Friday's Miscellany 07-12-2019

38 North

·         North Korea Is Not Desperate: The New Geostrategic Environment in East Asia

·         A US Preventive Strike Against North Korea: Disturbing Results Reflect Disturbing Realities

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·         Escalating Tensions between Uganda and Rwanda Raise Fear of War

AidData

·         Estimating Financing to the Sustainable Development Goals, Version 2.0

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Beyond Borders and Leaders: Toward Sustainable Peace for Ethiopia and Eritrea

American Enterprise Institute

·         Dismantling the Authoritarian-Corruption Nexus

·         The National Liberation Army in Colombia and Venezuela: Illicit Finance Challenges Stemming from Illegal Mining

Amnesty International

·         Last Chance for Justice: Dangerous Setbacks For Human Rights and the Fight Against Impunity in Guatemala

·         Poland: Free Courts, Free People, Judges Standing for theirindependence

·         South Korea: Serving in Silence: LGBTI People in South Korea’sMilitary

·         ‘They Just Kill’. Ongoing Extrajudicial Executions and Other Violations in the Philippines’ ‘War On Drugs’

Arms Control Association

·         Assessing Progress on Nuclear Nonproliferation and Disarmament:2016-2019 Report Card

Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response (ASPR)

·         ASPR TRACIE Mass Casualty Triage Paradigms and Pitfalls White Paper

Australian National University Press

·         The Chinese Economic Transformation: Views from Young Economists

·         Competing for Influence: The Role of the Public Service in Better Government in Australia

Australian Strategic Policy institute (ASPI)

·         Capabilities, Competition and Communication

·         Evolution of the Protection of Civilians in UN Peacekeeping

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         Iraq: Battleground or Buffer State?

·         Tunisia is Economically Adrift

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies (BESA)

·         The Berlin Jewish Museum Scandal

·         Clerics and Entertainers Seek to Bolster MBS’s Grip on Power

·         Disowning Ben-Gurion’s Vision

·         Donald Trump’s “Obama Moments” in Syria and the Gulf

·         A Flight Guide to Middle East Politics

·         Russia Joins Gulf States in Coaching Sudan’s Military

·         Russia’s and China’s Geopolitical Offensive in Africa

Bruegel

·         Digitalisation and European Welfare States 

·         The European Union Energy Transition: Key Priorities For the Next Five Years 

·         The Post-Caliphate Salafi-Jihadi Environment 

Carnegie Endowment for international Peace

·         Putin’s Not-So-Secret Mercenaries: Patronage, Geopolitics, and the Wagner Group  

CATO Institute

·         Collective Bargaining and Police Misconduct: Evidence from Florida

·         The Community Reinvestment Act in the Age of Fintech and Bank Competition

Center for Global Development

·         Fuel Subsidy Reform and Green Taxes: Can Digital Technologies Improve State Capacity and Effectiveness?

Center for Strategic and international Studies (CSIS)

·         By Other Means—Part I: Campaigning in the Gray Zone

·         Can CPEC Meet Pakistan’s Development Goals?

·         Home and Abroad: Building U.S. Global Economic Leadership on Strong Domestic Foundations

·         The Important Role of U.S. LNG in Evolving Global Markets  [testimony]

·         Tell Me How This Ends: Military Advice, Strategic Goals, and the“Forever War” in Afghanistan

Center for the Study of Intelligence

·         Issues of Studies in Intelligence, v. 63, no. 2

o    The Future of Analysis

o    Special Attaché Boylstron Beal, the "Red Scare," and the Origins of the US-UK Intelligence Relationship, 1919-27

o    Lessons from Four North Korean Shootdown Attempts during 1959–81

o    Argo Producer Chay Carter: Thinking about Film and the World of Intelligence

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         A Troubled Partnership: The US and Europe in the Middle East

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Governing Smart Data in the Public Interest: Lessons from Ontario’s Smart Metering Entity

·         What Is a Climate Response Measure? Breaking the Trade Taboo in Confronting Climate Change

·         World Trade Organization 2.0: Reforming Multilateral Trade Rules for the Digital Age

Chatham House

·         Reconnecting Afghanistan: Lessons from Cross-border Engagement

Chicago Council on Global Affairs

·         Public Attitudes on US Intelligence

Clingendael - Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Global Security Pulse: Conflict in Cyberspace

·         How to Strengthen Europe's Agenda on Digital Connectivity

·         Military Mobility and the EU-NATO Conundrum

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·         Keeping The Lights On: Addressing Cyber Threats To The Grid

Congress. House. Oversight and Reform Committee

·         Child Separations by the Trump Administration - Staff Report

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Human Rights in Cuba: Beyond the Veneer of Reform

·         The State Department and USAID FY 2020 Operations Budget

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         About Face: Examining the Department of Homeland Security’s Use of Facial Recognition and Other Biometric Technologies

·         Road to Recovery: Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands after Hurricanes Irma and Maria

Congress. House. Judiciary Committee

·         California Criminal Justice Reform: Potential Lessons for the Nation

·         Lessons from the Mueller Report, Part III: “Constitutional Processes for Addressing Presidential Misconduct”

·         Marijuana Laws in America: Racial Justice and the Need for Reform

Congress. House. Oversight & Reform Committee

·         Identifying, Preventing, and Treating Childhood Trauma: A Pervasive Public Health Issue that Needs Greater Federal Attention

·         Kids in Cages: Inhumane Treatment at the Border

·         The Trump Administration's Attack on the ACA: Reversal in Court CaseThreatens Health Care for Millions of Americans

·         The Trump Administration’s Child Separation Policy: Substantiated Allegations of Mistreatment

Congress. House. Science, Space, Technology Committee

·         Earth’s Thermometers: Glacial and Ice Sheet Melt in a Changing Climate

Congress. Senate. Armed Services Committee

·         Implementation of the National Defense Strategy in the United States Southern Command Area of Responsibility

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         Defense Cooperation: Use of Emergency Authorities Under the Arms Export Control Act

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         The Distribution of Household Income, 2016

·         The Effects on Employment and Family Income of Increasing the Federal Minimum Wage

Counter Extremism Project

·         New CEP Reports Detail Muslim Brotherhood History, Activities Across the Middle East and North Africa

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         Democratisation in Tanzania: No Elections Without Tax Exemptions

·         Disinformation goes South: Political Technologies Threaten Developing Countries

·         Has the Paris Declaration Disappeared? Revisiting the Aid Effectiveness Agenda

Defense Science Board (DSB)

·         Defense Applications of 5G Network Technology–Executive Summary

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         DOD Digital Modernization Strategy 2019

·         Enhancing Security and Stability in Afghanistan - June 2019

Department of Homeland Security Inspector General

·         OIG-19-50  Inadequate Oversight of Low Value DHS Contracts

Department of State

·         2019 Investment Climate Statements

East Asia institute

·         Populism in Taiwan: a Bottom-up Model

East West Center

·         Belt and Road Initiative 2.0: ‘Qualitatively’ Different?

Economic Research Forum (ERF)

·         Political Violence and Youth Bulges

Egmont institute

·         The End of the INF-Treaty: Context and Consequences

European Council on Foreign Relations

·         Machine Politics: Europe and the AI Revolution

European Leadership Network (ELN)

·         How Militarily Willing and Able is the EU? Operation Althea Struggles in Bosnia and Herzegovina

European Policy Centre (EPC)

·         Brexit: Time Regained

·         Creating a Digital Roadmap for a Circular Economy

Federal Bureau of Investigations (FBI)

·         FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, July 2019

o    Analyzing the State of U.S. Policing

o    Old Habits Can Hold Officers Back

o    Benefiting from the Viewpoints of a Diverse Society

o    School Shooters Can Be Stopped: A Valuable New Resource

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Terrorist Financing Risk Assessment Guidance

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI) 

·         Neither Peace nor Prosperity: Jared Kushner’s Middle East Peace Plan Falls Flat in Bahrain

·         Persistent Problems with the Gray Zone and an Old Way Forward

·         Ross Perot’s Crab Cakes: One Hour, One Flight, One Legend

·         Understanding the Hong Kong Extradition Law Protests

·         U.S. Sanctions and Turkey’s Purchase of Russia’s S-400 Air Defense System

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·         Tackling Inequalities and Vulnerabilities: Why and How G7 Development Policies Could Do Better

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         Emirates Airline, Etihad Airways and Qatar Airways: Global Airline Companies Promoting the International Position and Reputation of Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Qatar

·         The Strategic Role of Land Forces: A French Perspective

Future Directions international

·         India and Russia: An Unbroken, Long-Term Relationship

German Development Institute

·         Financing for Development and Domestic Revenue Mobilisation: More International Reforms are Needed

German institute for international and Security Affairs (GIISA)

·         India’s Africa Policy

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Berlin’s Neglects East-Central-Europe at its Own Peril

·         Critical Choices Await Greece’s New Government

·         Europe Needs to Go Forward with the Iran Nuclear Deal, With or Without the United States

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Border Infrastructure: Actions Needed to Improve Information on Facilities and Capital Planning at Land Border Crossings  GAO-19-534

·         Dam Safety: Army Corps' Decisions about and Status of Repayment for Harlan County Dam Repairs GAO-19-593R

·         Defense Acquisitions: DOD Needs to Improve How It Communicates the Status of Regulation Changes GAO-19-489

·         Drug Control: Certain DOD and DHS Joint Task Forces Should Enhance Their Performance Measures to Better Assess Counterdrug Activities GAO-19-441

·         Emergency Management: FEMA's Disaster Recovery Efforts in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands [testimony] GAO-19-662T

Hedayah International Center of Excellence for Countering Violent Extremism

·         Education for Preventing Violent Extremism (EPVE): Working Group Paper

Institute for Critical infrastructure Technology

·         The Rise of the Cyber Industrial Complex and Expense in Depth  

Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA)

·         India’s Defense Budget 2019-20

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Determining a Discount Rate for Calculating Lump Sum Payments toEligible Military Retirees (Research insights)

Institute for National Security Studies (INSS - Israel)

·         Cyber, Intelligence, and Security, May 2019, v. 3, no. 1

o    European Countries Facing the Challenge of Foreign Influence on Democracy—Comparative Research

o    The Threat of Foreign Interference in the 2019 Elections in Israel and Ways of Handling it

o    The INF Treaty and New START: Escalation Control, Strategic Fatalism, and the Role of Cyber 

o    Iranian Cyber Capabilities: Assessing the Threat to Israeli Financial and Security Interests

o    Outsourcing in Intelligence and Defense Agencies: A Risk of an Increase in the Proliferation of Cyber Weapons?

o    The Academization of Intelligence: A Comparative Overview of Intelligence Studies in the West

o    Forty-Five Years Since the Yom Kippur War: Intelligence and Risk Management in the Thirty Hours Preceding the War

o    National Cyber Security in Israel

Institute for Science and International Security

·         Conversion of Fordow: Another Unfulfilled Hope of the Iran Nuclear Deal

Institute for Security & Development Policy (ISDP)

·         A China-Turkey Reboot? Erdogan and Xi Meet in Beijing

Institute for Security Studies [Africa]

·         Surviving Boko Haram:  Why Children under Five Matter

Institute for the Study of War

·         Syria Situation Report: June 25 - July 9, 2019

Institute of Development Studies (IDS)

·         A Gender Approach to the Promotion of Productive Uses of Electricity

·         Linking Social Rights to Active Citizenship for the Most Vulnerable:The Role of Rights and Accountability in the ‘Making’ and ‘Shaping’ of Social Protection

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Approaches to Regional Stability and the Outlook for NATO

·         Deal or No-Deal? Beyond the Hype on Ukraine Gas Transit Negotiations

·         Fixing the European Social Malaise

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         Bitcoins and Fiat Currencies: India’s Concerns and Implications

·         Indian Budget 2019: A Change from the Normal

·         A Less Relevant WTO: Implications for South Asia

·         Muslims and an Inclusive India under Modi 2.0

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         Siege: The Atomwaffen Division and Rising Far-Right Terrorism in the United States

International Crisis Group

·         Somalia-Somaliland: The Perils of Delaying New Talks

·         Time for Ethiopia to Bargain with Sidama over Statehood

International Monetary Fund (IMF) 

·         Climate Disaster Risks – Empirics and a Multi-Phase Dynamic Model

·         Decomposing the Inflation Dynamics in the Philippines

·         Drivers of Cross-Border Banking in Sub-Saharan Africa

·         Explaining High Unemployment in ECCU Countries

·         Fiscal Buffers for Natural Disasters in Pacific Island Countries

·         Income Inequality and Government Transfers in Mexico

·         Inflation Co-Movement in Emerging and Developing Asia: The Monsoon Effect

·         Public Investment in Bolivia: Prospects and Implications

Italian Institute for International Political Studies

·         Starting From Resources: A Model for Conflict Resolution in Libya

Jamestown Foundation

·         Terrorism Monitor, July 12, 2019, v. 17, no. 14 

o    The Death of Morsi and Its Implications for the Muslim Brotherhood

o    Somalia-Kenya Maritime Border Dispute Could Threaten Counterterrorism Gains

o    2 Years Later—Analyzing the 2017 London Bridge Attack

Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA)

·         Development of Sri Lanka’s East Container Terminal Port: Japan & India’s Regional Cooperation in South Asia Shaping Up

Korea Institute for National Unification

·         DPRK-China Summit and DPRK-U.S. Correspondence Diplomacy: Assessment and Prospects in the Future

·         From Hanoi to Panmunjeom: Assessment and Prospects for DPRK-U.S. Denuclearization Negotiations

Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department

·         1 October After-Action Review [Las Vegas Mandalay Bay shooting]

Lowy institute

·         Foreign Territory: Women in international Relations

National Governors Association

·         Cleaning Up America’s Nuclear Weapons Complex: 2019 Update For Governors

NATO Cooperative Cyber Defense Centre of Excellence

·         11th International Conference on Cyber Conflict: Silent Battle.Proceedings 2019

·         Autonomous Cyber Capabilities under International Law

NATO Defense College

·         Deterring Hybrid Threats: The Need for a More Rational Debate

New America Foundation

·         Punching Down: How States are Suppressing Local Democracy

Observer Research Foundation

·         Russia and the ‘Geo’ of its Geopolitics

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         International Coordination of Economic Policies in the Global Financial Crisis: Successes, Failures, and Consequences

·         Protectionism under Trump: The China Shock, Intolerance, and the "First White President"

·         Trump's Mini-Trade War with India

Pew Research Center Social & Demographic Trends

·         Trump Draws Stronger Support From Veterans Than From the Public on Leadership of U.S. Military

Policy Exchange

·         Lost in Transition: The Conservative Leadership Contest and the Confidence of the Commons

Rand

·         Exploring Media Literacy Education as a Tool for Mitigating Truth Decay

·         When Autonomous Vehicles Are Hacked, Who Is Liable?

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         2019 Indonesian Presidential Election – The Gender Factor:Implications for Women

·         Arakan Army: Myanmar’s New Front of Conflict

·         Combating Marine Debris: What After the Bangkok Declaration?

·         Debating Artificial Intelligence: The Fox versus the Hedgehog

Small Wars Journal 

·         Assessment of the Existential Threat Posed by a United Biafran and Ambazonian Separatist Front in West Africa

·         Beyond Twitter: The Emergence of the Cyber-Presidency and Small Cyber Wars

·         Blame Intel

·         COIN Primer - The MANPADS Republic: An Effective Means to Establish Regional Sovereignty

·         нефть: The Impact of Russian Energy on Europe

·         “Malice in Blunderland” - J. P. Cross and the Royal Lao Army - 1972-75

·         A Man, A Plan, So What? The Influence of Abu Mus’ab al-Suri,Reconsidered

·         Options for U.S. Use of Private Military and Security Companies

·         Recent Wars: The Civil-Military Health of the Nation is Strong

·         Terrorists Look to Drones and Driverless Cars to Avoid Martyrdom

·         The Walled City Upon a Hill: Why the US is Responsible for the Deaths of Migrants

·         Withering Influence in National Security

Stimson

·         Evolution of the Protection of Civilians in UN Peacekeeping

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         Legal Challenges to EU Member States’ Arms Exports to Saudi Arabia:Current Status and Potential Implications

·         Measuring Illicit Arms and Financial Flows: Improving the Assessment of Sustainable Development Goal 16

UN Institute for Disarmament Research

·         Stemming the Exploitation of ICT Threats and Vulnerabilities

UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)

·         Global Study on Homicide 2019

US Air Force (USAF)

·         United States Air Force White Paper - The Digital Air Force  

US Secret Service (USSS)

·         Mass Attacks in Public Spaces – 2018

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         Iran's Disinformation against Religious Minorities

·         Iraqi Kurdistan’s New Government

·         “Miss Me Yet?” What the UAE Drawdown Means For the United States and UN in Yemen

Wilson Center

·         Why Can't Pakistani Children Read? The Inside Story of Education Reform Efforts Gone Wrong