support for the Regime

·         Operating in the Gray Zone: Countering Iran's Asymmetric Way ofWar

·         Russian Reactions to the U.S. Strike on Soleimani

·         Soleimani’s Popularity Is Largely Limited to Iran

·         Who Is Esmail Qaani, the New Chief Commander of Iran’s Qods Force?

Wilson Center

·         Africa: Year in Review 2019

·         Anatomy of the U.S.-Iran Crisis

·         Grey Zones: Emerging Technology Development and Impact in Emerging and Developing Markets

World Economic Forum

·         Biosecurity Innovation and Risk Reduction: A Global Framework for Accessible, Safe and Secure DNA Synthesis