Friday's Miscellany 06-30-2017

38 North

·         Imagery Confirms Recent Media Reports of Rocket Engine Test

·         Moving from a Sunshine to Sunburn Policy on North Korea

·         Reading Through the Rhetoric: Trends Speak Louder than Words

Afghanistan Analysts Network (AAN)

·         Ideology in the Afghan Taliban

Africa Center for Strategic Studies

·         Burundi Refugee Flows Continue to Increase

African Centre for the Constructive Resolution of Disputes

·         Report on the Ten-Year AMISOM Lessons Learned Conference

Air Force STSC

·         CrossTalk, The Journal of Defense Software Engineering,  July/August 2017, v. 30, no.4

o    Testing in O&M: Software Does Not Wear Out, It Degrades

o    Software Estimates that Work

o    Principles of Software Testing

o    Combining Agile Practices with CMMI Process Areas: A Case Study

o    Using Contracts to Reduce Cybersecurity Risks

o    Integration of Big Data: Misconceptions, Problems, and Needed Capabilities

o    Getting to Understand Some of the Operations and Maintenance Drivers of Cost

American Enterprise Institute

·         2018 Defense Budget Defers Buildup for Austerity

·         The American Spirit: A Snapshot in Time

·         Kingpins and Corruption: Targeting Transnational Organized Crime in the Americas

Amnesty International

·         If Men Are Caught They Are Killed, If Women Are Caught They Are Raped: Atrocities Turn South Sudan’s Breadbasket Into A Killing Field

·         In the Dock: Shell’s Complicity in the Arbitrary Execution of the Ogoni Nine

Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

·         Medical Surveillance Monthly Report, June 2017, v. 4, no. 6

o    Incidence of Campylobacter intestinal infections, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2007–2016

o    Incidence of nontyphoidal Salmonella intestinal infections, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2007–2016

o    Incidence of Shigella intestinal infections, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2007–2016

o    Using records of diagnoses from healthcare encounters and laboratory test results to estimate the incidence of norovirus infections, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2007–2016: limitations to this approach

o    Incidence of Escherichia coli intestinal infections, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2007–2016

o    Surveillance snapshot: Annual incidence rates and monthly distribution of cases of gastrointestinal infection, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2007–2016

Asan Institute for Policy Studies

·         Moon’s North Korea Policy: Reengaging North Korea to Regain Strategic Initiative

·         A New Beginning for ROK-U.S. Relations: South Koreans’ View of the United States and Its Implications

Atlantic Council

·         Big Data: A Twenty-First Century Arms Race

·         Chinese FDI in Latin America

·         Rolling Back the Growing North Korean Threat

Australian National University – Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs

·         Implications for Australia of the Crisis in the West and the Threat from China and Russia

·         Prospects for the Rules-Based Global Order

·         Smaller, but Enmeshed: Why Australia Needs to Make ASEAN an Even Stronger Priority

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Arbitration in the Energy Reform

·         An Evolving Outlook for Latin American FDI

·         Implications of the Qatar Crisis for Regional Security in the Gulf

·         The Winter of Our Discontent

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         From Osirak to Yongbyon

·         Israeli Security and Enemy Rationality

·         Modi Is Coming to Jerusalem

·         On the Future of Jerusalem

·         The Qatar Crisis and China

·         A Sad Decision That Might Haunt Us All

·         Shalom, Modi!

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         Countering the Proliferation of Malware

·         The Geopolitics of Renewable Energy             

·         Machine Learning for Policymakers

Brennan Center for Justice

·         Securing Elections From Foreign Interference

British American Security Information Council (BASIC)

·         Negative Security Assurances (June 2017 Briefing)

Brookings

·         Advancing a New wave of Urban Competitiveness: The Role of Mayors in the Rise of Innovation Districts

·         Hitting the Wall: Challenges to President Trump’s Signature Campaign Promise

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         The Summer of Our Discontent: Sects and Citizens in Lebanon and Iraq

·         Whose Rules, Whose Sphere? Russian Governance and Influence in Post-Soviet States

CATO Institute

·         Do Corporate Taxes Hinder Innovation?

·         Step Back: Lessons for U.S. Foreign Policy from the Failed War on Terror

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Art of the Possible: Restructuring the Defense Relationship with Pakistan

·         First Strike: China's Missile Threat to U.S. Bases to Asia

·         Higher, Heavier, Farther, and now Undetectable?

Center for Climate Security (CCS)

·         Military Expert Panel Report: Sea Level Rise and the U.S.Military’s Mission

Center for Homeland Defense and Security

·         Homeland Security Affairs Journal, v. 13, June 2017

o    The Cold War on Terrorism:Reevaluating Critical Infrastructure Facilities as Targets for Terrorist Attacks

o    Unpacking and Exploring the Relationship between Crisis Management and Social Media in the Era of ‘Smart Devices’

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Russian Analytical Digest, no. 204: Russian Agriculture and Fisheries

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Afghanistan and Its Central Asian Neighbors

·         Concept and Definition of Civil Society Sustainability

·         Impacts of Onshore Oil and Gas Development

·         Impacts of Onshore Oil and Gas Development  [interactive]

·         PacNet #47 - Breaking the Frame

·         PacNet #48 - Why Panama Matters

·         PacNet #48R - Response to PacNet #48 “Why Panama Matters

·         Rebalancing National Health Systems: Innovation and Sustainability

·         Trends in Extremist Violence and Terrorism in Europe through End-2016

·         U.S.-Canadian Defense Industrial Cooperation

·         U.S. Military Spending: The Cost of Wars

Center for Terrorism and Security Studies

·         Perspectives on Terrorism, June 2017, v. 11, no. 3  

o    A Pedigree of Terror: The Myth of the Ba’athist Influence in the Islamic State Movement

o    IS Penetration in Afghanistan-Pakistan: Assessment, Impact and Implications

o    Cracks in the Online “Caliphate”: How the Islamic State is Losing Ground in the Battle for Cyberspace

o    Ethnicity and Politics in Contextualising Far Right and Islamist Extremism

o    Who are the British Jihadists? Identifying Salient Biographical Factors in the Radicalisation Process

o    Why the U.S. Military Should Support Domestic CVE

o    Counterterrorism Bookshelf: 40 Books on Terrorism & Counter-Terrorism-Related Subjects

o    Bibliography: Islamic State (Part 3)

o    Recent Online Resources for the Analysis of Terrorism and Related Subjects

Center on Global Energy Policy

·         The Geopolitics of Renewable Energy

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         Britain Prepares for a Softer Brexit

·         What Future for the European Defence Fund?

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Climate Change and the Canadian Financial Sector

·         Deglobalization as a Global Challenge

·         Issues in Bringing Canadian Fintech to the International Stage

Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)

·         CIA Analysis of the Soviet Navy

Chatham House

·         Chokepoints and Vulnerabilities in Global Food Trade

·         Pivotal Days: US–Asia-Pacific Alliances in the Early Stages of the Trump Administration

·         Regulating the Data that Drive 21st-Century Economic Growth - The Looming Transatlantic Battle

Combatting Terrorism Center (CTC)

·         CTC Sentinel, June/July 2017, v. 10, no.6

o    Terror in Tehran: The Islamic State Goes to War with the Islamic Republic

o    Crossing the Canal: Why Egypt Faces a Creeping Insurgency

o    Differential Association Explaining Jihadi Radicalization in Spain: A Quantitative Study

o    The Battle for Raqqa and the Challenges after Liberation

·         The Fight Goes On: The Islamic State’s Continuing Military Efforts in Liberated Cities

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·         Self-Driving Vehicle Legislation

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Advancing U.S. Interests at the United Nations

Congress. House. Judiciary Committee

·         H.R. 2851, Stop the Importation and Trafficking of Synthetic Analogues Act of 2017

·         Recent Trends in International Antitrust Enforcement

Congress. House. Oversight & Government Reform Committee

·         Criminal Justice Reform and Efforts to Reduce Recidivism

Congress. House. Science, Space & Technology Committee

·         In-Space Propulsion: Strategic Choices and Options

·         Material Science: Building the Future

Congress. Senate. Judiciary Committee

·         The FISA Amendments Act: Reauthorizing America’s Vital National Security Authority and Protecting Privacy and Civil Liberties

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         An Analysis of Hospital Prices for Commercial and Medicare Advantage Plans

·         An Analysis of Private-Sector Prices for Physician Services

·         Federal Debt and the Statutory Limit, June 2017

·         Labor Force Experiences of Recent Veterans

·         Longer-Term Effects of the Better Care Reconciliation Act of 2017 on Medicaid Spending

·         An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: 2017 to 2027

Council on Foreign Relations (CFR)

·         The Case for Reforming Section 702 of U.S. Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Law

·         Geostrategic Implications of China’s Twin Economic Challenges

·         Lessons From Guatemala’s Commission Against Impunity

Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS)

·         Striking a New Balance? US-China Relations under Trump

Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA)

·         Russia Military Power: Building a Military to Support Great Power Aspirations

Defense Intelligence Ballistic Missile Analysis Committee

·         Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat Report

Department of Defense Inspector General (DODIG)

·         DODIG 2016-129 The National Security Agency Should Take Additional Steps to Effectively Implement Its Privileged Access-Related Secure-the-Net Initiatives [redacted]

Department of State

·         Trafficking in Persons Report 2017

Department of the Army

·         ATP 5-0.6 Network Engagement

Director of National Intelligence (DNI)

·         ICPG 404.1 - Federal Partner Access to IC Information Technology Systems

East West Center

·         The Emerging Geopolitics of the Indian Ocean Region

·         Setting Standards for Industry: Comparing the Emerging Chinese Standardization System and the Current US System

               

European Policy Centre

·         Crans-Montana - A ‘Now or Never’ Moment for a Cyprus Settlement?

·         Kosovo's EU Candidate Status: A Goal Within Reach?

·         Renewed Optimism Ahead of Political Breakthroughs?

European Strategic Intelligence and Security Center

·         The Diplomatic Crisis in the Persian Gulf as a Symptom of the Shift in Regional Power Dynamics

European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS)

·         Burundi Blues: The Road to Violence & Back

·         Africa Goes Digital: Where and How?

·         Gulf of Guinea: Pirates and Other Tales

·         Jihadism in Mali and the Sahel: Evolving Dynamics and Patterns

·         SMS – Food Insecurity: Between Past and Present

Feinstein International Center

·         The Impact of Serious Crimes During the War on Households Today in Northern Uganda

·         The War-wounded and Recovery in Northern Uganda

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing Risks

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         Islam in America

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and the New Regional Geopolitics

·         Minsk-Beijing: What Kind of Strategic Partnership?

·         Renewable Energies in Europe by 2030: A New Landscape

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

·         The Anxious and the Climbers: Ambivalent Attitudes towards Democracy among South Africa’s Middle Class

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         More Coherence! External Dimensions of a Comprehensive Migration and Refugee Policy — Insights from Germany

·         Will Europe's Defense Momentum Lead to Anything?

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Critical Infrastructure Protection: DHS Has Fully Implemented Its Chemical Security Expedited Approval Program, and Participation to Date Has Been Limited. GAO-17-502

·         Defense Science and Technology: Adopting Best Practices Can Improve Innovation Investments and Management. GAO-17-499

·         Defense-Wide Working Capital Fund: Action Needed to Maintain Cash Balances within Required Levels. GAO-17-465

·         FBI Laboratory: Chemistry and Trace Evidence Units Generally Adhere to Quality Standards, but Could Review More Examiner Testimonies. GAO-17-516

·         Operational Support Airlift: Fleet Sufficiency is Assessed Annually. GAO-17-582

·         Telecommunications: Additional Action Needed to Address Significant Risks in FCC's Lifeline Program. GAO-17-538

·         Weapon Systems: Prototyping Has Benefited Acquisition Programs, but More Can Be Done to Support Innovation Initiatives. GAO-17-309

Heritage Foundation

·         Four Priorities for the New Round of Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC)

·         Sounding the Warning: DOD Report Examines the Growing Security Challenge from China

Hudson Institute

·         The Meaning of Independence Day: The Legacy of the Declaration of Independence

Human Rights Watch

·         “We Can’t Refuse to Pick Cotton”: Forced and Child Labor Linked to World Bank Group Investments in Uzbekistan

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, June 29, 2017

o    African Debt: How Much Is Too Much?

o    Mutinies in Ivory Coast Reveal Deep Military Divides

·         Defense Management Course: Office of Defense Cooperation, Jakarta,9-20 November, 2015

·         Elements of Genius: Traits and Techniques for Restoring Rigor to U.S. Grand Strategy

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         Concise History of the Afghanistan-Pakistan War

·         The South China Sea Disputes: The Energy Dimensions

·         Trump Administration’s Operation in the South China Sea: Better Late Than Never

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Chinese Official Geopolitical Cartographies and Discursive Constructions of the Mediterranean

·         How Does Russia Conceive of the Mediterranean Space in Its Official Discourse and Narratives?

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         China’s Vision of Blue Partnership: Convergence with India’s Blue Economy Initiative?

·         Farmer Protests in India: Opposition Lacks Strength to Challenge the Government

·         Political Economy of Food: A Case for India-Bangladesh Cooperation

·         Rise of the Islamists in the Maldives

·         Trump-Modi Summit: Keeping United States-India Ties on Course

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism (ICCT)

·         Counter-Terrorism Strategic Communications: Back to the Future, Lessons from Past and Present

International Crisis Group

·         Building Critical Mass for Peace in Myanmar

·         Time to Repeal U.S. Sanctions on Sudan?

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Does the Stock Market Boost Firm Innovation? : Evidence from Chinese Firms

·         Migration and Remittances in Latin America and the Caribbean :Engines of Growth and Macroeconomic Stabilizers?

·         Towards Macroprudential Stress Testing : Incorporating Macro-Feedback Effects

·         Trade Integration in Latin America

International Peace Institute (IPI)

·         Entrepreneurship for Sustaining Peace

Jamestown Foundation

·         Terrorism Monitor, July 1, 2017, v. 15, no. 13

o    Yemen’s Houthi Missiles Keep Saudi Arabia Mired in Conflict

o    Haiat Tahrir al-Sham Ascendant in Northwest Syria

o    Yemen’s Houthi Missiles Keep Saudi Arabia Mired in Conflict

Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)

·         Joint Pub 5-0, Joint Planning, 16 June 2017

Manhattan Institute

·         The Shadow Regulatory State at the Crossroads: Federal Deferred Prosecution Agreements Face an Uncertain Future

Marine Corps University Middle East Studies

·         MES Insights, v. 8, no.  3, June 2017

o    Houthi Expansionism, Internal War, Geopolitics, and the Yemen Quagmire

Marine Corps University Press

·         Marine Corps University Journal, Spring 2017, v. 8, no. 1

o    Anticipating and Understanding the Rebalance:  Exercise Nine Innings

o    A Pivot of Their Own: China Reassesses the Rebalance  to Asia Policy, and What that Means for the  Trump Administration’s Asia Policy

o    Identity Crisis between the Wars: How Doctrine  Shaped the Marine Corps after World War I and Vietnam

o    Expeditionary Operations in the Fourth Industrial Revolution

Martens Centre for European Studies

·         New Multilateral Structures IN FOCUS—the Rise of an Alternative Order or More of the Same?

Mitchell Institute of Aerospace Studies

·         Acquisition at the Speed of Combat, Not at the Pace of Bureaucracy: Enabling Progress in Reform

·         Consolidating the Revolution: Optimizing the Potential of Remotely Piloted Aircraft

MITRE

·         Making Better Medical Decisions in Extreme Conditions

Nautilus Institute

·         Ending the North Korean Nuclear Threat by a Comprehensive Security Settlement in Northeast Asia

New America Foundation

·         Deciphering the European Encryption Debate: United Kingdom

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors

·         Are the Spending Priorities of Euro-area Countries Converging?

·         European Public Opinion and the EU Following the Peak of the Migration Crisis

·         The Future of the European Budget: What Does the Commission’s White Paper Mean for EU Finances?

Observer Research Foundation

·         Four Famines in an Interconnected World: What Can the G20 Do?

·         Gendering the G20: Empowering Women in the Digital Age

·         The G20 Compact with Africa: Overview, Assessment, and Recommendations for India

·         In G20 Partnership with Africa, a Crucial Role for India

·         India-ASEAN Partnership at 25

Overseas Development Institute

·         Understanding Trajectories of Radicalization in Agadez, Niger

Oxford Research Group

·         After Mosul: Islamic State’s Asian and African Future

Pew Research Center Global Attitudes & Trends

·         U.S. Image Suffers as Publics Around World Question Trump’s Leadership

Pew Research Center Hispanic Trends

·         Mexican Lawful Immigrants Among the Least Likely to Become U.S.Citizens

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         Consequences of the U.S. Withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership

·         The Palestinian Political Crisis

Project 2049 Institute

·         The Logic of Historical Nihilism: Analyzing the PRC Orthodoxy on the Origins of the Korean War

Rand

·         Education: Digital Technology's Role in Enabling Skills Development for a Connected World

·         Program Characteristics That Contribute to Cost Growth: A Comparison of Air Force Major Defense Acquisition Programs

·         Recruiting Policies and Practices for Women in the Military: Views from the Field

Small Wars Journal

·         4th of July, War, and the American Spirit

·         The Evolution of Punishment: Drones, High-Value Targeting, and the Neurobiology of Mechanical Justice

·         In Fixing the Afghan Army, We Need to Start with The Afghan Air Force

·         Making America Great Again: A Balanced National Security Approach

·         Normandy: An Observation

·         Overcoming Complexity through Collaboration and Follower-Based Leadership

·         Potential Counterterrorism Contributions of the U.S. Department of Defense and U.S. Northern Command

·         To Conquer a Peace: Operational Design in the Mexico City Campaign, 1847-1848

·         Twenty-year Cycle of Unrest: Regional Turmoil Has Global Consequences

Stanley Foundation

·         Human Protection: Strategic Opportunities in a Challenging Political Environment

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         Trends in World Nuclear Forces, 2017

Strategic Studies Institute

·         At Our Own Peril: DoD Risk Assessment in a Post-Primacy World

·         Transforming the Force: The 11th Air Assault Division (Test) from1963 to 1965

United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR)

·         Negotiation of a  Nuclear Weapons Prohibition Treaty: Nuts and Bolts of the Ban

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings, and the Islamic State

·         The Palestinian Public’s Tough Choices: On Violence, Instability, Hamas, “Jewish State”

·         Saudi Royal Rivalries Test U.S. Relations

Wilson Center

·         Infographic | Freedom of Expression & Violence against Journalists in Mexico

·         Trump and Putin Are Selling Opposite Kinds of Greatness

World Bank

·         Forcibly Displaced : Toward a Development Approach Supporting Refugees, the Internally Displaced, and Their Hosts

·         Global Economic Prospects: A Fragile Recovery